MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of RELH (RH Percent ) From 1998070100 to 1998091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 1.902 1.667 ******* -4.634 11.042 10.931 ******* 12.020 13.819 13.725 ******* 16.520 13.690 13.625 -9999.00 15.860 2,778. 2,778. 0. 2,770.
3 -2.323 -5.563 ******* -1.021 11.219 10.759 ******* 10.908 14.678 14.414 ******* 14.013 14.495 13.300 -9999.00 13.978 2,784. 2,784. 0. 2,781.
6 -3.901 -6.723 ******* -3.777 11.598 11.845 ******* 10.462 14.961 15.183 ******* 13.708 14.447 13.616 -9999.00 13.180 2,376. 2,376. 0. 2,369.
9 -3.705 -7.808 ******* -4.385 12.061 12.549 ******* 10.806 15.619 16.062 ******* 14.242 15.177 14.039 -9999.00 13.554 2,215. 2,215. 0. 2,210.
12 -5.128 -9.580 -8.155 -5.183 12.269 13.365 12.670 10.645 16.058 17.466 16.670 14.081 15.220 14.608 14.542 13.095 2,265. 2,265. 2,265. 2,232.
15 -3.792 -8.253 -7.109 -4.003 11.656 12.256 11.501 9.588 14.920 15.780 14.917 12.266 14.433 13.453 13.116 11.597 2,756. 2,756. 2,756. 2,711.
18 -3.592 -7.158 -5.107 -9.375 12.732 11.397 10.188 12.284 16.046 14.930 13.152 15.585 15.641 13.105 12.122 12.452 2,774. 2,774. 2,774. 2,743.
21 -2.430 -6.053 -3.866 -9.375 11.879 10.730 9.521 12.114 15.477 14.536 12.634 15.871 15.288 13.218 12.030 12.808 2,769. 2,769. 2,769. 2,764.
24 -0.774 -4.994 -3.223 -7.778 11.715 10.809 9.888 11.883 15.254 14.338 12.953 15.541 15.237 13.443 12.548 13.457 2,681. 2,681. 2,681. 2,674.
27 -2.530 -5.780 -4.567 -4.283 12.503 11.800 11.169 11.463 16.293 15.422 14.683 14.949 16.099 14.301 13.958 14.325 2,682. 2,682. 2,682. 2,679.
30 -4.760 -8.073 -8.301 -6.566 12.499 12.816 12.471 11.553 16.003 16.122 15.914 14.955 15.282 13.958 13.581 13.440 2,272. 2,272. 2,272. 2,232.
33 -5.013 -9.157 -9.840 -6.690 12.306 13.103 13.123 11.527 15.934 16.434 16.562 14.975 15.129 13.650 13.324 13.401 2,085. 2,085. 2,085. 2,080.
36 -6.028 -9.989 -10.535 -7.151 12.710 13.661 13.764 11.688 16.573 17.330 17.525 15.199 15.442 14.165 14.009 13.414 2,164. 2,164. 2,164. 2,161.
39 -3.698 -7.240 ******* -5.715 12.033 11.837 ******* 10.550 15.303 15.262 ******* 13.473 14.852 13.438 -9999.00 12.203 2,729. 2,729. 0. 2,723.
42 -1.402 -4.581 ******* -9.801 13.301 11.217 ******* 13.479 16.675 14.460 ******* 16.819 16.618 13.718 -9999.00 13.670 2,748. 2,748. 0. 2,741.
45 0.218 -3.060 ******* -8.745 12.925 10.888 ******* 13.000 16.457 14.552 ******* 16.927 16.458 14.230 -9999.00 14.496 2,771. 2,771. 0. 2,766.
48 2.001 -1.695 ******* -6.599 12.735 11.004 ******* 12.867 16.316 14.406 ******* 16.739 16.196 14.308 -9999.00 15.386 2,643. 2,643. 0. 2,636.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of RELH (RH Percent ) From 1998070100 to 1998091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -14.249 -13.982 ******* 3.475 17.697 17.404 ******* 9.190 22.934 22.571 ******* 12.702 17.975 17.721 -9999.00 12.220 2,493. 2,493. 0. 2,449.
3 -7.739 -9.541 ******* -2.624 13.480 13.114 ******* 9.699 17.618 17.117 ******* 12.732 15.830 14.214 -9999.00 12.461 3,021. 3,021. 0. 2,975.
6 -5.648 -8.575 ******* -7.670 12.700 12.110 ******* 11.505 15.919 15.417 ******* 14.638 14.886 12.814 -9999.00 12.470 3,026. 3,026. 0. 2,973.
9 -3.547 -7.311 ******* -8.092 11.238 10.961 ******* 11.507 14.608 14.765 ******* 15.130 14.173 12.830 -9999.00 12.786 3,057. 3,057. 0. 3,001.
12 -2.219 -6.646 -5.341 -7.119 11.171 10.924 10.515 11.613 14.370 14.602 13.957 15.201 14.200 13.004 12.897 13.433 2,888. 2,888. 2,888. 2,836.
15 -4.120 -7.188 -4.992 -3.963 11.947 11.881 10.961 11.536 15.752 15.568 14.460 15.065 15.207 13.812 13.573 14.537 2,893. 2,893. 2,893. 2,843.
18 -6.106 -9.131 -8.752 -6.208 12.413 12.970 12.410 11.342 15.959 16.423 15.837 14.860 14.747 13.654 13.201 13.504 2,456. 2,456. 2,456. 2,406.
21 -6.273 -10.271 -10.570 -6.089 12.576 13.620 13.461 11.270 16.134 17.076 16.962 14.809 14.868 13.646 13.269 13.502 2,297. 2,297. 2,297. 2,251.
24 -6.994 -11.028 -11.360 -6.503 13.068 14.461 14.304 11.396 16.872 18.159 18.021 14.950 15.357 14.430 13.993 13.464 2,394. 2,394. 2,394. 2,349.
27 -4.454 -8.125 -7.836 -4.896 11.951 12.169 11.575 10.062 15.090 15.585 14.842 12.864 14.420 13.302 12.607 11.899 2,910. 2,910. 2,910. 2,857.
30 -2.733 -5.814 -3.963 -10.114 13.047 11.406 10.091 13.221 16.245 14.783 12.994 16.533 16.017 13.594 12.377 13.080 2,883. 2,883. 2,883. 2,827.
33 -0.805 -4.023 -2.107 -9.705 12.286 10.610 9.849 12.968 15.822 14.281 12.937 16.725 15.804 13.705 12.766 13.623 2,916. 2,916. 2,916. 2,868.
36 0.943 -2.727 -1.132 -7.881 12.197 10.684 10.343 12.779 15.723 14.124 13.493 16.525 15.697 13.860 13.447 14.527 2,773. 2,773. 2,773. 2,715.
39 -1.044 -3.465 ******* -4.565 12.841 11.724 ******* 12.249 16.427 15.120 ******* 15.747 16.397 14.720 -9999.00 15.074 2,848. 2,848. 0. 2,805.
42 -3.442 -6.063 ******* -6.896 12.455 12.099 ******* 12.202 15.693 15.137 ******* 15.533 15.314 13.873 -9999.00 13.921 2,427. 2,427. 0. 2,387.
45 -3.809 -7.400 ******* -6.730 12.414 12.441 ******* 12.040 15.764 15.663 ******* 15.414 15.300 13.808 -9999.00 13.870 2,275. 2,275. 0. 2,236.
48 -4.975 -8.636 ******* -7.064 12.817 13.081 ******* 12.074 16.450 16.692 ******* 15.697 15.683 14.287 -9999.00 14.021 2,391. 2,391. 0. 2,353.