WRF v371 and v381 Comparison

The loops in this table illustrate the attempts and how they impact the simulations.

Table 2. Geographic, Mean Statistics, and New Frequency Distribution Plots
Period	Field	Statistic	Hour	Station Group	Cases (control click to select multiple)
Choose a Period: Jan 1-Feb 8 2010	Choose a field: 2-m Temp 2-m Dewpoint Temp 10-m Wind Direction 10-m Wind Speed SLP	Statistics: Mean or Bias Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Std Dev of Error Scatter Plots Scatterplot ME Scatterplot MAE Scatterplot RMS Scatterplot Std Dev David's Frequency Distribution Plots Frequency Distribution	Hour: Init 0, FHr 24 Init 0, FHr 12	All sites All sites, speeds >= 3 knots All sites, speeds <= 3 knots All sites, speeds >= 20 knots SA sites SA sites, speeds >= 3 knots Buoys Buoys, speeds >= 3 knots - Below, compare 2m/10m to lowest sigma - All sites 2m/10m vs lowest All sites, speeds >= 3 knots 2m/10m vs lowest All sites, speeds <= 3 knots 2m/10m vs lowest All sites, speeds >= 20 knots 2m/10m vs lowest SA sites 2m/10m vs lowest SA sites, speeds >= 3 knots 2m/10m vs lowest Buoys 2m/10m vs lowest Buoys, speeds >= 3 knots 2m/10m vs lowest	Plot type: Geographic Loop Bar Chart Bar Chart for all Station Groups Bar Chart for all Fields, both hours, and all Station Groups Bar Chart for all Fields, both hours, all Station Groups, and all Seasons Time series table at a site (does not work with the All Cases option) Time series plot at a site (use no more than 7 cases)

