4/3-km Simulations of WRF for 2014 and 2015 Cases

The Problems

No low clouds and poor representation of inversion.

Working on Solutions

To help fix these, several approaches have been tried:
1) adding more vertical levels
2) adding more vertical levels and turning off diffusion
3) using RAP
The loops in this table illustrate the attempts and how they impact the simulations.

Case	Description

wrfgfs	our standard
wrfv361cu4noahmp	WRF-GFS with version 3.6.1, SAS cu, RRTMG radiation, Noah-MP LSM
wrfv361cu4noahmprap	WRF-GFS with version 3.6.1, SAS cu, RRTMG radiation, Noah-MP LSM, RAP-initialized clouds
wrfv361cu4noahrap	WRF-GFS with version 3.6.1, SAS cu, RRTMG radiation, Noah LSM, RAP-initialized clouds

Table 1. Standard Plots
Initialization	Domain	Product	Hour	Cases (control click to select multiple)
Satellite images Jan 19, 2015 Visible satellite images for Jan 19 case Visible satellite images for Aug 4 2014 case

Table 2. Geographic, Mean Statistics, and New Frequency Distribution Plots
Period	Field	Statistic	Hour	Domain	Station Group	Cases (control click to select multiple)
Choose a Period: Spring2014 Apr 2,May4-19,Jun 2 Summer2014 Jul23, Jul 27-Aug5, Aug11-13 Fall2014 Nov26-30,Dec3-8,Dec11,12,15 Jan2015	Choose a field: 2-m Temp 2-m Dewpoint Temp 10-m Wind Direction 10-m Wind Speed SLP	Statistics: Mean or Bias Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Std Dev of Error Scatter Plots Scatterplot ME Scatterplot MAE Scatterplot RMS Scatterplot Std Dev David's Frequency Distribution Plots Frequency Distribution	Hour: Init 0, FHr 24 Init 0, FHr 12 Init 0, FHr 6	Choose a Domain: d2 d3	All sites All sites, speeds >= 3 knots All sites, speeds <= 3 knots All sites, speeds >= 20 knots SA sites SA sites, speeds >= 3 knots Buoys Buoys, speeds >= 3 knots - Below, compare 2m/10m to lowest sigma - All sites 2m/10m vs lowest All sites, speeds >= 3 knots 2m/10m vs lowest All sites, speeds <= 3 knots 2m/10m vs lowest All sites, speeds >= 20 knots 2m/10m vs lowest SA sites 2m/10m vs lowest SA sites, speeds >= 3 knots 2m/10m vs lowest Buoys 2m/10m vs lowest Buoys, speeds >= 3 knots 2m/10m vs lowest	Plot type: Geographic Loop Bar Chart Bar Chart for all Station Groups All Mean Error Bar Charts for All Fields, 12-km Domain All Mean Error Bar Charts for All Fields, 4-km Domain All Mean Absolute Error Bar Charts for All Fields, 12-km Domain All Mean Absolute Error Bar Charts for All Fields, 4-km Domain Bar Chart for all Fields, all hours, and all Station Groups Bar Chart for all Fields, all hours, all Station Groups, and all Seasons Time series table at a site (does not work with the All Cases option) Time series plot at a site (use no more than 7 cases)

