MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) From 1997111500 to 1998022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.891 7.693 ******* 3.872 9.416 9.167 ******* 6.420 12.103 11.831 ******* 8.379 9.177 8.990 -9999.00 7.433 3,728. 3,728. 0. 3,114.
3 6.505 5.453 ******* ******* 7.897 6.749 ******* ******* 9.748 8.510 ******* ******* 7.261 6.534 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,425. 3,425. 0. 0.
6 6.553 5.408 ******* 0.756 8.086 6.850 ******* 5.254 9.868 8.673 ******* 6.919 7.379 6.782 -9999.00 6.879 2,994. 2,994. 0. 2,495.
9 6.396 5.591 ******* ******* 7.996 7.095 ******* ******* 9.745 8.821 ******* ******* 7.354 6.824 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,936. 2,936. 0. 0.
12 6.349 5.656 6.061 0.701 8.063 7.233 7.582 5.399 9.791 8.986 9.369 7.079 7.454 6.984 7.145 7.046 3,029. 3,029. 3,029. 2,491.
15 6.948 6.153 5.959 ******* 8.490 7.550 7.424 ******* 10.098 9.238 9.302 ******* 7.329 6.892 7.143 -9999.00 3,502. 3,502. 3,502. 0.
18 6.928 6.007 5.812 1.711 8.465 7.510 7.378 5.494 10.273 9.361 9.378 7.029 7.586 7.180 7.361 6.818 3,587. 3,587. 3,587. 2,945.
21 5.682 4.968 4.908 ******* 7.774 7.015 6.991 ******* 9.749 9.007 9.097 ******* 7.923 7.514 7.660 -9999.00 3,486. 3,486. 3,486. 0.
24 5.639 5.035 4.903 1.448 7.624 6.927 6.869 5.180 9.616 8.998 9.014 6.748 7.791 7.459 7.565 6.592 3,490. 3,490. 3,490. 2,971.
27 7.155 6.137 5.819 ******* 8.604 7.649 7.436 ******* 10.574 9.537 9.495 ******* 7.787 7.301 7.504 -9999.00 3,222. 3,222. 3,222. 0.
30 7.097 6.177 6.110 1.566 8.681 7.796 7.814 5.657 10.560 9.739 9.914 7.250 7.821 7.530 7.809 7.081 2,816. 2,816. 2,816. 2,351.
33 6.954 6.203 6.096 ******* 8.666 7.922 7.880 ******* 10.540 9.883 10.048 ******* 7.922 7.695 7.989 -9999.00 2,759. 2,759. 2,759. 0.
36 6.748 6.001 5.940 1.423 8.741 7.935 7.930 5.847 10.713 10.025 10.157 7.627 8.321 8.032 8.240 7.495 2,775. 2,775. 2,775. 2,249.
39 6.741 5.939 ******* ******* 8.601 7.729 ******* ******* 10.425 9.583 ******* ******* 7.954 7.522 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,297. 3,297. 0. 0.
42 6.646 5.773 ******* 1.872 8.615 7.873 ******* 5.690 10.582 9.888 ******* 7.265 8.237 8.028 -9999.00 7.021 3,423. 3,423. 0. 2,798.
45 5.371 4.754 ******* ******* 7.677 7.223 ******* ******* 9.788 9.442 ******* ******* 8.183 8.159 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,378. 3,378. 0. 0.
48 4.596 4.047 ******* 0.141 7.003 6.635 ******* 4.902 8.843 8.375 ******* 6.751 7.559 7.337 -9999.00 6.754 833. 833. 0. 692.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) From 1997111500 to 1998022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 8.351 8.122 ******* 3.985 10.250 9.959 ******* 7.146 13.070 12.691 ******* 9.368 10.055 9.752 -9999.00 8.480 2,968. 2,968. 0. 2,464.
3 6.663 5.595 ******* ******* 8.193 7.018 ******* ******* 9.912 8.715 ******* ******* 7.339 6.683 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,525. 3,525. 0. 0.
6 6.710 5.661 ******* 1.148 8.191 7.084 ******* 5.257 10.047 8.936 ******* 6.768 7.479 6.914 -9999.00 6.671 3,625. 3,625. 0. 3,030.
9 4.561 4.225 ******* ******* 6.900 6.276 ******* ******* 8.748 8.146 ******* ******* 7.466 6.965 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,593. 3,593. 0. 0.
12 5.051 4.691 4.967 0.979 6.979 6.348 6.559 4.885 8.802 8.247 8.487 6.432 7.209 6.784 6.883 6.358 3,673. 3,673. 3,673. 3,152.
15 6.379 5.673 5.604 ******* 7.908 7.096 7.077 ******* 9.828 8.951 9.024 ******* 7.478 6.925 7.074 -9999.00 3,441. 3,441. 3,441. 0.
18 6.425 5.597 5.560 1.291 8.046 7.140 7.241 5.282 9.967 9.108 9.327 6.935 7.621 7.186 7.490 6.815 3,009. 3,009. 3,009. 2,570.
21 6.479 5.682 5.573 ******* 8.221 7.325 7.286 ******* 10.160 9.209 9.384 ******* 7.828 7.249 7.551 -9999.00 2,948. 2,948. 2,948. 0.
24 6.703 5.917 5.832 1.093 8.456 7.659 7.693 5.513 10.515 9.743 9.989 7.331 8.103 7.741 8.110 7.251 2,896. 2,896. 2,896. 2,431.
27 6.656 5.853 5.752 ******* 8.262 7.532 7.492 ******* 10.058 9.298 9.421 ******* 7.542 7.226 7.463 -9999.00 3,322. 3,322. 3,322. 0.
30 6.187 5.340 5.180 1.779 8.280 7.468 7.373 5.555 10.220 9.342 9.381 7.125 8.136 7.667 7.822 6.901 3,445. 3,445. 3,445. 2,899.
33 5.348 4.520 4.522 ******* 7.739 7.057 7.089 ******* 9.770 9.111 9.387 ******* 8.177 7.912 8.227 -9999.00 3,362. 3,362. 3,362. 0.
36 6.021 5.409 5.290 1.540 8.040 7.313 7.262 5.294 10.171 9.485 9.563 6.900 8.199 7.793 7.968 6.727 3,363. 3,363. 3,363. 2,806.
39 7.073 6.238 ******* ******* 8.759 7.968 ******* ******* 10.886 10.005 ******* ******* 8.277 7.823 -9999.00 -9999.00 3,040. 3,040. 0. 0.
42 7.124 6.134 ******* 1.762 8.892 7.976 ******* 5.703 10.903 10.082 ******* 7.338 8.256 8.004 -9999.00 7.125 2,679. 2,679. 0. 2,217.
45 6.609 5.844 ******* ******* 8.706 7.960 ******* ******* 10.719 10.033 ******* ******* 8.440 8.157 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,607. 2,607. 0. 0.
48 3.642 2.831 ******* 0.002 7.203 6.583 ******* 5.303 9.121 8.434 ******* 7.232 8.370 7.953 -9999.00 7.241 516. 516. 0. 409.