Statistics Jan-Feb 2010 for wind speeds >= 3 knots
24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 12-km verification statistics for SA stations >= 3 knots Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 6.23 47.28 65.95 65.66 5758 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 6.99 48.11 66.76 66.40 5758 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 13.13 51.78 70.07 68.83 5758 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 16.15 51.85 70.35 68.48 5758 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m -0.80 3.39 4.87 4.80 5867 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m -0.53 3.44 4.94 4.91 5867 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m -0.64 3.70 5.13 5.09 5867 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.14 3.94 5.38 5.25 5867 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.14 3.47 4.74 4.74 5723 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.33 3.49 4.79 4.77 5723 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.42 3.41 4.81 4.79 5723 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.64 3.79 5.31 5.28 5723 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.94 3.29 4.63 4.53 5609 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.42 3.38 4.76 4.74 5609 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.39 3.41 4.85 4.83 5609 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 3.68 4.33 5.89 4.60 5609 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp 1.09 2.00 2.93 2.72 4597 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -1.70 2.25 3.33 2.86 4597 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -1.93 2.43 3.54 2.96 4597 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.25 2.62 3.63 2.85 4597 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 am PST) 12-km verification statistics for SA stations >= 3 knots Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 8.24 45.35 62.76 62.23 5030 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 10.07 46.18 63.58 62.78 5030 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 17.16 50.48 68.01 65.82 5030 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 20.11 51.26 68.75 65.75 5030 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m -0.15 3.41 4.80 4.80 5137 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m -0.05 3.46 4.87 4.87 5137 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.27 3.67 5.00 4.99 5137 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.58 4.13 5.50 5.27 5137 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.78 3.89 5.48 5.43 4999 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.95 4.01 5.55 5.47 4999 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.91 4.03 5.58 5.51 4999 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 2.76 4.35 6.14 5.49 4999 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.82 3.67 5.31 5.25 4879 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.80 3.68 5.32 5.26 4879 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 2.86 4.14 5.91 5.17 4879 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 2.38 4.19 6.06 5.57 4879 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -1.95 2.27 3.11 2.43 4012 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -2.11 2.36 3.18 2.38 4012 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -2.32 2.55 3.30 2.34 4012 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp 2.68 2.93 3.56 2.34 4012 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 12-km verification statistics for BUOYS >= 3 knots Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 6.00 23.77 37.08 36.63 464 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 9.42 26.27 40.77 39.71 464 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 11.16 26.86 41.25 39.76 464 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 12.61 30.10 45.01 43.26 464 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.10 3.76 4.98 4.86 502 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.41 3.99 5.27 5.08 502 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.37 4.07 5.37 5.36 502 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 2.56 4.51 5.94 5.36 502 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.27 1.00 1.33 1.30 465 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.14 1.07 1.36 1.35 465 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.06 1.06 1.41 1.41 465 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.21 1.11 1.47 1.46 465 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.23 1.15 1.44 1.44 38 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.23 1.16 1.61 1.62 38 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.29 1.27 1.72 1.72 38 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.11 1.45 1.87 1.89 38 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -0.04 1.14 1.55 1.56 500 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -0.16 1.16 1.57 1.56 500 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -0.61 1.37 1.87 1.77 500 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp 1.52 1.90 2.44 1.92 500 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 am PST) 12-km verification statistics for BUOYS >= 3 knots Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 6.00 22.79 35.50 35.03 458 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 7.31 23.22 36.07 35.36 458 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 9.87 23.89 36.93 35.63 458 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 12.17 26.57 39.46 37.58 458 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.39 3.35 4.20 3.97 495 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.68 3.46 4.37 4.04 495 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.60 3.49 4.52 4.48 495 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 2.30 4.04 5.17 4.64 495 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.31 0.93 1.24 1.20 486 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.23 1.01 1.32 1.30 486 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.23 1.02 1.34 1.33 486 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.57 1.08 1.49 1.37 486 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.08 0.85 1.13 1.15 37 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.20 1.28 1.59 1.60 37 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.24 1.26 1.59 1.60 37 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.31 1.28 1.66 1.65 37 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -0.30 0.92 1.15 1.11 493 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -0.26 0.91 1.15 1.12 493 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -0.82 1.25 1.57 1.34 493 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp 1.58 1.81 2.12 1.42 493 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 12-km verification statistics for ALL stations >= 3 knots Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 7.05 49.37 67.92 67.56 23964 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 7.52 49.75 68.28 67.87 23964 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 13.29 52.27 70.68 69.42 23964 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 11.36 52.88 71.03 70.12 23964 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.39 3.37 4.72 4.70 24246 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.70 3.47 4.82 4.77 24246 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.75 3.74 5.11 5.06 24246 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 2.68 4.57 6.09 5.47 24246 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.44 3.29 4.89 4.87 23328 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.67 3.44 5.06 5.02 23328 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.89 3.45 5.09 5.01 23328 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -1.35 3.97 5.91 5.76 23328 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.20 3.46 4.93 4.93 20830 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.04 3.63 5.22 5.22 20830 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.10 3.63 5.27 5.26 20830 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 2.83 4.15 5.78 5.04 20830 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp 1.06 1.95 2.80 2.59 5856 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -1.50 2.07 3.08 2.69 5856 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -1.67 2.20 3.26 2.80 5856 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.03 2.43 3.39 2.72 5856 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 pm PST) 12-km verification statistics for ALL stations >= 3 knots Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 6.98 47.31 65.04 64.66 20481 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 7.48 47.60 65.31 64.88 20481 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 13.24 51.10 68.57 67.28 20481 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 16.39 51.61 69.14 67.17 20481 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.03 3.61 4.91 4.80 20743 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.16 3.67 4.97 4.84 20743 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.49 3.99 5.27 5.05 20743 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 3.05 4.82 6.27 5.48 20743 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.58 3.62 5.34 5.31 19723 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 1.36 3.73 5.57 5.41 19723 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -1.91 3.95 5.67 5.34 19723 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -2.00 3.99 5.71 5.35 19723 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.09 3.65 5.30 5.30 17326 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.10 3.65 5.30 5.30 17326 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 1.72 3.85 5.55 5.27 17326 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 1.11 3.88 5.62 5.51 17326 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -1.60 2.07 3.02 2.56 5210 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -1.76 2.16 3.08 2.53 5210 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -2.00 2.37 3.21 2.51 5210 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp 2.45 2.72 3.49 2.47 5210 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