Statistics January 2015 for wind speeds >= 3 knots
24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 12-km verification statistics for SA stations >= 3 knots Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 5.65 50.20 68.87 68.66 1994 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 7.13 51.30 70.20 69.85 1994 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 8.83 51.64 71.00 70.46 1994 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 13.38 53.48 72.75 71.53 1994 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m -0.92 2.71 4.03 3.92 2031 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m -0.89 2.74 4.06 3.96 2031 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m -0.65 2.82 4.12 4.07 2031 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m -0.39 3.11 4.40 4.38 2031 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.62 4.40 5.82 5.79 2009 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.92 4.46 5.94 5.87 2009 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.02 4.88 6.34 6.34 2009 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.11 4.84 6.46 6.46 2009 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.23 4.19 5.57 5.57 2007 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 1.40 4.22 5.82 5.65 2007 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.43 4.41 5.83 5.82 2007 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 1.61 4.33 5.92 5.70 2007 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.49 4.03 8.56 8.19 1704 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.62 4.12 8.57 8.17 1704 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.84 4.29 8.67 8.20 1704 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.90 4.33 8.67 8.17 1704 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 am PST) 12-km verification statistics for SA stations >= 3 knots Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 1.14 48.04 66.62 66.63 1760 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 2.62 48.67 66.69 66.66 1760 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 6.52 49.65 68.00 67.71 1760 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 9.40 49.61 68.26 67.62 1760 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m -0.41 3.09 4.48 4.47 1779 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m -0.44 3.11 4.52 4.50 1779 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.03 3.20 4.57 4.57 1779 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.16 3.39 4.76 4.76 1779 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 2.17 5.36 7.25 6.92 1760 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.69 5.57 7.36 7.33 1760 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -1.88 6.18 8.27 8.05 1760 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -1.84 6.25 8.38 8.17 1760 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.35 4.85 6.66 6.66 1759 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 1.42 5.13 6.99 6.84 1759 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m -1.05 5.44 7.37 7.30 1759 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.94 5.63 7.54 7.48 1759 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -2.03 3.67 8.88 8.64 1514 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -2.08 3.72 8.89 8.64 1514 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -2.26 3.84 8.94 8.65 1514 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -2.28 3.87 8.94 8.65 1514 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 12-km verification statistics for BUOYS >= 3 knots Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m -2.75 30.86 49.82 49.91 157 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m -0.48 30.78 50.16 50.32 157 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 4.04 30.42 50.56 50.56 157 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m -3.32 31.99 50.82 50.87 157 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m -0.44 3.14 3.99 3.98 157 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.04 3.16 4.03 4.04 157 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m -0.55 3.12 4.10 4.07 157 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m -0.56 3.12 4.10 4.07 157 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.84 1.58 2.43 2.29 157 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.85 1.62 2.46 2.31 157 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.98 1.72 2.54 2.35 157 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 1.11 1.78 2.57 2.32 157 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.04 1.33 1.59 1.65 14 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.25 1.41 1.80 1.85 14 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.20 1.51 1.82 1.87 14 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.21 1.65 2.12 2.19 14 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -0.52 0.84 1.16 1.04 157 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -0.45 0.81 1.16 1.08 157 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -0.48 0.83 1.17 1.07 157 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -0.57 0.86 1.21 1.08 157 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 am PST) 12-km verification statistics for BUOYS >= 3 knots Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 4.96 28.01 45.07 44.94 164 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 5.97 28.47 46.47 46.23 164 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 6.24 31.47 48.94 48.69 164 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 2.72 30.81 50.26 50.34 164 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.37 2.93 3.72 3.71 164 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.28 3.14 3.91 3.91 164 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.32 3.14 3.93 3.93 164 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.13 3.22 3.97 3.98 164 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.33 1.32 1.82 1.79 164 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.25 1.39 1.87 1.86 164 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.93 1.52 2.10 1.88 164 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.73 1.50 2.12 1.99 164 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.48 2.05 2.55 2.60 14 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.43 2.16 2.57 2.63 14 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m -1.34 2.51 3.19 3.00 14 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m -1.26 2.74 3.48 3.36 14 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -0.27 0.69 0.90 0.87 164 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -0.35 0.72 0.94 0.88 164 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -0.42 0.75 0.99 0.90 164 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -0.52 0.81 1.06 0.93 164 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 12-km verification statistics for ALL stations >= 3 knots Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 4.90 55.40 74.04 73.89 6501 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 5.07 55.72 74.61 74.44 6501 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 5.08 56.36 75.07 74.91 6501 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 7.44 56.94 75.87 75.51 6501 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m -0.11 2.82 4.08 4.08 6579 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m -0.06 2.87 4.13 4.13 6579 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.05 2.93 4.19 4.19 6579 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.33 3.31 4.64 4.63 6579 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.02 4.48 5.96 5.96 6383 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.53 4.50 5.98 5.96 6383 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -1.10 4.99 6.56 6.47 6383 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -1.62 5.16 6.96 6.77 6383 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.15 4.46 6.21 6.21 5923 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 1.37 4.39 6.23 6.07 5923 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 1.56 4.56 6.39 6.20 5923 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.39 4.67 6.49 6.48 5923 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.28 3.63 7.95 7.62 1991 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.41 3.73 7.97 7.60 1991 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.60 3.87 8.06 7.63 1991 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.67 3.93 8.07 7.61 1991 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 pm PST) 12-km verification statistics for ALL stations >= 3 knots Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 3.16 53.17 70.91 70.84 6091 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 2.98 53.16 71.10 71.04 6091 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 5.54 54.25 72.14 71.93 6091 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 7.63 54.40 72.43 72.03 6091 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.96 