MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 1998091500 to 1998111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 21.412 20.270 ******* 13.359 72.978 73.846 ******* 66.603 88.745 89.595 ******* 83.214 86.130 87.279 -9999.00 82.142 6,002. 6,002. 0. 5,285.
3 15.024 7.608 ******* 12.714 66.133 61.139 ******* 67.914 82.552 78.342 ******* 84.474 81.180 77.979 -9999.00 83.520 5,883. 5,883. 0. 5,117.
6 17.394 11.377 ******* 12.657 68.696 61.944 ******* 70.111 85.522 79.449 ******* 86.944 83.742 78.637 -9999.00 86.026 5,530. 5,530. 0. 4,777.
9 15.471 10.661 ******* 12.225 71.133 65.572 ******* 71.375 87.968 83.181 ******* 88.035 86.605 82.503 -9999.00 87.192 5,175. 5,175. 0. 4,435.
12 14.896 9.547 10.864 12.106 70.129 64.167 64.065 69.229 86.647 81.763 81.771 85.964 85.365 81.211 81.054 85.116 5,444. 5,444. 5,444. 4,690.
15 20.274 11.669 10.051 15.722 70.961 64.308 65.099 69.413 87.324 81.909 82.948 85.875 84.944 81.081 82.344 84.432 5,964. 5,964. 5,964. 5,198.
18 18.124 11.499 9.037 13.209 70.685 62.791 62.624 67.372 87.931 80.979 81.078 84.167 86.050 80.165 80.579 83.132 5,991. 5,991. 5,991. 5,206.
21 14.873 11.833 11.082 13.251 66.561 59.139 58.348 66.145 83.827 77.634 77.408 82.600 82.504 76.733 76.617 81.538 5,903. 5,903. 5,903. 5,140.
24 14.222 9.319 7.464 10.056 67.123 60.613 60.202 66.338 84.397 79.275 79.211 83.426 83.197 78.732 78.865 82.828 5,944. 5,944. 5,944. 3,828.
27 16.426 9.199 8.825 15.659 72.914 67.372 67.460 72.041 89.599 85.146 85.623 88.491 88.088 84.655 85.174 87.103 5,830. 5,830. 5,830. 5,083.
30 18.186 13.070 10.479 15.794 72.966 68.672 68.445 72.060 89.714 85.922 86.213 88.379 87.859 84.930 85.581 86.966 5,475. 5,475. 5,475. 4,726.
33 16.927 11.936 8.617 15.951 74.448 70.623 70.928 73.072 90.958 88.253 88.777 89.762 89.378 87.451 88.367 88.343 5,109. 5,109. 5,109. 4,372.
36 15.954 9.899 7.189 11.787 73.256 69.472 70.028 70.862 89.726 87.011 87.991 87.283 88.304 86.454 87.705 86.493 5,416. 5,416. 5,416. 4,668.
39 21.356 14.775 ******* 17.739 73.703 69.602 ******* 70.625 89.707 87.115 ******* 86.872 87.135 85.860 -9999.00 85.050 6,012. 6,012. 0. 5,238.
42 19.720 10.586 ******* 12.377 74.179 68.524 ******* 68.997 90.668 86.774 ******* 85.787 88.505 86.132 -9999.00 84.898 6,056. 6,056. 0. 5,273.
45 16.886 9.403 ******* 14.211 70.301 63.604 ******* 68.202 87.260 82.298 ******* 84.838 85.618 81.766 -9999.00 83.647 5,961. 5,961. 0. 5,211.
48 16.200 9.366 ******* 10.863 69.471 62.719 ******* 66.728 86.790 81.774 ******* 83.594 85.272 81.243 -9999.00 82.896 5,997. 5,997. 0. 3,870.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 1998091500 to 1998111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 17.860 17.108 ******* 11.486 75.594 75.505 ******* 71.491 91.734 91.679 ******* 88.967 89.986 90.076 -9999.00 88.232 5,858. 5,858. 0. 5,030.
3 11.854 7.850 ******* 12.610 67.303 65.018 ******* 68.887 84.168 82.488 ******* 85.632 83.335 82.120 -9999.00 84.706 6,475. 6,475. 0. 5,635.
6 16.348 12.818 ******* 12.220 67.403 60.252 ******* 66.311 84.614 78.404 ******* 83.364 83.026 77.355 -9999.00 82.471 6,481. 6,481. 0. 5,626.
9 14.593 11.124 ******* 12.188 64.037 55.362 ******* 64.743 81.192 73.035 ******* 81.318 79.876 72.189 -9999.00 80.407 6,383. 6,383. 0. 5,561.
12 14.341 10.134 10.357 9.840 63.740 56.736 56.569 64.358 81.005 75.081 74.932 81.374 79.732 74.400 74.219 80.787 6,361. 6,361. 6,361. 4,189.
15 16.853 10.718 11.563 17.386 70.283 65.546 64.889 69.946 87.107 83.042 82.748 86.558 85.468 82.354 81.943 84.802 6,201. 6,201. 6,201. 5,398.
18 17.164 12.137 12.333 15.213 71.971 66.053 66.891 71.529 88.617 83.489 84.734 88.099 86.946 82.609 83.839 86.784 5,832. 5,832. 5,832. 5,008.
21 15.653 11.386 9.583 14.588 73.409 68.290 68.989 72.771 90.304 86.021 87.220 89.310 88.945 85.272 86.700 88.120 5,455. 5,455. 5,455. 4,643.
24 17.146 9.232 9.588 11.754 71.993 66.855 67.076 70.540 88.068 84.317 85.048 87.083 86.390 83.817 84.513 86.295 5,783. 5,783. 5,783. 4,962.
27 21.362 14.224 10.729 17.092 72.066 66.815 67.469 69.043 88.086 84.343 85.246 85.487 85.464 83.141 84.575 83.769 6,402. 6,402. 6,402. 5,559.
30 20.318 10.691 10.462 12.398 71.403 64.973 65.050 67.932 88.053 83.201 83.412 84.442 85.683 82.518 82.759 83.535 6,416. 6,416. 6,416. 5,579.
33 13.034 9.424 7.871 12.474 67.870 62.050 62.288 67.511 85.001 80.533 81.272 83.873 84.002 79.986 80.896 82.948 6,318. 6,318. 6,318. 5,510.
36 12.430 6.891 6.448 9.666 68.153 62.574 62.792 67.985 85.566 81.432 81.689 84.853 84.665 81.147 81.440 84.311 6,371. 6,371. 6,371. 4,188.
39 16.655 9.927 ******* 14.182 72.700 69.530 ******* 71.998 89.478 87.463 ******* 88.256 87.921 86.905 -9999.00 87.117 6,255. 6,255. 0. 5,448.
42 21.373 12.220 ******* 15.642 73.059 67.578 ******* 71.884 89.348 84.834 ******* 88.040 86.761 83.957 -9999.00 86.648 5,896. 5,896. 0. 5,063.
45 16.997 10.457 ******* 16.007 73.500 69.743 ******* 72.899 90.059 87.256 ******* 89.640 88.448 86.635 -9999.00 88.209 5,513. 5,513. 0. 4,621.
48 18.092 9.088 ******* 14.432 73.073 68.092 ******* 70.876 89.287 85.438 ******* 87.224 87.443 84.960 -9999.00 86.031 5,842. 5,842. 0. 4,936.