MM5 Statistics
0Z Stats 12Z Stats
00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM2 (Avg Sfc/Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin )
From 1998091500 to 1998111412
Forecast Hour |
Mean Error |
Mean Absolute Error |
Root Mean Square Error |
Standard Deviation |
Number of Obs |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
ETA 32 km |
0 |
-1.066 |
-0.631 |
******* |
-0.010 |
2.153 |
1.888 |
******* |
2.417 |
2.845 |
2.560 |
******* |
3.112 |
2.638 |
2.482 |
-9999.00 |
3.112 |
4,994. |
4,994. |
0. |
4,669. |
3 |
0.543 |
0.950 |
******* |
-0.976 |
1.984 |
1.930 |
******* |
2.283 |
2.590 |
2.568 |
******* |
2.860 |
2.533 |
2.386 |
-9999.00 |
2.689 |
4,848. |
4,848. |
0. |
4,511. |
6 |
0.819 |
1.231 |
******* |
-0.785 |
2.251 |
2.258 |
******* |
2.380 |
2.953 |
3.060 |
******* |
2.972 |
2.838 |
2.802 |
-9999.00 |
2.867 |
4,513. |
4,513. |
0. |
4,168. |
9 |
0.975 |
1.383 |
******* |
-0.788 |
2.348 |
2.400 |
******* |
2.395 |
3.091 |
3.263 |
******* |
3.012 |
2.934 |
2.955 |
-9999.00 |
2.908 |
4,483. |
4,483. |
0. |
4,159. |
12 |
1.106 |
1.485 |
1.560 |
-0.762 |
2.391 |
2.469 |
2.495 |
2.438 |
3.191 |
3.394 |
3.457 |
3.081 |
2.994 |
3.052 |
3.086 |
2.986 |
4,442. |
4,442. |
4,442. |
4,100. |
15 |
0.923 |
1.240 |
1.369 |
-0.940 |
2.372 |
2.401 |
2.373 |
2.525 |
3.132 |
3.254 |
3.240 |
3.262 |
2.993 |
3.009 |
2.936 |
3.124 |
4,895. |
4,895. |
4,895. |
4,555. |
18 |
-0.590 |
0.036 |
-0.011 |
0.670 |
2.340 |
2.108 |
2.037 |
2.399 |
3.104 |
2.866 |
2.775 |
3.069 |
3.048 |
2.866 |
2.776 |
2.996 |
5,049. |
5,049. |
5,049. |
4,689. |
21 |
-1.246 |
-0.521 |
-0.609 |
0.812 |
2.515 |
2.108 |
2.031 |
2.597 |
3.284 |
2.828 |
2.714 |
3.371 |
3.039 |
2.780 |
2.645 |
3.272 |
4,930. |
4,930. |
4,930. |
4,574. |
24 |
-1.366 |
-0.801 |
-0.868 |
-0.173 |
2.445 |
2.064 |
1.987 |
2.621 |
3.197 |
2.771 |
2.651 |
3.347 |
2.891 |
2.653 |
2.505 |
3.343 |
4,921. |
4,921. |
4,921. |
3,492. |
27 |
0.144 |
0.484 |
0.476 |
-0.852 |
2.017 |
1.869 |
1.833 |
2.334 |
2.643 |
2.486 |
2.444 |
2.926 |
2.639 |
2.439 |
2.398 |
2.800 |
4,792. |
4,792. |
4,792. |
4,463. |
30 |
0.489 |
0.866 |
0.920 |
-0.661 |
2.246 |
2.190 |
2.138 |
2.407 |
2.926 |
2.918 |
2.869 |
3.010 |
2.885 |
2.787 |
2.718 |
2.937 |
4,455. |
4,455. |
4,455. |
4,115. |
33 |
0.626 |
1.005 |
1.097 |
-0.753 |
2.348 |
2.329 |
2.278 |
2.491 |
3.047 |
3.090 |
3.053 |
3.135 |
2.983 |
2.922 |
2.850 |
3.044 |
4,424. |
4,424. |
4,424. |
4,104. |
36 |
0.706 |
1.059 |
1.149 |
-0.796 |
2.417 |
2.420 |
2.351 |
2.548 |
3.170 |
3.220 |
3.161 |
3.248 |
3.091 |
3.042 |
2.945 |
3.149 |
4,419. |
4,419. |
4,419. |
4,084. |
39 |
0.547 |
0.856 |
******* |
-0.964 |
2.430 |
2.410 |
******* |
2.622 |
3.187 |
3.188 |
******* |
3.390 |
3.140 |
3.071 |
-9999.00 |
3.250 |
4,936. |
4,936. |
0. |
4,594. |
42 |
-1.048 |
-0.473 |
******* |
0.484 |
2.444 |
2.177 |
******* |
2.443 |
3.241 |
2.955 |
******* |
3.141 |
3.067 |
2.917 |
-9999.00 |
3.104 |
5,080. |
5,080. |
0. |
4,724. |
45 |
-1.598 |
-0.874 |
******* |
0.508 |
2.726 |
2.325 |
******* |
2.721 |
3.571 |
3.124 |
******* |
3.570 |
3.194 |
3.000 |
-9999.00 |
3.534 |
4,977. |
4,977. |
0. |
4,623. |
48 |
-1.651 |
-0.961 |
******* |
-0.470 |
2.645 |
2.231 |
******* |
2.879 |
3.464 |
2.996 |
******* |
3.664 |
3.046 |
2.839 |
-9999.00 |
3.635 |
4,960. |
4,960. |
0. |
3,511. |