3.57 4.96 4.87 6132 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.96 3.60 5.02 4.92 6132 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.19 3.67 5.06 4.92 6132 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.23 3.87 5.40 5.25 6132 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.05 5.46 7.40 7.40 5854 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -1.06 5.65 7.46 7.38 5854 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -2.86 6.20 8.18 7.66 5854 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -3.06 6.26 8.21 7.62 5854 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.26 5.02 6.90 6.90 5416 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.91 5.15 7.05 6.99 5416 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.65 5.22 7.08 7.05 5416 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.80 5.36 7.23 7.18 5416 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -1.80 3.23 8.16 7.96 1798 wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -1.85 3.28 8.17 7.96 1798 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -2.02 3.38 8.22 7.97 1798 wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -2.04 3.43 8.22 7.97 1798 wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 4-km verification statistics for SA stations >= 3 knots Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 4.90 49.58 69.29 69.14 1709 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 4.96 50.21 70.24 70.09 1709 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 9.84 51.12 70.61 69.94 1709 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m -0.85 2.81 3.92 3.83 1742 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m -0.89 2.84 3.98 3.88 1742 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m -0.41 3.11 4.27 4.25 1742 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.75 3.70 4.97 4.92 1713 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 1.03 3.75 5.07 4.97 1713 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.33 3.90 5.41 5.40 1713 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 1.11 3.36 4.64 4.50 1709 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.06 3.53 4.75 4.75 1709 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.29 3.63 4.89 4.89 1709 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.07 3.06 5.96 5.59 1448 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.41 3.33 6.11 5.62 1448 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.46 3.36 6.11 5.60 1448 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 am PST) 4-km verification statistics for SA stations >= 3 knots Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 3.78 48.11 67.28 67.19 1554 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 3.69 49.77 69.10 69.02 1554 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 11.81 50.37 69.16 68.16 1554 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m -0.83 3.17 4.47 4.39 1572 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m -0.90 3.25 4.54 4.45 1572 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m -0.23 3.46 4.71 4.70 1572 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 1.67 4.06 5.63 5.38 1547 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -1.08 4.61 6.20 6.11 1547 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.83 4.61 6.32 6.27 1547 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.65 3.98 5.37 5.33 1545 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.69 4.00 5.54 5.49 1545 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.92 4.17 5.69 5.61 1545 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -2.02 2.46 3.90 3.33 1291 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -2.09 2.54 3.96 3.37 1291 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -2.29 2.68 4.05 3.35 1291 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 4-km verification statistics for BUOYS >= 3 knots Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 9.13 32.73 54.45 53.96 97 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 8.13 34.98 58.42 58.15 97 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 3.34 37.69 61.18 61.41 97 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m -0.22 2.90 3.64 3.65 97 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.23 3.06 3.82 3.83 97 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m -0.21 3.16 4.19 4.20 97 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 1.63 1.98 2.63 2.08 97 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 1.66 2.00 2.63 2.04 97 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 1.70 2.04 2.67 2.07 97 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.29 1.59 2.11 2.15 20 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.33 1.58 2.21 2.24 20 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.55 1.85 2.44 2.44 20 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -0.96 1.01 1.32 0.90 97 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -0.94 1.00 1.34 0.96 97 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -1.01 1.05 1.41 0.99 97 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 am PST) 4-km verification statistics for BUOYS >= 3 knots Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m -3.55 28.86 43.37 43.43 106 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 1.82 31.64 48.09 48.29 106 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 3.02 32.47 50.54 50.69 106 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.59 2.77 3.56 3.53 106 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.97 2.90 3.71 3.60 106 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.03 2.99 4.00 3.88 106 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.72 1.40 1.87 1.73 106 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.64 1.44 1.92 1.82 106 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 1.33 1.69 2.27 1.84 106 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.54 1.90 2.24 2.23 21 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.32 1.99 2.33 2.37 21 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.55 2.13 2.55 2.55 21 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -0.74 0.87 1.11 0.83 106 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -0.90 0.97 1.22 0.82 106 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -1.05 1.09 1.32 0.81 106 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 4-km verification statistics for ALL stations >= 3 knots Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 2.69 51.71 70.61 70.56 6481 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 2.80 52.20 70.94 70.89 6481 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 4.12 52.38 71.26 71.14 6481 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.15 2.93 4.14 4.14 6568 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.12 2.98 4.19 4.19 6568 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.55 3.46 4.78 4.75 6568 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.14 3.82 5.09 5.09 6305 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.35 3.81 5.09 5.08 6305 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -1.04 4.29 5.94 5.84 6305 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.77 3.69 5.33 5.28 5779 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.22 3.73 5.34 5.34 5779 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.32 3.80 5.43 5.43 5779 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -1.95 2.80 5.52 5.16 1726 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.26 3.05 5.66 5.19 1726 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.32 3.09 5.67 5.18 1726 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 pm PST) 4-km verification statistics for ALL stations >= 3 knots Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 0.66 50.89 69.01 69.01 6027 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 5.84 51.33 69.30 69.06 6027 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 1.58 51.10 69.36 69.35 6027 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.47 3.37 4.73 4.71 6075 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.53 3.43 4.84 4.81 6075 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.92 3.86 5.36 5.28 6075 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.31 4.34 6.05 6.04 5791 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -1.29 4.65 6.25 6.12 5791 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -1.71 4.68 6.26 6.02 5791 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.86 4.21 5.78 5.71 5322 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m -1.06 4.35 5.98 5.89 5322 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.21 4.36 6.00 5.99 5322 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -1.83 2.22 3.59 3.09 1562 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -1.91 2.31 3.67 3.14 1562 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -2.10 2.43 3.75 3.11 1562 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

