MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1997092912 to 1999121212

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 0.134 -0.076 ******* -3.886 5.800 5.748 ******* 6.084 7.887 7.793 ******* 8.011 7.886 7.793 -9999.00 7.006 33,406. 33,406. 0. 31,347.
3 -0.717 -0.349 ******* -5.715 4.715 4.657 ******* 6.291 6.427 6.259 ******* 8.065 6.387 6.249 -9999.00 5.691 27,677. 27,677. 0. 23,951.
6 -0.203 0.371 ******* -5.557 4.901 4.901 ******* 6.400 6.636 6.495 ******* 8.298 6.633 6.485 -9999.00 6.163 22,748. 22,748. 0. 21,482.
9 -0.431 0.161 ******* -5.750 4.971 4.979 ******* 6.357 6.757 6.639 ******* 8.215 6.743 6.637 -9999.00 5.867 19,587. 19,587. 0. 16,545.
12 -0.675 -0.039 1.301 -5.707 5.209 5.115 5.513 6.509 6.996 6.805 7.315 8.405 6.964 6.805 7.199 6.171 20,517. 20,517. 20,517. 19,334.
15 -0.562 -0.030 0.969 -5.959 5.281 5.150 5.137 6.603 7.107 6.943 6.944 8.507 7.085 6.943 6.876 6.072 23,755. 23,755. 23,755. 20,134.
18 -1.199 -0.661 0.281 -5.418 5.392 5.137 5.081 6.244 7.084 6.815 6.767 8.045 6.982 6.783 6.761 5.948 28,044. 28,044. 28,044. 26,345.
21 -1.354 -0.706 0.268 -5.432 5.100 4.963 4.950 6.072 6.787 6.614 6.647 7.791 6.651 6.576 6.641 5.586 33,396. 33,396. 33,396. 28,590.
24 -1.023 -0.366 0.660 -5.030 4.815 4.775 4.844 5.872 6.534 6.395 6.480 7.620 6.454 6.384 6.447 5.724 32,526. 32,526. 32,526. 30,163.
27 -0.452 0.217 1.376 -5.400 5.147 5.156 5.301 6.141 6.966 6.920 7.072 7.982 6.951 6.916 6.937 5.878 27,052. 27,052. 27,052. 23,400.
30 -0.323 0.201 1.377 -5.357 5.277 5.348 5.512 6.329 7.107 7.097 7.275 8.268 7.100 7.094 7.144 6.299 22,119. 22,119. 22,119. 20,913.
33 -0.506 -0.030 1.111 -5.646 5.327 5.358 5.481 6.366 7.191 7.125 7.281 8.266 7.173 7.125 7.196 6.038 18,985. 18,985. 18,985. 16,134.
36 -0.842 -0.339 0.745 -5.736 5.560 5.454 5.516 6.592 7.447 7.303 7.361 8.557 7.400 7.295 7.324 6.350 19,961. 19,961. 19,961. 18,838.
39 -0.783 -0.383 ******* -6.025 5.562 5.459 ******* 6.743 7.478 7.353 ******* 8.718 7.437 7.343 -9999.00 6.301 23,261. 23,261. 0. 19,918.
42 -1.448 -0.991 ******* -5.495 5.641 5.524 ******* 6.356 7.438 7.327 ******* 8.219 7.295 7.259 -9999.00 6.112 27,203. 27,203. 0. 25,607.
45 -1.730 -1.181 ******* -5.526 5.245 5.173 ******* 6.157 7.019 6.915 ******* 7.929 6.803 6.814 -9999.00 5.686 32,316. 32,316. 0. 27,721.
48 -1.551 -0.953 ******* -5.261 4.878 4.865 ******* 5.947 6.640 6.528 ******* 7.719 6.457 6.459 -9999.00 5.648 28,816. 28,816. 0. 26,777.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1997092912 to 1999121212

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 0.464 0.260 ******* -4.336 6.451 6.319 ******* 6.707 8.525 8.349 ******* 8.705 8.513 8.345 -9999.00 7.549 21,048. 21,048. 0. 20,105.
3 -0.691 -0.548 ******* -6.128 5.041 4.996 ******* 6.720 6.771 6.647 ******* 8.546 6.736 6.625 -9999.00 5.956 24,442. 24,442. 0. 21,167.
6 -1.166 -0.619 ******* -5.568 5.222 4.894 ******* 6.319 6.832 6.462 ******* 8.048 6.731 6.433 -9999.00 5.811 28,706. 28,706. 0. 27,299.
9 -1.533 -0.768 ******* -5.558 4.898 4.695 ******* 6.144 6.479 6.244 ******* 7.806 6.295 6.197 -9999.00 5.481 34,590. 34,590. 0. 30,001.
12 -1.143 -0.356 0.336 -5.107 4.669 4.560 4.755 5.896 6.319 6.110 6.373 7.608 6.215 6.100 6.365 5.639 33,768. 33,768. 33,768. 31,551.
15 -0.566 0.260 1.580 -5.492 4.944 4.932 5.103 6.175 6.711 6.625 6.786 7.987 6.688 6.620 6.600 5.799 27,788. 27,788. 27,788. 24,273.
18 -0.294 0.334 1.632 -5.419 5.122 5.179 5.415 6.326 6.949 6.884 7.153 8.261 6.943 6.876 6.965 6.236 22,827. 22,827. 22,827. 21,723.
21 -0.494 0.069 1.330 -5.747 5.190 5.166 5.316 6.376 7.031 6.886 7.039 8.261 7.013 6.886 6.913 5.934 19,804. 19,804. 19,804. 16,783.
24 -0.790 -0.248 0.954 -5.788 5.396 5.261 5.377 6.575 7.245 7.047 7.159 8.511 7.202 7.043 7.095 6.240 20,765. 20,765. 20,765. 19,746.
27 -0.772 -0.309 0.828 -6.081 5.398 5.282 5.368 6.715 7.288 7.117 7.220 8.643 7.248 7.110 7.173 6.142 23,973. 23,973. 23,973. 20,660.
30 -1.516 -0.988 0.117 -5.535 5.530 5.300 5.270 6.334 7.270 7.007 7.022 8.161 7.111 6.937 7.021 5.996 28,343. 28,343. 28,343. 26,871.
33 -1.661 -1.084 0.009 -5.595 5.245 5.085 5.054 6.199 6.946 6.740 6.785 7.940 6.745 6.652 6.785 5.634 33,761. 33,761. 33,761. 29,155.
36 -1.268 -0.668 0.514 -5.099 4.976 4.883 4.971 5.912 6.727 6.564 6.671 7.671 6.607 6.530 6.652 5.731 32,948. 32,948. 32,948. 30,506.
39 -0.785 -0.121 ******* -5.451 5.193 5.172 ******* 6.159 7.073 6.979 ******* 8.049 7.030 6.978 -9999.00 5.922 27,604. 27,604. 0. 24,018.
42 -0.592 -0.017 ******* -5.386 5.305 5.362 ******* 6.354 7.154 7.132 ******* 8.284 7.130 7.133 -9999.00 6.295 22,472. 22,472. 0. 21,289.
45 -0.743 -0.303 ******* -5.697 5.342 5.416 ******* 6.389 7.249 7.216 ******* 8.287 7.211 7.210 -9999.00 6.018 19,316. 19,316. 0. 16,441.
48 -1.463 -0.947 ******* -6.112 5.443 5.407 ******* 6.788 7.384 7.251 ******* 8.752 7.238 7.189 -9999.00 6.264 18,560. 18,560. 0. 17,643.