MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 1997111500 to 1998022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 35.511 36.104 ******* 29.791 70.901 71.228 ******* 64.915 87.167 87.406 ******* 81.526 79.617 79.612 -9999.00 75.901 3,647. 3,647. 0. 3,046.
3 35.767 27.644 ******* ******* 68.999 62.915 ******* ******* 86.109 81.449 ******* ******* 78.341 76.625 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,364. 3,364. 0. 0.
6 32.712 24.271 ******* 24.319 69.088 60.083 ******* 65.738 86.747 78.534 ******* 83.151 80.356 74.702 -9999.00 79.532 2,932. 2,932. 0. 2,441.
9 34.990 26.384 ******* ******* 68.919 59.325 ******* ******* 85.909 77.360 ******* ******* 78.474 72.734 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,873. 2,873. 0. 0.
12 33.236 26.623 27.055 27.069 68.483 59.666 59.718 63.432 85.021 77.429 77.461 79.682 78.268 72.720 72.595 74.959 2,960. 2,960. 2,960. 2,436.
15 35.052 25.340 21.307 ******* 70.834 62.481 59.329 ******* 87.606 80.231 77.311 ******* 80.300 76.135 74.328 -9999.00 3,438. 3,438. 3,438. 0.
18 33.162 24.266 19.081 27.015 68.941 61.072 57.929 65.432 85.817 79.139 76.699 82.167 79.162 75.337 74.298 77.613 3,502. 3,502. 3,502. 2,872.
21 32.208 22.667 17.548 ******* 66.165 59.432 56.723 ******* 82.856 77.806 75.578 ******* 76.351 74.442 73.524 -9999.00 3,405. 3,405. 3,405. 0.
24 31.033 21.288 17.383 30.632 69.738 62.786 60.947 67.184 86.560 81.355 79.951 83.442 80.817 78.532 78.050 77.629 3,422. 3,422. 3,422. 2,912.
27 36.863 29.977 21.618 ******* 75.013 66.242 63.445 ******* 91.190 83.873 81.517 ******* 83.420 78.346 78.610 -9999.00 3,158. 3,158. 3,158. 0.
30 30.060 22.861 19.852 25.331 71.459 63.897 60.930 66.519 88.596 82.394 78.960 83.366 83.355 79.173 76.438 79.441 2,763. 2,763. 2,763. 2,306.
33 33.544 25.959 20.680 ******* 70.649 63.059 60.060 ******* 86.942 80.611 78.349 ******* 80.225 76.331 75.585 -9999.00 2,703. 2,703. 2,703. 0.
36 29.652 23.237 16.507 22.686 72.859 64.089 61.658 66.905 88.246 81.602 80.081 82.451 83.130 78.238 78.376 79.286 2,713. 2,713. 2,713. 2,201.
39 32.409 26.430 ******* ******* 75.764 67.919 ******* ******* 91.876 85.679 ******* ******* 85.983 81.513 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,237. 3,237. 0. 0.
42 32.392 24.233 ******* 22.339 74.979 66.317 ******* 69.923 91.010 84.244 ******* 86.142 85.064 80.696 -9999.00 83.211 3,346. 3,346. 0. 2,733.
45 29.864 22.488 ******* ******* 72.327 64.723 ******* ******* 88.726 82.769 ******* ******* 83.562 79.667 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,303. 3,303. 0. 0.
48 29.376 19.361 ******* 18.814 74.810 67.828 ******* 69.325 91.157 85.233 ******* 85.197 86.347 83.056 -9999.00 83.155 816. 816. 0. 680.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 1997111500 to 1998022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 33.732 34.122 ******* 30.708 70.781 71.033 ******* 64.475 86.483 86.486 ******* 80.177 79.648 79.483 -9999.00 74.079 2,901. 2,901. 0. 2,411.
3 32.054 24.483 ******* ******* 67.967 61.928 ******* ******* 84.930 79.762 ******* ******* 78.661 75.922 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,461. 3,461. 0. 0.
6 31.746 21.199 ******* 23.371 68.052 59.061 ******* 64.082 85.461 77.401 ******* 80.840 79.357 74.452 -9999.00 77.402 3,538. 3,538. 0. 2,957.
9 28.488 21.188 ******* ******* 63.784 56.567 ******* ******* 80.903 75.186 ******* ******* 75.732 72.149 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,506. 3,506. 0. 0.
12 28.645 19.401 19.722 28.081 67.043 60.214 60.354 65.572 84.175 78.653 78.886 82.147 79.162 76.234 76.391 77.211 3,590. 3,590. 3,590. 3,080.
15 35.339 25.226 21.354 ******* 72.712 64.450 62.295 ******* 88.896 82.136 80.724 ******* 81.582 78.178 77.861 -9999.00 3,376. 3,376. 3,376. 0.
18 31.676 24.542 19.490 24.568 70.872 63.327 60.761 67.629 87.711 81.417 78.792 84.429 81.806 77.644 76.356 80.791 2,943. 2,943. 2,943. 2,513.
21 34.411 24.965 21.143 ******* 69.941 60.469 57.284 ******* 86.235 78.044 75.089 ******* 79.085 73.956 72.064 -9999.00 2,889. 2,889. 2,889. 0.
24 30.079 23.983 20.787 25.401 71.323 63.470 60.395 65.770 86.846 80.571 78.008 81.691 81.485 76.932 75.201 77.658 2,835. 2,835. 2,835. 2,381.
27 35.153 27.622 23.385 ******* 75.486 66.907 63.685 ******* 91.264 84.063 81.431 ******* 84.235 79.408 78.013 -9999.00 3,259. 3,259. 3,259. 0.
30 34.434 25.380 22.589 27.547 70.620 62.692 59.714 65.226 87.088 80.585 78.006 81.801 80.003 76.496 74.675 77.037 3,367. 3,367. 3,367. 2,830.
33 32.262 22.485 17.402 ******* 69.046 61.994 60.372 ******* 85.328 80.170 78.881 ******* 79.006 76.964 76.949 -9999.00 3,283. 3,283. 3,283. 0.
36 29.709 20.136 17.152 25.502 71.109 63.836 62.201 65.500 87.390 81.738 80.846 81.210 82.197 79.231 79.018 77.116 3,287. 3,287. 3,287. 2,746.
39 35.547 27.919 ******* ******* 73.367 65.290 ******* ******* 89.454 83.102 ******* ******* 82.102 78.285 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,978. 2,978. 0. 0.
42 30.262 22.895 ******* 18.929 72.297 65.405 ******* 66.448 89.000 83.181 ******* 82.685 83.713 79.984 -9999.00 80.508 2,623. 2,623. 0. 2,171.
45 34.003 25.742 ******* ******* 72.596 64.019 ******* ******* 88.840 81.785 ******* ******* 82.091 77.644 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,553. 2,553. 0. 0.
48 34.011 20.767 ******* 17.358 70.753 58.947 ******* 63.443 85.763 75.454 ******* 78.800 78.808 72.612 -9999.00 76.961 505. 505. 0. 401.