MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of PSLR (SLP millibars ) From 1998070100 to 1998091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -0.319 -0.219 ******* -0.469 1.034 0.939 ******* 1.020 1.500 1.419 ******* 1.475 1.466 1.403 -9999.00 1.399 2,747. 2,747. 0. 2,739.
3 -0.122 -0.136 ******* -0.119 0.988 0.965 ******* 1.093 1.335 1.294 ******* 1.450 1.329 1.288 -9999.00 1.445 2,709. 2,709. 0. 2,706.
6 -0.010 -0.121 ******* -0.257 0.933 0.923 ******* 1.099 1.243 1.220 ******* 1.457 1.243 1.214 -9999.00 1.434 2,562. 2,562. 0. 2,555.
9 0.161 0.036 ******* 0.265 0.985 0.939 ******* 1.002 1.282 1.213 ******* 1.293 1.272 1.213 -9999.00 1.265 2,402. 2,402. 0. 2,397.
12 0.486 0.356 0.279 -0.043 1.104 1.006 1.005 1.021 1.391 1.270 1.274 1.283 1.304 1.219 1.243 1.283 2,392. 2,392. 2,392. 2,358.
15 0.310 0.203 0.164 -0.514 1.308 1.194 1.195 1.245 1.833 1.715 1.715 1.767 1.807 1.703 1.708 1.691 2,705. 2,705. 2,705. 2,660.
18 -0.353 -0.444 -0.394 -0.952 1.378 1.250 1.226 1.469 1.752 1.589 1.565 1.832 1.717 1.526 1.515 1.565 2,686. 2,686. 2,686. 2,653.
21 -0.485 -0.631 -0.543 -1.058 1.450 1.315 1.269 1.544 1.866 1.686 1.645 1.945 1.803 1.564 1.554 1.633 2,670. 2,670. 2,670. 2,665.
24 -0.023 -0.194 -0.114 -1.077 1.382 1.202 1.188 1.598 1.782 1.576 1.567 2.035 1.782 1.565 1.563 1.726 2,640. 2,640. 2,640. 2,633.
27 0.453 0.321 0.362 -1.068 1.376 1.209 1.216 1.592 1.747 1.561 1.574 2.019 1.687 1.528 1.532 1.713 2,605. 2,605. 2,605. 2,602.
30 0.437 0.286 0.300 -0.720 1.343 1.240 1.242 1.443 1.708 1.596 1.600 1.811 1.651 1.570 1.572 1.662 2,449. 2,449. 2,449. 2,404.
33 0.459 0.304 0.301 -0.282 1.383 1.296 1.294 1.363 1.725 1.630 1.626 1.691 1.663 1.601 1.598 1.667 2,265. 2,265. 2,265. 2,260.
36 0.628 0.484 0.481 -0.697 1.497 1.408 1.399 1.503 1.860 1.747 1.735 1.849 1.751 1.679 1.668 1.713 2,297. 2,297. 2,297. 2,294.
39 0.640 0.540 ******* -0.809 1.626 1.548 ******* 1.659 2.173 2.083 ******* 2.188 2.077 2.012 -9999.00 2.033 2,656. 2,656. 0. 2,650.
42 0.162 0.096 ******* -0.957 1.667 1.566 ******* 1.768 2.078 1.953 ******* 2.207 2.072 1.951 -9999.00 1.989 2,635. 2,635. 0. 2,628.
45 0.090 -0.039 ******* -0.940 1.776 1.654 ******* 1.873 2.212 2.076 ******* 2.333 2.211 2.076 -9999.00 2.136 2,657. 2,657. 0. 2,652.
48 0.531 0.353 ******* -1.077 1.889 1.734 ******* 2.029 2.330 2.159 ******* 2.544 2.269 2.130 -9999.00 2.305 2,591. 2,591. 0. 2,584.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of PSLR (SLP millibars ) From 1998070100 to 1998091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -0.404 -0.323 ******* -0.127 0.930 0.868 ******* 0.763 1.257 1.188 ******* 0.989 1.191 1.143 -9999.00 0.981 2,607. 2,607. 0. 2,570.
3 -0.297 -0.267 ******* -0.376 1.033 1.009 ******* 1.108 1.540 1.515 ******* 1.633 1.511 1.492 -9999.00 1.590 2,939. 2,939. 0. 2,893.
6 -0.920 -0.912 ******* -1.094 1.349 1.271 ******* 1.421 1.727 1.610 ******* 1.746 1.462 1.327 -9999.00 1.362 2,912. 2,912. 0. 2,865.
9 -1.410 -1.478 ******* -1.370 1.642 1.649 ******* 1.614 2.039 1.969 ******* 1.984 1.472 1.302 -9999.00 1.435 2,934. 2,934. 0. 2,887.
12 -0.723 -0.879 -0.906 -1.426 1.309 1.282 1.296 1.664 1.689 1.617 1.631 2.069 1.526 1.358 1.356 1.500 2,838. 2,838. 2,838. 2,795.
15 -0.211 -0.315 -0.333 -1.241 1.045 0.982 0.987 1.510 1.391 1.301 1.313 1.914 1.375 1.263 1.271 1.457 2,800. 2,800. 2,800. 2,760.
18 -0.208 -0.347 -0.393 -1.094 1.043 1.035 1.049 1.425 1.343 1.317 1.333 1.760 1.327 1.270 1.274 1.379 2,638. 2,638. 2,638. 2,597.
21 0.070 -0.057 -0.117 -0.475 1.057 1.012 1.017 1.152 1.338 1.276 1.283 1.439 1.337 1.275 1.278 1.358 2,478. 2,478. 2,478. 2,437.
24 0.230 0.121 0.031 -0.808 1.153 1.092 1.090 1.315 1.455 1.378 1.375 1.625 1.437 1.373 1.375 1.410 2,500. 2,500. 2,500. 2,461.
27 0.342 0.263 0.176 -1.004 1.328 1.249 1.247 1.573 1.805 1.714 1.706 2.018 1.773 1.694 1.697 1.751 2,831. 2,831. 2,831. 2,787.
30 -0.178 -0.241 -0.285 -1.224 1.444 1.338 1.336 1.738 1.845 1.714 1.706 2.129 1.837 1.697 1.682 1.743 2,765. 2,765. 2,765. 2,719.
33 -0.257 -0.388 -0.409 -1.242 1.539 1.426 1.423 1.850 1.984 1.847 1.841 2.263 1.968 1.806 1.795 1.892 2,783. 2,783. 2,783. 2,738.
36 0.297 0.118 0.095 -1.113 1.580 1.420 1.412 1.824 2.017 1.850 1.845 2.262 1.995 1.847 1.842 1.970 2,719. 2,719. 2,719. 2,670.
39 0.814 0.688 ******* -1.062 1.632 1.483 ******* 1.787 2.111 1.964 ******* 2.224 1.948 1.840 -9999.00 1.954 2,753. 2,753. 0. 2,710.
42 0.804 0.658 ******* -0.637 1.614 1.505 ******* 1.625 2.077 1.964 ******* 2.015 1.916 1.851 -9999.00 1.912 2,594. 2,594. 0. 2,548.
45 0.639 0.503 ******* -0.347 1.592 1.506 ******* 1.582 2.045 1.928 ******* 1.938 1.943 1.862 -9999.00 1.907 2,442. 2,442. 0. 2,399.
48 0.815 0.684 ******* -0.864 1.733 1.633 ******* 1.799 2.191 2.062 ******* 2.182 2.034 1.945 -9999.00 2.004 2,498. 2,498. 0. 2,457.