MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of RELH (RH Percent ) From 1997092912 to 1999121212

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 5.074 4.990 ******* 8.219 11.987 11.916 ******* 14.530 15.713 15.582 ******* 19.827 14.872 14.762 -9999.00 18.043 34,497. 34,497. 0. 32,442.
3 -1.566 -3.476 ******* 3.177 11.568 11.154 ******* 11.473 15.106 14.745 ******* 14.862 15.024 14.330 -9999.00 14.519 33,807. 33,807. 0. 28,333.
6 -2.980 -5.811 ******* 1.028 12.782 12.671 ******* 10.625 16.631 16.569 ******* 14.093 16.362 15.517 -9999.00 14.056 30,691. 30,691. 0. 28,913.
9 -3.537 -7.213 ******* 0.570 13.334 13.500 ******* 10.743 17.507 17.640 ******* 14.326 17.146 16.099 -9999.00 14.315 29,471. 29,471. 0. 24,910.
12 -4.355 -8.290 -7.567 0.399 13.522 14.002 13.708 10.317 17.903 18.388 18.085 13.936 17.366 16.414 16.426 13.930 29,177. 29,177. 29,177. 27,343.
15 -3.867 -7.735 -7.899 1.019 13.071 13.371 13.246 9.957 17.278 17.632 17.554 13.367 16.840 15.846 15.677 13.328 32,872. 32,872. 32,872. 27,434.
18 -2.306 -6.043 -5.776 1.539 12.845 12.426 12.136 11.322 16.611 16.201 15.877 14.794 16.450 15.032 14.789 14.714 33,295. 33,295. 33,295. 31,296.
21 -0.709 -4.600 -4.305 2.474 12.670 12.043 11.688 12.623 16.424 15.731 15.257 16.313 16.409 15.044 14.637 16.125 33,395. 33,395. 33,395. 27,814.
24 0.147 -3.666 -3.339 3.338 12.527 11.720 11.434 12.760 16.289 15.371 14.962 16.569 16.289 14.928 14.584 16.229 33,190. 33,190. 33,190. 30,741.
27 -3.247 -6.296 -6.234 2.255 13.787 13.127 12.903 12.332 17.984 17.209 16.955 16.082 17.688 16.016 15.768 15.923 32,661. 32,661. 32,661. 27,397.
30 -4.506 -7.858 -8.806 0.361 14.317 14.186 14.086 11.434 18.664 18.390 18.372 15.124 18.113 16.627 16.124 15.120 29,560. 29,560. 29,560. 27,889.
33 -4.690 -8.546 -9.988 -0.300 14.395 14.599 14.837 11.267 18.936 18.925 19.265 14.947 18.347 16.886 16.474 14.944 28,277. 28,277. 28,277. 23,912.
36 -4.812 -8.751 -10.294 -0.183 14.360 14.779 15.127 10.943 19.150 19.317 19.745 14.694 18.536 17.222 16.849 14.693 28,534. 28,534. 28,534. 26,671.
39 -3.987 -7.909 ******* 0.192 13.780 14.004 ******* 10.555 18.316 18.432 ******* 14.087 17.877 16.649 -9999.00 14.086 33,034. 33,034. 0. 27,681.
42 -1.728 -5.516 ******* 0.719 13.838 13.164 ******* 12.279 17.892 17.232 ******* 15.970 17.808 16.325 -9999.00 15.954 33,033. 33,033. 0. 31,006.
45 -0.065 -4.010 ******* 1.973 14.014 13.152 ******* 13.792 18.095 17.164 ******* 17.813 18.095 16.689 -9999.00 17.703 33,011. 33,011. 0. 27,461.
48 0.540 -3.096 ******* 2.583 13.877 12.874 ******* 13.820 18.081 16.842 ******* 17.950 18.073 16.555 -9999.00 17.764 29,155. 29,155. 0. 27,069.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of RELH (RH Percent ) From 1997092912 to 1999121212

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -5.228 -5.160 ******* 3.673 12.185 12.103 ******* 10.121 16.505 16.395 ******* 14.237 15.656 15.563 -9999.00 13.755 30,587. 30,587. 0. 29,353.
3 -4.113 -5.359 ******* 1.304 11.986 11.692 ******* 9.775 15.726 15.401 ******* 13.133 15.179 14.438 -9999.00 13.069 34,544. 34,544. 0. 29,708.
6 -2.878 -5.432 ******* 2.238 11.977 11.776 ******* 10.961 15.399 15.225 ******* 14.324 15.128 14.223 -9999.00 14.148 34,769. 34,769. 0. 33,289.
9 -1.046 -4.280 ******* 3.439 11.702 11.507 ******* 12.302 15.218 14.982 ******* 15.987 15.182 14.358 -9999.00 15.613 35,117. 35,117. 0. 29,898.
12 -0.195 -3.600 -2.865 3.826 11.736 11.303 11.240 12.366 15.256 14.724 14.627 16.074 15.255 14.277 14.343 15.612 34,512. 34,512. 34,512. 32,431.
15 -3.509 -6.112 -5.916 2.762 13.066 12.579 12.378 12.112 17.061 16.403 16.183 15.782 16.696 15.222 15.063 15.539 33,595. 33,595. 33,595. 28,599.
18 -4.593 -7.549 -8.755 0.795 13.830 13.673 13.763 10.983 17.956 17.675 17.794 14.566 17.359 15.982 15.491 14.544 30,529. 30,529. 30,529. 29,229.
21 -4.724 -8.298 -10.135 0.177 13.960 14.155 14.588 10.829 18.269 18.265 18.780 14.374 17.648 16.272 15.811 14.373 29,398. 29,398. 29,398. 25,088.
24 -4.794 -8.567 -10.563 0.298 13.956 14.385 15.026 10.523 18.515 18.700 19.382 14.163 17.884 16.622 16.252 14.160 29,737. 29,737. 29,737. 28,299.
27 -4.002 -7.608 -9.412 0.657 13.392 13.513 13.976 10.126 17.744 17.764 18.188 13.543 17.286 16.053 15.564 13.527 33,474. 33,474. 33,474. 28,482.
30 -1.989 -5.558 -6.115 0.946 13.457 12.787 12.629 11.797 17.340 16.680 16.446 15.353 17.226 15.727 15.267 15.324 33,729. 33,729. 33,729. 32,162.
33 -0.200 -4.021 -4.119 2.076 13.386 12.550 12.163 13.137 17.204 16.359 15.872 16.968 17.203 15.857 15.328 16.841 33,672. 33,672. 33,672. 28,508.
36 0.765 -3.065 -3.040 3.157 13.256 12.233 12.021 13.247 17.124 15.983 15.638 17.212 17.107 15.686 15.340 16.920 33,398. 33,398. 33,398. 31,163.
39 -2.456 -5.441 ******* 2.190 14.103 13.241 ******* 12.814 18.422 17.359 ******* 16.729 18.258 16.484 -9999.00 16.585 33,732. 33,732. 0. 28,689.
42 -3.683 -6.871 ******* 0.305 14.233 13.847 ******* 11.752 18.625 18.053 ******* 15.532 18.258 16.694 -9999.00 15.529 30,443. 30,443. 0. 29,030.
45 -3.987 -7.533 ******* -0.391 14.173 14.117 ******* 11.511 18.749 18.430 ******* 15.264 18.321 16.820 -9999.00 15.259 28,382. 28,382. 0. 24,175.
48 -4.605 -8.055 ******* -0.465 14.268 14.399 ******* 11.177 19.055 18.901 ******* 15.028 18.490 17.100 -9999.00 15.021 26,210. 26,210. 0. 24,878.