MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998030100 to 1998063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 10.117 10.002 ******* 8.489 10.117 10.002 ******* 8.489 11.485 11.285 ******* 9.613 5.438 5.228 -9999.00 4.512 3,667. 3,667. 0. 3,253.
3 7.954 7.358 ******* 8.499 7.954 7.358 ******* 8.499 9.309 8.633 ******* 9.764 4.838 4.517 -9999.00 4.808 2,898. 2,898. 0. 2,388.
6 8.126 7.411 ******* 8.588 8.126 7.411 ******* 8.588 9.518 8.862 ******* 9.844 4.958 4.860 -9999.00 4.813 2,266. 2,266. 0. 1,989.
9 7.879 7.169 ******* 8.340 7.879 7.169 ******* 8.340 9.223 8.564 ******* 9.475 4.796 4.686 -9999.00 4.499 1,930. 1,930. 0. 1,530.
12 8.141 7.169 7.241 8.509 8.141 7.169 7.241 8.509 9.497 8.600 8.756 9.651 4.891 4.752 4.923 4.555 1,941. 1,941. 1,941. 1,716.
15 8.051 6.776 6.565 8.378 8.051 6.776 6.565 8.378 9.352 8.020 7.963 9.430 4.759 4.291 4.508 4.329 2,378. 2,378. 2,378. 1,959.
18 8.118 7.080 6.799 8.344 8.118 7.080 6.799 8.344 9.260 8.160 7.967 9.317 4.455 4.058 4.154 4.148 3,105. 3,105. 3,105. 2,782.
21 8.169 7.421 7.201 8.565 8.169 7.421 7.201 8.565 9.297 8.508 8.429 9.589 4.438 4.162 4.382 4.313 3,536. 3,536. 3,536. 2,775.
24 8.320 7.821 7.637 8.684 8.320 7.821 7.637 8.684 9.566 9.063 8.994 9.773 4.722 4.580 4.751 4.483 3,389. 3,389. 3,389. 3,062.
27 8.243 7.619 7.557 8.546 8.243 7.619 7.557 8.546 9.661 9.027 9.018 9.798 5.040 4.842 4.923 4.792 2,600. 2,600. 2,600. 2,185.
30 8.478 7.930 7.928 8.743 8.478 7.930 7.928 8.743 9.866 9.396 9.445 9.923 5.048 5.041 5.136 4.695 1,994. 1,994. 1,994. 1,797.
33 8.656 8.022 8.056 8.595 8.656 8.022 8.056 8.595 10.028 9.462 9.628 9.743 5.066 5.018 5.273 4.589 1,738. 1,738. 1,738. 1,419.
36 8.963 8.151 8.214 8.950 8.963 8.151 8.214 8.950 10.350 9.611 9.807 10.045 5.177 5.094 5.359 4.560 1,781. 1,781. 1,781. 1,619.
39 8.885 8.112 ******* 8.936 8.885 8.112 ******* 8.936 10.270 9.593 ******* 10.012 5.151 5.122 -9999.00 4.515 2,200. 2,200. 0. 1,810.
42 9.029 8.395 ******* 8.918 9.029 8.395 ******* 8.918 10.271 9.636 ******* 9.919 4.896 4.731 -9999.00 4.343 2,794. 2,794. 0. 2,529.
45 8.881 8.379 ******* 8.951 8.881 8.379 ******* 8.951 10.036 9.542 ******* 9.939 4.676 4.566 -9999.00 4.321 3,268. 3,268. 0. 2,634.
48 8.989 8.835 ******* 9.017 8.989 8.835 ******* 9.017 10.246 10.125 ******* 10.117 4.917 4.947 -9999.00 4.588 2,928. 2,928. 0. 2,657.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998030100 to 1998063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 9.810 9.768 ******* 8.864 9.810 9.768 ******* 8.864 11.035 10.937 ******* 10.036 5.055 4.921 -9999.00 4.707 2,194. 2,194. 0. 2,012.
3 8.058 7.105 ******* 8.472 8.058 7.105 ******* 8.472 9.222 8.212 ******* 9.522 4.486 4.119 -9999.00 4.349 2,758. 2,758. 0. 2,339.
6 7.988 6.881 ******* 8.288 7.988 6.881 ******* 8.288 8.976 7.819 ******* 9.263 4.094 3.714 -9999.00 4.137 3,436. 3,436. 0. 3,167.
9 7.850 7.064 ******* 8.405 7.850 7.064 ******* 8.405 8.896 8.059 ******* 9.384 4.186 3.879 -9999.00 4.173 4,006. 4,006. 0. 3,300.
12 7.962 7.327 7.257 8.494 7.962 7.327 7.257 8.494 9.118 8.445 8.430 9.516 4.444 4.200 4.290 4.291 4,066. 4,066. 4,066. 3,699.
15 7.957 7.227 7.159 8.500 7.957 7.227 7.159 8.500 9.272 8.527 8.535 9.684 4.760 4.526 4.648 4.640 3,155. 3,155. 3,155. 2,695.
18 8.278 7.559 7.661 8.676 8.278 7.559 7.661 8.676 9.696 8.999 9.205 9.925 5.049 4.884 5.103 4.820 2,453. 2,453. 2,453. 2,222.
21 8.260 7.588 7.777 8.569 8.260 7.588 7.777 8.569 9.646 8.989 9.332 9.725 4.984 4.820 5.159 4.600 2,151. 2,151. 2,151. 1,782.
24 8.581 7.697 7.835 8.792 8.581 7.697 7.835 8.792 9.932 9.113 9.438 9.911 5.001 4.881 5.263 4.577 2,178. 2,178. 2,178. 2,011.
27 8.471 7.595 7.637 8.707 8.471 7.595 7.637 8.707 9.864 9.039 9.326 9.789 5.055 4.902 5.355 4.474 2,605. 2,605. 2,605. 2,203.
30 8.584 7.810 7.726 8.594 8.584 7.810 7.726 8.594 9.833 9.063 9.148 9.615 4.797 4.600 4.899 4.313 3,414. 3,414. 3,414. 3,124.
33 8.500 7.908 7.850 8.634 8.500 7.908 7.850 8.634 9.689 9.070 9.183 9.657 4.650 4.443 4.767 4.325 3,888. 3,888. 3,888. 3,219.
36 8.602 8.095 8.052 8.760 8.602 8.095 8.052 8.760 9.866 9.294 9.389 9.848 4.832 4.565 4.829 4.499 3,927. 3,927. 3,927. 3,616.
39 8.467 7.889 ******* 8.658 8.467 7.889 ******* 8.658 9.954 9.403 ******* 9.945 5.235 5.117 -9999.00 4.895 3,134. 3,134. 0. 2,721.
42 8.713 8.350 ******* 8.890 8.713 8.350 ******* 8.890 10.197 9.988 ******* 10.138 5.299 5.482 -9999.00 4.874 2,386. 2,386. 0. 2,189.
45 8.516 8.127 ******* 8.607 8.516 8.127 ******* 8.607 9.882 9.617 ******* 9.772 5.015 5.143 -9999.00 4.629 2,077. 2,077. 0. 1,737.
48 8.625 8.288 ******* 8.950 8.625 8.288 ******* 8.950 9.971 9.774 ******* 10.095 5.005 5.182 -9999.00 4.671 1,853. 1,853. 0. 1,723.