Statistics January 2015 for wind speeds >= 3 knots

 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 12-km verification statistics for SA stations >= 3 knots
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m          5.65 50.20 68.87 68.66    1994  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m          7.13 51.30 70.20 69.85    1994  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m          8.83 51.64 71.00 70.46    1994  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m         13.38 53.48 72.75 71.53    1994  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

wsp10m         -0.92  2.71  4.03  3.92    2031  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m         -0.89  2.74  4.06  3.96    2031  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m         -0.65  2.82  4.12  4.07    2031  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m         -0.39  3.11  4.40  4.38    2031  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

t2m             0.62  4.40  5.82  5.79    2009  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m             0.92  4.46  5.94  5.87    2009  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.02  4.88  6.34  6.34    2009  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m             0.11  4.84  6.46  6.46    2009  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

dew2m           0.23  4.19  5.57  5.57    2007  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           1.40  4.22  5.82  5.65    2007  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.43  4.41  5.83  5.82    2007  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           1.61  4.33  5.92  5.70    2007  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

slp            -2.49  4.03  8.56  8.19    1704  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.62  4.12  8.57  8.17    1704  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.84  4.29  8.67  8.20    1704  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.90  4.33  8.67  8.17    1704  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2





 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 am PST) 12-km verification statistics for SA stations >= 3 knots
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m          1.14 48.04 66.62 66.63    1760  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m          2.62 48.67 66.69 66.66    1760  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m          6.52 49.65 68.00 67.71    1760  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m          9.40 49.61 68.26 67.62    1760  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

wsp10m         -0.41  3.09  4.48  4.47    1779  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m         -0.44  3.11  4.52  4.50    1779  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.03  3.20  4.57  4.57    1779  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.16  3.39  4.76  4.76    1779  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

t2m             2.17  5.36  7.25  6.92    1760  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m             0.69  5.57  7.36  7.33    1760  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m            -1.88  6.18  8.27  8.05    1760  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m            -1.84  6.25  8.38  8.17    1760  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

dew2m           0.35  4.85  6.66  6.66    1759  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m           1.42  5.13  6.99  6.84    1759  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -1.05  5.44  7.37  7.30    1759  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -0.94  5.63  7.54  7.48    1759  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

slp            -2.03  3.67  8.88  8.64    1514  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.08  3.72  8.89  8.64    1514  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.26  3.84  8.94  8.65    1514  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.28  3.87  8.94  8.65    1514  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2





 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 12-km verification statistics for BUOYS >= 3 knots
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m         -2.75 30.86 49.82 49.91     157  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m         -0.48 30.78 50.16 50.32     157  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m          4.04 30.42 50.56 50.56     157  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m         -3.32 31.99 50.82 50.87     157  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

wsp10m         -0.44  3.14  3.99  3.98     157  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.04  3.16  4.03  4.04     157  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m         -0.55  3.12  4.10  4.07     157  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m         -0.56  3.12  4.10  4.07     157  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

t2m             0.84  1.58  2.43  2.29     157  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m             0.85  1.62  2.46  2.31     157  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m             0.98  1.72  2.54  2.35     157  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m             1.11  1.78  2.57  2.32     157  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

dew2m           0.04  1.33  1.59  1.65      14  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -0.25  1.41  1.80  1.85      14  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -0.20  1.51  1.82  1.87      14  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -0.21  1.65  2.12  2.19      14  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

slp            -0.52  0.84  1.16  1.04     157  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -0.45  0.81  1.16  1.08     157  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -0.48  0.83  1.17  1.07     157  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -0.57  0.86  1.21  1.08     157  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2





 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 am PST) 12-km verification statistics for BUOYS >= 3 knots
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m          4.96 28.01 45.07 44.94     164  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m          5.97 28.47 46.47 46.23     164  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m          6.24 31.47 48.94 48.69     164  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m          2.72 30.81 50.26 50.34     164  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

wsp10m          0.37  2.93  3.72  3.71     164  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.28  3.14  3.91  3.91     164  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.32  3.14  3.93  3.93     164  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.13  3.22  3.97  3.98     164  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

t2m             0.33  1.32  1.82  1.79     164  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m             0.25  1.39  1.87  1.86     164  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m             0.93  1.52  2.10  1.88     164  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m             0.73  1.50  2.12  1.99     164  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

dew2m          -0.48  2.05  2.55  2.60      14  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -0.43  2.16  2.57  2.63      14  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -1.34  2.51  3.19  3.00      14  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -1.26  2.74  3.48  3.36      14  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

slp            -0.27  0.69  0.90  0.87     164  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -0.35  0.72  0.94  0.88     164  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -0.42  0.75  0.99  0.90     164  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -0.52  0.81  1.06  0.93     164  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2