Statistics Jan-Feb 2010 for wind speeds >= 3 knots

 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 12-km verification statistics for SA stations >= 3 knots
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m          6.23 47.28 65.95 65.66    5758  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m          6.99 48.11 66.76 66.40    5758  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m         13.13 51.78 70.07 68.83    5758  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m         16.15 51.85 70.35 68.48    5758  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2

wsp10m         -0.80  3.39  4.87  4.80    5867  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m         -0.53  3.44  4.94  4.91    5867  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m         -0.64  3.70  5.13  5.09    5867  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          1.14  3.94  5.38  5.25    5867  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2

t2m            -0.14  3.47  4.74  4.74    5723  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.33  3.49  4.79  4.77    5723  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m             0.42  3.41  4.81  4.79    5723  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.64  3.79  5.31  5.28    5723  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2

dew2m           0.94  3.29  4.63  4.53    5609  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.42  3.38  4.76  4.74    5609  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.39  3.41  4.85  4.83    5609  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           3.68  4.33  5.89  4.60    5609  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2

slp             1.09  2.00  2.93  2.72    4597  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -1.70  2.25  3.33  2.86    4597  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -1.93  2.43  3.54  2.96    4597  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.25  2.62  3.63  2.85    4597  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2





 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 am PST) 12-km verification statistics for SA stations >= 3 knots
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m          8.24 45.35 62.76 62.23    5030  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m         10.07 46.18 63.58 62.78    5030  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m         17.16 50.48 68.01 65.82    5030  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m         20.11 51.26 68.75 65.75    5030  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

wsp10m         -0.15  3.41  4.80  4.80    5137  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m         -0.05  3.46  4.87  4.87    5137  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.27  3.67  5.00  4.99    5137  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          1.58  4.13  5.50  5.27    5137  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

t2m             0.78  3.89  5.48  5.43    4999  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.95  4.01  5.55  5.47    4999  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.91  4.03  5.58  5.51    4999  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m             2.76  4.35  6.14  5.49    4999  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

dew2m           0.82  3.67  5.31  5.25    4879  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.80  3.68  5.32  5.26    4879  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m           2.86  4.14  5.91  5.17    4879  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m           2.38  4.19  6.06  5.57    4879  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

slp            -1.95  2.27  3.11  2.43    4012  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.11  2.36  3.18  2.38    4012  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.32  2.55  3.30  2.34    4012  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp             2.68  2.93  3.56  2.34    4012  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2





 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 12-km verification statistics for BUOYS >= 3 knots
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m          6.00 23.77 37.08 36.63     464  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m          9.42 26.27 40.77 39.71     464  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m         11.16 26.86 41.25 39.76     464  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m         12.61 30.10 45.01 43.26     464  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2

wsp10m          1.10  3.76  4.98  4.86     502  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          1.41  3.99  5.27  5.08     502  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.37  4.07  5.37  5.36     502  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          2.56  4.51  5.94  5.36     502  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2

t2m             0.27  1.00  1.33  1.30     465  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.14  1.07  1.36  1.35     465  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.06  1.06  1.41  1.41     465  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.21  1.11  1.47  1.46     465  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2

dew2m           0.23  1.15  1.44  1.44      38  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.23  1.16  1.61  1.62      38  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.29  1.27  1.72  1.72      38  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.11  1.45  1.87  1.89      38  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2

slp            -0.04  1.14  1.55  1.56     500  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -0.16  1.16  1.57  1.56     500  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -0.61  1.37  1.87  1.77     500  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp             1.52  1.90  2.44  1.92     500  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2





 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 am PST) 12-km verification statistics for BUOYS >= 3 knots
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m          6.00 22.79 35.50 35.03     458  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m          7.31 23.22 36.07 35.36     458  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m          9.87 23.89 36.93 35.63     458  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m         12.17 26.57 39.46 37.58     458  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

wsp10m          1.39  3.35  4.20  3.97     495  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          1.68  3.46  4.37  4.04     495  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.60  3.49  4.52  4.48     495  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          2.30  4.04  5.17  4.64     495  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

t2m             0.31  0.93  1.24  1.20     486  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.23  1.01  1.32  1.30     486  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.23  1.02  1.34  1.33     486  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m             0.57  1.08  1.49  1.37     486  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

dew2m           0.08  0.85  1.13  1.15      37  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.20  1.28  1.59  1.60      37  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.24  1.26  1.59  1.60      37  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.31  1.28  1.66  1.65      37  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

slp            -0.30  0.92  1.15  1.11     493  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -0.26  0.91  1.15  1.12     493  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -0.82  1.25  1.57  1.34     493  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp             1.58  1.81  2.12  1.42     493  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2





