MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of RELH (RH Percent ) From 1998091500 to 1998111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 2.736 2.677 ******* 6.072 10.620 10.526 ******* 12.336 13.498 13.393 ******* 15.594 13.221 13.125 -9999.00 14.366 2,722. 2,722. 0. 2,625.
3 -7.580 -8.597 ******* -1.822 13.477 13.394 ******* 10.680 18.065 17.903 ******* 14.375 16.401 15.706 -9999.00 14.261 2,605. 2,605. 0. 2,513.
6 -8.606 -10.599 ******* -3.582 14.919 15.196 ******* 10.754 19.354 19.678 ******* 14.318 17.338 16.584 -9999.00 13.866 2,391. 2,391. 0. 2,278.
9 -9.400 -12.512 ******* -4.747 15.608 16.466 ******* 11.071 20.272 21.400 ******* 14.541 17.965 17.365 -9999.00 13.747 2,310. 2,310. 0. 2,228.
12 -9.612 -13.234 -12.465 -4.872 15.560 16.973 16.491 10.719 20.465 22.127 21.642 14.082 18.072 17.737 17.695 13.216 2,237. 2,237. 2,237. 2,141.
15 -9.234 -12.659 -12.750 -3.970 15.168 16.428 16.215 9.917 20.050 21.391 21.172 13.018 17.801 17.247 16.906 12.400 2,550. 2,550. 2,550. 2,453.
18 -3.782 -7.947 -7.830 -2.035 14.127 13.655 13.400 10.627 18.062 17.730 17.358 13.826 17.665 15.853 15.495 13.678 2,691. 2,691. 2,691. 2,576.
21 -0.858 -5.049 -4.861 0.564 13.438 12.740 12.199 11.699 17.122 16.459 15.762 15.244 17.104 15.668 14.997 15.236 2,661. 2,661. 2,661. 2,540.
24 -0.695 -4.231 -4.302 0.203 13.035 12.083 11.574 12.096 16.636 15.728 15.130 15.866 16.624 15.151 14.508 15.869 2,658. 2,658. 2,658. 1,974.
27 -8.639 -11.210 -11.887 -2.122 16.280 15.759 15.797 11.077 20.675 20.304 20.337 14.833 18.787 16.933 16.504 14.684 2,561. 2,561. 2,561. 2,470.
30 -10.077 -12.528 -13.752 -3.831 16.536 16.578 16.944 10.882 21.117 21.215 21.494 14.349 18.562 17.124 16.523 13.832 2,348. 2,348. 2,348. 2,239.
33 -11.032 -13.672 -14.996 -4.705 16.974 17.171 17.804 11.018 21.586 21.998 22.417 14.507 18.558 17.237 16.666 13.727 2,256. 2,256. 2,256. 2,177.
36 -10.586 -13.614 -14.818 -4.518 16.311 17.188 17.813 10.779 21.182 22.121 22.485 14.245 18.351 17.440 16.916 13.513 2,230. 2,230. 2,230. 2,140.
39 -9.718 -12.959 ******* -4.152 15.578 16.673 ******* 10.258 20.669 21.762 ******* 13.625 18.245 17.487 -9999.00 12.979 2,612. 2,612. 0. 2,513.
42 -3.811 -7.877 ******* -2.686 14.190 14.407 ******* 11.227 18.335 18.735 ******* 14.566 17.938 17.002 -9999.00 14.319 2,759. 2,759. 0. 2,644.
45 -0.434 -4.908 ******* 0.212 14.277 13.826 ******* 12.704 18.237 17.749 ******* 16.394 18.235 17.060 -9999.00 16.396 2,734. 2,734. 0. 2,609.
48 -0.026 -4.349 ******* 0.309 13.932 13.179 ******* 12.972 18.048 17.107 ******* 16.912 18.051 16.548 -9999.00 16.914 2,736. 2,736. 0. 2,020.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of RELH (RH Percent ) From 1998091500 to 1998111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -12.379 -11.978 ******* 2.307 15.529 15.166 ******* 8.149 20.580 20.033 ******* 11.064 16.444 16.061 -9999.00 10.823 2,439. 2,439. 0. 2,343.
3 -10.303 -10.328 ******* -2.558 14.369 13.642 ******* 8.946 18.824 17.833 ******* 11.679 15.757 14.540 -9999.00 11.398 2,808. 2,808. 0. 2,711.
6 -5.057 -6.714 ******* -0.779 12.851 12.350 ******* 9.752 16.652 15.918 ******* 12.661 15.868 14.435 -9999.00 12.640 2,953. 2,953. 0. 2,838.
9 -1.418 -3.814 ******* 2.219 11.696 11.208 ******* 10.851 15.136 14.753 ******* 14.069 15.072 14.254 -9999.00 13.895 2,920. 2,920. 0. 2,799.
12 -0.366 -3.030 -2.208 2.198 11.265 10.808 10.702 11.285 14.627 14.028 13.871 14.543 14.625 13.699 13.697 14.379 2,854. 2,854. 2,854. 2,170.
15 -8.188 -10.043 -10.067 -0.390 15.464 14.882 14.639 10.339 19.831 18.983 18.741 13.824 18.064 16.111 15.810 13.821 2,726. 2,726. 2,726. 2,635.
18 -9.490 -11.744 -12.589 -2.599 16.117 16.023 16.161 10.253 20.576 20.400 20.440 13.572 18.261 16.684 16.106 13.324 2,486. 2,486. 2,486. 2,377.
21 -10.243 -13.252 -14.314 -3.697 16.479 17.046 17.338 10.413 21.015 21.625 21.863 13.586 18.354 17.093 16.529 13.076 2,397. 2,397. 2,397. 2,318.
24 -9.996 -13.397 -14.570 -3.692 16.126 17.072 17.551 10.153 20.749 21.715 22.081 13.305 18.187 17.094 16.596 12.785 2,375. 2,375. 2,375. 2,285.
27 -9.405 -12.582 -13.904 -3.328 15.472 16.323 16.883 9.612 20.272 21.064 21.393 12.640 17.962 16.896 16.261 12.196 2,747. 2,747. 2,747. 2,648.
30 -3.916 -7.565 -7.995 -1.781 14.569 14.310 14.058 10.697 18.529 18.524 18.110 13.884 18.114 16.911 16.252 13.772 2,890. 2,890. 2,890. 2,775.
33 -0.447 -4.586 -4.970 0.737 13.970 13.189 12.733 12.045 17.784 17.024 16.414 15.610 17.781 16.397 15.646 15.596 2,859. 2,859. 2,859. 2,734.
36 0.250 -3.680 -3.983 0.711 13.388 12.663 12.290 12.379 17.292 16.341 15.828 16.168 17.293 15.924 15.321 16.156 2,854. 2,854. 2,854. 2,163.
39 -7.892 -10.692 ******* -2.085 16.451 15.890 ******* 11.337 20.933 20.415 ******* 15.107 19.392 17.394 -9999.00 14.965 2,793. 2,793. 0. 2,698.
42 -9.248 -12.134 ******* -3.850 16.740 16.802 ******* 11.309 21.454 21.544 ******* 14.879 19.362 17.806 -9999.00 14.375 2,562. 2,562. 0. 2,444.
45 -10.253 -13.333 ******* -4.710 17.066 17.460 ******* 11.574 21.890 22.249 ******* 15.121 19.344 17.814 -9999.00 14.371 2,467. 2,467. 0. 2,347.
48 -10.485 -13.669 ******* -4.417 16.651 17.585 ******* 11.120 21.591 22.462 ******* 14.613 18.878 17.829 -9999.00 13.933 2,447. 2,447. 0. 2,317.