MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998070100 to 1998091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 36.758 33.738 ******* 15.466 64.437 64.810 ******* 52.004 78.618 79.415 ******* 65.324 69.506 71.902 -9999.00 63.478 3,410. 3,410. 0. 3,007.
3 16.098 8.899 ******* 11.358 46.206 43.479 ******* 49.660 60.384 60.746 ******* 62.832 58.209 60.102 -9999.00 61.809 2,817. 2,817. 0. 2,536.
6 20.106 11.618 ******* 16.000 47.113 41.821 ******* 51.180 63.122 60.091 ******* 65.746 59.850 58.972 -9999.00 63.787 1,973. 1,973. 0. 1,783.
9 16.896 9.076 ******* 17.699 50.091 44.321 ******* 52.385 66.158 62.799 ******* 67.180 63.985 62.160 -9999.00 64.830 1,548. 1,548. 0. 1,405.
12 16.320 12.162 13.758 18.649 51.867 45.571 46.184 55.045 67.797 64.512 65.370 69.544 65.825 63.375 63.926 67.020 1,575. 1,575. 1,575. 1,453.
15 17.482 12.446 10.471 16.358 56.853 48.440 48.330 57.599 73.840 68.459 69.287 73.288 71.761 67.337 68.511 71.460 1,748. 1,748. 1,748. 1,643.
18 17.902 13.254 12.716 14.696 55.825 48.034 46.225 57.363 71.839 65.635 65.062 72.593 69.588 64.297 63.821 71.106 2,315. 2,315. 2,315. 2,102.
21 17.719 12.144 11.409 12.988 52.189 46.018 42.553 57.774 66.928 61.999 59.518 72.468 64.550 60.807 58.424 71.307 3,213. 3,213. 3,213. 2,848.
24 17.099 10.973 12.295 18.813 48.226 42.686 40.184 54.167 62.395 59.225 57.632 68.056 60.016 58.208 56.313 65.415 3,373. 3,373. 3,373. 2,976.
27 12.908 9.090 9.632 13.424 43.658 41.013 39.404 53.346 57.579 58.978 58.391 67.568 56.124 58.284 57.602 66.235 2,744. 2,744. 2,744. 2,458.
30 14.054 6.952 5.394 12.468 46.278 43.116 43.246 54.310 61.753 62.387 63.159 69.598 60.148 62.015 62.945 68.492 1,921. 1,921. 1,921. 1,697.
33 9.188 5.272 3.333 9.511 48.178 44.200 43.796 55.165 64.130 63.127 63.414 70.602 63.490 62.928 63.348 69.985 1,467. 1,467. 1,467. 1,329.
36 10.415 10.664 8.706 11.633 52.131 48.691 47.621 58.567 68.199 68.053 66.619 74.206 67.422 67.235 66.070 73.315 1,478. 1,478. 1,478. 1,381.
39 10.632 13.775 ******* 12.837 58.361 51.665 ******* 60.489 76.039 72.106 ******* 75.813 75.315 70.800 -9999.00 74.742 1,647. 1,647. 0. 1,566.
42 10.504 13.109 ******* 9.292 61.495 53.200 ******* 60.393 77.685 71.832 ******* 75.757 76.989 70.642 -9999.00 75.204 2,212. 2,212. 0. 2,031.
45 12.398 9.793 ******* 11.796 54.774 48.803 ******* 59.076 69.852 65.068 ******* 73.766 68.754 64.337 -9999.00 72.830 3,091. 3,091. 0. 2,738.
48 13.105 11.672 ******* 16.432 50.163 46.157 ******* 55.261 65.225 62.738 ******* 69.386 63.905 61.653 -9999.00 67.424 3,191. 3,191. 0. 2,818.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998070100 to 1998091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 37.525 36.887 ******* 26.453 63.813 63.284 ******* 58.064 79.338 78.862 ******* 73.710 69.923 69.724 -9999.00 68.822 1,686. 1,686. 0. 1,540.
3 26.677 19.002 ******* 16.119 60.315 53.518 ******* 57.039 75.958 71.680 ******* 72.003 71.139 69.134 -9999.00 70.195 1,882. 1,882. 0. 1,754.
6 22.359 15.758 ******* 17.908 54.861 46.186 ******* 55.515 69.934 61.966 ******* 69.932 66.277 59.941 -9999.00 67.615 2,474. 2,474. 0. 2,241.
9 18.400 14.728 ******* 19.098 50.795 43.635 ******* 56.750 64.679 58.442 ******* 71.439 62.016 56.564 -9999.00 68.850 3,501. 3,501. 0. 3,048.
12 18.110 13.641 12.372 20.800 45.600 39.285 39.125 53.250 59.622 54.496 54.401 66.817 56.813 52.769 52.982 63.507 3,641. 3,641. 3,641. 3,169.
15 14.248 10.133 10.245 16.076 42.424 37.020 36.834 52.400 56.448 52.515 53.414 66.185 54.630 51.537 52.431 64.215 2,961. 2,961. 2,961. 2,628.
18 15.472 8.441 6.155 14.666 45.192 39.634 39.265 52.955 59.666 57.170 57.415 67.868 57.639 56.557 57.098 66.282 2,075. 2,075. 2,075. 1,845.
21 11.357 9.376 8.653 13.058 47.880 43.294 42.772 54.238 63.502 62.018 62.227 69.315 62.498 61.324 61.641 68.097 1,640. 1,640. 1,640. 1,468.
24 11.530 10.095 12.378 13.603 50.366 47.161 48.441 57.259 66.145 66.308 68.348 72.707 65.152 65.555 67.238 71.446 1,650. 1,650. 1,650. 1,522.
27 11.105 13.025 10.635 11.672 55.611 50.421 51.704 60.834 72.421 69.982 72.700 76.589 71.584 68.778 71.938 75.716 1,842. 1,842. 1,842. 1,731.
30 11.849 13.074 12.531 10.830 59.042 49.641 48.968 60.475 75.102 67.287 68.102 76.104 74.176 66.018 66.953 75.347 2,411. 2,411. 2,411. 2,183.
33 13.846 9.999 9.267 12.266 53.670 46.153 43.604 58.569 68.321 61.498 60.484 73.173 66.913 60.689 59.779 72.150 3,394. 3,394. 3,394. 2,946.
36 15.974 9.698 10.905 17.111 49.098 44.525 41.799 55.141 64.065 60.999 59.264 69.051 62.051 60.232 58.260 66.909 3,502. 3,502. 3,502. 3,023.
39 13.439 8.720 ******* 14.335 44.847 40.942 ******* 54.467 59.106 58.447 ******* 68.579 57.568 57.803 -9999.00 67.078 2,851. 2,851. 0. 2,514.
42 12.541 8.074 ******* 12.765 48.750 44.332 ******* 55.337 64.042 63.638 ******* 70.337 62.818 63.140 -9999.00 69.189 1,993. 1,993. 0. 1,761.
45 10.306 7.288 ******* 9.869 53.007 46.360 ******* 57.017 69.430 65.787 ******* 72.449 68.683 65.403 -9999.00 71.800 1,573. 1,573. 0. 1,404.
48 10.219 10.071 ******* 14.929 56.222 52.251 ******* 60.179 73.334 72.211 ******* 75.879 72.641 71.527 -9999.00 74.421 1,603. 1,603. 0. 1,464.