MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1997111500 to 1998022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 38.829 39.008 ******* 30.629 54.350 54.866 ******* 47.520 69.376 69.757 ******* 61.932 57.506 57.845 -9999.00 53.845 2,003. 2,003. 0. 1,646.
3 33.526 26.092 ******* ******* 49.920 43.680 ******* ******* 66.796 60.824 ******* ******* 57.789 54.958 -9999.00 -9999.00 1,830. 1,830. 0. 0.
6 32.436 25.653 ******* 25.286 51.642 43.846 ******* 48.451 68.487 60.281 ******* 64.692 60.337 54.567 -9999.00 59.568 1,639. 1,639. 0. 1,345.
9 34.872 26.590 ******* ******* 52.995 44.308 ******* ******* 69.417 60.398 ******* ******* 60.041 54.246 -9999.00 -9999.00 1,631. 1,631. 0. 0.
12 33.824 25.149 25.242 27.085 53.761 44.324 44.324 48.703 69.831 60.159 60.143 63.664 61.111 54.666 54.605 57.636 1,688. 1,688. 1,688. 1,395.
15 38.622 28.099 22.861 ******* 54.918 46.837 43.894 ******* 70.751 62.693 59.666 ******* 59.295 56.058 55.127 -9999.00 1,907. 1,907. 1,907. 0.
18 36.787 25.319 17.838 28.831 51.344 43.468 40.610 46.933 66.988 59.575 57.367 61.802 55.997 53.941 54.537 54.682 1,959. 1,959. 1,959. 1,577.
21 37.613 26.315 20.187 ******* 52.377 44.254 41.821 ******* 68.185 61.107 58.742 ******* 56.887 55.164 55.177 -9999.00 2,068. 2,068. 2,068. 0.
24 35.379 22.419 17.726 34.091 54.705 46.217 43.891 51.477 70.806 63.473 61.393 66.725 61.350 59.397 58.793 57.376 1,897. 1,897. 1,897. 1,616.
27 40.987 32.874 24.444 ******* 60.411 51.721 49.213 ******* 76.869 68.429 66.496 ******* 65.049 60.032 61.858 -9999.00 1,735. 1,735. 1,735. 0.
30 33.823 25.084 21.285 25.864 57.377 49.136 46.518 51.980 74.374 66.462 63.599 68.517 66.259 61.567 59.950 63.472 1,570. 1,570. 1,570. 1,319.
33 35.338 26.936 21.674 ******* 55.759 47.199 44.748 ******* 71.668 63.015 61.136 ******* 62.371 56.986 57.184 -9999.00 1,547. 1,547. 1,547. 0.
36 34.596 25.173 19.463 24.566 59.820 49.850 46.801 53.125 75.139 66.550 64.330 68.196 66.723 61.626 61.335 63.643 1,539. 1,539. 1,539. 1,249.
39 38.981 32.216 ******* ******* 63.496 55.098 ******* ******* 79.745 72.483 ******* ******* 69.588 64.948 -9999.00 -9999.00 1,773. 1,773. 0. 0.
42 38.028 27.136 ******* 24.205 60.146 50.593 ******* 52.835 75.664 67.819 ******* 67.480 65.431 62.171 -9999.00 63.011 1,857. 1,857. 0. 1,498.
45 37.075 23.976 ******* ******* 60.107 51.182 ******* ******* 76.893 68.968 ******* ******* 67.381 64.683 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,014. 2,014. 0. 0.
48 44.900 29.325 ******* 32.385 61.992 53.380 ******* 52.934 78.044 69.329 ******* 66.438 63.904 62.891 -9999.00 58.085 456. 456. 0. 386.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1997111500 to 1998022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 36.891 37.866 ******* 33.153 56.950 57.615 ******* 50.262 71.508 71.890 ******* 64.304 61.276 61.127 -9999.00 55.120 1,634. 1,634. 0. 1,358.
3 31.752 24.832 ******* ******* 50.669 44.457 ******* ******* 66.357 59.737 ******* ******* 58.282 54.346 -9999.00 -9999.00 1,884. 1,884. 0. 0.
6 33.139 22.648 ******* 25.319 48.584 40.123 ******* 44.778 64.725 55.620 ******* 59.867 55.613 50.813 -9999.00 54.266 1,943. 1,943. 0. 1,600.
9 32.524 22.169 ******* ******* 48.746 40.592 ******* ******* 64.725 57.013 ******* ******* 55.973 52.538 -9999.00 -9999.00 2,105. 2,105. 0. 0.
12 28.696 18.347 18.345 28.732 49.906 41.981 42.098 48.866 65.813 58.422 58.650 64.012 59.243 55.481 55.721 57.218 1,929. 1,929. 1,929. 1,664.
15 37.006 28.445 23.428 ******* 56.561 49.458 48.074 ******* 72.993 66.399 65.937 ******* 62.935 60.014 61.652 -9999.00 1,787. 1,787. 1,787. 0.
18 33.197 26.530 20.503 25.122 55.478 47.722 46.088 50.997 71.667 64.340 62.615 66.851 63.535 58.634 59.181 61.974 1,626. 1,626. 1,626. 1,378.
21 36.582 26.198 20.733 ******* 55.121 45.850 43.138 ******* 71.083 61.527 58.405 ******* 60.966 55.688 54.618 -9999.00 1,622. 1,622. 1,622. 0.
24 35.466 24.339 21.909 26.516 57.686 48.868 45.854 50.409 72.543 64.542 61.896 64.989 63.302 59.796 57.906 59.356 1,579. 1,579. 1,579. 1,321.
27 41.382 31.573 26.891 ******* 61.941 53.280 50.037 ******* 77.275 69.602 66.793 ******* 65.279 62.046 61.158 -9999.00 1,753. 1,753. 1,753. 0.
30 36.698 26.884 22.651 27.990 54.043 45.351 43.436 47.514 69.523 61.361 59.652 62.141 59.065 55.174 55.199 55.498 1,857. 1,857. 1,857. 1,554.
33 36.429 25.365 20.601 ******* 56.278 48.044 46.401 ******* 72.184 65.269 63.708 ******* 62.333 60.153 60.301 -9999.00 1,974. 1,974. 1,974. 0.
36 33.691 22.298 17.521 27.061 56.706 48.686 47.813 50.506 72.919 66.229 65.979 64.955 64.687 62.380 63.628 59.069 1,806. 1,806. 1,806. 1,512.
39 38.817 33.306 ******* ******* 59.722 52.280 ******* ******* 76.109 70.000 ******* ******* 65.487 61.588 -9999.00 -9999.00 1,605. 1,605. 0. 0.
42 32.482 25.814 ******* 18.663 57.064 51.264 ******* 50.481 73.483 68.414 ******* 65.661 65.936 63.378 -9999.00 62.979 1,472. 1,472. 0. 1,214.
45 36.492 29.131 ******* ******* 56.911 49.485 ******* ******* 72.887 66.410 ******* ******* 63.116 59.700 -9999.00 -9999.00 1,436. 1,436. 0. 0.
48 38.950 27.426 ******* 19.961 62.085 48.754 ******* 51.780 75.958 63.960 ******* 66.779 65.332 57.888 -9999.00 63.887 271. 271. 0. 198.