MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of RELH (RH Percent ) From 1997111500 to 1998022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 1.569 1.702 ******* 5.091 11.692 11.800 ******* 11.599 15.714 15.855 ******* 15.005 15.638 15.766 -9999.00 14.118 2,952. 2,952. 0. 2,447.
3 -4.863 -6.532 ******* ******* 12.322 12.302 ******* ******* 15.799 15.970 ******* ******* 15.035 14.575 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,767. 2,767. 0. 0.
6 -6.991 -10.109 ******* 1.392 13.081 14.023 ******* 9.180 16.655 17.953 ******* 12.085 15.120 14.839 -9999.00 12.007 2,344. 2,344. 0. 1,936.
9 -7.083 -10.967 ******* ******* 13.468 14.729 ******* ******* 17.122 18.787 ******* ******* 15.592 15.257 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,300. 2,300. 0. 0.
12 -5.894 -10.258 -9.891 1.867 13.197 14.493 14.289 8.781 16.859 18.434 18.252 11.896 15.799 15.320 15.343 11.752 2,355. 2,355. 2,355. 1,918.
15 -5.435 -10.159 -11.227 ******* 13.301 14.504 14.948 ******* 17.065 18.722 19.138 ******* 16.179 15.729 15.502 -9999.00 2,747. 2,747. 2,747. 0.
18 -3.574 -8.483 -10.078 3.451 13.149 13.956 14.593 9.964 16.842 17.854 18.758 13.408 16.461 15.713 15.823 12.959 2,844. 2,844. 2,844. 2,321.
21 -0.487 -6.014 -7.961 ******* 12.434 12.828 13.344 ******* 15.844 16.430 17.180 ******* 15.839 15.292 15.227 -9999.00 2,775. 2,775. 2,775. 0.
24 -0.454 -5.281 -7.089 7.068 12.612 12.506 12.916 11.851 16.199 16.242 16.830 15.599 16.196 15.362 15.267 13.909 2,769. 2,769. 2,769. 2,342.
27 -4.201 -9.155 -11.141 ******* 13.240 14.194 14.975 ******* 17.017 18.256 19.113 ******* 16.494 15.798 15.534 -9999.00 2,600. 2,600. 2,600. 0.
30 -4.675 -9.879 -11.894 3.980 13.354 14.968 15.785 10.216 17.357 19.211 20.280 13.738 16.719 16.480 16.429 13.152 2,200. 2,200. 2,200. 1,817.
33 -4.537 -9.887 -11.895 ******* 13.317 14.960 15.844 ******* 17.187 19.181 20.331 ******* 16.581 16.441 16.493 -9999.00 2,152. 2,152. 2,152. 0.
36 -3.406 -8.693 -11.028 3.129 13.094 14.392 15.485 9.685 16.995 18.598 19.801 13.339 16.654 16.444 16.449 12.970 2,154. 2,154. 2,154. 1,730.
39 -3.315 -8.620 ******* ******* 13.378 14.452 ******* ******* 17.267 18.632 ******* ******* 16.949 16.522 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,597. 2,597. 0. 0.
42 -1.352 -6.537 ******* 4.240 12.901 13.277 ******* 10.392 16.489 17.239 ******* 14.212 16.436 15.955 -9999.00 13.568 2,738. 2,738. 0. 2,226.
45 1.554 -3.781 ******* ******* 12.908 12.780 ******* ******* 16.386 16.286 ******* ******* 16.315 15.844 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,696. 2,696. 0. 0.
48 -4.295 -7.982 ******* 4.144 13.674 14.182 ******* 9.471 17.888 18.181 ******* 12.736 17.378 16.347 -9999.00 12.054 669. 669. 0. 560.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of RELH (RH Percent ) From 1997111500 to 1998022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -5.422 -5.296 ******* -0.176 11.235 11.189 ******* 9.805 15.359 15.354 ******* 12.675 14.373 14.415 -9999.00 12.677 2,304. 2,304. 0. 1,897.
3 -6.677 -8.440 ******* ******* 12.598 12.770 ******* ******* 16.092 16.613 ******* ******* 14.644 14.312 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,769. 2,769. 0. 0.
6 -5.409 -8.685 ******* 3.013 12.599 12.996 ******* 9.795 15.903 16.570 ******* 13.058 14.957 14.114 -9999.00 12.708 2,875. 2,875. 0. 2,391.
9 -2.555 -6.706 ******* ******* 11.480 12.152 ******* ******* 14.491 15.393 ******* ******* 14.266 13.858 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,864. 2,864. 0. 0.
12 -1.475 -5.463 -5.094 6.062 12.074 11.942 11.887 11.141 15.243 15.290 15.236 14.595 15.174 14.283 14.361 13.279 2,905. 2,905. 2,905. 2,475.
15 -5.373 -9.325 -10.295 ******* 12.735 13.614 13.892 ******* 16.156 17.264 17.689 ******* 15.239 14.532 14.387 -9999.00 2,772. 2,772. 2,772. 0.
18 -5.651 -9.929 -11.835 2.819 13.100 14.251 14.968 9.221 16.686 18.225 19.082 12.426 15.703 15.286 14.971 12.106 2,344. 2,344. 2,344. 1,983.
21 -5.330 -10.201 -12.370 ******* 13.270 14.664 15.685 ******* 16.880 18.707 19.907 ******* 16.020 15.684 15.601 -9999.00 2,299. 2,299. 2,299. 0.
24 -4.284 -9.089 -11.355 3.067 13.012 14.095 15.102 9.167 16.826 18.224 19.398 12.541 16.275 15.799 15.731 12.163 2,249. 2,249. 2,249. 1,870.
27 -4.338 -9.211 -11.799 ******* 13.478 14.488 15.672 ******* 17.264 18.616 19.902 ******* 16.714 16.181 16.030 -9999.00 2,605. 2,605. 2,605. 0.
30 -2.146 -7.047 -9.484 4.074 12.911 13.495 14.360 10.189 16.595 17.532 18.546 13.825 16.459 16.057 15.940 13.215 2,732. 2,732. 2,732. 2,284.
33 -0.145 -4.822 -6.915 ******* 12.870 12.849 13.170 ******* 16.062 16.192 16.763 ******* 16.064 15.460 15.273 -9999.00 2,678. 2,678. 2,678. 0.
36 -0.081 -5.004 -6.787 7.679 12.851 12.742 13.163 12.384 16.169 16.288 16.812 16.087 16.171 15.503 15.384 14.139 2,669. 2,669. 2,669. 2,213.
39 -3.930 -8.725 ******* ******* 13.003 13.838 ******* ******* 16.663 17.836 ******* ******* 16.197 15.559 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,451. 2,451. 0. 0.
42 -4.496 -9.443 ******* 3.914 12.996 14.332 ******* 9.855 16.648 18.455 ******* 13.250 16.033 15.860 -9999.00 12.663 2,096. 2,096. 0. 1,717.
45 -3.533 -8.536 ******* ******* 12.777 14.136 ******* ******* 16.610 18.397 ******* ******* 16.233 16.301 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,037. 2,037. 0. 0.
48 -6.070 -9.968 ******* -0.999 12.700 14.275 ******* 8.764 16.699 18.628 ******* 11.527 15.575 15.756 -9999.00 11.502 411. 411. 0. 322.