MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998030100 to 1998063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 42.558 40.662 ******* 20.563 66.949 66.875 ******* 51.651 81.472 81.500 ******* 65.532 69.483 70.642 -9999.00 62.232 3,667. 3,667. 0. 3,253.
3 22.600 14.463 ******* 11.579 48.165 44.553 ******* 48.094 63.621 61.746 ******* 62.122 59.481 60.039 -9999.00 61.046 2,898. 2,898. 0. 2,388.
6 23.188 16.231 ******* 11.211 51.399 44.626 ******* 51.073 67.986 62.800 ******* 66.572 63.924 60.680 -9999.00 65.638 2,266. 2,266. 0. 1,989.
9 20.259 12.477 ******* 9.461 48.367 43.425 ******* 49.641 63.777 61.490 ******* 64.420 60.490 60.226 -9999.00 63.742 1,930. 1,930. 0. 1,530.
12 19.406 13.496 15.309 15.103 49.523 44.163 43.776 50.778 64.813 62.841 62.821 65.490 61.855 61.390 60.943 63.743 1,941. 1,941. 1,941. 1,716.
15 21.691 13.095 9.743 17.682 51.156 39.658 38.562 49.616 66.973 56.817 56.271 62.980 63.376 55.299 55.432 60.462 2,378. 2,378. 2,378. 1,959.
18 18.988 10.516 9.204 19.128 52.077 41.960 40.126 51.712 68.908 58.671 57.491 66.093 66.251 57.730 56.758 63.276 3,105. 3,105. 3,105. 2,782.
21 16.541 8.390 8.344 14.744 53.201 47.222 45.796 54.899 69.918 64.458 64.191 69.589 67.943 63.919 63.656 68.021 3,536. 3,536. 3,536. 2,775.
24 17.893 9.579 10.076 17.288 53.364 49.330 48.290 53.783 69.870 67.304 67.303 68.595 67.550 66.629 66.554 66.392 3,389. 3,389. 3,389. 3,062.
27 17.475 10.758 10.439 16.525 50.038 45.868 46.640 51.383 66.207 64.377 66.023 66.062 63.871 63.484 65.205 63.977 2,600. 2,600. 2,600. 2,185.
30 21.827 11.495 10.086 16.847 54.271 48.585 48.563 55.268 70.429 66.243 66.944 70.756 66.979 65.254 66.196 68.740 1,994. 1,994. 1,994. 1,797.
33 20.635 12.270 11.346 15.360 56.081 50.489 49.605 54.613 72.451 68.927 68.637 69.561 69.470 67.845 67.712 67.868 1,738. 1,738. 1,738. 1,419.
36 21.177 13.967 11.450 18.407 57.190 52.455 52.674 56.703 74.117 71.350 72.581 71.184 71.048 69.989 71.692 68.784 1,781. 1,781. 1,781. 1,619.
39 23.318 15.006 ******* 17.946 58.230 53.047 ******* 57.559 75.267 72.109 ******* 71.692 71.581 70.546 -9999.00 69.428 2,200. 2,200. 0. 1,810.
42 18.696 11.890 ******* 14.895 62.676 56.524 ******* 60.053 79.996 75.964 ******* 75.569 77.795 75.041 -9999.00 74.101 2,794. 2,794. 0. 2,529.
45 13.863 8.934 ******* 15.258 61.478 58.767 ******* 60.561 78.213 77.461 ******* 76.375 76.986 76.956 -9999.00 74.850 3,268. 3,268. 0. 2,634.
48 14.515 11.196 ******* 17.169 60.619 61.401 ******* 57.748 77.736 80.773 ******* 73.032 76.382 80.007 -9999.00 70.999 2,928. 2,928. 0. 2,657.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998030100 to 1998063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 40.950 41.310 ******* 27.482 67.203 67.095 ******* 58.550 82.655 82.637 ******* 74.135 71.815 71.586 -9999.00 68.870 2,194. 2,194. 0. 2,012.
3 28.203 18.073 ******* 14.021 52.221 43.170 ******* 49.218 67.017 59.342 ******* 63.271 60.804 56.533 -9999.00 61.711 2,758. 2,758. 0. 2,339.
6 20.105 12.327 ******* 15.728 51.243 39.599 ******* 49.279 66.591 54.249 ******* 63.403 63.493 52.837 -9999.00 61.431 3,436. 3,436. 0. 3,167.
9 13.982 9.351 ******* 12.238 50.605 42.717 ******* 51.602 66.407 58.982 ******* 65.695 64.926 58.243 -9999.00 64.554 4,006. 4,006. 0. 3,300.
12 15.582 10.034 9.556 16.645 50.168 44.773 44.600 51.229 66.385 61.970 61.749 65.382 64.538 61.160 61.013 63.236 4,066. 4,066. 4,066. 3,699.
15 14.913 10.756 10.835 15.845 47.664 42.545 42.547 50.248 63.220 60.201 60.706 64.532 61.445 59.242 59.740 62.568 3,155. 3,155. 3,155. 2,695.
18 18.902 9.145 8.717 13.782 50.985 44.533 45.271 52.342 66.525 61.479 63.436 67.004 63.797 60.808 62.847 65.586 2,453. 2,453. 2,453. 2,222.
21 19.837 12.910 12.107 12.338 50.407 45.951 47.610 51.562 65.844 63.807 66.414 65.844 62.799 62.502 65.316 64.696 2,151. 2,151. 2,151. 1,782.
24 16.427 11.465 11.042 15.802 52.249 46.313 47.225 52.321 67.952 64.330 66.403 66.931 65.952 63.315 65.493 65.055 2,178. 2,178. 2,178. 2,011.
27 19.443 15.264 14.391 17.359 52.875 46.049 46.628 51.620 69.603 64.678 66.222 65.176 66.845 62.863 64.652 62.836 2,605. 2,605. 2,605. 2,203.
30 17.292 10.504 10.154 16.151 56.381 49.501 49.243 55.132 73.088 68.010 68.792 69.887 71.024 67.204 68.049 68.006 3,414. 3,414. 3,414. 3,124.
33 15.608 8.264 7.957 13.824 56.663 51.961 51.535 55.963 73.489 70.461 70.975 71.018 71.822 69.983 70.536 69.670 3,888. 3,888. 3,888. 3,219.
36 14.366 8.514 8.861 15.499 56.136 51.913 51.843 54.413 72.744 70.667 71.088 69.592 71.321 70.161 70.543 67.854 3,927. 3,927. 3,927. 3,616.
39 13.847 9.100 ******* 13.113 52.147 47.897 ******* 51.282 68.714 66.522 ******* 66.405 67.315 65.907 -9999.00 65.109 3,134. 3,134. 0. 2,721.
42 16.357 10.162 ******* 12.179 54.736 51.842 ******* 55.385 71.489 71.259 ******* 71.303 69.607 70.545 -9999.00 70.272 2,386. 2,386. 0. 2,189.
45 15.742 9.844 ******* 11.302 53.540 50.423 ******* 54.558 69.989 68.670 ******* 69.759 68.212 67.977 -9999.00 68.857 2,077. 2,077. 0. 1,737.
48 9.668 11.089 ******* 13.381 53.075 51.183 ******* 54.921 69.294 69.791 ******* 69.470 68.635 68.923 -9999.00 68.189 1,853. 1,853. 0. 1,723.