MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998091500 to 1998111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 8.846 8.751 ******* 8.105 8.846 8.751 ******* 8.105 10.347 10.153 ******* 9.386 5.368 5.150 -9999.00 4.734 2,269. 2,269. 0. 2,104.
3 7.631 6.984 ******* 8.108 7.631 6.984 ******* 8.108 8.881 8.216 ******* 9.224 4.544 4.329 -9999.00 4.400 1,710. 1,710. 0. 1,608.
6 8.077 7.023 ******* 8.195 8.077 7.023 ******* 8.195 9.524 8.374 ******* 9.415 5.048 4.564 -9999.00 4.637 1,488. 1,488. 0. 1,390.
9 8.422 7.318 ******* 8.160 8.422 7.318 ******* 8.160 9.907 8.735 ******* 9.404 5.219 4.770 -9999.00 4.676 1,336. 1,336. 0. 1,243.
12 8.830 7.770 7.906 8.558 8.830 7.770 7.906 8.558 10.338 9.172 9.340 9.849 5.377 4.875 4.974 4.876 1,540. 1,540. 1,540. 1,449.
15 9.128 8.065 8.121 8.727 9.128 8.065 8.121 8.727 10.787 9.825 10.093 10.058 5.749 5.613 5.996 5.002 1,752. 1,752. 1,752. 1,661.
18 9.088 7.858 7.795 8.663 9.088 7.858 7.795 8.663 10.726 9.569 9.650 10.042 5.698 5.461 5.689 5.080 2,119. 2,119. 2,119. 1,959.
21 8.364 7.537 7.577 8.411 8.364 7.537 7.577 8.411 9.817 9.051 9.292 9.693 5.141 5.014 5.381 4.820 2,490. 2,490. 2,490. 2,276.
24 8.308 7.630 7.744 8.671 8.308 7.630 7.744 8.671 9.887 9.253 9.572 10.110 5.362 5.235 5.628 5.200 2,298. 2,298. 2,298. 1,643.
27 8.993 8.188 8.225 8.545 8.993 8.188 8.225 8.545 10.622 9.844 10.087 9.712 5.653 5.465 5.840 4.617 1,753. 1,753. 1,753. 1,644.
30 9.260 8.485 8.520 8.608 9.260 8.485 8.520 8.608 11.149 10.277 10.537 9.925 6.210 5.801 6.202 4.943 1,537. 1,537. 1,537. 1,439.
33 9.481 8.705 8.942 8.593 9.481 8.705 8.942 8.593 11.335 10.641 11.070 9.966 6.215 6.122 6.527 5.049 1,359. 1,359. 1,359. 1,262.
36 9.729 8.909 9.032 8.964 9.729 8.909 9.032 8.964 11.530 10.809 11.121 10.397 6.189 6.123 6.489 5.269 1,562. 1,562. 1,562. 1,469.
39 9.755 8.812 ******* 8.903 9.755 8.812 ******* 8.903 11.423 10.552 ******* 10.231 5.945 5.807 -9999.00 5.042 1,778. 1,778. 0. 1,684.
42 9.740 8.794 ******* 8.878 9.740 8.794 ******* 8.878 11.346 10.507 ******* 10.238 5.819 5.752 -9999.00 5.100 2,133. 2,133. 0. 1,975.
45 8.835 8.087 ******* 8.556 8.835 8.087 ******* 8.556 10.257 9.582 ******* 9.813 5.213 5.140 -9999.00 4.806 2,525. 2,525. 0. 2,306.
48 8.665 7.907 ******* 8.468 8.665 7.907 ******* 8.468 10.246 9.599 ******* 9.826 5.469 5.443 -9999.00 4.985 2,332. 2,332. 0. 1,638.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998091500 to 1998111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 9.207 9.111 ******* 8.570 9.207 9.111 ******* 8.570 10.668 10.549 ******* 9.912 5.391 5.319 -9999.00 4.982 1,606. 1,606. 0. 1,508.
3 7.791 7.122 ******* 8.447 7.791 7.122 ******* 8.447 9.063 8.276 ******* 9.683 4.633 4.217 -9999.00 4.735 1,851. 1,851. 0. 1,754.
6 8.228 7.154 ******* 8.487 8.228 7.154 ******* 8.487 9.600 8.460 ******* 9.785 4.946 4.517 -9999.00 4.872 2,239. 2,239. 0. 2,071.
9 7.951 7.103 ******* 8.234 7.951 7.103 ******* 8.234 9.256 8.466 ******* 9.444 4.741 4.606 -9999.00 4.626 2,654. 2,654. 0. 2,425.
12 7.859 7.117 7.092 8.395 7.859 7.117 7.092 8.395 9.357 8.626 8.700 9.765 5.080 4.875 5.040 4.990 2,438. 2,438. 2,438. 1,771.
15 8.476 7.669 7.795 8.385 8.476 7.669 7.795 8.385 9.960 9.157 9.459 9.544 5.233 5.006 5.359 4.559 1,842. 1,842. 1,842. 1,727.
18 8.942 7.946 8.259 8.497 8.942 7.946 8.259 8.497 10.586 9.503 10.082 9.773 5.667 5.214 5.783 4.831 1,606. 1,606. 1,606. 1,499.
21 9.125 8.219 8.457 8.484 9.125 8.219 8.457 8.484 10.853 9.842 10.319 9.790 5.878 5.415 5.915 4.886 1,432. 1,432. 1,432. 1,326.
24 9.489 8.445 8.645 8.860 9.489 8.445 8.645 8.860 11.212 10.190 10.585 10.226 5.974 5.705 6.109 5.107 1,645. 1,645. 1,645. 1,543.
27 9.567 8.462 8.699 8.785 9.567 8.462 8.699 8.785 11.403 10.285 10.718 10.105 6.206 5.848 6.264 4.993 1,887. 1,887. 1,887. 1,786.
30 9.373 8.198 8.311 8.819 9.373 8.198 8.311 8.819 10.953 9.813 10.120 10.161 5.669 5.396 5.775 5.048 2,272. 2,272. 2,272. 2,105.
33 8.724 7.997 8.106 8.555 8.724 7.997 8.106 8.555 10.190 9.562 9.933 9.835 5.268 5.243 5.742 4.851 2,686. 2,686. 2,686. 2,454.
36 8.630 7.962 8.142 8.583 8.630 7.962 8.142 8.583 10.325 9.711 10.050 9.927 5.669 5.562 5.892 4.988 2,471. 2,471. 2,471. 1,767.
39 9.313 8.687 ******* 8.742 9.313 8.687 ******* 8.742 11.012 10.455 ******* 9.966 5.877 5.818 -9999.00 4.786 1,902. 1,902. 0. 1,787.
42 9.541 8.716 ******* 8.829 9.541 8.716 ******* 8.829 11.369 10.465 ******* 10.247 6.184 5.792 -9999.00 5.202 1,682. 1,682. 0. 1,572.
45 9.520 8.890 ******* 8.737 9.520 8.890 ******* 8.737 11.392 10.738 ******* 10.136 6.258 6.025 -9999.00 5.141 1,493. 1,493. 0. 1,366.
48 9.670 8.838 ******* 9.073 9.670 8.838 ******* 9.073 11.450 10.745 ******* 10.452 6.134 6.114 -9999.00 5.190 1,692. 1,692. 0. 1,571.