MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) From 1997111500 to 1998022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 11.466 11.136 ******* 10.308 11.466 11.136 ******* 10.308 13.602 13.180 ******* 12.081 7.317 7.052 -9999.00 6.301 3,647. 3,647. 0. 3,046.
3 10.031 8.424 ******* ******* 10.031 8.424 ******* ******* 11.847 10.153 ******* ******* 6.304 5.668 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,364. 3,364. 0. 0.
6 10.442 8.632 ******* 8.743 10.442 8.632 ******* 8.743 12.274 10.426 ******* 10.288 6.452 5.848 -9999.00 5.425 2,932. 2,932. 0. 2,441.
9 10.598 8.970 ******* ******* 10.598 8.970 ******* ******* 12.396 10.709 ******* ******* 6.430 5.850 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,873. 2,873. 0. 0.
12 10.639 8.990 9.100 9.010 10.639 8.990 9.100 9.010 12.374 10.725 10.800 10.511 6.320 5.849 5.818 5.414 2,960. 2,960. 2,960. 2,436.
15 10.940 9.318 8.938 ******* 10.940 9.318 8.938 ******* 12.659 11.078 10.892 ******* 6.371 5.991 6.226 -9999.00 3,438. 3,438. 3,438. 0.
18 10.701 9.125 8.688 9.151 10.701 9.125 8.688 9.151 12.483 10.978 10.665 10.687 6.427 6.105 6.186 5.521 3,502. 3,502. 3,502. 2,872.
21 10.506 8.989 8.690 ******* 10.506 8.989 8.690 ******* 12.311 10.818 10.698 ******* 6.418 6.020 6.241 -9999.00 3,405. 3,405. 3,405. 0.
24 10.317 8.918 8.677 9.208 10.317 8.918 8.677 9.208 12.240 10.863 10.717 10.744 6.586 6.204 6.291 5.538 3,422. 3,422. 3,422. 2,912.
27 11.377 9.690 9.238 ******* 11.377 9.690 9.238 ******* 13.357 11.629 11.260 ******* 7.001 6.430 6.439 -9999.00 3,158. 3,158. 3,158. 0.
30 11.309 9.697 9.468 9.591 11.309 9.697 9.468 9.591 13.267 11.672 11.566 11.175 6.938 6.499 6.644 5.737 2,763. 2,763. 2,763. 2,306.
33 11.387 9.846 9.486 ******* 11.387 9.846 9.486 ******* 13.312 11.716 11.567 ******* 6.896 6.352 6.620 -9999.00 2,703. 2,703. 2,703. 0.
36 11.669 10.013 9.666 9.873 11.669 10.013 9.666 9.873 13.630 12.163 11.971 11.492 7.044 6.906 7.064 5.883 2,713. 2,713. 2,713. 2,201.
39 11.566 10.046 ******* ******* 11.566 10.046 ******* ******* 13.610 12.220 ******* ******* 7.175 6.959 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,237. 3,237. 0. 0.
42 11.371 9.826 ******* 9.699 11.371 9.826 ******* 9.699 13.426 12.034 ******* 11.280 7.139 6.947 -9999.00 5.760 3,346. 3,346. 0. 2,733.
45 11.069 9.735 ******* ******* 11.069 9.735 ******* ******* 13.211 11.984 ******* ******* 7.213 6.991 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,303. 3,303. 0. 0.
48 10.181 9.015 ******* 8.682 10.181 9.015 ******* 8.682 12.164 11.161 ******* 10.416 6.660 6.584 -9999.00 5.758 816. 816. 0. 680.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) From 1997111500 to 1998022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 12.260 11.991 ******* 11.180 12.260 11.991 ******* 11.180 14.546 14.168 ******* 13.044 7.830 7.549 -9999.00 6.722 2,901. 2,901. 0. 2,411.
3 10.243 8.655 ******* ******* 10.243 8.655 ******* ******* 11.989 10.280 ******* ******* 6.232 5.549 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,461. 3,461. 0. 0.
6 10.113 8.456 ******* 8.557 10.113 8.456 ******* 8.557 11.904 10.158 ******* 10.026 6.280 5.631 -9999.00 5.225 3,538. 3,538. 0. 2,957.
9 9.352 8.072 ******* ******* 9.352 8.072 ******* ******* 11.039 9.767 ******* ******* 5.866 5.500 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,506. 3,506. 0. 0.
12 9.262 8.055 8.104 8.517 9.262 8.055 8.104 8.517 10.882 9.745 9.783 9.927 5.713 5.486 5.481 5.101 3,590. 3,590. 3,590. 3,080.
15 10.356 8.934 8.714 ******* 10.356 8.934 8.714 ******* 12.252 10.765 10.648 ******* 6.547 6.007 6.119 -9999.00 3,376. 3,376. 3,376. 0.
18 10.571 9.088 8.948 8.998 10.571 9.088 8.948 8.998 12.486 11.003 10.964 10.555 6.646 6.202 6.337 5.518 2,943. 2,943. 2,943. 2,513.
21 10.827 9.153 8.803 ******* 10.827 9.153 8.803 ******* 12.704 10.921 10.735 ******* 6.647 5.959 6.145 -9999.00 2,889. 2,889. 2,889. 0.
24 11.271 9.658 9.335 9.250 11.271 9.658 9.335 9.250 13.374 11.756 11.579 10.886 7.201 6.704 6.852 5.741 2,835. 2,835. 2,835. 2,381.
27 11.290 9.756 9.406 ******* 11.290 9.756 9.406 ******* 13.421 11.867 11.686 ******* 7.258 6.756 6.935 -9999.00 3,259. 3,259. 3,259. 0.
30 10.773 9.296 8.947 9.231 10.773 9.296 8.947 9.231 12.815 11.227 10.983 10.869 6.941 6.295 6.371 5.739 3,367. 3,367. 3,367. 2,830.
33 10.739 9.272 9.096 ******* 10.739 9.272 9.096 ******* 12.858 11.285 11.266 ******* 7.072 6.434 6.649 -9999.00 3,283. 3,283. 3,283. 0.
36 10.737 9.362 9.151 9.201 10.737 9.362 9.151 9.201 12.958 11.624 11.547 10.840 7.256 6.890 7.044 5.731 3,287. 3,287. 3,287. 2,746.
39 11.437 9.948 ******* ******* 11.437 9.948 ******* ******* 13.680 12.229 ******* ******* 7.506 7.114 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,978. 2,978. 0. 0.
42 11.532 10.019 ******* 9.586 11.532 10.019 ******* 9.586 13.655 12.222 ******* 11.232 7.314 7.001 -9999.00 5.855 2,623. 2,623. 0. 2,171.
45 11.513 10.051 ******* ******* 11.513 10.051 ******* ******* 13.475 12.086 ******* ******* 7.004 6.713 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,553. 2,553. 0. 0.
48 10.090 8.450 ******* 8.643 10.090 8.450 ******* 8.643 12.208 10.628 ******* 10.444 6.878 6.453 -9999.00 5.871 505. 505. 0. 401.