MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998091500 to 1998111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 9.495 9.389 ******* 8.105 9.495 9.389 ******* 8.105 11.213 11.027 ******* 9.386 5.966 5.784 -9999.00 4.734 2,269. 2,269. 0. 2,104.
3 7.901 7.289 ******* 8.108 7.901 7.289 ******* 8.108 9.291 8.663 ******* 9.224 4.890 4.682 -9999.00 4.400 1,710. 1,710. 0. 1,608.
6 8.624 7.656 ******* 8.195 8.624 7.656 ******* 8.195 10.185 9.126 ******* 9.415 5.420 4.968 -9999.00 4.637 1,488. 1,488. 0. 1,390.
9 8.943 7.940 ******* 8.160 8.943 7.940 ******* 8.160 10.584 9.488 ******* 9.404 5.664 5.196 -9999.00 4.676 1,336. 1,336. 0. 1,243.
12 9.363 8.289 8.903 8.558 9.363 8.289 8.903 8.558 10.978 9.812 10.537 9.849 5.732 5.251 5.639 4.876 1,540. 1,540. 1,540. 1,449.
15 9.713 8.680 8.900 8.727 9.713 8.680 8.900 8.727 11.449 10.587 10.990 10.058 6.064 6.064 6.448 5.002 1,752. 1,752. 1,752. 1,661.
18 9.557 8.252 8.346 8.663 9.557 8.252 8.346 8.663 11.301 10.084 10.336 10.042 6.031 5.797 6.099 5.080 2,119. 2,119. 2,119. 1,959.
21 8.645 7.910 8.174 8.411 8.645 7.910 8.174 8.411 10.247 9.577 10.050 9.693 5.503 5.400 5.848 4.820 2,490. 2,490. 2,490. 2,276.
24 8.626 8.092 8.363 8.671 8.626 8.092 8.363 8.671 10.355 9.899 10.329 10.110 5.731 5.703 6.064 5.200 2,298. 2,298. 2,298. 1,643.
27 9.632 8.954 9.056 8.545 9.632 8.954 9.056 8.545 11.410 10.817 11.080 9.712 6.118 6.071 6.386 4.617 1,753. 1,753. 1,753. 1,644.
30 9.965 9.258 9.409 8.608 9.965 9.258 9.409 8.608 11.995 11.182 11.524 9.925 6.678 6.272 6.657 4.943 1,537. 1,537. 1,537. 1,439.
33 10.146 9.420 9.834 8.593 10.146 9.420 9.834 8.593 12.139 11.500 12.090 9.966 6.667 6.599 7.035 5.049 1,359. 1,359. 1,359. 1,262.
36 10.415 9.629 9.876 8.964 10.415 9.629 9.876 8.964 12.308 11.648 12.070 10.397 6.562 6.556 6.942 5.269 1,562. 1,562. 1,562. 1,469.
39 10.355 9.487 ******* 8.903 10.355 9.487 ******* 8.903 12.086 11.305 ******* 10.231 6.235 6.149 -9999.00 5.042 1,778. 1,778. 0. 1,684.
42 10.285 9.339 ******* 8.878 10.285 9.339 ******* 8.878 11.990 11.180 ******* 10.238 6.166 6.149 -9999.00 5.100 2,133. 2,133. 0. 1,975.
45 9.180 8.519 ******* 8.556 9.180 8.519 ******* 8.556 10.753 10.175 ******* 9.813 5.601 5.566 -9999.00 4.806 2,525. 2,525. 0. 2,306.
48 9.034 8.467 ******* 8.468 9.034 8.467 ******* 8.468 10.767 10.325 ******* 9.826 5.859 5.909 -9999.00 4.985 2,332. 2,332. 0. 1,638.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998091500 to 1998111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 10.149 9.969 ******* 8.570 10.149 9.969 ******* 8.570 11.777 11.597 ******* 9.912 5.976 5.928 -9999.00 4.982 1,606. 1,606. 0. 1,508.
3 8.109 7.423 ******* 8.447 8.109 7.423 ******* 8.447 9.423 8.629 ******* 9.683 4.801 4.400 -9999.00 4.735 1,851. 1,851. 0. 1,754.
6 8.610 7.426 ******* 8.487 8.610 7.426 ******* 8.487 10.051 8.827 ******* 9.785 5.187 4.773 -9999.00 4.872 2,239. 2,239. 0. 2,071.
9 8.152 7.368 ******* 8.234 8.152 7.368 ******* 8.234 9.600 8.908 ******* 9.444 5.071 5.007 -9999.00 4.626 2,654. 2,654. 0. 2,425.
12 8.054 7.476 7.731 8.395 8.054 7.476 7.731 8.395 9.712 9.174 9.528 9.765 5.428 5.318 5.570 4.990 2,438. 2,438. 2,438. 1,771.
15 9.050 8.417 8.700 8.385 9.050 8.417 8.700 8.385 10.718 10.115 10.534 9.544 5.743 5.612 5.942 4.559 1,842. 1,842. 1,842. 1,727.
18 9.625 8.760 9.233 8.497 9.625 8.760 9.233 8.497 11.411 10.464 11.197 9.773 6.131 5.725 6.335 4.831 1,606. 1,606. 1,606. 1,499.
21 9.812 8.988 9.385 8.484 9.812 8.988 9.385 8.484 11.633 10.705 11.376 9.790 6.251 5.817 6.430 4.886 1,432. 1,432. 1,432. 1,326.
24 10.129 9.068 9.457 8.860 10.129 9.068 9.457 8.860 11.933 10.936 11.508 10.226 6.311 6.115 6.560 5.107 1,645. 1,645. 1,645. 1,543.
27 10.181 9.093 9.512 8.785 10.181 9.093 9.512 8.785 12.104 11.084 11.621 10.105 6.547 6.339 6.678 4.993 1,887. 1,887. 1,887. 1,786.
30 9.847 8.628 8.908 8.819 9.847 8.628 8.908 8.819 11.525 10.359 10.853 10.161 5.990 5.734 6.202 5.048 2,272. 2,272. 2,272. 2,105.
33 9.049 8.425 8.714 8.555 9.049 8.425 8.714 8.555 10.682 10.144 10.688 9.835 5.678 5.651 6.190 4.851 2,686. 2,686. 2,686. 2,454.
36 9.031 8.526 8.861 8.583 9.031 8.526 8.861 8.583 10.874 10.455 10.902 9.927 6.057 6.052 6.352 4.988 2,471. 2,471. 2,471. 1,767.
39 9.971 9.473 ******* 8.742 9.971 9.473 ******* 8.742 11.797 11.446 ******* 9.966 6.306 6.425 -9999.00 4.786 1,902. 1,902. 0. 1,787.
42 10.236 9.444 ******* 8.829 10.236 9.444 ******* 8.829 12.168 11.318 ******* 10.247 6.581 6.239 -9999.00 5.202 1,682. 1,682. 0. 1,572.
45 10.174 9.632 ******* 8.737 10.174 9.632 ******* 8.737 12.186 11.642 ******* 10.136 6.709 6.542 -9999.00 5.141 1,493. 1,493. 0. 1,366.
48 10.301 9.452 ******* 9.073 10.301 9.452 ******* 9.073 12.209 11.523 ******* 10.452 6.554 6.592 -9999.00 5.190 1,692. 1,692. 0. 1,571.