MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots at Lowest Sigma Level ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1997092912 to 1999121212

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 10.875 10.754 ******* 9.271 10.875 10.754 ******* 9.271 12.944 12.782 ******* 11.014 7.020 6.910 -9999.00 5.946 32,817. 32,817. 0. 30,774.
3 8.898 8.290 ******* 8.710 8.898 8.290 ******* 8.710 10.694 10.036 ******* 10.209 5.933 5.657 -9999.00 5.325 27,179. 27,179. 0. 23,477.
6 9.568 8.805 ******* 9.046 9.568 8.805 ******* 9.046 11.444 10.652 ******* 10.600 6.278 5.994 -9999.00 5.525 22,310. 22,310. 0. 21,052.
9 9.651 8.858 ******* 8.798 9.651 8.858 ******* 8.798 11.541 10.711 ******* 10.311 6.330 6.023 -9999.00 5.377 19,140. 19,140. 0. 16,126.
12 10.049 9.183 9.828 9.195 10.049 9.183 9.828 9.195 11.969 11.131 11.930 10.724 6.502 6.290 6.762 5.519 20,095. 20,095. 20,095. 18,919.
15 10.310 9.367 9.483 9.112 10.310 9.367 9.483 9.112 12.304 11.423 11.665 10.631 6.714 6.538 6.793 5.477 23,312. 23,312. 23,312. 19,709.
18 10.029 9.052 9.104 9.022 10.029 9.052 9.104 9.022 11.902 11.005 11.173 10.512 6.409 6.259 6.478 5.397 27,484. 27,484. 27,484. 25,798.
21 9.477 8.777 8.905 8.889 9.477 8.777 8.905 8.889 11.289 10.626 10.895 10.303 6.133 5.991 6.277 5.210 32,744. 32,744. 32,744. 27,982.
24 9.289 8.749 8.934 8.991 9.289 8.749 8.934 8.991 11.165 10.636 10.932 10.469 6.194 6.049 6.299 5.363 31,959. 31,959. 31,959. 29,609.
27 9.964 9.450 9.642 9.032 9.964 9.450 9.642 9.032 12.071 11.585 11.824 10.577 6.814 6.702 6.843 5.505 26,564. 26,564. 26,564. 22,932.
30 10.437 9.848 10.104 9.411 10.437 9.848 10.104 9.411 12.574 12.023 12.354 11.011 7.012 6.898 7.108 5.718 21,701. 21,701. 21,701. 20,498.
33 10.429 9.749 10.038 9.135 10.429 9.749 10.038 9.135 12.499 11.869 12.261 10.693 6.889 6.771 7.040 5.558 18,556. 18,556. 18,556. 15,727.
36 10.838 10.072 10.290 9.539 10.838 10.072 10.290 9.539 12.925 12.306 12.625 11.147 7.043 7.071 7.315 5.768 19,562. 19,562. 19,562. 18,443.
39 11.052 10.218 ******* 9.499 11.052 10.218 ******* 9.499 13.195 12.488 ******* 11.089 7.208 7.180 -9999.00 5.723 22,878. 22,878. 0. 19,549.
42 10.691 9.915 ******* 9.414 10.691 9.915 ******* 9.414 12.713 12.102 ******* 10.968 6.880 6.940 -9999.00 5.627 26,701. 26,701. 0. 25,116.
45 9.991 9.407 ******* 9.215 9.991 9.407 ******* 9.215 11.927 11.455 ******* 10.649 6.514 6.537 -9999.00 5.338 31,725. 31,725. 0. 27,159.
48 9.485 9.098 ******* 9.135 9.485 9.098 ******* 9.135 11.363 11.066 ******* 10.585 6.257 6.299 -9999.00 5.347 28,334. 28,334. 0. 26,308.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots at Lowest Sigma Level ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1997092912 to 1999121212

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 11.683 11.522 ******* 9.845 11.683 11.522 ******* 9.845 13.727 13.525 ******* 11.604 7.206 7.082 -9999.00 6.143 20,613. 20,613. 0. 19,675.
3 9.342 8.530 ******* 8.966 9.342 8.530 ******* 8.966 11.110 10.220 ******* 10.450 6.012 5.629 -9999.00 5.368 23,995. 23,995. 0. 20,735.
6 9.456 8.383 ******* 8.834 9.456 8.383 ******* 8.834 11.198 10.139 ******* 10.274 5.999 5.703 -9999.00 5.245 28,136. 28,136. 0. 26,738.
9 8.948 8.170 ******* 8.752 8.948 8.170 ******* 8.752 10.619 9.892 ******* 10.130 5.719 5.577 -9999.00 5.103 33,923. 33,923. 0. 29,370.
12 8.808 8.178 8.473 8.817 8.808 8.178 8.473 8.817 10.550 9.938 10.341 10.239 5.807 5.647 5.927 5.205 33,176. 33,176. 33,176. 30,975.
15 9.462 8.884 9.219 8.916 9.462 8.884 9.219 8.916 11.419 10.847 11.234 10.422 6.392 6.224 6.419 5.396 27,295. 27,295. 27,295. 23,799.
18 10.032 9.369 9.792 9.248 10.032 9.369 9.792 9.248 12.008 11.359 11.874 10.809 6.599 6.423 6.717 5.595 22,386. 22,386. 22,386. 21,286.
21 10.105 9.349 9.741 9.016 10.105 9.349 9.741 9.016 12.087 11.318 11.799 10.534 6.632 6.378 6.659 5.449 19,358. 19,358. 19,358. 16,368.
24 10.478 9.605 9.982 9.383 10.478 9.605 9.982 9.383 12.534 11.685 12.162 10.943 6.879 6.654 6.948 5.632 20,335. 20,335. 20,335. 19,321.
27 10.638 9.781 10.141 9.323 10.638 9.781 10.141 9.323 12.789 11.997 12.483 10.875 7.098 6.947 7.280 5.599 23,535. 23,535. 23,535. 20,242.
30 10.265 9.383 9.608 9.204 10.265 9.383 9.608 9.204 12.211 11.417 11.786 10.732 6.615 6.505 6.828 5.520 27,783. 27,783. 27,783. 26,324.
33 9.771 9.119 9.347 9.071 9.771 9.119 9.347 9.071 11.678 11.071 11.446 10.495 6.395 6.279 6.606 5.278 33,113. 33,113. 33,113. 28,546.
36 9.574 9.006 9.335 9.109 9.574 9.006 9.335 9.109 11.508 10.995 11.420 10.581 6.386 6.307 6.578 5.384 32,373. 32,373. 32,373. 29,949.
39 10.069 9.576 ******* 9.184 10.069 9.576 ******* 9.184 12.239 11.814 ******* 10.760 6.959 6.919 -9999.00 5.607 27,165. 27,165. 0. 23,602.
42 10.499 9.980 ******* 9.537 10.499 9.980 ******* 9.537 12.653 12.199 ******* 11.144 7.061 7.016 -9999.00 5.765 22,099. 22,099. 0. 20,922.
45 10.557 9.946 ******* 9.313 10.557 9.946 ******* 9.313 12.677 12.162 ******* 10.931 7.018 6.999 -9999.00 5.724 18,940. 18,940. 0. 16,085.
48 10.645 10.034 ******* 9.660 10.645 10.034 ******* 9.660 12.764 12.295 ******* 11.291 7.043 7.106 -9999.00 5.846 18,217. 18,217. 0. 17,306.