 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 12-km verification statistics for ALL stations >= 3 knots
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m          7.05 49.37 67.92 67.56   23964  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m          7.52 49.75 68.28 67.87   23964  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m         13.29 52.27 70.68 69.42   23964  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m         11.36 52.88 71.03 70.12   23964  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2

wsp10m          0.39  3.37  4.72  4.70   24246  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.70  3.47  4.82  4.77   24246  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.75  3.74  5.11  5.06   24246  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          2.68  4.57  6.09  5.47   24246  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2

t2m            -0.44  3.29  4.89  4.87   23328  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.67  3.44  5.06  5.02   23328  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.89  3.45  5.09  5.01   23328  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m            -1.35  3.97  5.91  5.76   23328  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2

dew2m           0.20  3.46  4.93  4.93   20830  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -0.04  3.63  5.22  5.22   20830  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -0.10  3.63  5.27  5.26   20830  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           2.83  4.15  5.78  5.04   20830  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2

slp             1.06  1.95  2.80  2.59    5856  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -1.50  2.07  3.08  2.69    5856  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -1.67  2.20  3.26  2.80    5856  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.03  2.43  3.39  2.72    5856  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2





 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 pm PST) 12-km verification statistics for ALL stations >= 3 knots
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m          6.98 47.31 65.04 64.66   20481  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m          7.48 47.60 65.31 64.88   20481  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m         13.24 51.10 68.57 67.28   20481  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m         16.39 51.61 69.14 67.17   20481  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

wsp10m          1.03  3.61  4.91  4.80   20743  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          1.16  3.67  4.97  4.84   20743  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          1.49  3.99  5.27  5.05   20743  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          3.05  4.82  6.27  5.48   20743  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

t2m            -0.58  3.62  5.34  5.31   19723  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m             1.36  3.73  5.57  5.41   19723  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m            -1.91  3.95  5.67  5.34   19723  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m            -2.00  3.99  5.71  5.35   19723  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

dew2m           0.09  3.65  5.30  5.30   17326  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.10  3.65  5.30  5.30   17326  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m           1.72  3.85  5.55  5.27   17326  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m           1.11  3.88  5.62  5.51   17326  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

slp            -1.60  2.07  3.02  2.56    5210  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -1.76  2.16  3.08  2.53    5210  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.00  2.37  3.21  2.51    5210  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp             2.45  2.72  3.49  2.47    5210  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

