MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998070100 to 1998091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 9.780 9.660 ******* 8.413 9.780 9.660 ******* 8.413 11.191 10.971 ******* 9.622 5.441 5.200 -9999.00 4.670 3,410. 3,410. 0. 3,007.
3 7.800 7.106 ******* 8.745 7.800 7.106 ******* 8.745 9.152 8.429 ******* 10.065 4.789 4.535 -9999.00 4.983 2,817. 2,817. 0. 2,536.
6 8.036 7.306 ******* 9.222 8.036 7.306 ******* 9.222 9.372 8.739 ******* 10.496 4.823 4.795 -9999.00 5.014 1,973. 1,973. 0. 1,783.
9 7.999 7.269 ******* 8.981 7.999 7.269 ******* 8.981 9.283 8.736 ******* 10.108 4.712 4.847 -9999.00 4.641 1,548. 1,548. 0. 1,405.
12 8.022 7.221 7.422 8.978 8.022 7.221 7.422 8.978 9.225 8.632 8.985 9.971 4.557 4.730 5.065 4.338 1,575. 1,575. 1,575. 1,453.
15 8.049 7.220 7.184 8.589 8.049 7.220 7.184 8.589 9.160 8.533 8.750 9.467 4.374 4.549 4.998 3.983 1,748. 1,748. 1,748. 1,643.
18 8.032 7.172 6.926 8.502 8.032 7.172 6.926 8.502 9.188 8.399 8.349 9.572 4.463 4.371 4.663 4.398 2,315. 2,315. 2,315. 2,102.
21 7.721 7.111 6.718 8.493 7.721 7.111 6.718 8.493 8.783 8.134 7.902 9.483 4.187 3.952 4.161 4.220 3,213. 3,213. 3,213. 2,848.
24 7.703 7.031 6.648 8.560 7.703 7.031 6.648 8.560 8.957 8.191 7.917 9.700 4.571 4.203 4.299 4.562 3,373. 3,373. 3,373. 2,976.
27 7.734 7.081 6.729 8.840 7.734 7.081 6.729 8.840 9.203 8.523 8.328 10.138 4.989 4.744 4.907 4.965 2,744. 2,744. 2,744. 2,458.
30 8.078 7.518 7.498 9.249 8.078 7.518 7.498 9.249 9.369 9.019 9.205 10.464 4.748 4.982 5.341 4.895 1,921. 1,921. 1,921. 1,697.
33 8.042 7.279 7.320 9.017 8.042 7.279 7.320 9.017 9.292 8.767 9.059 10.130 4.655 4.889 5.338 4.618 1,467. 1,467. 1,467. 1,329.
36 8.274 7.503 7.530 9.120 8.274 7.503 7.530 9.120 9.506 8.949 9.182 10.116 4.682 4.880 5.256 4.378 1,478. 1,478. 1,478. 1,381.
39 8.198 7.401 ******* 8.712 8.198 7.401 ******* 8.712 9.358 8.760 ******* 9.573 4.514 4.687 -9999.00 3.969 1,647. 1,647. 0. 1,566.
42 8.309 7.564 ******* 8.595 8.309 7.564 ******* 8.595 9.482 8.895 ******* 9.676 4.570 4.682 -9999.00 4.445 2,212. 2,212. 0. 2,031.
45 7.953 7.415 ******* 8.521 7.953 7.415 ******* 8.521 9.048 8.581 ******* 9.603 4.315 4.319 -9999.00 4.429 3,091. 3,091. 0. 2,738.
48 7.827 7.363 ******* 8.573 7.827 7.363 ******* 8.573 9.063 8.586 ******* 9.731 4.569 4.417 -9999.00 4.603 3,191. 3,191. 0. 2,818.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998070100 to 1998091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 9.730 9.603 ******* 9.021 9.730 9.603 ******* 9.021 11.027 10.825 ******* 10.164 5.189 4.998 -9999.00 4.683 1,686. 1,686. 0. 1,540.
3 8.239 7.461 ******* 8.604 8.239 7.461 ******* 8.604 9.289 8.523 ******* 9.474 4.290 4.121 -9999.00 3.968 1,882. 1,882. 0. 1,754.
6 7.993 7.058 ******* 8.444 7.993 7.058 ******* 8.444 9.074 8.213 ******* 9.486 4.296 4.201 -9999.00 4.323 2,474. 2,474. 0. 2,241.
9 7.651 6.904 ******* 8.491 7.651 6.904 ******* 8.491 8.733 7.930 ******* 9.497 4.211 3.903 -9999.00 4.256 3,501. 3,501. 0. 3,048.
12 7.529 6.744 6.670 8.594 7.529 6.744 6.670 8.594 8.738 7.821 7.799 9.735 4.434 3.962 4.042 4.573 3,641. 3,641. 3,641. 3,169.
15 7.609 6.698 6.502 8.855 7.609 6.698 6.502 8.855 9.049 8.030 7.904 10.161 4.898 4.431 4.495 4.984 2,961. 2,961. 2,961. 2,628.
18 8.022 7.155 7.178 9.236 8.022 7.155 7.178 9.236 9.305 8.480 8.646 10.485 4.715 4.553 4.821 4.964 2,075. 2,075. 2,075. 1,845.
21 7.939 7.027 7.139 9.028 7.939 7.027 7.139 9.028 9.160 8.362 8.734 10.134 4.571 4.534 5.032 4.606 1,640. 1,640. 1,640. 1,468.
24 7.998 7.301 7.581 9.076 7.998 7.301 7.581 9.076 9.180 8.628 9.190 10.078 4.507 4.600 5.195 4.383 1,650. 1,650. 1,650. 1,522.
27 7.972 7.290 7.557 8.700 7.972 7.290 7.557 8.700 9.070 8.575 9.160 9.577 4.327 4.516 5.179 4.005 1,842. 1,842. 1,842. 1,731.
30 8.193 7.327 7.194 8.583 8.193 7.327 7.194 8.583 9.335 8.592 8.715 9.660 4.474 4.489 4.921 4.434 2,411. 2,411. 2,411. 2,183.
33 7.914 7.267 6.892 8.554 7.914 7.267 6.892 8.554 9.037 8.399 8.213 9.645 4.363 4.211 4.468 4.456 3,394. 3,394. 3,394. 2,946.
36 7.841 7.214 6.900 8.669 7.841 7.214 6.900 8.669 9.110 8.427 8.226 9.843 4.638 4.357 4.480 4.662 3,502. 3,502. 3,502. 3,023.
39 7.866 7.076 ******* 8.913 7.866 7.076 ******* 8.913 9.319 8.514 ******* 10.227 4.999 4.736 -9999.00 5.016 2,851. 2,851. 0. 2,514.
42 8.310 7.628 ******* 9.311 8.310 7.628 ******* 9.311 9.618 9.065 ******* 10.515 4.845 4.898 -9999.00 4.887 1,993. 1,993. 0. 1,761.
45 8.344 7.456 ******* 9.112 8.344 7.456 ******* 9.112 9.591 8.881 ******* 10.207 4.730 4.827 -9999.00 4.601 1,573. 1,573. 0. 1,404.
48 8.491 7.799 ******* 9.167 8.491 7.799 ******* 9.167 9.722 9.199 ******* 10.162 4.735 4.879 -9999.00 4.388 1,603. 1,603. 0. 1,464.