MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) From 1998030100 to 1998063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 1.999 1.603 ******* -1.932 5.385 5.158 ******* 4.174 7.104 6.784 ******* 5.554 6.817 6.592 -9999.00 5.207 6,656. 6,656. 0. 5,681.
3 0.601 0.856 ******* -2.666 3.869 3.758 ******* 4.182 5.062 4.851 ******* 5.892 5.026 4.776 -9999.00 5.255 6,581. 6,581. 0. 5,080.
6 1.915 2.442 ******* -1.824 4.377 4.416 ******* 3.926 5.586 5.510 ******* 5.571 5.248 4.940 -9999.00 5.265 6,037. 6,037. 0. 5,113.
9 1.928 2.368 ******* -1.687 4.367 4.366 ******* 3.771 5.618 5.493 ******* 5.317 5.277 4.957 -9999.00 5.043 5,508. 5,508. 0. 4,164.
12 1.907 2.167 3.056 -1.723 4.392 4.250 4.786 3.814 5.665 5.344 6.056 5.378 5.335 4.886 5.229 5.095 5,649. 5,649. 5,649. 4,750.
15 1.644 1.617 1.904 -1.910 4.345 3.885 3.860 3.842 5.643 4.995 4.984 5.332 5.399 4.726 4.607 4.978 6,562. 6,562. 6,562. 5,222.
18 -0.072 0.031 0.506 -2.785 3.971 3.625 3.608 4.101 5.234 4.758 4.732 5.558 5.234 4.758 4.706 4.810 6,560. 6,560. 6,560. 5,736.
21 -0.295 -0.038 0.534 -3.302 4.030 3.842 3.788 4.398 5.258 5.017 4.964 5.918 5.251 5.017 4.936 4.911 6,442. 6,442. 6,442. 4,912.
24 0.203 0.573 1.155 -3.114 4.136 4.042 4.137 4.358 5.387 5.178 5.274 5.884 5.384 5.147 5.146 4.993 6,088. 6,088. 6,088. 5,329.
27 1.214 1.708 2.065 -2.264 4.243 4.280 4.359 4.059 5.565 5.428 5.537 5.697 5.431 5.153 5.138 5.228 5,901. 5,901. 5,901. 4,638.
30 2.313 2.626 2.828 -1.480 4.711 4.802 4.785 3.924 6.093 6.047 6.133 5.487 5.638 5.448 5.443 5.284 5,454. 5,454. 5,454. 4,701.
33 2.268 2.441 2.602 -1.413 4.731 4.622 4.594 3.811 6.168 5.903 5.968 5.350 5.737 5.375 5.371 5.161 5,118. 5,118. 5,118. 3,944.
36 2.179 2.243 2.447 -1.620 4.847 4.634 4.585 3.890 6.325 5.922 5.931 5.481 5.938 5.482 5.404 5.237 5,302. 5,302. 5,302. 4,560.
39 1.854 1.818 ******* -1.779 4.766 4.430 ******* 3.938 6.265 5.703 ******* 5.480 5.985 5.406 -9999.00 5.184 6,242. 6,242. 0. 4,988.
42 0.048 0.061 ******* -2.740 4.325 4.165 ******* 4.154 5.770 5.439 ******* 5.679 5.771 5.439 -9999.00 4.975 6,130. 6,130. 0. 5,427.
45 -0.378 -0.306 ******* -3.265 4.237 4.098 ******* 4.397 5.573 5.338 ******* 5.974 5.561 5.330 -9999.00 5.004 6,097. 6,097. 0. 4,768.
48 0.073 0.391 ******* -3.038 4.396 4.279 ******* 4.434 5.760 5.564 ******* 5.996 5.760 5.551 -9999.00 5.170 5,323. 5,323. 0. 4,654.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) From 1998030100 to 1998063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 3.120 2.838 ******* 0.108 5.473 5.244 ******* 4.099 7.021 6.741 ******* 5.402 6.290 6.115 -9999.00 5.401 6,561. 6,561. 0. 5,729.
3 1.128 0.865 ******* -2.154 3.879 3.555 ******* 3.834 5.036 4.618 ******* 5.368 4.908 4.536 -9999.00 4.918 7,795. 7,795. 0. 6,350.
6 -0.545 -0.180 ******* -2.924 3.761 3.415 ******* 4.081 5.025 4.453 ******* 5.575 4.995 4.450 -9999.00 4.747 7,630. 7,630. 0. 6,833.
9 -0.737 -0.288 ******* -3.408 3.802 3.558 ******* 4.367 4.998 4.616 ******* 5.837 4.944 4.607 -9999.00 4.739 7,566. 7,566. 0. 6,022.
12 -0.110 0.352 0.752 -3.082 3.946 3.710 3.857 4.318 5.160 4.795 4.974 5.789 5.159 4.783 4.917 4.900 7,427. 7,427. 7,427. 6,501.
15 1.090 1.685 2.251 -2.342 4.112 4.076 4.248 4.081 5.381 5.143 5.361 5.716 5.270 4.859 4.865 5.215 7,249. 7,249. 7,249. 5,772.
18 2.265 2.570 2.944 -1.593 4.666 4.659 4.780 3.938 6.004 5.839 6.074 5.587 5.560 5.243 5.313 5.355 6,639. 6,639. 6,639. 5,761.
21 2.199 2.424 2.736 -1.632 4.664 4.483 4.564 3.874 6.053 5.686 5.844 5.475 5.639 5.144 5.164 5.227 6,156. 6,156. 6,156. 4,805.
24 2.107 2.200 2.558 -1.696 4.709 4.415 4.500 3.911 6.113 5.628 5.792 5.512 5.739 5.180 5.197 5.246 6,400. 6,400. 6,400. 5,558.
27 1.801 1.741 2.135 -1.883 4.609 4.164 4.235 3.965 6.107 5.398 5.503 5.524 5.836 5.110 5.073 5.193 7,260. 7,260. 7,260. 5,888.
30 -0.092 -0.083 0.566 -2.837 4.221 3.794 3.796 4.185 5.657 5.012 5.019 5.714 5.657 5.012 4.987 4.960 7,297. 7,297. 7,297. 6,479.
33 -0.336 -0.211 0.486 -3.209 4.202 3.970 3.968 4.396 5.523 5.174 5.240 5.943 5.513 5.170 5.218 5.002 7,065. 7,065. 7,065. 5,684.
36 0.154 0.391 1.075 -2.911 4.330 4.186 4.283 4.403 5.628 5.358 5.521 5.893 5.626 5.344 5.416 5.124 6,925. 6,925. 6,925. 6,175.
39 1.268 1.678 ******* -2.211 4.460 4.425 ******* 4.188 5.927 5.694 ******* 5.865 5.791 5.441 -9999.00 5.433 6,901. 6,901. 0. 5,606.
42 2.411 2.746 ******* -1.375 4.938 4.935 ******* 4.044 6.346 6.214 ******* 5.645 5.871 5.574 -9999.00 5.475 6,230. 6,230. 0. 5,515.
45 2.203 2.524 ******* -1.407 4.762 4.757 ******* 3.913 6.133 6.025 ******* 5.447 5.724 5.472 -9999.00 5.263 5,681. 5,681. 0. 4,549.
48 1.930 2.162 ******* -1.558 4.809 4.736 ******* 4.075 6.226 6.031 ******* 5.667 5.920 5.630 -9999.00 5.449 5,274. 5,274. 0. 4,678.