MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1997092912 to 1999121212

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 24.108 23.289 ******* 12.296 52.963 53.010 ******* 46.806 68.273 68.471 ******* 61.282 63.876 64.390 -9999.00 60.036 32,817. 32,817. 0. 30,774.
3 15.406 9.824 ******* 7.580 43.225 39.201 ******* 44.562 58.583 55.641 ******* 58.956 56.522 54.768 -9999.00 58.468 27,179. 27,179. 0. 23,477.
6 20.951 14.145 ******* 12.367 45.709 39.950 ******* 46.310 61.097 56.391 ******* 61.152 57.394 54.589 -9999.00 59.890 22,310. 22,310. 0. 21,052.
9 21.646 13.615 ******* 12.338 47.525 41.406 ******* 46.471 62.845 58.028 ******* 61.355 59.001 56.410 -9999.00 60.103 19,140. 19,140. 0. 16,126.
12 22.181 14.966 16.713 15.428 49.006 42.771 42.683 47.530 64.472 59.761 59.604 62.195 60.538 57.858 57.214 60.253 20,095. 20,095. 20,095. 18,919.
15 23.350 15.904 13.540 14.153 50.373 43.157 42.530 47.386 65.965 60.099 59.956 61.828 61.695 57.957 58.408 60.188 23,312. 23,312. 23,312. 19,709.
18 23.761 16.018 13.256 14.908 50.406 43.090 42.299 47.367 65.878 59.638 59.648 61.801 61.445 57.448 58.157 59.977 27,484. 27,484. 27,484. 25,798.
21 18.274 12.792 11.271 11.472 48.819 43.053 42.416 49.663 64.583 59.798 60.044 64.698 61.945 58.414 58.978 63.674 32,744. 32,744. 32,744. 27,982.
24 15.417 9.811 9.580 13.291 47.562 43.008 42.460 49.620 63.440 60.294 60.483 64.427 61.539 59.491 59.720 63.043 31,959. 31,959. 31,959. 29,609.
27 15.872 11.485 11.205 10.744 48.153 44.271 43.726 48.910 64.060 62.142 62.347 63.755 62.064 61.072 61.333 62.845 26,564. 26,564. 26,564. 22,932.
30 19.688 12.482 11.491 13.665 50.538 46.392 45.886 50.726 66.306 64.261 64.216 65.772 63.317 63.038 63.181 64.338 21,701. 21,701. 21,701. 20,498.
33 20.051 12.903 11.768 12.026 52.361 47.547 47.165 50.861 68.442 65.640 65.778 66.089 65.441 64.361 64.719 64.988 18,556. 18,556. 18,556. 15,727.
36 21.217 14.246 12.323 14.961 54.153 49.205 48.777 51.543 70.192 67.456 67.503 66.538 66.911 65.936 66.370 64.836 19,562. 19,562. 19,562. 18,443.
39 23.193 16.577 ******* 14.075 55.941 50.086 ******* 51.316 72.105 68.415 ******* 66.194 68.275 66.377 -9999.00 64.682 22,878. 22,878. 0. 19,549.
42 22.453 15.938 ******* 14.348 56.404 49.805 ******* 51.700 72.521 67.909 ******* 66.729 68.959 66.013 -9999.00 65.170 26,701. 26,701. 0. 25,116.
45 18.108 12.097 ******* 12.975 54.229 49.085 ******* 53.470 70.435 66.800 ******* 68.570 68.069 65.696 -9999.00 67.333 31,725. 31,725. 0. 27,159.
48 14.523 10.373 ******* 13.079 51.096 47.558 ******* 52.304 67.519 65.653 ******* 67.250 65.940 64.830 -9999.00 65.967 28,334. 28,334. 0. 26,308.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1997092912 to 1999121212

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 28.150 27.546 ******* 16.408 54.275 54.178 ******* 48.358 69.785 69.707 ******* 63.603 63.857 64.034 -9999.00 61.451 20,613. 20,613. 0. 19,675.
3 19.887 12.837 ******* 10.595 45.779 40.392 ******* 45.836 61.138 56.577 ******* 60.425 57.814 55.102 -9999.00 59.490 23,995. 23,995. 0. 20,735.
6 22.202 14.706 ******* 13.702 47.126 38.941 ******* 45.509 62.160 54.154 ******* 59.784 58.061 52.120 -9999.00 58.193 28,136. 28,136. 0. 26,738.
9 17.306 12.247 ******* 10.997 46.533 39.455 ******* 47.857 61.739 55.013 ******* 62.611 59.265 53.633 -9999.00 61.639 33,923. 33,923. 0. 29,370.
12 15.303 10.678 11.034 12.820 44.791 39.180 39.173 47.831 60.042 55.263 55.254 62.299 58.059 54.223 54.142 60.967 33,176. 33,176. 33,176. 30,975.
15 16.163 12.126 12.114 11.503 45.481 40.793 40.741 47.695 60.656 57.568 58.152 62.166 58.464 56.277 56.877 61.094 27,295. 27,295. 27,295. 23,799.
18 19.942 13.189 12.295 14.376 48.087 43.275 43.505 48.979 63.210 60.443 61.210 63.625 59.983 58.988 59.964 61.981 22,386. 22,386. 22,386. 21,286.
21 21.163 14.300 13.110 13.549 50.242 44.903 44.966 49.273 65.907 62.380 62.970 64.350 62.418 60.720 61.591 62.910 19,358. 19,358. 19,358. 16,368.
24 20.957 13.458 13.231 15.152 51.634 45.988 46.424 49.605 67.450 63.609 64.837 64.368 64.113 62.170 63.474 62.561 20,335. 20,335. 20,335. 19,321.
27 22.366 15.451 14.863 13.837 52.860 46.711 47.326 49.409 68.759 64.342 65.721 64.014 65.022 62.461 64.019 62.503 23,535. 23,535. 23,535. 20,242.
30 21.836 14.197 13.264 14.276 52.992 46.274 46.240 49.880 68.762 63.630 64.389 64.476 65.204 62.027 63.009 62.877 27,783. 27,783. 27,783. 26,324.
33 17.398 11.848 11.022 11.340 51.694 46.295 46.191 51.432 67.674 63.484 64.337 66.414 65.401 62.370 63.387 65.440 33,113. 33,113. 33,113. 28,546.
36 15.206 9.882 9.641 12.287 50.026 45.496 45.621 50.902 66.276 63.290 64.109 65.756 64.509 62.515 63.381 64.599 32,373. 32,373. 32,373. 29,949.
39 15.091 10.575 ******* 11.053 49.857 46.245 ******* 50.291 66.103 64.750 ******* 65.217 64.358 63.882 -9999.00 64.275 27,165. 27,165. 0. 23,602.
42 17.673 11.682 ******* 12.895 52.006 48.098 ******* 52.026 68.135 66.424 ******* 67.116 65.805 65.390 -9999.00 65.867 22,099. 22,099. 0. 20,922.
45 18.387 11.904 ******* 11.466 53.716 49.014 ******* 52.295 69.944 67.334 ******* 67.472 67.485 66.275 -9999.00 66.493 18,940. 18,940. 0. 16,085.
48 18.485 12.515 ******* 14.986 54.712 50.152 ******* 52.711 71.145 68.712 ******* 67.835 68.704 67.564 -9999.00 66.161 18,217. 18,217. 0. 17,310.