 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 12-km verification statistics for ALL stations >= 3 knots
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m          4.90 55.40 74.04 73.89    6501  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m          5.07 55.72 74.61 74.44    6501  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m          5.08 56.36 75.07 74.91    6501  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m          7.44 56.94 75.87 75.51    6501  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

wsp10m         -0.11  2.82  4.08  4.08    6579  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m         -0.06  2.87  4.13  4.13    6579  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.05  2.93  4.19  4.19    6579  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.33  3.31  4.64  4.63    6579  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

t2m            -0.02  4.48  5.96  5.96    6383  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.53  4.50  5.98  5.96    6383  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m            -1.10  4.99  6.56  6.47    6383  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m            -1.62  5.16  6.96  6.77    6383  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

dew2m           0.15  4.46  6.21  6.21    5923  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           1.37  4.39  6.23  6.07    5923  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           1.56  4.56  6.39  6.20    5923  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.39  4.67  6.49  6.48    5923  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

slp            -2.28  3.63  7.95  7.62    1991  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.41  3.73  7.97  7.60    1991  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.60  3.87  8.06  7.63    1991  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.67  3.93  8.07  7.61    1991  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2





 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 pm PST) 12-km verification statistics for ALL stations >= 3 knots
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m          3.16 53.17 70.91 70.84    6091  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m          2.98 53.16 71.10 71.04    6091  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m          5.54 54.25 72.14 71.93    6091  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m          7.63 54.40 72.43 72.03    6091  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

wsp10m          0.96  3.57  4.96  4.87    6132  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.96  3.60  5.02  4.92    6132  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          1.19  3.67  5.06  4.92    6132  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          1.23  3.87  5.40  5.25    6132  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

t2m             0.05  5.46  7.40  7.40    5854  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m            -1.06  5.65  7.46  7.38    5854  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m            -2.86  6.20  8.18  7.66    5854  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m            -3.06  6.26  8.21  7.62    5854  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

dew2m          -0.26  5.02  6.90  6.90    5416  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -0.91  5.15  7.05  6.99    5416  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.65  5.22  7.08  7.05    5416  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -0.80  5.36  7.23  7.18    5416  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

slp            -1.80  3.23  8.16  7.96    1798  wrfv361cu4noahmpd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -1.85  3.28  8.17  7.96    1798  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.02  3.38  8.22  7.97    1798  wrfgfsd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.04  3.43  8.22  7.97    1798  wrfv361cu4noahrapd2.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2




 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 4-km verification statistics for SA stations >= 3 knots
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m          4.90 49.58 69.29 69.14    1709  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m          4.96 50.21 70.24 70.09    1709  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m          9.84 51.12 70.61 69.94    1709  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

wsp10m         -0.85  2.81  3.92  3.83    1742  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m         -0.89  2.84  3.98  3.88    1742  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m         -0.41  3.11  4.27  4.25    1742  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

t2m             0.75  3.70  4.97  4.92    1713  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m             1.03  3.75  5.07  4.97    1713  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m             0.33  3.90  5.41  5.40    1713  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

dew2m           1.11  3.36  4.64  4.50    1709  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -0.06  3.53  4.75  4.75    1709  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -0.29  3.63  4.89  4.89    1709  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

slp            -2.07  3.06  5.96  5.59    1448  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.41  3.33  6.11  5.62    1448  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.46  3.36  6.11  5.60    1448  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2





 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 am PST) 4-km verification statistics for SA stations >= 3 knots
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m          3.78 48.11 67.28 67.19    1554  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m          3.69 49.77 69.10 69.02    1554  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m         11.81 50.37 69.16 68.16    1554  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

wsp10m         -0.83  3.17  4.47  4.39    1572  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m         -0.90  3.25  4.54  4.45    1572  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m         -0.23  3.46  4.71  4.70    1572  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

t2m             1.67  4.06  5.63  5.38    1547  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m            -1.08  4.61  6.20  6.11    1547  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.83  4.61  6.32  6.27    1547  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

dew2m          -0.65  3.98  5.37  5.33    1545  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.69  4.00  5.54  5.49    1545  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -0.92  4.17  5.69  5.61    1545  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

slp            -2.02  2.46  3.90  3.33    1291  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.09  2.54  3.96  3.37    1291  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.29  2.68  4.05  3.35    1291  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2





