MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of PSLR (SLP millibars ) From 1997111500 to 1998022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -0.095 -0.114 ******* -0.131 0.842 0.846 ******* 0.841 1.090 1.094 ******* 1.087 1.086 1.088 -9999.00 1.079 2,669. 2,669. 0. 2,212.
3 -0.550 -0.645 ******* ******* 1.204 1.244 ******* ******* 1.550 1.601 ******* ******* 1.449 1.466 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,587. 2,587. 0. 0.
6 -0.224 -0.391 ******* 0.627 1.355 1.386 ******* 1.494 1.735 1.771 ******* 1.903 1.721 1.728 -9999.00 1.797 2,436. 2,436. 0. 2,016.
9 -0.794 -0.942 ******* ******* 1.703 1.714 ******* ******* 2.157 2.190 ******* ******* 2.006 1.977 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,435. 2,435. 0. 0.
12 -1.092 -1.253 -1.383 -0.199 2.056 2.089 2.148 1.488 2.557 2.600 2.676 1.878 2.313 2.279 2.291 1.867 2,469. 2,469. 2,469. 2,017.
15 -0.990 -1.146 -1.315 ******* 2.237 2.265 2.346 ******* 2.776 2.808 2.905 ******* 2.594 2.564 2.590 -9999.00 2,603. 2,603. 2,603. 0.
18 -1.662 -1.789 -1.928 -0.078 2.714 2.753 2.815 1.993 3.321 3.363 3.436 2.574 2.876 2.848 2.845 2.573 2,562. 2,562. 2,562. 2,091.
21 -1.125 -1.213 -1.334 ******* 2.571 2.591 2.628 ******* 3.225 3.248 3.309 ******* 3.023 3.014 3.029 -9999.00 2,518. 2,518. 2,518. 0.
24 -0.699 -0.803 -0.940 0.363 2.473 2.523 2.570 2.231 3.257 3.292 3.349 3.046 3.181 3.193 3.214 3.025 2,490. 2,490. 2,490. 2,097.
27 -0.879 -0.996 -1.154 ******* 2.755 2.756 2.805 ******* 3.770 3.772 3.833 ******* 3.667 3.639 3.656 -9999.00 2,439. 2,439. 2,439. 0.
30 -0.957 -1.090 -1.241 0.912 3.053 3.035 3.071 2.799 4.190 4.161 4.224 3.931 4.081 4.016 4.038 3.825 2,295. 2,295. 2,295. 1,908.
33 -1.133 -1.289 -1.449 ******* 3.325 3.301 3.327 ******* 4.569 4.546 4.605 ******* 4.427 4.361 4.372 -9999.00 2,283. 2,283. 2,283. 0.
36 -1.290 -1.432 -1.589 0.470 3.500 3.489 3.540 3.198 4.801 4.773 4.842 4.331 4.626 4.554 4.575 4.306 2,261. 2,261. 2,261. 1,822.
39 -1.036 -1.166 ******* ******* 3.499 3.492 ******* ******* 4.823 4.791 ******* ******* 4.711 4.648 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,435. 2,435. 0. 0.
42 -1.345 -1.465 ******* 0.827 3.568 3.572 ******* 3.207 4.722 4.724 ******* 4.178 4.528 4.492 -9999.00 4.096 2,452. 2,452. 0. 1,988.
45 -0.513 -0.612 ******* ******* 3.347 3.353 ******* ******* 4.244 4.245 ******* ******* 4.213 4.202 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,442. 2,442. 0. 0.
48 1.013 0.855 ******* 1.762 2.495 2.498 ******* 3.353 3.144 3.115 ******* 4.123 2.979 2.997 -9999.00 3.731 605. 605. 0. 506.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of PSLR (SLP millibars ) From 1997111500 to 1998022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 0.032 0.001 ******* 0.076 0.873 0.880 ******* 0.843 1.153 1.153 ******* 1.106 1.152 1.153 -9999.00 1.103 2,411. 2,411. 0. 1,989.
3 -0.381 -0.463 ******* ******* 1.222 1.270 ******* ******* 1.638 1.686 ******* ******* 1.593 1.622 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,610. 2,610. 0. 0.
6 -0.700 -0.824 ******* -0.220 1.464 1.487 ******* 1.319 1.889 1.920 ******* 1.715 1.755 1.734 -9999.00 1.701 2,604. 2,604. 0. 2,166.
9 -0.861 -0.942 ******* ******* 1.643 1.638 ******* ******* 2.055 2.058 ******* ******* 1.867 1.830 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,591. 2,591. 0. 0.
12 -0.858 -0.973 -1.085 -0.725 1.772 1.798 1.849 1.752 2.195 2.242 2.306 2.230 2.021 2.020 2.036 2.110 2,625. 2,625. 2,625. 2,236.
15 -0.921 -1.053 -1.218 ******* 1.940 1.973 2.063 ******* 2.464 2.500 2.607 ******* 2.286 2.268 2.306 -9999.00 2,593. 2,593. 2,593. 0.
18 -0.999 -1.127 -1.298 0.250 2.285 2.282 2.362 2.042 2.933 2.934 3.032 2.629 2.758 2.710 2.741 2.618 2,451. 2,451. 2,451. 2,084.
21 -1.216 -1.334 -1.511 ******* 2.729 2.705 2.778 ******* 3.474 3.455 3.553 ******* 3.255 3.188 3.216 -9999.00 2,439. 2,439. 2,439. 0.
24 -1.080 -1.209 -1.364 0.320 2.907 2.868 2.916 2.430 3.700 3.673 3.755 3.161 3.539 3.469 3.499 3.146 2,353. 2,353. 2,353. 1,962.
27 -0.862 -1.007 -1.149 ******* 2.974 2.956 2.980 ******* 3.716 3.707 3.758 ******* 3.615 3.568 3.579 -9999.00 2,464. 2,464. 2,464. 0.
30 -1.388 -1.549 -1.684 0.523 3.194 3.223 3.257 2.638 3.950 4.003 4.051 3.324 3.699 3.691 3.685 3.283 2,464. 2,464. 2,464. 2,057.
33 -0.871 -1.014 -1.131 ******* 3.080 3.098 3.132 ******* 3.783 3.819 3.869 ******* 3.682 3.683 3.701 -9999.00 2,439. 2,439. 2,439. 0.
36 -0.625 -0.766 -0.896 0.887 2.928 2.971 3.011 2.802 3.633 3.685 3.738 3.447 3.580 3.605 3.630 3.332 2,418. 2,418. 2,418. 1,998.
39 -0.725 -0.868 ******* ******* 2.941 2.947 ******* ******* 3.679 3.694 ******* ******* 3.607 3.591 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,297. 2,297. 0. 0.
42 -0.641 -0.805 ******* 1.312 2.963 2.949 ******* 2.961 3.801 3.797 ******* 3.649 3.747 3.711 -9999.00 3.406 2,179. 2,179. 0. 1,792.
45 -0.785 -0.944 ******* ******* 3.269 3.247 ******* ******* 4.277 4.263 ******* ******* 4.205 4.158 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,152. 2,152. 0. 0.
48 1.230 1.005 ******* 2.383 3.007 2.944 ******* 3.009 3.795 3.739 ******* 3.800 3.594 3.605 -9999.00 2.964 422. 422. 0. 338.