MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998030100 to 1998063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 11.101 10.916 ******* 8.489 11.101 10.916 ******* 8.489 12.703 12.469 ******* 9.613 6.176 6.026 -9999.00 4.512 3,667. 3,667. 0. 3,253.
3 8.041 7.447 ******* 8.499 8.041 7.447 ******* 8.499 9.441 8.747 ******* 9.764 4.949 4.589 -9999.00 4.808 2,898. 2,898. 0. 2,388.
6 8.469 7.856 ******* 8.588 8.469 7.856 ******* 8.588 9.911 9.363 ******* 9.844 5.150 5.095 -9999.00 4.813 2,266. 2,266. 0. 1,989.
9 8.148 7.558 ******* 8.340 8.148 7.558 ******* 8.340 9.555 9.007 ******* 9.475 4.991 4.900 -9999.00 4.499 1,930. 1,930. 0. 1,530.
12 8.439 7.504 7.907 8.509 8.439 7.504 7.907 8.509 9.851 8.990 9.521 9.651 5.083 4.953 5.305 4.555 1,941. 1,941. 1,941. 1,716.
15 8.364 6.978 6.931 8.378 8.364 6.978 6.931 8.378 9.758 8.276 8.387 9.430 5.026 4.450 4.725 4.329 2,378. 2,378. 2,378. 1,959.
18 8.290 7.119 6.996 8.344 8.290 7.119 6.996 8.344 9.560 8.290 8.273 9.317 4.762 4.249 4.416 4.148 3,105. 3,105. 3,105. 2,782.
21 8.387 7.607 7.537 8.565 8.387 7.607 7.537 8.565 9.630 8.800 8.894 9.589 4.733 4.426 4.723 4.313 3,536. 3,536. 3,536. 2,775.
24 8.641 8.203 8.153 8.684 8.641 8.203 8.153 8.684 9.990 9.582 9.633 9.773 5.013 4.954 5.132 4.483 3,389. 3,389. 3,389. 3,062.
27 8.561 8.050 8.105 8.546 8.561 8.050 8.105 8.546 10.068 9.537 9.638 9.798 5.299 5.114 5.217 4.792 2,600. 2,600. 2,600. 2,185.
30 8.903 8.422 8.565 8.743 8.903 8.422 8.565 8.743 10.394 9.977 10.184 9.923 5.365 5.350 5.510 4.695 1,994. 1,994. 1,994. 1,797.
33 9.083 8.501 8.606 8.595 9.083 8.501 8.606 8.595 10.558 10.041 10.280 9.743 5.383 5.345 5.625 4.589 1,738. 1,738. 1,738. 1,419.
36 9.392 8.553 8.689 8.950 9.392 8.553 8.689 8.950 10.877 10.084 10.362 10.045 5.488 5.343 5.646 4.560 1,781. 1,781. 1,781. 1,619.
39 9.285 8.507 ******* 8.936 9.285 8.507 ******* 8.936 10.816 10.084 ******* 10.012 5.548 5.416 -9999.00 4.515 2,200. 2,200. 0. 1,810.
42 9.309 8.638 ******* 8.918 9.309 8.638 ******* 8.918 10.712 10.030 ******* 9.919 5.301 5.099 -9999.00 4.343 2,794. 2,794. 0. 2,529.
45 9.145 8.638 ******* 8.951 9.145 8.638 ******* 8.951 10.473 9.962 ******* 9.939 5.104 4.964 -9999.00 4.321 3,268. 3,268. 0. 2,634.
48 9.369 9.305 ******* 9.017 9.369 9.305 ******* 9.017 10.747 10.794 ******* 10.117 5.267 5.473 -9999.00 4.588 2,928. 2,928. 0. 2,657.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998030100 to 1998063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 10.760 10.665 ******* 8.864 10.760 10.665 ******* 8.864 12.132 11.988 ******* 10.036 5.605 5.474 -9999.00 4.707 2,194. 2,194. 0. 2,012.
3 8.274 7.183 ******* 8.472 8.274 7.183 ******* 8.472 9.521 8.333 ******* 9.522 4.710 4.224 -9999.00 4.349 2,758. 2,758. 0. 2,339.
6 8.044 6.815 ******* 8.288 8.044 6.815 ******* 8.288 9.140 7.816 ******* 9.263 4.341 3.827 -9999.00 4.137 3,436. 3,436. 0. 3,167.
9 7.926 7.099 ******* 8.405 7.926 7.099 ******* 8.405 9.082 8.223 ******* 9.384 4.436 4.150 -9999.00 4.173 4,006. 4,006. 0. 3,300.
12 8.161 7.555 7.627 8.494 8.161 7.555 7.627 8.494 9.420 8.826 8.937 9.516 4.705 4.563 4.659 4.291 4,066. 4,066. 4,066. 3,699.
15 8.202 7.600 7.741 8.500 8.202 7.600 7.741 8.500 9.593 8.967 9.169 9.684 4.976 4.759 4.916 4.640 3,155. 3,155. 3,155. 2,695.
18 8.684 8.054 8.341 8.676 8.684 8.054 8.341 8.676 10.180 9.538 9.936 9.925 5.313 5.110 5.400 4.820 2,453. 2,453. 2,453. 2,222.
21 8.612 8.021 8.341 8.569 8.612 8.021 8.341 8.569 10.091 9.505 9.961 9.725 5.261 5.101 5.448 4.600 2,151. 2,151. 2,151. 1,782.
24 8.946 8.041 8.351 8.792 8.946 8.041 8.351 8.792 10.381 9.560 10.033 9.911 5.267 5.172 5.562 4.577 2,178. 2,178. 2,178. 2,011.
27 8.804 7.889 8.103 8.707 8.804 7.889 8.103 8.707 10.350 9.458 9.900 9.789 5.443 5.219 5.689 4.474 2,605. 2,605. 2,605. 2,203.
30 8.784 7.913 7.973 8.594 8.784 7.913 7.973 8.594 10.191 9.340 9.593 9.615 5.167 4.962 5.335 4.313 3,414. 3,414. 3,414. 3,124.
33 8.766 8.116 8.231 8.634 8.766 8.116 8.231 8.634 10.107 9.451 9.757 9.657 5.031 4.843 5.240 4.325 3,888. 3,888. 3,888. 3,219.
36 8.978 8.482 8.599 8.760 8.978 8.482 8.599 8.760 10.350 9.845 10.086 9.848 5.149 4.998 5.270 4.499 3,927. 3,927. 3,927. 3,616.
39 8.845 8.382 ******* 8.658 8.845 8.382 ******* 8.658 10.397 9.951 ******* 9.945 5.466 5.364 -9999.00 4.895 3,134. 3,134. 0. 2,721.
42 9.176 8.939 ******* 8.890 9.176 8.939 ******* 8.890 10.747 10.682 ******* 10.138 5.596 5.850 -9999.00 4.874 2,386. 2,386. 0. 2,189.
45 8.912 8.647 ******* 8.607 8.912 8.647 ******* 8.607 10.360 10.209 ******* 9.772 5.283 5.428 -9999.00 4.629 2,077. 2,077. 0. 1,737.
48 8.939 8.637 ******* 8.950 8.939 8.637 ******* 8.950 10.360 10.207 ******* 10.095 5.237 5.440 -9999.00 4.671 1,853. 1,853. 0. 1,723.