 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 4-km verification statistics for BUOYS >= 3 knots
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m          9.13 32.73 54.45 53.96      97  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m          8.13 34.98 58.42 58.15      97  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m          3.34 37.69 61.18 61.41      97  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

wsp10m         -0.22  2.90  3.64  3.65      97  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.23  3.06  3.82  3.83      97  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m         -0.21  3.16  4.19  4.20      97  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

t2m             1.63  1.98  2.63  2.08      97  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m             1.66  2.00  2.63  2.04      97  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m             1.70  2.04  2.67  2.07      97  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

dew2m           0.29  1.59  2.11  2.15      20  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.33  1.58  2.21  2.24      20  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.55  1.85  2.44  2.44      20  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

slp            -0.96  1.01  1.32  0.90      97  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -0.94  1.00  1.34  0.96      97  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -1.01  1.05  1.41  0.99      97  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2





 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 am PST) 4-km verification statistics for BUOYS >= 3 knots
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m         -3.55 28.86 43.37 43.43     106  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m          1.82 31.64 48.09 48.29     106  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m          3.02 32.47 50.54 50.69     106  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

wsp10m          0.59  2.77  3.56  3.53     106  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.97  2.90  3.71  3.60     106  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          1.03  2.99  4.00  3.88     106  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

t2m             0.72  1.40  1.87  1.73     106  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m             0.64  1.44  1.92  1.82     106  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m             1.33  1.69  2.27  1.84     106  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

dew2m           0.54  1.90  2.24  2.23      21  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -0.32  1.99  2.33  2.37      21  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -0.55  2.13  2.55  2.55      21  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

slp            -0.74  0.87  1.11  0.83     106  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -0.90  0.97  1.22  0.82     106  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -1.05  1.09  1.32  0.81     106  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2





 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 4-km verification statistics for ALL stations >= 3 knots
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m          2.69 51.71 70.61 70.56    6481  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m          2.80 52.20 70.94 70.89    6481  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m          4.12 52.38 71.26 71.14    6481  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

wsp10m          0.15  2.93  4.14  4.14    6568  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.12  2.98  4.19  4.19    6568  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.55  3.46  4.78  4.75    6568  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

t2m            -0.14  3.82  5.09  5.09    6305  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m             0.35  3.81  5.09  5.08    6305  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m            -1.04  4.29  5.94  5.84    6305  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

dew2m           0.77  3.69  5.33  5.28    5779  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -0.22  3.73  5.34  5.34    5779  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -0.32  3.80  5.43  5.43    5779  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

slp            -1.95  2.80  5.52  5.16    1726  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.26  3.05  5.66  5.19    1726  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.32  3.09  5.67  5.18    1726  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2





 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 pm PST) 4-km verification statistics for ALL stations >= 3 knots
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m          0.66 50.89 69.01 69.01    6027  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m          5.84 51.33 69.30 69.06    6027  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m          1.58 51.10 69.36 69.35    6027  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

wsp10m          0.47  3.37  4.73  4.71    6075  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.53  3.43  4.84  4.81    6075  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.92  3.86  5.36  5.28    6075  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

t2m             0.31  4.34  6.05  6.04    5791  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m            -1.29  4.65  6.25  6.12    5791  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m            -1.71  4.68  6.26  6.02    5791  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

dew2m          -0.86  4.21  5.78  5.71    5322  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -1.06  4.35  5.98  5.89    5322  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.21  4.36  6.00  5.99    5322  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

slp            -1.83  2.22  3.59  3.09    1562  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -1.91  2.31  3.67  3.14    1562  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.10  2.43  3.75  3.11    1562  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