Statistics Jan-Feb 2010 for all wind speeds
24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 12-km verification statistics for SA stations Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 10.32 61.76 81.35 80.70 8111 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 11.95 62.83 82.29 81.42 8111 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 14.84 66.03 84.98 83.68 8111 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 16.16 66.61 85.80 84.27 8111 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.57 3.56 4.87 4.83 8227 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.82 3.66 4.99 4.93 8227 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.74 3.85 5.18 5.13 8227 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 2.25 4.27 5.71 5.25 8227 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.92 3.56 5.07 4.99 8210 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.53 3.67 5.08 5.05 8210 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.33 3.67 5.10 5.09 8210 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.42 4.06 5.68 5.66 8210 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 1.09 3.53 4.99 4.87 7974 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.58 3.55 5.01 4.98 7974 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.55 3.57 5.08 5.05 7974 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 3.90 4.57 6.23 4.87 7974 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp 0.83 1.94 2.77 2.64 6596 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.08 2.51 3.64 2.98 6596 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.34 2.72 3.88 3.10 6596 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.62 2.91 3.95 2.96 6596 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 am PST) 12-km verification statistics for SA stations Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 15.33 63.81 82.61 81.18 7697 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 16.73 64.43 83.19 81.49 7697 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 22.26 69.10 87.58 84.71 7697 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 21.22 69.82 88.35 85.77 7697 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.40 3.75 4.97 4.77 7811 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.50 3.82 5.05 4.83 7811 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.75 4.00 5.23 4.93 7811 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 2.82 4.51 5.86 5.14 7811 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.08 4.16 5.84 5.84 7802 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.00 4.17 5.87 5.87 7802 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 1.57 4.30 6.15 5.95 7802 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 3.43 4.88 6.87 5.96 7802 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 1.24 4.02 5.86 5.72 7540 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 1.24 4.03 5.86 5.73 7540 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 3.21 4.53 6.62 5.79 7540 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 2.77 4.64 6.74 6.15 7540 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp 2.47 2.75 3.35 2.26 6273 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -2.26 2.51 3.49 2.66 6273 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -2.44 2.63 3.58 2.62 6273 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -2.60 2.78 3.66 2.57 6273 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 12-km verification statistics for BUOYS Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 5.71 27.13 43.04 42.71 494 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 9.75 29.37 45.55 44.54 494 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 10.71 29.89 46.04 44.82 494 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 14.40 33.17 49.18 47.07 494 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.29 3.81 5.04 4.88 531 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.60 4.04 5.30 5.06 531 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.60 4.10 5.40 5.38 531 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 2.73 4.57 6.02 5.37 531 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.29 1.03 1.36 1.33 493 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.14 1.08 1.37 1.37 493 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.07 1.08 1.44 1.44 493 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.22 1.15 1.51 1.50 493 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.30 1.19 1.49 1.48 39 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.28 1.19 1.62 1.62 39 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.33 1.29 1.73 1.72 39 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.15 1.46 1.87 1.88 39 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -0.07 1.14 1.55 1.55 530 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -0.19 1.16 1.56 1.55 530 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -0.62 1.38 1.87 1.77 530 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp 1.49 1.87 2.41 1.89 530 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 am PST) 12-km verification statistics for BUOYS Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 5.18 24.17 37.79 37.47 477 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 6.57 24.52 38.31 37.78 477 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 9.25 25.20 39.20 38.14 477 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 11.54 28.07 41.76 40.18 477 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.63 3.52 4.49 4.18 516 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.91 3.62 4.66 4.25 516 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 0.92 3.70 4.88 4.80 516 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 2.55 4.22 5.47 4.84 516 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.34 0.95 1.26 1.21 507 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.20 1.01 1.33 1.32 507 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.20 1.03 1.35 1.34 507 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 0.60 1.11 1.52 1.40 507 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.06 0.95 1.28 1.29 39 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.23 1.25 1.56 1.57 39 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.26 1.25 1.57 1.57 39 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.32 1.26 1.64 1.63 39 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -0.33 0.93 1.15 1.11 514 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -0.27 0.90 1.15 1.11 514 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -0.83 1.24 1.56 1.32 514 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp 1.58 1.80 2.11 1.40 514 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 12-km verification statistics for ALL stations Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 8.27 66.13 84.92 84.51 41299 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 9.19 66.80 85.50 85.01 41299 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 11.54 69.10 87.25 86.48 41299 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dir10m 11.92 69.22 87.70 86.89 41299 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 1.77 3.53 4.69 4.34 41503 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 2.05 3.69 4.88 4.42 41503 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 2.11 3.90 5.17 4.72 41503 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 3.69 4.82 6.27 5.08 41503 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.51 3.35 4.85 4.82 53192 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.75 3.66 5.18 5.12 53192 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.97 3.67 5.20 5.11 53192 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 t2m -2.06 4.54 6.55 6.22 53192 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.07 3.60 5.10 5.10 37891 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.16 3.73 5.37 5.36 37891 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m -0.21 3.74 5.40 5.40 37891 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 dew2m 2.71 4.13 5.76 5.08 37891 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp 0.90 1.97 2.91 2.77 8050 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -1.81 2.37 3.53 3.03 8050 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.01 2.54 3.73 3.15 8050 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 slp -2.33 2.76 3.84 3.05 8050 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 pm PST) 12-km verification statistics for ALL stations Field ME MAE RMS STDEV COUNT Case dir10m 10.87 67.35 85.62 84.92 40272 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 11.26 67.59 85.79 85.05 40272 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 14.56 70.80 88.57 87.36 40272 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dir10m 15.12 71.41 89.24 87.95 40272 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 2.67 4.01 5.10 4.35 40472 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 2.78 4.08 5.18 4.37 40472 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 3.10 4.40 5.55 4.61 40472 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 wsp10m 4.27 5.20 6.55 4.97 40472 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -0.31 4.07 5.78 5.77 52754 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -1.62 4.28 5.94 5.72 52754 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m -1.72 4.33 5.98 5.73 52754 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 t2m 1.29 4.24 6.07 5.93 52754 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.21 3.86 5.59 5.59 36546 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 0.24 3.86 5.59 5.59 36546 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 1.74 4.01 5.85 5.59 36546 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 dew2m 1.25 4.12 5.95 5.82 36546 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -1.87 2.38 3.55 3.01 7702 wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp 2.41 2.72 3.62 2.70 7702 mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -2.05 2.50 3.62 2.98 7702 wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2 slp -2.24 2.66 3.71 2.96 7702 wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

