MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) From 1997111500 to 1998022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 14.135 13.958 ******* 10.308 14.135 13.958 ******* 10.308 16.542 16.298 ******* 12.081 8.595 8.415 -9999.00 6.301 3,647. 3,647. 0. 3,046.
3 12.175 10.444 ******* ******* 12.175 10.444 ******* ******* 14.016 12.194 ******* ******* 6.945 6.295 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,364. 3,364. 0. 0.
6 12.645 10.653 ******* 8.743 12.645 10.653 ******* 8.743 14.462 12.454 ******* 10.288 7.020 6.452 -9999.00 5.425 2,932. 2,932. 0. 2,441.
9 12.783 11.053 ******* ******* 12.783 11.053 ******* ******* 14.544 12.805 ******* ******* 6.937 6.466 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,873. 2,873. 0. 0.
12 12.811 11.102 11.416 9.010 12.811 11.102 11.416 9.010 14.487 12.837 13.141 10.511 6.766 6.445 6.510 5.414 2,960. 2,960. 2,960. 2,436.
15 13.300 11.618 11.234 ******* 13.300 11.618 11.234 ******* 14.999 13.378 13.267 ******* 6.933 6.634 7.058 -9999.00 3,438. 3,438. 3,438. 0.
18 13.051 11.313 10.853 9.151 13.051 11.313 10.853 9.151 14.865 13.245 12.999 10.687 7.117 6.890 7.156 5.521 3,502. 3,502. 3,502. 2,872.
21 12.592 10.950 10.664 ******* 12.592 10.950 10.664 ******* 14.463 12.917 12.860 ******* 7.116 6.852 7.189 -9999.00 3,405. 3,405. 3,405. 0.
24 12.356 10.840 10.575 9.208 12.356 10.840 10.575 9.208 14.379 12.906 12.797 10.744 7.354 7.006 7.207 5.538 3,422. 3,422. 3,422. 2,912.
27 13.735 11.942 11.439 ******* 13.735 11.942 11.439 ******* 15.711 13.880 13.562 ******* 7.629 7.076 7.286 -9999.00 3,158. 3,158. 3,158. 0.
30 13.708 11.972 11.729 9.591 13.708 11.972 11.729 9.591 15.636 13.929 13.893 11.175 7.523 7.121 7.447 5.737 2,763. 2,763. 2,763. 2,306.
33 13.782 12.114 11.777 ******* 13.782 12.114 11.777 ******* 15.692 14.033 13.978 ******* 7.504 7.084 7.529 -9999.00 2,703. 2,703. 2,703. 0.
36 13.995 12.225 11.891 9.873 13.995 12.225 11.891 9.873 15.938 14.399 14.290 11.492 7.628 7.608 7.927 5.883 2,713. 2,713. 2,713. 2,201.
39 13.902 12.306 ******* ******* 13.902 12.306 ******* ******* 15.934 14.477 ******* ******* 7.788 7.627 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,237. 3,237. 0. 0.
42 13.729 12.042 ******* 9.699 13.729 12.042 ******* 9.699 15.806 14.338 ******* 11.280 7.833 7.783 -9999.00 5.760 3,346. 3,346. 0. 2,733.
45 13.127 11.693 ******* ******* 13.127 11.693 ******* ******* 15.375 14.150 ******* ******* 8.005 7.970 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,303. 3,303. 0. 0.
48 12.043 10.854 ******* 8.682 12.043 10.854 ******* 8.682 14.028 12.957 ******* 10.416 7.198 7.081 -9999.00 5.758 816. 816. 0. 680.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) From 1997111500 to 1998022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 15.042 14.870 ******* 11.180 15.042 14.870 ******* 11.180 17.580 17.329 ******* 13.044 9.101 8.900 -9999.00 6.722 2,901. 2,901. 0. 2,411.
3 12.459 10.742 ******* ******* 12.459 10.742 ******* ******* 14.237 12.419 ******* ******* 6.890 6.234 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,461. 3,461. 0. 0.
6 12.386 10.531 ******* 8.557 12.386 10.531 ******* 8.557 14.247 12.340 ******* 10.026 7.042 6.433 -9999.00 5.225 3,538. 3,538. 0. 2,957.
9 11.111 9.776 ******* ******* 11.111 9.776 ******* ******* 12.895 11.609 ******* ******* 6.546 6.261 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,506. 3,506. 0. 0.
12 11.056 9.832 10.042 8.517 11.056 9.832 10.042 8.517 12.789 11.656 11.876 9.927 6.429 6.262 6.341 5.101 3,590. 3,590. 3,590. 3,080.
15 12.505 11.045 10.832 ******* 12.505 11.045 10.832 ******* 14.426 12.913 12.863 ******* 7.193 6.690 6.939 -9999.00 3,376. 3,376. 3,376. 0.
18 12.765 11.171 11.028 8.998 12.765 11.171 11.028 8.998 14.670 13.109 13.109 10.555 7.230 6.861 7.089 5.518 2,943. 2,943. 2,943. 2,513.
21 13.057 11.243 10.908 ******* 13.057 11.243 10.908 ******* 14.960 13.080 12.978 ******* 7.303 6.687 7.033 -9999.00 2,889. 2,889. 2,889. 0.
24 13.556 11.832 11.527 9.250 13.556 11.832 11.527 9.250 15.679 13.972 13.910 10.886 7.880 7.432 7.787 5.741 2,835. 2,835. 2,835. 2,381.
27 13.593 11.991 11.631 ******* 13.593 11.991 11.631 ******* 15.740 14.106 14.018 ******* 7.937 7.429 7.826 -9999.00 3,259. 3,259. 3,259. 0.
30 12.983 11.321 10.951 9.231 12.983 11.321 10.951 9.231 15.074 13.346 13.153 10.869 7.659 7.068 7.286 5.739 3,367. 3,367. 3,367. 2,830.
33 12.786 11.164 11.016 ******* 12.786 11.164 11.016 ******* 14.988 13.314 13.415 ******* 7.822 7.255 7.658 -9999.00 3,283. 3,283. 3,283. 0.
36 12.884 11.427 11.243 9.201 12.884 11.427 11.243 9.201 15.195 13.810 13.814 10.840 8.058 7.756 8.027 5.731 3,287. 3,287. 3,287. 2,746.
39 13.807 12.217 ******* ******* 13.807 12.217 ******* ******* 16.080 14.557 ******* ******* 8.245 7.916 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,978. 2,978. 0. 0.
42 13.928 12.277 ******* 9.586 13.928 12.277 ******* 9.586 16.039 14.500 ******* 11.232 7.954 7.716 -9999.00 5.855 2,623. 2,623. 0. 2,171.
45 13.820 12.220 ******* ******* 13.820 12.220 ******* ******* 15.795 14.335 ******* ******* 7.649 7.495 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,553. 2,553. 0. 0.
48 11.883 10.091 ******* 8.643 11.883 10.091 ******* 8.643 13.909 12.209 ******* 10.444 7.235 6.880 -9999.00 5.871 505. 505. 0. 401.