Statistics January 2015 for all wind speeds
24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 4-km verification statistics for SA stations Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 3.46 62.54 82.12 82.06 2578 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 3.46 62.63 82.38 82.32 2578 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 9.39 63.67 83.13 82.61 2578 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.61 3.05 4.07 4.02 2630 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.58 3.06 4.10 4.06 2630 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.74 3.11 4.29 4.23 2630 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 1.62 4.04 5.59 5.35 2614 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.60 4.17 5.75 5.72 2614 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 1.92 4.13 5.76 5.43 2614 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.15 3.64 4.90 4.90 2607 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 1.18 3.55 4.92 4.78 2607 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.01 3.70 4.96 4.97 2607 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.27 3.23 6.32 5.90 2176 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.64 3.55 6.51 5.95 2176 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.69 3.58 6.52 5.94 2176 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 am PST) 4-km verification statistics for SA stations Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 7.55 61.59 81.10 80.77 2456 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 13.33 63.04 81.68 80.60 2456 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 6.09 62.55 81.76 81.55 2456 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.75 3.28 4.40 4.34 2490 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.69 3.32 4.40 4.35 2490 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.00 3.37 4.59 4.47 2490 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 2.23 4.47 6.15 5.74 2472 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.13 4.71 6.39 6.39 2472 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.11 4.65 6.42 6.42 2472 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.24 4.05 5.49 5.48 2468 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.52 4.28 5.83 5.81 2468 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.88 4.33 6.01 5.95 2468 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -1.97 2.66 4.95 4.54 2041 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -2.05 2.75 5.00 4.57 2041 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -2.26 2.90 5.06 4.54 2041 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 4-km verification statistics for BUOYS Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 10.58 40.94 63.56 62.96 112 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 9.47 42.16 65.64 65.25 112 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 7.60 43.17 66.35 66.21 112 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.47 3.20 4.23 4.23 112 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.88 3.34 4.36 4.29 112 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.48 3.42 4.61 4.61 112 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 1.66 1.97 2.60 2.01 140 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 1.60 2.01 2.65 2.12 140 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 1.65 2.06 2.66 2.09 140 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.36 1.60 2.10 2.12 21 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.35 1.54 2.16 2.18 21 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.68 1.92 2.49 2.46 21 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -0.90 0.94 1.25 0.87 140 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -0.88 0.93 1.27 0.93 140 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -0.94 0.98 1.33 0.94 140 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 am PST) 4-km verification statistics for BUOYS Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m -0.93 29.74 44.23 44.42 112 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 5.36 33.59 50.20 50.14 112 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 3.20 33.52 51.61 51.74 112 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.93 3.00 3.97 3.88 112 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.21 3.03 4.10 3.94 112 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.28 3.14 4.34 4.17 112 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.80 1.51 1.95 1.79 140 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.94 1.52 2.00 1.77 140 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 1.47 1.80 2.37 1.86 140 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.54 1.85 2.19 2.17 22 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.28 1.93 2.28 2.32 22 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.43 2.13 2.53 2.56 22 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -0.59 0.79 1.04 0.86 140 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -0.76 0.87 1.14 0.85 140 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -0.90 0.98 1.24 0.86 140 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 4-km verification statistics for ALL stations Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 1.40 67.78 85.84 85.83 12457 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 1.37 68.19 86.09 86.08 12457 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 4.67 68.47 86.52 86.40 12457 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.61 3.10 4.15 3.83 12596 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.59 3.12 4.17 3.86 12596 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.63 3.26 4.57 4.27 12596 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.13 4.32 5.82 5.82 17110 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.62 4.33 5.88 5.85 17110 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -2.21 5.37 7.30 6.96 17110 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.26 4.06 6.10 6.10 11657 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.17 4.06 6.14 6.13 11657 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.69 4.07 6.16 6.12 11657 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.14 2.97 5.88 5.48 2562 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.47 3.25 6.06 5.54 2562 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.53 3.29 6.07 5.52 2562 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 pm PST) 4-km verification statistics for ALL stations Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 4.39 66.68 84.55 84.44 12294 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 6.83 67.23 84.88 84.61 12294 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 5.87 67.15 85.01 84.81 12294 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 2.02 3.47 4.64 4.18 12412 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 2.07 3.52 4.70 4.22 12412 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 2.09 3.61 5.04 4.59 12412 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.66 5.18 6.98 6.95 17282 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -1.19 5.22 6.99 6.88 17282 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.14 5.22 7.15 7.15 17282 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.28 4.54 6.60 6.60 11445 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.56 4.68 6.73 6.71 11445 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.54 4.81 6.95 6.93 11445 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -1.80 2.41 4.58 4.21 2428 wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -1.89 2.51 4.64 4.24 2428 wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -2.08 2.64 4.69 4.21 2428 wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

Statistics January 2015 for all wind speeds

 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 4-km verification statistics for SA stations
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m          3.46 62.54 82.12 82.06    2578  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m          3.46 62.63 82.38 82.32    2578  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m          9.39 63.67 83.13 82.61    2578  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

wsp10m          0.61  3.05  4.07  4.02    2630  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.58  3.06  4.10  4.06    2630  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.74  3.11  4.29  4.23    2630  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

t2m             1.62  4.04  5.59  5.35    2614  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m             0.60  4.17  5.75  5.72    2614  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m             1.92  4.13  5.76  5.43    2614  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

dew2m           0.15  3.64  4.90  4.90    2607  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           1.18  3.55  4.92  4.78    2607  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -0.01  3.70  4.96  4.97    2607  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

slp            -2.27  3.23  6.32  5.90    2176  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.64  3.55  6.51  5.95    2176  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.69  3.58  6.52  5.94    2176  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2





 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 am PST) 4-km verification statistics for SA stations
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m          7.55 61.59 81.10 80.77    2456  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m         13.33 63.04 81.68 80.60    2456  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m          6.09 62.55 81.76 81.55    2456  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

wsp10m          0.75  3.28  4.40  4.34    2490  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.69  3.32  4.40  4.35    2490  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          1.00  3.37  4.59  4.47    2490  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

t2m             2.23  4.47  6.15  5.74    2472  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.13  4.71  6.39  6.39    2472  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m             0.11  4.65  6.42  6.42    2472  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

dew2m          -0.24  4.05  5.49  5.48    2468  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -0.52  4.28  5.83  5.81    2468  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.88  4.33  6.01  5.95    2468  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

slp            -1.97  2.66  4.95  4.54    2041  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.05  2.75  5.00  4.57    2041  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.26  2.90  5.06  4.54    2041  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2





