MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM1 (Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 1997111500 to 1998022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 0.289 0.296 ******* 0.609 1.750 1.761 ******* 1.543 2.295 2.307 ******* 2.040 2.277 2.288 -9999.00 1.947 3,504. 3,504. 0. 2,918.
3 1.081 1.179 ******* ******* 1.942 1.919 ******* ******* 2.631 2.656 ******* ******* 2.399 2.380 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,296. 3,296. 0. 0.
6 1.390 1.584 ******* 0.348 2.062 2.115 ******* 1.773 2.814 2.944 ******* 2.369 2.447 2.482 -9999.00 2.343 2,869. 2,869. 0. 2,384.
9 1.413 1.656 ******* ******* 2.098 2.172 ******* ******* 2.853 3.002 ******* ******* 2.478 2.504 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,834. 2,834. 0. 0.
12 1.389 1.667 1.646 0.395 2.087 2.185 2.171 1.774 2.844 3.016 2.992 2.409 2.483 2.514 2.498 2.377 2,888. 2,888. 2,888. 2,369.
15 1.479 1.795 1.844 ******* 2.186 2.310 2.348 ******* 2.955 3.168 3.190 ******* 2.559 2.611 2.604 -9999.00 3,271. 3,271. 3,271. 0.
18 0.492 0.793 0.832 0.383 1.729 1.769 1.808 1.698 2.360 2.429 2.476 2.296 2.308 2.297 2.332 2.264 3,369. 3,369. 3,369. 2,761.
21 -0.350 -0.014 0.053 ******* 1.693 1.639 1.672 ******* 2.231 2.159 2.193 ******* 2.204 2.160 2.193 -9999.00 3,295. 3,295. 3,295. 0.
24 -0.078 0.178 0.251 -0.035 1.704 1.656 1.690 1.615 2.240 2.196 2.238 2.099 2.239 2.190 2.224 2.099 3,278. 3,278. 3,278. 2,785.
27 0.914 1.137 1.203 ******* 1.932 1.916 1.948 ******* 2.605 2.627 2.660 ******* 2.440 2.369 2.372 -9999.00 3,100. 3,100. 3,100. 0.
30 1.230 1.435 1.525 0.283 2.067 2.115 2.170 1.930 2.797 2.887 2.938 2.573 2.513 2.506 2.511 2.558 2,698. 2,698. 2,698. 2,245.
33 1.326 1.560 1.615 ******* 2.174 2.236 2.273 ******* 2.913 3.027 3.064 ******* 2.595 2.595 2.604 -9999.00 2,657. 2,657. 2,657. 0.
36 1.415 1.641 1.720 0.310 2.228 2.322 2.377 1.998 2.972 3.104 3.158 2.656 2.614 2.635 2.649 2.639 2,643. 2,643. 2,643. 2,136.
39 1.531 1.763 ******* ******* 2.327 2.418 ******* ******* 3.053 3.197 ******* ******* 2.641 2.667 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,077. 3,077. 0. 0.
42 0.466 0.686 ******* 0.206 1.752 1.798 ******* 1.802 2.371 2.414 ******* 2.407 2.325 2.315 -9999.00 2.398 3,228. 3,228. 0. 2,634.
45 -0.445 -0.220 ******* ******* 1.724 1.669 ******* ******* 2.301 2.209 ******* ******* 2.258 2.198 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,193. 3,193. 0. 0.
48 0.030 0.166 ******* -0.096 1.600 1.428 ******* 1.813 2.082 1.951 ******* 2.302 2.083 1.945 -9999.00 2.302 794. 794. 0. 664.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM1 (Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 1997111500 to 1998022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 1.787 1.800 ******* 0.903 2.308 2.311 ******* 1.948 3.243 3.236 ******* 2.684 2.706 2.690 -9999.00 2.529 2,824. 2,824. 0. 2,340.
3 1.713 1.796 ******* ******* 2.285 2.260 ******* ******* 3.123 3.147 ******* ******* 2.611 2.585 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,293. 3,293. 0. 0.
6 0.635 0.825 ******* 0.244 1.710 1.685 ******* 1.620 2.323 2.330 ******* 2.169 2.235 2.179 -9999.00 2.156 3,409. 3,409. 0. 2,848.
9 -0.180 0.043 ******* ******* 1.554 1.519 ******* ******* 2.048 2.021 ******* ******* 2.041 2.021 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,397. 3,397. 0. 0.
12 -0.016 0.211 0.200 0.013 1.609 1.554 1.556 1.523 2.096 2.072 2.071 1.951 2.096 2.062 2.062 1.951 3,442. 3,442. 3,442. 2,944.
15 0.883 1.084 1.191 ******* 1.819 1.807 1.845 ******* 2.443 2.489 2.539 ******* 2.278 2.240 2.243 -9999.00 3,300. 3,300. 3,300. 0.
18 1.124 1.300 1.455 0.346 1.913 1.942 2.039 1.776 2.602 2.687 2.777 2.370 2.347 2.352 2.366 2.345 2,873. 2,873. 2,873. 2,446.
21 1.206 1.395 1.527 ******* 2.010 2.047 2.122 ******* 2.704 2.795 2.877 ******* 2.420 2.423 2.439 -9999.00 2,835. 2,835. 2,835. 0.
24 1.322 1.516 1.662 0.311 2.106 2.171 2.239 1.797 2.829 2.924 2.998 2.427 2.502 2.500 2.496 2.407 2,753. 2,753. 2,753. 2,302.
27 1.480 1.706 1.851 ******* 2.256 2.315 2.395 ******* 2.981 3.093 3.161 ******* 2.588 2.580 2.563 -9999.00 3,102. 3,102. 3,102. 0.
30 0.300 0.555 0.685 0.262 1.705 1.754 1.784 1.686 2.327 2.380 2.408 2.285 2.308 2.315 2.308 2.271 3,239. 3,239. 3,239. 2,719.
33 -0.526 -0.282 -0.202 ******* 1.710 1.679 1.706 ******* 2.274 2.216 2.233 ******* 2.212 2.198 2.225 -9999.00 3,182. 3,182. 3,182. 0.
36 -0.240 0.012 0.076 -0.223 1.737 1.690 1.726 1.641 2.299 2.256 2.297 2.156 2.287 2.257 2.296 2.145 3,155. 3,155. 3,155. 2,628.
39 0.691 0.920 ******* ******* 1.852 1.858 ******* ******* 2.503 2.532 ******* ******* 2.406 2.360 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,912. 2,912. 0. 0.
42 1.005 1.224 ******* 0.179 2.004 2.058 ******* 1.909 2.700 2.786 ******* 2.515 2.507 2.503 -9999.00 2.509 2,555. 2,555. 0. 2,108.
45 1.026 1.243 ******* ******* 2.094 2.119 ******* ******* 2.798 2.856 ******* ******* 2.604 2.572 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,501. 2,501. 0. 0.
48 1.027 1.268 ******* -0.103 2.002 1.948 ******* 2.186 2.571 2.580 ******* 2.780 2.360 2.249 -9999.00 2.781 499. 499. 0. 397.