MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1997111500 to 1998022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 14.782 14.677 ******* 11.000 14.782 14.677 ******* 11.000 17.317 17.099 ******* 12.880 9.023 8.774 -9999.00 6.702 2,003. 2,003. 0. 1,646.
3 12.535 10.989 ******* ******* 12.535 10.989 ******* ******* 14.680 12.951 ******* ******* 7.642 6.855 -9999.00 -9999.00 1,830. 1,830. 0. 0.
6 13.001 11.193 ******* 10.021 13.001 11.193 ******* 10.021 15.197 13.172 ******* 11.689 7.872 6.946 -9999.00 6.019 1,639. 1,639. 0. 1,345.
9 13.143 11.584 ******* ******* 13.143 11.584 ******* ******* 15.269 13.530 ******* ******* 7.774 6.994 -9999.00 -9999.00 1,631. 1,631. 0. 0.
12 13.188 11.504 11.778 10.108 13.188 11.504 11.778 10.108 15.187 13.442 13.666 11.787 7.532 6.954 6.933 6.066 1,688. 1,688. 1,688. 1,395.
15 13.766 12.338 12.099 ******* 13.766 12.338 12.099 ******* 15.826 14.291 14.309 ******* 7.810 7.214 7.641 -9999.00 1,907. 1,907. 1,907. 0.
18 13.183 11.806 11.428 9.923 13.183 11.806 11.428 9.923 15.364 13.981 13.761 11.720 7.893 7.491 7.667 6.238 1,959. 1,959. 1,959. 1,577.
21 12.797 11.203 11.136 ******* 12.797 11.203 11.136 ******* 14.926 13.341 13.460 ******* 7.684 7.244 7.562 -9999.00 2,068. 2,068. 2,068. 0.
24 12.779 11.138 10.989 10.145 12.779 11.138 10.989 10.145 15.177 13.463 13.455 11.962 8.190 7.565 7.766 6.339 1,897. 1,897. 1,897. 1,616.
27 14.366 12.704 12.352 ******* 14.366 12.704 12.352 ******* 16.733 14.928 14.744 ******* 8.582 7.841 8.053 -9999.00 1,735. 1,735. 1,735. 0.
30 14.072 12.387 12.348 10.530 14.072 12.387 12.348 10.530 16.408 14.627 14.747 12.398 8.440 7.780 8.065 6.546 1,570. 1,570. 1,570. 1,319.
33 14.145 12.463 12.244 ******* 14.145 12.463 12.244 ******* 16.466 14.554 14.603 ******* 8.432 7.520 7.960 -9999.00 1,547. 1,547. 1,547. 0.
36 14.673 12.857 12.574 11.032 14.673 12.857 12.574 11.032 16.943 15.341 15.276 12.829 8.473 8.371 8.677 6.552 1,539. 1,539. 1,539. 1,249.
39 14.817 13.315 ******* ******* 14.817 13.315 ******* ******* 17.257 15.834 ******* ******* 8.849 8.571 -9999.00 -9999.00 1,773. 1,773. 0. 0.
42 14.482 12.924 ******* 10.707 14.482 12.924 ******* 10.707 16.966 15.617 ******* 12.565 8.840 8.769 -9999.00 6.578 1,857. 1,857. 0. 1,498.
45 13.675 12.251 ******* ******* 13.675 12.251 ******* ******* 16.287 14.991 ******* ******* 8.850 8.642 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,014. 2,014. 0. 0.
48 13.426 12.183 ******* 10.489 13.426 12.183 ******* 10.489 15.653 14.497 ******* 12.283 8.057 7.866 -9999.00 6.400 456. 456. 0. 386.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1997111500 to 1998022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 15.782 15.707 ******* 11.996 15.782 15.707 ******* 11.996 18.346 18.210 ******* 13.832 9.357 9.217 -9999.00 6.889 1,634. 1,634. 0. 1,358.
3 13.050 11.458 ******* ******* 13.050 11.458 ******* ******* 15.091 13.245 ******* ******* 7.581 6.646 -9999.00 -9999.00 1,884. 1,884. 0. 0.
6 12.582 10.947 ******* 9.430 12.582 10.947 ******* 9.430 14.719 12.865 ******* 11.047 7.640 6.760 -9999.00 5.755 1,943. 1,943. 0. 1,600.
9 11.293 9.962 ******* ******* 11.293 9.962 ******* ******* 13.283 11.897 ******* ******* 6.996 6.505 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,105. 2,105. 0. 0.
12 11.329 10.081 10.312 9.531 11.329 10.081 10.312 9.531 13.337 12.115 12.335 11.101 7.040 6.721 6.771 5.693 1,929. 1,929. 1,929. 1,664.
15 13.229 11.963 11.861 ******* 13.229 11.963 11.861 ******* 15.471 14.056 14.127 ******* 8.023 7.382 7.675 -9999.00 1,787. 1,787. 1,787. 0.
18 13.400 11.859 11.874 10.167 13.400 11.859 11.874 10.167 15.618 14.000 14.127 11.888 8.025 7.445 7.657 6.162 1,626. 1,626. 1,626. 1,378.
21 13.459 11.662 11.451 ******* 13.459 11.662 11.451 ******* 15.658 13.638 13.545 ******* 8.004 7.073 7.237 -9999.00 1,622. 1,622. 1,622. 0.
24 14.350 12.545 12.238 10.448 14.350 12.545 12.238 10.448 16.825 14.979 14.820 12.270 8.787 8.188 8.362 6.436 1,579. 1,579. 1,579. 1,321.
27 14.766 13.092 12.823 ******* 14.766 13.092 12.823 ******* 17.414 15.593 15.562 ******* 9.234 8.472 8.820 -9999.00 1,753. 1,753. 1,753. 0.
30 13.489 11.876 11.735 10.099 13.489 11.876 11.735 10.099 16.011 14.194 14.132 12.011 8.629 7.775 7.876 6.505 1,857. 1,857. 1,857. 1,554.
33 13.406 11.828 11.818 ******* 13.406 11.828 11.818 ******* 15.910 14.123 14.290 ******* 8.571 7.718 8.036 -9999.00 1,974. 1,974. 1,974. 0.
36 13.577 12.162 12.149 10.183 13.577 12.162 12.149 10.183 16.268 14.857 14.960 12.103 8.964 8.536 8.731 6.543 1,806. 1,806. 1,806. 1,512.
39 14.823 13.320 ******* ******* 14.823 13.320 ******* ******* 17.451 15.984 ******* ******* 9.212 8.838 -9999.00 -9999.00 1,605. 1,605. 0. 0.
42 14.531 13.089 ******* 10.673 14.531 13.089 ******* 10.673 16.952 15.486 ******* 12.545 8.733 8.279 -9999.00 6.596 1,472. 1,472. 0. 1,214.
45 14.380 13.015 ******* ******* 14.380 13.015 ******* ******* 16.617 15.239 ******* ******* 8.330 7.930 -9999.00 -9999.00 1,436. 1,436. 0. 0.
48 14.221 12.061 ******* 11.279 14.221 12.061 ******* 11.279 16.252 14.299 ******* 13.167 7.882 7.696 -9999.00 6.812 271. 271. 0. 198.