MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of PSLR (SLP millibars ) From 1997092912 to 1999121212

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -0.101 -0.067 ******* -0.150 0.907 0.893 ******* 0.913 1.504 1.492 ******* 1.513 1.501 1.491 -9999.00 1.505 30,022. 30,022. 0. 28,876.
3 -0.021 -0.088 ******* 0.268 1.100 1.096 ******* 1.222 1.649 1.644 ******* 1.800 1.649 1.642 -9999.00 1.780 29,573. 29,573. 0. 25,189.
6 -0.018 -0.132 ******* 0.484 1.189 1.186 ******* 1.340 1.578 1.582 ******* 1.726 1.578 1.577 -9999.00 1.657 27,245. 27,245. 0. 26,256.
9 -0.181 -0.296 ******* 0.557 1.426 1.421 ******* 1.327 1.884 1.891 ******* 1.742 1.876 1.868 -9999.00 1.650 25,967. 25,967. 0. 21,958.
12 0.135 0.009 -0.064 0.377 1.568 1.538 1.551 1.338 2.053 2.032 2.057 1.765 2.049 2.032 2.056 1.724 25,499. 25,499. 25,499. 24,442.
15 -0.034 -0.146 -0.205 0.288 1.773 1.747 1.768 1.551 2.607 2.590 2.616 2.346 2.607 2.586 2.608 2.329 29,288. 29,288. 29,288. 24,832.
18 -0.566 -0.658 -0.671 0.102 1.929 1.897 1.907 1.707 2.746 2.730 2.748 2.404 2.687 2.650 2.665 2.401 28,987. 28,987. 28,987. 27,837.
21 -0.547 -0.670 -0.661 0.331 1.951 1.913 1.908 1.823 2.778 2.758 2.767 2.554 2.723 2.676 2.687 2.532 28,668. 28,668. 28,668. 24,340.
24 -0.269 -0.417 -0.414 0.198 2.055 2.027 2.033 1.956 2.963 2.952 2.968 2.782 2.951 2.922 2.939 2.775 28,789. 28,789. 28,789. 27,107.
27 0.016 -0.108 -0.126 0.120 2.156 2.127 2.144 1.957 3.107 3.094 3.114 2.782 3.107 3.093 3.112 2.779 28,492. 28,492. 28,492. 24,224.
30 -0.129 -0.269 -0.300 0.533 2.217 2.195 2.210 2.065 3.051 3.042 3.064 2.789 3.048 3.030 3.050 2.738 26,161. 26,161. 26,161. 25,228.
33 -0.158 -0.310 -0.356 0.673 2.279 2.264 2.271 2.055 3.156 3.163 3.181 2.722 3.152 3.148 3.161 2.638 24,978. 24,978. 24,978. 21,134.
36 0.114 -0.029 -0.080 0.439 2.368 2.335 2.339 2.191 3.251 3.235 3.246 2.921 3.249 3.235 3.245 2.888 25,024. 25,024. 25,024. 23,954.
39 0.205 0.083 ******* 0.295 2.528 2.493 ******* 2.274 3.564 3.541 ******* 3.135 3.558 3.540 -9999.00 3.122 29,325. 29,325. 0. 25,012.
42 -0.267 -0.356 ******* 0.431 2.611 2.575 ******* 2.470 3.611 3.598 ******* 3.357 3.601 3.580 -9999.00 3.329 28,813. 28,813. 0. 27,646.
45 -0.152 -0.274 ******* 0.582 2.614 2.573 ******* 2.538 3.615 3.590 ******* 3.454 3.612 3.579 -9999.00 3.405 28,605. 28,605. 0. 24,267.
48 0.165 0.010 ******* 0.397 2.597 2.557 ******* 2.613 3.616 3.587 ******* 3.578 3.612 3.587 -9999.00 3.556 25,443. 25,443. 0. 24,089.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of PSLR (SLP millibars ) From 1997092912 to 1999121212

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -0.078 -0.074 ******* 0.101 0.795 0.788 ******* 0.746 1.098 1.086 ******* 1.029 1.096 1.084 -9999.00 1.024 26,827. 26,827. 0. 26,161.
3 0.074 0.040 ******* 0.207 1.197 1.194 ******* 1.222 1.933 1.930 ******* 1.986 1.931 1.930 -9999.00 1.975 30,803. 30,803. 0. 26,783.
6 -0.435 -0.464 ******* 0.002 1.358 1.323 ******* 1.317 1.945 1.917 ******* 1.886 1.896 1.860 -9999.00 1.886 30,389. 30,389. 0. 29,587.
9 -0.816 -0.884 ******* -0.141 1.601 1.585 ******* 1.429 2.238 2.225 ******* 2.060 2.084 2.042 -9999.00 2.056 30,197. 30,197. 0. 26,118.
12 -0.455 -0.565 -0.609 -0.289 1.628 1.606 1.623 1.565 2.347 2.339 2.361 2.258 2.302 2.269 2.282 2.240 29,970. 29,970. 29,970. 28,555.
15 -0.347 -0.442 -0.499 -0.103 1.673 1.678 1.698 1.536 2.422 2.432 2.461 2.256 2.397 2.392 2.410 2.254 29,311. 29,311. 29,311. 25,215.
18 -0.384 -0.504 -0.585 0.147 1.757 1.774 1.794 1.595 2.385 2.415 2.448 2.114 2.354 2.362 2.377 2.109 27,066. 27,066. 27,066. 26,380.
21 -0.364 -0.485 -0.582 0.457 1.826 1.832 1.849 1.626 2.482 2.507 2.538 2.142 2.455 2.459 2.470 2.093 25,905. 25,905. 25,905. 22,028.
24 -0.116 -0.241 -0.350 0.276 1.941 1.935 1.938 1.748 2.640 2.649 2.665 2.321 2.638 2.638 2.642 2.304 25,922. 25,922. 25,922. 25,120.
27 -0.071 -0.178 -0.283 0.023 2.109 2.093 2.093 1.908 3.040 3.039 3.046 2.720 3.039 3.034 3.033 2.720 29,721. 29,721. 29,721. 25,624.
30 -0.649 -0.736 -0.815 0.073 2.286 2.259 2.275 2.113 3.227 3.223 3.241 2.888 3.161 3.138 3.137 2.888 29,381. 29,381. 29,381. 28,501.
33 -0.515 -0.634 -0.694 0.265 2.297 2.267 2.279 2.186 3.254 3.247 3.263 3.024 3.213 3.184 3.189 3.012 29,158. 29,158. 29,158. 25,101.
36 -0.055 -0.196 -0.256 0.363 2.376 2.339 2.346 2.296 3.351 3.332 3.345 3.205 3.350 3.326 3.335 3.185 29,306. 29,306. 29,306. 27,700.
39 0.243 0.120 ******* 0.230 2.504 2.479 ******* 2.322 3.533 3.525 ******* 3.279 3.525 3.523 -9999.00 3.271 29,615. 29,615. 0. 25,495.
42 0.096 -0.038 ******* 0.655 2.544 2.527 ******* 2.425 3.454 3.447 ******* 3.222 3.452 3.447 -9999.00 3.155 27,171. 27,171. 0. 26,327.
45 -0.015 -0.148 ******* 0.703 2.622 2.612 ******* 2.463 3.604 3.599 ******* 3.265 3.604 3.596 -9999.00 3.188 25,883. 25,883. 0. 22,076.
48 0.345 0.217 ******* 0.455 2.692 2.660 ******* 2.520 3.781 3.746 ******* 3.347 3.765 3.739 -9999.00 3.316 23,039. 23,039. 0. 22,402.