MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998070100 to 1998091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 10.836 10.705 ******* 8.413 10.836 10.705 ******* 8.413 12.517 12.316 ******* 9.622 6.267 6.091 -9999.00 4.670 3,410. 3,410. 0. 3,007.
3 7.949 7.306 ******* 8.745 7.949 7.306 ******* 8.745 9.357 8.716 ******* 10.065 4.938 4.755 -9999.00 4.983 2,817. 2,817. 0. 2,536.
6 8.256 7.716 ******* 9.222 8.256 7.716 ******* 9.222 9.651 9.245 ******* 10.496 5.000 5.093 -9999.00 5.014 1,973. 1,973. 0. 1,783.
9 8.094 7.637 ******* 8.981 8.094 7.637 ******* 8.981 9.492 9.251 ******* 10.108 4.960 5.223 -9999.00 4.641 1,548. 1,548. 0. 1,405.
12 8.107 7.463 8.030 8.978 8.107 7.463 8.030 8.978 9.413 9.026 9.753 9.971 4.784 5.078 5.537 4.338 1,575. 1,575. 1,575. 1,453.
15 8.106 7.329 7.488 8.589 8.106 7.329 7.488 8.589 9.348 8.837 9.218 9.467 4.658 4.939 5.378 3.983 1,748. 1,748. 1,748. 1,643.
18 7.978 7.136 7.078 8.502 7.978 7.136 7.078 8.502 9.254 8.478 8.631 9.572 4.689 4.578 4.939 4.398 2,315. 2,315. 2,315. 2,102.
21 7.702 7.142 6.889 8.493 7.702 7.142 6.889 8.493 8.871 8.267 8.182 9.483 4.402 4.164 4.415 4.220 3,213. 3,213. 3,213. 2,848.
24 7.857 7.207 6.976 8.560 7.857 7.207 6.976 8.560 9.169 8.483 8.355 9.700 4.726 4.476 4.597 4.562 3,373. 3,373. 3,373. 2,976.
27 7.942 7.467 7.302 8.840 7.942 7.467 7.302 8.840 9.422 8.991 8.924 10.138 5.071 5.008 5.131 4.965 2,744. 2,744. 2,744. 2,458.
30 8.241 7.906 8.087 9.249 8.241 7.906 8.087 9.249 9.578 9.523 9.915 10.464 4.883 5.310 5.737 4.895 1,921. 1,921. 1,921. 1,697.
33 8.088 7.608 7.854 9.017 8.088 7.608 7.854 9.017 9.450 9.255 9.704 10.130 4.889 5.272 5.701 4.618 1,467. 1,467. 1,467. 1,329.
36 8.350 7.731 7.986 9.120 8.350 7.731 7.986 9.120 9.685 9.352 9.750 10.116 4.909 5.263 5.595 4.378 1,478. 1,478. 1,478. 1,381.
39 8.267 7.536 ******* 8.712 8.267 7.536 ******* 8.712 9.566 9.117 ******* 9.573 4.814 5.133 -9999.00 3.969 1,647. 1,647. 0. 1,566.
42 8.297 7.540 ******* 8.595 8.297 7.540 ******* 8.595 9.580 9.046 ******* 9.676 4.790 4.999 -9999.00 4.445 2,212. 2,212. 0. 2,031.
45 7.954 7.435 ******* 8.521 7.954 7.435 ******* 8.521 9.153 8.745 ******* 9.603 4.529 4.605 -9999.00 4.429 3,091. 3,091. 0. 2,738.
48 7.966 7.567 ******* 8.573 7.966 7.567 ******* 8.573 9.266 8.927 ******* 9.731 4.734 4.736 -9999.00 4.603 3,191. 3,191. 0. 2,818.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998070100 to 1998091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 10.678 10.531 ******* 9.021 10.678 10.531 ******* 9.021 12.163 11.901 ******* 10.164 5.826 5.545 -9999.00 4.683 1,686. 1,686. 0. 1,540.
3 8.366 7.498 ******* 8.604 8.366 7.498 ******* 8.604 9.537 8.686 ******* 9.474 4.581 4.386 -9999.00 3.968 1,882. 1,882. 0. 1,754.
6 7.942 6.991 ******* 8.444 7.942 6.991 ******* 8.444 9.131 8.260 ******* 9.486 4.506 4.399 -9999.00 4.323 2,474. 2,474. 0. 2,241.
9 7.617 6.859 ******* 8.491 7.617 6.859 ******* 8.491 8.797 7.997 ******* 9.497 4.400 4.112 -9999.00 4.256 3,501. 3,501. 0. 3,048.
12 7.626 6.830 6.928 8.594 7.626 6.830 6.928 8.594 8.881 8.015 8.175 9.735 4.552 4.194 4.341 4.573 3,641. 3,641. 3,641. 3,169.
15 7.716 6.999 7.123 8.855 7.716 6.999 7.123 8.855 9.197 8.387 8.538 10.161 5.007 4.622 4.707 4.984 2,961. 2,961. 2,961. 2,628.
18 8.136 7.527 7.818 9.236 8.136 7.527 7.818 9.236 9.477 8.903 9.331 10.485 4.863 4.756 5.095 4.964 2,075. 2,075. 2,075. 1,845.
21 7.960 7.344 7.720 9.028 7.960 7.344 7.720 9.028 9.297 8.804 9.391 10.134 4.804 4.857 5.349 4.606 1,640. 1,640. 1,640. 1,468.
24 8.060 7.555 8.140 9.076 8.060 7.555 8.140 9.076 9.327 9.009 9.830 10.078 4.694 4.910 5.512 4.383 1,650. 1,650. 1,650. 1,522.
27 8.011 7.439 7.986 8.700 8.011 7.439 7.986 8.700 9.235 8.912 9.743 9.577 4.596 4.909 5.583 4.005 1,842. 1,842. 1,842. 1,731.
30 8.158 7.293 7.399 8.583 8.158 7.293 7.399 8.583 9.405 8.698 9.064 9.660 4.681 4.741 5.237 4.434 2,411. 2,411. 2,411. 2,183.
33 7.888 7.266 7.061 8.554 7.888 7.266 7.061 8.554 9.132 8.525 8.519 9.645 4.601 4.459 4.766 4.456 3,394. 3,394. 3,394. 2,946.
36 7.946 7.386 7.259 8.669 7.946 7.386 7.259 8.669 9.292 8.711 8.710 9.843 4.816 4.619 4.815 4.662 3,502. 3,502. 3,502. 3,023.
39 8.054 7.438 ******* 8.913 8.054 7.438 ******* 8.913 9.525 8.938 ******* 10.227 5.087 4.956 -9999.00 5.016 2,851. 2,851. 0. 2,514.
42 8.471 7.960 ******* 9.311 8.471 7.960 ******* 9.311 9.824 9.507 ******* 10.515 4.976 5.200 -9999.00 4.887 1,993. 1,993. 0. 1,761.
45 8.430 7.720 ******* 9.112 8.430 7.720 ******* 9.112 9.769 9.307 ******* 10.207 4.939 5.200 -9999.00 4.601 1,573. 1,573. 0. 1,404.
48 8.606 8.035 ******* 9.167 8.606 8.035 ******* 9.167 9.934 9.605 ******* 10.162 4.964 5.265 -9999.00 4.388 1,603. 1,603. 0. 1,464.