 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 4-km verification statistics for BUOYS
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m         10.58 40.94 63.56 62.96     112  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m          9.47 42.16 65.64 65.25     112  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m          7.60 43.17 66.35 66.21     112  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

wsp10m          0.47  3.20  4.23  4.23     112  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.88  3.34  4.36  4.29     112  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.48  3.42  4.61  4.61     112  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

t2m             1.66  1.97  2.60  2.01     140  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m             1.60  2.01  2.65  2.12     140  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m             1.65  2.06  2.66  2.09     140  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

dew2m           0.36  1.60  2.10  2.12      21  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.35  1.54  2.16  2.18      21  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.68  1.92  2.49  2.46      21  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

slp            -0.90  0.94  1.25  0.87     140  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -0.88  0.93  1.27  0.93     140  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -0.94  0.98  1.33  0.94     140  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2





 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 am PST) 4-km verification statistics for BUOYS
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m         -0.93 29.74 44.23 44.42     112  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m          5.36 33.59 50.20 50.14     112  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m          3.20 33.52 51.61 51.74     112  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

wsp10m          0.93  3.00  3.97  3.88     112  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          1.21  3.03  4.10  3.94     112  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          1.28  3.14  4.34  4.17     112  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

t2m             0.80  1.51  1.95  1.79     140  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m             0.94  1.52  2.00  1.77     140  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m             1.47  1.80  2.37  1.86     140  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

dew2m           0.54  1.85  2.19  2.17      22  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -0.28  1.93  2.28  2.32      22  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -0.43  2.13  2.53  2.56      22  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

slp            -0.59  0.79  1.04  0.86     140  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -0.76  0.87  1.14  0.85     140  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -0.90  0.98  1.24  0.86     140  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2





 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 4-km verification statistics for ALL stations
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m          1.40 67.78 85.84 85.83   12457  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m          1.37 68.19 86.09 86.08   12457  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m          4.67 68.47 86.52 86.40   12457  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

wsp10m          1.61  3.10  4.15  3.83   12596  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          1.59  3.12  4.17  3.86   12596  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          1.63  3.26  4.57  4.27   12596  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

t2m             0.13  4.32  5.82  5.82   17110  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m             0.62  4.33  5.88  5.85   17110  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m            -2.21  5.37  7.30  6.96   17110  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

dew2m          -0.26  4.06  6.10  6.10   11657  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -0.17  4.06  6.14  6.13   11657  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.69  4.07  6.16  6.12   11657  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2

slp            -2.14  2.97  5.88  5.48    2562  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.47  3.25  6.06  5.54    2562  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.53  3.29  6.07  5.52    2562  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.24.diffs.stats2





 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 pm PST) 4-km verification statistics for ALL stations
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m          4.39 66.68 84.55 84.44   12294  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m          6.83 67.23 84.88 84.61   12294  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m          5.87 67.15 85.01 84.81   12294  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

wsp10m          2.02  3.47  4.64  4.18   12412  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          2.07  3.52  4.70  4.22   12412  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          2.09  3.61  5.04  4.59   12412  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

t2m            -0.66  5.18  6.98  6.95   17282  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m            -1.19  5.22  6.99  6.88   17282  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.14  5.22  7.15  7.15   17282  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

dew2m          -0.28  4.54  6.60  6.60   11445  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -0.56  4.68  6.73  6.71   11445  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.54  4.81  6.95  6.93   11445  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

slp            -1.80  2.41  4.58  4.21    2428  wrfv361cu4noahmpd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -1.89  2.51  4.64  4.24    2428  wrfv361cu4noahmprapd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.08  2.64  4.69  4.21    2428  wrfgfsd3.Jan2015.00.12.diffs.stats2

case	description
wrfnam	Our standard setup of WRF but initialized with NAM instead of GFS
wrfnamkf	Like the wrfnam except using Kain Fritsch cumulus instead of the SAS scheme
wrfnam5	WRF model initialized with NAM and using similar physics options to our old MM5 configuration: KF cumulus, simple ice, Dudhia radiation, no FDDA
wrfnam5z48diff0	same as wrfnam5 except with 48 vertical levels and no diffusion
wrfrapgfs	First attempt at using GFS + RAP130B grids, compare domains for initialization
wrfrapgfs2	Second attempt at using GFS + RAP130B grids + OTIS + NSIDC grids, <>compare WRF and RAP domains for initialization

Description of WRF namelist options.

4/3-km Simulations of WRF for 2014 and 2015 Cases

The Problems

Working on Solutions

Table 1. Standard Plots

Table 2. Geographic, Mean Statistics, and New Frequency Distribution Plots