MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 1998070100 to 1998091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 28.422 27.284 ******* 13.992 68.662 69.334 ******* 60.542 83.662 84.576 ******* 75.539 78.692 80.061 -9999.00 74.239 6,659. 6,659. 0. 5,570.
3 4.692 1.247 ******* 1.535 54.519 52.587 ******* 59.749 69.483 69.536 ******* 74.811 69.329 69.530 -9999.00 74.802 6,675. 6,675. 0. 5,572.
6 -0.788 -2.789 ******* -6.792 59.412 57.858 ******* 66.697 75.560 74.941 ******* 82.339 75.562 74.895 -9999.00 82.066 6,153. 6,153. 0. 5,068.
9 -2.467 -2.645 ******* -5.909 64.058 61.686 ******* 68.154 80.815 79.027 ******* 83.779 80.785 78.990 -9999.00 83.579 5,581. 5,581. 0. 4,492.
12 -1.935 -1.238 0.492 -3.369 67.712 63.746 62.821 69.861 84.188 81.277 80.604 85.847 84.173 81.275 80.609 85.790 5,939. 5,939. 5,939. 4,791.
15 0.898 -0.236 -1.239 -2.865 69.825 65.922 67.204 70.261 86.642 84.177 85.770 86.713 86.643 84.183 85.768 86.673 6,722. 6,722. 6,722. 5,625.
18 14.732 9.871 9.344 8.393 66.790 60.688 58.059 70.668 83.298 78.121 76.229 86.851 81.991 77.501 75.660 86.453 6,553. 6,553. 6,553. 5,453.
21 15.590 9.312 10.333 11.612 58.299 52.610 49.711 65.466 74.136 69.300 67.284 80.945 72.484 68.677 66.491 80.115 6,543. 6,543. 6,543. 5,476.
24 13.316 9.565 10.382 15.432 55.942 50.596 47.620 61.942 71.695 67.717 65.565 77.294 70.453 67.043 64.743 75.745 6,522. 6,522. 6,522. 5,451.
27 5.732 1.861 3.413 3.412 53.019 51.887 51.143 61.158 68.808 69.865 70.252 76.411 68.574 69.845 70.174 76.342 6,569. 6,569. 6,569. 5,450.
30 -2.839 -3.935 -1.631 -9.909 60.104 59.905 61.699 68.040 76.820 77.412 79.771 83.503 76.774 77.318 79.760 82.921 6,041. 6,041. 6,041. 4,862.
33 -6.451 -3.481 -3.155 -13.114 64.506 63.993 65.789 71.457 81.463 81.713 84.041 86.608 81.214 81.647 83.990 85.619 5,368. 5,368. 5,368. 4,297.
36 -5.668 -4.907 -3.285 -10.103 68.981 67.248 68.490 73.654 85.747 84.936 86.532 89.265 85.567 84.802 86.477 88.701 5,735. 5,735. 5,735. 4,666.
39 -2.432 -2.601 ******* -5.995 71.915 69.097 ******* 74.239 88.977 86.968 ******* 90.221 88.951 86.936 -9999.00 90.029 6,514. 6,514. 0. 5,556.
42 10.797 8.417 ******* 5.022 70.290 64.520 ******* 71.952 86.377 82.111 ******* 87.914 85.706 81.685 -9999.00 87.779 6,372. 6,372. 0. 5,385.
45 11.457 8.192 ******* 10.234 61.067 55.929 ******* 67.102 76.810 72.770 ******* 82.577 75.957 72.313 -9999.00 81.948 6,441. 6,441. 0. 5,375.
48 10.660 9.660 ******* 13.382 58.885 54.005 ******* 63.356 75.246 71.000 ******* 78.861 74.493 70.345 -9999.00 77.725 6,280. 6,280. 0. 5,268.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 1998070100 to 1998091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.152 6.767 ******* 0.942 70.678 70.567 ******* 69.058 86.773 86.535 ******* 85.707 86.485 86.276 -9999.00 85.710 6,404. 6,404. 0. 5,154.
3 3.901 -0.177 ******* -0.833 69.747 67.056 ******* 69.934 85.488 83.959 ******* 86.195 85.405 83.965 -9999.00 86.198 7,211. 7,211. 0. 6,056.
6 19.007 11.482 ******* 11.492 66.283 59.380 ******* 69.115 82.206 75.955 ******* 85.281 79.984 75.088 -9999.00 84.511 7,031. 7,031. 0. 5,853.
9 16.965 12.310 ******* 15.431 57.080 50.879 ******* 64.657 72.442 66.921 ******* 80.332 70.433 65.784 -9999.00 78.842 7,133. 7,133. 0. 5,879.
12 15.370 12.004 11.376 16.870 53.535 47.242 47.002 60.993 69.431 63.591 63.410 76.104 67.713 62.452 62.386 74.217 7,025. 7,025. 7,025. 5,777.
15 6.510 2.931 2.693 6.257 51.711 48.313 48.631 60.393 67.645 65.316 66.558 75.345 67.336 65.255 66.508 75.092 7,044. 7,044. 7,044. 5,762.
18 0.019 -1.107 -0.280 -7.034 60.491 57.944 59.376 66.942 76.974 75.100 77.341 82.258 76.980 75.097 77.346 81.964 6,481. 6,481. 6,481. 5,224.
21 -3.991 -1.339 -0.929 -10.893 63.831 62.635 63.381 69.940 80.623 80.192 81.521 85.184 80.531 80.187 81.522 84.494 5,878. 5,878. 5,878. 4,655.
24 -4.224 -2.319 -1.232 -7.292 67.922 66.733 68.113 72.664 84.677 84.099 85.992 88.304 84.578 84.074 85.990 88.012 6,266. 6,266. 6,266. 5,040.
27 -2.185 -1.738 -2.783 -6.975 70.530 68.525 69.279 73.773 87.434 86.081 87.535 89.664 87.413 86.069 87.497 89.400 7,058. 7,058. 7,058. 5,896.
30 10.615 8.698 8.692 4.927 67.847 60.982 59.303 71.239 84.100 78.367 77.459 87.426 83.434 77.889 76.976 87.295 6,786. 6,786. 6,786. 5,624.
33 13.386 8.660 9.177 11.209 59.447 52.871 50.668 66.012 75.068 69.313 68.227 81.388 73.870 68.775 67.612 80.619 6,882. 6,882. 6,882. 5,659.
36 12.639 9.065 9.573 13.640 56.554 51.710 48.801 62.524 72.889 68.816 66.549 77.854 71.790 68.221 65.861 76.657 6,743. 6,743. 6,743. 5,524.
39 5.111 1.674 ******* 2.574 54.373 52.158 ******* 62.238 70.587 69.914 ******* 77.204 70.407 69.900 -9999.00 77.168 6,831. 6,831. 0. 5,596.
42 -3.942 -3.472 ******* -12.156 63.135 61.264 ******* 69.548 80.071 78.919 ******* 84.785 79.981 78.849 -9999.00 83.918 6,287. 6,287. 0. 5,079.
45 -5.565 -4.274 ******* -13.218 66.317 64.116 ******* 72.529 82.929 81.722 ******* 87.482 82.749 81.617 -9999.00 86.488 5,708. 5,708. 0. 4,516.
48 -6.234 -4.252 ******* -9.556 71.010 68.336 ******* 75.035 87.613 85.878 ******* 90.054 87.398 85.780 -9999.00 89.554 6,162. 6,162. 0. 4,943.