MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of PSLR (SLP millibars ) From 1998091500 to 1998111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -0.065 -0.044 ******* -0.085 0.793 0.784 ******* 0.777 1.364 1.358 ******* 1.354 1.363 1.357 -9999.00 1.352 2,484. 2,484. 0. 2,481.
3 0.130 0.097 ******* 0.338 0.823 0.832 ******* 1.054 1.110 1.120 ******* 1.392 1.103 1.116 -9999.00 1.351 2,414. 2,414. 0. 2,412.
6 -0.185 -0.271 ******* 0.192 0.881 0.884 ******* 0.949 1.179 1.189 ******* 1.212 1.164 1.158 -9999.00 1.197 2,275. 2,275. 0. 2,274.
9 -0.117 -0.236 ******* 0.594 1.085 1.091 ******* 1.052 1.423 1.433 ******* 1.383 1.419 1.414 -9999.00 1.250 2,220. 2,220. 0. 2,219.
12 0.237 0.093 -0.005 0.587 1.236 1.196 1.217 1.077 1.621 1.584 1.607 1.437 1.604 1.582 1.607 1.312 2,153. 2,153. 2,153. 2,150.
15 0.000 -0.134 -0.230 0.338 1.552 1.532 1.564 1.269 2.157 2.151 2.183 1.839 2.158 2.147 2.171 1.809 2,370. 2,370. 2,370. 2,368.
18 -0.474 -0.561 -0.615 -0.037 1.732 1.702 1.734 1.368 2.502 2.494 2.526 2.013 2.457 2.431 2.451 2.014 2,426. 2,426. 2,426. 2,422.
21 -0.486 -0.602 -0.632 0.227 1.702 1.661 1.681 1.405 2.357 2.347 2.372 1.884 2.307 2.269 2.287 1.871 2,408. 2,408. 2,408. 2,404.
24 -0.412 -0.551 -0.605 -0.285 1.820 1.786 1.811 1.631 2.702 2.720 2.748 2.464 2.671 2.664 2.681 2.448 2,425. 2,425. 2,425. 1,761.
27 -0.226 -0.358 -0.447 -0.351 1.943 1.929 1.958 1.738 2.898 2.882 2.915 2.601 2.890 2.860 2.881 2.578 2,365. 2,365. 2,365. 2,363.
30 -0.513 -0.680 -0.759 -0.023 2.050 2.083 2.118 1.824 2.974 2.960 2.994 2.679 2.930 2.882 2.897 2.680 2,223. 2,223. 2,223. 2,223.
33 -0.423 -0.597 -0.678 0.293 2.212 2.243 2.271 2.000 3.034 3.057 3.089 2.793 3.005 2.999 3.014 2.778 2,167. 2,167. 2,167. 2,167.
36 -0.151 -0.315 -0.397 0.154 2.320 2.345 2.357 2.173 3.161 3.212 3.232 2.976 3.158 3.197 3.208 2.972 2,151. 2,151. 2,151. 2,149.
39 -0.135 -0.301 ******* 0.055 2.525 2.537 ******* 2.350 3.467 3.479 ******* 3.214 3.465 3.466 -9999.00 3.214 2,425. 2,425. 0. 2,423.
42 -0.586 -0.713 ******* 0.033 2.570 2.583 ******* 2.371 3.537 3.559 ******* 3.185 3.489 3.488 -9999.00 3.186 2,477. 2,477. 0. 2,473.
45 -0.600 -0.751 ******* 0.107 2.512 2.525 ******* 2.271 3.284 3.340 ******* 2.878 3.229 3.256 -9999.00 2.876 2,467. 2,467. 0. 2,463.
48 -0.298 -0.481 ******* -0.108 2.537 2.548 ******* 2.469 3.352 3.409 ******* 3.150 3.339 3.376 -9999.00 3.149 2,490. 2,490. 0. 1,812.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of PSLR (SLP millibars ) From 1998091500 to 1998111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -0.116 -0.085 ******* 0.174 0.752 0.746 ******* 0.690 1.036 1.020 ******* 0.952 1.029 1.017 -9999.00 0.937 2,324. 2,324. 0. 2,321.
3 0.109 0.077 ******* 0.290 0.978 0.979 ******* 1.016 1.467 1.458 ******* 1.539 1.463 1.457 -9999.00 1.511 2,598. 2,598. 0. 2,596.
6 -0.472 -0.467 ******* -0.144 1.207 1.159 ******* 1.144 1.753 1.709 ******* 1.686 1.688 1.644 -9999.00 1.680 2,649. 2,649. 0. 2,645.
9 -0.455 -0.505 ******* 0.068 1.248 1.194 ******* 1.050 1.685 1.646 ******* 1.398 1.622 1.567 -9999.00 1.397 2,633. 2,633. 0. 2,629.
12 -0.298 -0.383 -0.457 -0.179 1.377 1.316 1.345 1.216 2.085 2.059 2.099 1.833 2.064 2.023 2.049 1.825 2,592. 2,592. 2,592. 1,928.
15 -0.293 -0.381 -0.468 -0.348 1.520 1.482 1.508 1.313 2.207 2.189 2.235 1.905 2.187 2.156 2.185 1.873 2,502. 2,502. 2,502. 2,500.
18 -0.627 -0.744 -0.837 -0.161 1.682 1.687 1.722 1.331 2.300 2.314 2.359 1.883 2.213 2.191 2.207 1.877 2,336. 2,336. 2,336. 2,336.
21 -0.461 -0.603 -0.689 0.229 1.718 1.727 1.750 1.385 2.279 2.300 2.328 1.925 2.233 2.219 2.224 1.912 2,281. 2,281. 2,281. 2,281.
24 -0.258 -0.399 -0.493 0.083 1.791 1.807 1.831 1.571 2.374 2.392 2.416 2.070 2.360 2.359 2.366 2.069 2,267. 2,267. 2,267. 2,265.
27 -0.225 -0.355 -0.443 0.023 2.089 2.097 2.131 1.879 2.826 2.829 2.857 2.497 2.818 2.808 2.823 2.498 2,541. 2,541. 2,541. 2,539.
30 -0.707 -0.821 -0.896 -0.152 2.276 2.290 2.344 1.937 3.082 3.093 3.139 2.589 3.000 2.982 3.009 2.585 2,593. 2,593. 2,593. 2,589.
33 -0.680 -0.814 -0.882 0.023 2.164 2.171 2.207 1.862 2.823 2.853 2.898 2.362 2.740 2.735 2.761 2.363 2,577. 2,577. 2,577. 2,573.
36 -0.337 -0.475 -0.554 -0.071 2.193 2.205 2.228 1.948 2.998 3.030 3.068 2.755 2.980 2.993 3.018 2.755 2,598. 2,598. 2,598. 1,935.
39 -0.042 -0.166 ******* -0.202 2.314 2.314 ******* 2.174 3.160 3.178 ******* 3.001 3.160 3.174 -9999.00 2.995 2,563. 2,563. 0. 2,561.
42 -0.294 -0.425 ******* 0.157 2.432 2.429 ******* 2.321 3.334 3.340 ******* 3.160 3.322 3.313 -9999.00 3.157 2,398. 2,398. 0. 2,398.
45 -0.331 -0.464 ******* 0.415 2.625 2.618 ******* 2.557 3.590 3.584 ******* 3.398 3.575 3.554 -9999.00 3.373 2,341. 2,341. 0. 2,299.
48 -0.071 -0.192 ******* 0.295 2.801 2.760 ******* 2.777 3.862 3.800 ******* 3.676 3.863 3.796 -9999.00 3.665 2,334. 2,334. 0. 2,290.