12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM2 (Avg Sfc/Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin )
From 1998091500 to 1998111412
Forecast Hour |
Mean Error |
Mean Absolute Error |
Root Mean Square Error |
Standard Deviation |
Number of Obs |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
ETA 32 km |
MM5 36 km |
MM5 12 km |
MM5 4 km |
ETA 32 km |
0 |
2.806 |
2.953 |
******* |
-1.800 |
3.176 |
3.200 |
******* |
2.876 |
4.294 |
4.257 |
******* |
3.734 |
3.251 |
3.067 |
-9999.00 |
3.272 |
4,798. |
4,798. |
0. |
4,428. |
3 |
1.212 |
1.347 |
******* |
-1.327 |
2.360 |
2.268 |
******* |
2.619 |
3.232 |
3.144 |
******* |
3.364 |
2.997 |
2.841 |
-9999.00 |
3.091 |
5,329. |
5,329. |
0. |
4,963. |
6 |
-0.262 |
0.180 |
******* |
0.471 |
2.228 |
2.023 |
******* |
2.260 |
2.959 |
2.708 |
******* |
2.895 |
2.948 |
2.702 |
-9999.00 |
2.857 |
5,482. |
5,482. |
0. |
5,096. |
9 |
-1.016 |
-0.484 |
******* |
0.612 |
2.351 |
2.008 |
******* |
2.412 |
3.092 |
2.678 |
******* |
3.143 |
2.920 |
2.635 |
-9999.00 |
3.083 |
5,352. |
5,352. |
0. |
4,972. |
12 |
-1.288 |
-0.793 |
-0.726 |
-0.318 |
2.311 |
1.963 |
1.895 |
2.461 |
3.042 |
2.622 |
2.538 |
3.164 |
2.757 |
2.499 |
2.432 |
3.148 |
5,273. |
5,273. |
5,273. |
3,823. |
15 |
0.268 |
0.494 |
0.720 |
-0.969 |
1.986 |
1.787 |
1.833 |
2.318 |
2.603 |
2.374 |
2.445 |
2.907 |
2.589 |
2.322 |
2.337 |
2.741 |
5,111. |
5,111. |
5,111. |
4,759. |
18 |
0.610 |
0.859 |
1.177 |
-0.718 |
2.194 |
2.093 |
2.172 |
2.401 |
2.883 |
2.808 |
2.945 |
3.003 |
2.818 |
2.673 |
2.700 |
2.916 |
4,751. |
4,751. |
4,751. |
4,383. |
21 |
0.715 |
0.982 |
1.331 |
-0.755 |
2.283 |
2.221 |
2.345 |
2.449 |
2.988 |
2.984 |
3.162 |
3.096 |
2.902 |
2.818 |
2.868 |
3.003 |
4,721. |
4,721. |
4,721. |
4,373. |
24 |
0.776 |
1.027 |
1.399 |
-0.766 |
2.324 |
2.307 |
2.448 |
2.509 |
3.070 |
3.104 |
3.303 |
3.196 |
2.970 |
2.930 |
2.992 |
3.103 |
4,724. |
4,724. |
4,724. |
4,361. |
27 |
0.555 |
0.789 |
1.163 |
-0.889 |
2.304 |
2.269 |
2.387 |
2.566 |
3.042 |
3.047 |
3.189 |
3.323 |
2.991 |
2.943 |
2.969 |
3.202 |
5,259. |
5,259. |
5,259. |
4,891. |
30 |
-1.041 |
-0.513 |
-0.236 |
0.517 |
2.414 |
2.168 |
2.156 |
2.383 |
3.214 |
2.962 |
2.941 |
3.061 |
3.041 |
2.918 |
2.932 |
3.017 |
5,411. |
5,411. |
5,411. |
5,032. |
33 |
-1.607 |
-0.918 |
-0.702 |
0.606 |
2.700 |
2.301 |
2.226 |
2.611 |
3.528 |
3.095 |
3.007 |
3.403 |
3.142 |
2.956 |
2.924 |
3.349 |
5,284. |
5,284. |
5,284. |
4,907. |
36 |
-1.707 |
-1.094 |
-0.896 |
-0.377 |
2.673 |
2.285 |
2.171 |
2.743 |
3.489 |
3.066 |
2.943 |
3.471 |
3.043 |
2.864 |
2.804 |
3.451 |
5,271. |
5,271. |
5,271. |
3,809. |
39 |
-0.132 |
0.187 |
******* |
-0.948 |
2.067 |
1.878 |
******* |
2.398 |
2.695 |
2.473 |
******* |
3.018 |
2.692 |
2.466 |
-9999.00 |
2.866 |
5,155. |
5,155. |
0. |
4,800. |
42 |
0.254 |
0.588 |
******* |
-0.737 |
2.260 |
2.163 |
******* |
2.451 |
2.944 |
2.851 |
******* |
3.092 |
2.934 |
2.790 |
-9999.00 |
3.003 |
4,811. |
4,811. |
0. |
4,435. |
45 |
0.450 |
0.781 |
******* |
-0.853 |
2.368 |
2.315 |
******* |
2.539 |
3.059 |
3.025 |
******* |
3.216 |
3.026 |
2.923 |
-9999.00 |
3.101 |
4,772. |
4,772. |
0. |
4,344. |
48 |
0.539 |
0.842 |
******* |
-0.928 |
2.444 |
2.431 |
******* |
2.639 |
3.180 |
3.180 |
******* |
3.360 |
3.134 |
3.067 |
-9999.00 |
3.230 |
4,779. |
4,779. |
0. |
4,337. |