Statistics Jan-Feb 2010 for all wind speeds

 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 12-km verification statistics for SA stations
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m         10.32 61.76 81.35 80.70    8111  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m         11.95 62.83 82.29 81.42    8111  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m         14.84 66.03 84.98 83.68    8111  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m         16.16 66.61 85.80 84.27    8111  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2

wsp10m          0.57  3.56  4.87  4.83    8227  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.82  3.66  4.99  4.93    8227  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.74  3.85  5.18  5.13    8227  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          2.25  4.27  5.71  5.25    8227  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2

t2m             0.92  3.56  5.07  4.99    8210  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m             0.53  3.67  5.08  5.05    8210  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m             0.33  3.67  5.10  5.09    8210  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.42  4.06  5.68  5.66    8210  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2

dew2m           1.09  3.53  4.99  4.87    7974  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.58  3.55  5.01  4.98    7974  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.55  3.57  5.08  5.05    7974  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           3.90  4.57  6.23  4.87    7974  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2

slp             0.83  1.94  2.77  2.64    6596  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.08  2.51  3.64  2.98    6596  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.34  2.72  3.88  3.10    6596  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.62  2.91  3.95  2.96    6596  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2





 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 am PST) 12-km verification statistics for SA stations
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m         15.33 63.81 82.61 81.18    7697  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m         16.73 64.43 83.19 81.49    7697  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m         22.26 69.10 87.58 84.71    7697  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m         21.22 69.82 88.35 85.77    7697  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

wsp10m          1.40  3.75  4.97  4.77    7811  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          1.50  3.82  5.05  4.83    7811  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          1.75  4.00  5.23  4.93    7811  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          2.82  4.51  5.86  5.14    7811  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

t2m            -0.08  4.16  5.84  5.84    7802  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.00  4.17  5.87  5.87    7802  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m             1.57  4.30  6.15  5.95    7802  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m             3.43  4.88  6.87  5.96    7802  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

dew2m           1.24  4.02  5.86  5.72    7540  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m           1.24  4.03  5.86  5.73    7540  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m           3.21  4.53  6.62  5.79    7540  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m           2.77  4.64  6.74  6.15    7540  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

slp             2.47  2.75  3.35  2.26    6273  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.26  2.51  3.49  2.66    6273  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.44  2.63  3.58  2.62    6273  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.60  2.78  3.66  2.57    6273  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2





 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 12-km verification statistics for BUOYS
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m          5.71 27.13 43.04 42.71     494  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m          9.75 29.37 45.55 44.54     494  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m         10.71 29.89 46.04 44.82     494  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m         14.40 33.17 49.18 47.07     494  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2

wsp10m          1.29  3.81  5.04  4.88     531  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          1.60  4.04  5.30  5.06     531  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.60  4.10  5.40  5.38     531  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          2.73  4.57  6.02  5.37     531  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2

t2m             0.29  1.03  1.36  1.33     493  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.14  1.08  1.37  1.37     493  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.07  1.08  1.44  1.44     493  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.22  1.15  1.51  1.50     493  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2

dew2m           0.30  1.19  1.49  1.48      39  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.28  1.19  1.62  1.62      39  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.33  1.29  1.73  1.72      39  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.15  1.46  1.87  1.88      39  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2

slp            -0.07  1.14  1.55  1.55     530  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -0.19  1.16  1.56  1.55     530  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -0.62  1.38  1.87  1.77     530  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp             1.49  1.87  2.41  1.89     530  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2





