MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1997111500 to 1998022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 12.439 12.201 ******* 11.000 12.439 12.201 ******* 11.000 14.723 14.369 ******* 12.880 7.878 7.592 -9999.00 6.702 2,003. 2,003. 0. 1,646.
3 10.783 9.250 ******* ******* 10.783 9.250 ******* ******* 12.910 11.231 ******* ******* 7.100 6.372 -9999.00 -9999.00 1,830. 1,830. 0. 0.
6 11.326 9.456 ******* 10.021 11.326 9.456 ******* 10.021 13.490 11.459 ******* 11.689 7.330 6.474 -9999.00 6.019 1,639. 1,639. 0. 1,345.
9 11.448 9.820 ******* ******* 11.448 9.820 ******* ******* 13.544 11.744 ******* ******* 7.240 6.443 -9999.00 -9999.00 1,631. 1,631. 0. 0.
12 11.496 9.765 9.828 10.108 11.496 9.765 9.828 10.108 13.501 11.713 11.738 11.787 7.082 6.471 6.419 6.066 1,688. 1,688. 1,688. 1,395.
15 11.878 10.346 10.054 ******* 11.878 10.346 10.054 ******* 13.911 12.326 12.209 ******* 7.243 6.701 6.929 -9999.00 1,907. 1,907. 1,907. 0.
18 11.306 9.946 9.544 9.923 11.306 9.946 9.544 9.923 13.428 12.048 11.713 11.720 7.246 6.800 6.792 6.238 1,959. 1,959. 1,959. 1,577.
21 11.161 9.577 9.434 ******* 11.161 9.577 9.434 ******* 13.216 11.597 11.619 ******* 7.080 6.541 6.785 -9999.00 2,068. 2,068. 2,068. 0.
24 11.254 9.682 9.532 10.145 11.254 9.682 9.532 10.145 13.504 11.880 11.791 11.962 7.466 6.886 6.942 6.339 1,897. 1,897. 1,897. 1,616.
27 12.429 10.795 10.459 ******* 12.429 10.795 10.459 ******* 14.740 13.012 12.723 ******* 7.927 7.267 7.245 -9999.00 1,735. 1,735. 1,735. 0.
30 12.228 10.509 10.427 10.530 12.228 10.509 10.427 10.530 14.533 12.772 12.764 12.398 7.857 7.261 7.363 6.546 1,570. 1,570. 1,570. 1,319.
33 12.296 10.610 10.363 ******* 12.296 10.610 10.363 ******* 14.574 12.655 12.613 ******* 7.827 6.900 7.193 -9999.00 1,547. 1,547. 1,547. 0.
36 12.845 11.082 10.754 11.032 12.845 11.082 10.754 11.032 15.071 13.513 13.348 12.829 7.884 7.735 7.908 6.552 1,539. 1,539. 1,539. 1,249.
39 12.993 11.475 ******* ******* 12.993 11.475 ******* ******* 15.367 13.965 ******* ******* 8.207 7.962 -9999.00 -9999.00 1,773. 1,773. 0. 0.
42 12.581 11.068 ******* 10.707 12.581 11.068 ******* 10.707 14.996 13.638 ******* 12.565 8.164 7.971 -9999.00 6.578 1,857. 1,857. 0. 1,498.
45 12.052 10.627 ******* ******* 12.052 10.627 ******* ******* 14.506 13.118 ******* ******* 8.076 7.693 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,014. 2,014. 0. 0.
48 11.930 10.714 ******* 10.489 11.930 10.714 ******* 10.489 14.130 13.071 ******* 12.283 7.581 7.496 -9999.00 6.400 456. 456. 0. 386.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1997111500 to 1998022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 13.376 13.276 ******* 11.996 13.376 13.276 ******* 11.996 15.719 15.529 ******* 13.832 8.260 8.060 -9999.00 6.889 1,634. 1,634. 0. 1,358.
3 11.217 9.648 ******* ******* 11.217 9.648 ******* ******* 13.198 11.399 ******* ******* 6.956 6.072 -9999.00 -9999.00 1,884. 1,884. 0. 0.
6 10.719 9.132 ******* 9.430 10.719 9.132 ******* 9.430 12.797 10.987 ******* 11.047 6.993 6.110 -9999.00 5.755 1,943. 1,943. 0. 1,600.
9 9.980 8.583 ******* ******* 9.980 8.583 ******* ******* 11.870 10.401 ******* ******* 6.429 5.876 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,105. 2,105. 0. 0.
12 10.035 8.722 8.771 9.531 10.035 8.722 8.771 9.531 11.886 10.610 10.653 11.101 6.372 6.044 6.048 5.693 1,929. 1,929. 1,929. 1,664.
15 11.483 10.121 10.003 ******* 11.483 10.121 10.003 ******* 13.684 12.200 12.164 ******* 7.445 6.815 6.924 -9999.00 1,787. 1,787. 1,787. 0.
18 11.700 10.101 10.099 10.167 11.700 10.101 10.099 10.167 13.878 12.225 12.275 11.888 7.467 6.888 6.980 6.162 1,626. 1,626. 1,626. 1,378.
21 11.754 9.980 9.724 ******* 11.754 9.980 9.724 ******* 13.869 11.868 11.703 ******* 7.364 6.425 6.514 -9999.00 1,622. 1,622. 1,622. 0.
24 12.534 10.778 10.439 10.448 12.534 10.778 10.439 10.448 14.919 13.138 12.899 12.270 8.095 7.515 7.580 6.436 1,579. 1,579. 1,579. 1,321.
27 12.898 11.221 10.933 ******* 12.898 11.221 10.933 ******* 15.416 13.683 13.525 ******* 8.446 7.833 7.964 -9999.00 1,753. 1,753. 1,753. 0.
30 11.785 10.302 10.111 10.099 11.785 10.302 10.111 10.099 14.215 12.491 12.305 12.011 7.951 7.065 7.016 6.505 1,857. 1,857. 1,857. 1,554.
33 11.758 10.237 10.159 ******* 11.758 10.237 10.159 ******* 14.153 12.401 12.432 ******* 7.879 7.001 7.167 -9999.00 1,974. 1,974. 1,974. 0.
36 11.882 10.445 10.346 10.183 11.882 10.445 10.346 10.183 14.447 13.023 12.993 12.103 8.220 7.781 7.863 6.543 1,806. 1,806. 1,806. 1,512.
39 12.845 11.404 ******* ******* 12.845 11.404 ******* ******* 15.428 13.980 ******* ******* 8.549 8.090 -9999.00 -9999.00 1,605. 1,605. 0. 0.
42 12.664 11.192 ******* 10.673 12.664 11.192 ******* 10.673 15.061 13.610 ******* 12.545 8.155 7.747 -9999.00 6.596 1,472. 1,472. 0. 1,214.
45 12.641 11.295 ******* ******* 12.641 11.295 ******* ******* 14.825 13.447 ******* ******* 7.747 7.301 -9999.00 -9999.00 1,436. 1,436. 0. 0.
48 12.743 10.745 ******* 11.279 12.743 10.745 ******* 11.279 14.821 13.022 ******* 13.167 7.583 7.370 -9999.00 6.812 271. 271. 0. 198.