MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP2 (10-m log-reduced Wind Speed Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1997092912 to 1999121212

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -2.549 -2.784 ******* -3.883 5.365 5.416 ******* 6.084 6.986 7.004 ******* 8.013 6.505 6.427 -9999.00 7.009 33,406. 33,406. 0. 31,258.
3 -3.076 -2.875 ******* -5.723 4.882 4.727 ******* 6.296 6.559 6.349 ******* 8.070 5.793 5.661 -9999.00 5.690 27,677. 27,677. 0. 23,860.
6 -2.697 -2.321 ******* -5.558 4.843 4.673 ******* 6.402 6.581 6.315 ******* 8.302 6.003 5.874 -9999.00 6.167 22,748. 22,748. 0. 21,412.
9 -2.857 -2.444 ******* -5.757 4.963 4.767 ******* 6.362 6.753 6.450 ******* 8.222 6.119 5.969 -9999.00 5.870 19,587. 19,587. 0. 16,466.
12 -3.041 -2.606 -1.471 -5.708 5.217 4.959 4.723 6.508 6.996 6.661 6.297 8.401 6.301 6.130 6.123 6.165 20,517. 20,517. 20,517. 19,251.
15 -2.962 -2.596 -1.612 -5.967 5.220 4.973 4.575 6.609 7.038 6.763 6.325 8.515 6.384 6.245 6.116 6.075 23,755. 23,755. 23,755. 20,040.
18 -3.481 -3.114 -2.201 -5.423 5.418 5.139 4.725 6.249 7.073 6.752 6.287 8.052 6.158 5.991 5.889 5.952 28,044. 28,044. 28,044. 26,243.
21 -3.616 -3.162 -2.251 -5.439 5.278 5.032 4.644 6.076 6.908 6.611 6.198 7.795 5.886 5.805 5.775 5.584 33,396. 33,396. 33,396. 28,485.
24 -3.374 -2.912 -1.943 -5.030 5.006 4.803 4.448 5.872 6.679 6.398 5.979 7.621 5.765 5.697 5.655 5.725 32,526. 32,526. 32,526. 30,080.
27 -2.887 -2.442 -1.331 -5.408 5.111 4.944 4.602 6.146 6.879 6.690 6.285 7.988 6.244 6.228 6.143 5.879 27,052. 27,052. 27,052. 23,310.
30 -2.782 -2.444 -1.321 -5.359 5.180 5.083 4.763 6.333 6.998 6.850 6.475 8.274 6.422 6.400 6.339 6.304 22,119. 22,119. 22,119. 20,844.
33 -2.910 -2.586 -1.554 -5.655 5.253 5.103 4.807 6.373 7.110 6.887 6.564 8.275 6.487 6.383 6.378 6.042 18,985. 18,985. 18,985. 16,055.
36 -3.176 -2.832 -1.800 -5.741 5.520 5.314 4.958 6.595 7.416 7.168 6.771 8.562 6.701 6.585 6.528 6.353 19,961. 19,961. 19,961. 18,758.
39 -3.133 -2.858 ******* -6.033 5.474 5.305 ******* 6.749 7.388 7.185 ******* 8.726 6.691 6.592 -9999.00 6.305 23,261. 23,261. 0. 19,828.
42 -3.666 -3.354 ******* -5.500 5.661 5.496 ******* 6.361 7.414 7.220 ******* 8.225 6.444 6.393 -9999.00 6.115 27,203. 27,203. 0. 25,511.
45 -3.896 -3.519 ******* -5.535 5.467 5.303 ******* 6.160 7.184 6.962 ******* 7.933 6.036 6.007 -9999.00 5.683 32,316. 32,316. 0. 27,623.