 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 am PST) 12-km verification statistics for BUOYS
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m          5.18 24.17 37.79 37.47     477  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m          6.57 24.52 38.31 37.78     477  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m          9.25 25.20 39.20 38.14     477  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m         11.54 28.07 41.76 40.18     477  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

wsp10m          1.63  3.52  4.49  4.18     516  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          1.91  3.62  4.66  4.25     516  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          0.92  3.70  4.88  4.80     516  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          2.55  4.22  5.47  4.84     516  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

t2m             0.34  0.95  1.26  1.21     507  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.20  1.01  1.33  1.32     507  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.20  1.03  1.35  1.34     507  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m             0.60  1.11  1.52  1.40     507  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

dew2m           0.06  0.95  1.28  1.29      39  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.23  1.25  1.56  1.57      39  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.26  1.25  1.57  1.57      39  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.32  1.26  1.64  1.63      39  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

slp            -0.33  0.93  1.15  1.11     514  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -0.27  0.90  1.15  1.11     514  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -0.83  1.24  1.56  1.32     514  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp             1.58  1.80  2.11  1.40     514  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2





 24-hr Forecast 00 UTC (4 pm PST) 12-km verification statistics for ALL stations
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m          8.27 66.13 84.92 84.51   41299  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m          9.19 66.80 85.50 85.01   41299  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m         11.54 69.10 87.25 86.48   41299  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dir10m         11.92 69.22 87.70 86.89   41299  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2

wsp10m          1.77  3.53  4.69  4.34   41503  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          2.05  3.69  4.88  4.42   41503  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          2.11  3.90  5.17  4.72   41503  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          3.69  4.82  6.27  5.08   41503  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2

t2m            -0.51  3.35  4.85  4.82   53192  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.75  3.66  5.18  5.12   53192  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m            -0.97  3.67  5.20  5.11   53192  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
t2m            -2.06  4.54  6.55  6.22   53192  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2

dew2m           0.07  3.60  5.10  5.10   37891  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -0.16  3.73  5.37  5.36   37891  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m          -0.21  3.74  5.40  5.40   37891  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
dew2m           2.71  4.13  5.76  5.08   37891  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2

slp             0.90  1.97  2.91  2.77    8050  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -1.81  2.37  3.53  3.03    8050  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.01  2.54  3.73  3.15    8050  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.33  2.76  3.84  3.05    8050  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.24.diffs.stats2





 12-hr Forecast 12 UTC (4 pm PST) 12-km verification statistics for ALL stations
Field            ME   MAE   RMS   STDEV  COUNT  Case

dir10m         10.87 67.35 85.62 84.92   40272  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m         11.26 67.59 85.79 85.05   40272  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m         14.56 70.80 88.57 87.36   40272  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dir10m         15.12 71.41 89.24 87.95   40272  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

wsp10m          2.67  4.01  5.10  4.35   40472  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          2.78  4.08  5.18  4.37   40472  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          3.10  4.40  5.55  4.61   40472  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
wsp10m          4.27  5.20  6.55  4.97   40472  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

t2m            -0.31  4.07  5.78  5.77   52754  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m            -1.62  4.28  5.94  5.72   52754  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m            -1.72  4.33  5.98  5.73   52754  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
t2m             1.29  4.24  6.07  5.93   52754  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

dew2m           0.21  3.86  5.59  5.59   36546  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m           0.24  3.86  5.59  5.59   36546  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m           1.74  4.01  5.85  5.59   36546  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
dew2m           1.25  4.12  5.95  5.82   36546  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

slp            -1.87  2.38  3.55  3.01    7702  wrfv371grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp             2.41  2.72  3.62  2.70    7702  mm5etad2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.05  2.50  3.62  2.98    7702  wrfgfsd2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2
slp            -2.24  2.66  3.71  2.96    7702  wrfv381grellnmp3d2.Jan1-Feb82010.00.12.diffs.stats2

WRF v371 and v381 Comparison

Table 2. Geographic, Mean Statistics, and New Frequency Distribution Plots