48 -3.781 -3.372 ******* -5.263 5.177 5.018 ******* 5.947 6.906 6.667 ******* 7.721 5.779 5.751 -9999.00 5.649 28,816. 28,816. 0. 26,704.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP2 (10-m log-reduced Wind Speed Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1997092912 to 1999121212

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -2.310 -2.551 ******* -4.330 5.700 5.693 ******* 6.706 7.452 7.390 ******* 8.701 7.086 6.936 -9999.00 7.548 21,048. 21,048. 0. 20,021.
3 -3.051 -2.997 ******* -6.135 5.090 4.985 ******* 6.724 6.767 6.607 ******* 8.552 6.040 5.888 -9999.00 5.958 24,442. 24,442. 0. 21,075.
6 -3.444 -3.069 ******* -5.573 5.284 4.936 ******* 6.323 6.832 6.436 ******* 8.054 5.900 5.657 -9999.00 5.814 28,706. 28,706. 0. 27,198.
9 -3.739 -3.188 ******* -5.565 5.177 4.865 ******* 6.148 6.706 6.343 ******* 7.810 5.567 5.484 -9999.00 5.480 34,590. 34,590. 0. 29,897.
12 -3.445 -2.887 -2.219 -5.108 4.943 4.663 4.455 5.896 6.543 6.175 5.894 7.609 5.562 5.458 5.460 5.640 33,768. 33,768. 33,768. 31,468.
15 -2.952 -2.391 -1.145 -5.501 4.984 4.761 4.370 6.181 6.710 6.441 5.984 7.993 6.026 5.981 5.874 5.800 27,788. 27,788. 27,788. 24,183.
18 -2.746 -2.335 -1.101 -5.420 5.044 4.920 4.609 6.329 6.851 6.644 6.284 8.266 6.277 6.220 6.187 6.241 22,827. 22,827. 22,827. 21,653.
21 -2.889 -2.506 -1.370 -5.755 5.142 4.944 4.612 6.382 6.969 6.675 6.294 8.269 6.342 6.187 6.143 5.937 19,804. 19,804. 19,804. 16,706.
24 -3.124 -2.766 -1.623 -5.791 5.390 5.143 4.801 6.576 7.231 6.932 6.530 8.509 6.522 6.357 6.325 6.235 20,765. 20,765. 20,765. 19,662.
27 -3.115 -2.803 -1.704 -6.089 5.354 5.159 4.820 6.720 7.229 6.986 6.606 8.651 6.524 6.399 6.383 6.145 23,973. 23,973. 23,973. 20,568.
30 -3.707 -3.350 -2.302 -5.541 5.599 5.347 4.943 6.339 7.309 6.995 6.573 8.166 6.299 6.141 6.156 5.999 28,343. 28,343. 28,343. 26,773.
33 -3.843 -3.451 -2.444 -5.603 5.467 5.235 4.818 6.202 7.117 6.824 6.410 7.943 5.990 5.887 5.926 5.631 33,761. 33,761. 33,761. 29,050.
36 -3.552 -3.147 -2.053 -5.100 5.191 4.977 4.592 5.913 6.896 6.605 6.176 7.672 5.911 5.808 5.825 5.732 32,948. 32,948. 32,948. 30,424.
39 -3.138 -2.699 ******* -5.459 5.237 5.054 ******* 6.163 7.076 6.842 ******* 8.055 6.342 6.287 -9999.00 5.923 27,604. 27,604. 0. 23,931.
42 -2.977 -2.605 ******* -5.388 5.271 5.168 ******* 6.357 7.112 6.943 ******* 8.289 6.459 6.436 -9999.00 6.299 22,472. 22,472. 0. 21,222.
45 -3.093 -2.801 ******* -5.707 5.331 5.249 ******* 6.396 7.220 7.051 ******* 8.295 6.524 6.471 -9999.00 6.021 19,316. 19,316. 0. 16,365.
48 -3.691 -3.353 ******* -6.117 5.594 5.445 ******* 6.790 7.536 7.317 ******* 8.751 6.571 6.504 -9999.00 6.257 18,560. 18,560. 0. 17,562.