MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998091500 to 1998111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 28.815 28.275 ******* 15.994 57.456 58.116 ******* 47.813 72.854 73.396 ******* 61.904 66.928 67.746 -9999.00 59.816 2,269. 2,269. 0. 2,104.
3 16.703 10.611 ******* 15.137 46.050 41.280 ******* 47.597 61.968 57.968 ******* 63.349 59.692 57.005 -9999.00 61.533 1,710. 1,710. 0. 1,608.
6 23.479 15.969 ******* 20.163 46.672 39.835 ******* 46.990 61.628 55.743 ******* 62.158 56.999 53.425 -9999.00 58.818 1,488. 1,488. 0. 1,390.
9 24.368 16.008 ******* 21.811 49.142 41.519 ******* 48.345 63.852 57.705 ******* 63.551 59.042 55.461 -9999.00 59.715 1,336. 1,336. 0. 1,243.
12 20.747 12.833 14.693 18.161 51.485 41.505 41.291 47.614 67.450 56.974 56.916 63.409 64.201 55.528 55.004 60.774 1,540. 1,540. 1,540. 1,449.
15 25.866 14.683 10.688 20.767 51.058 42.614 43.077 47.913 66.595 58.477 59.645 62.858 61.383 56.619 58.696 59.346 1,752. 1,752. 1,752. 1,661.
18 22.873 15.065 12.907 16.058 54.214 42.724 43.490 46.479 70.066 59.152 61.305 60.793 66.243 57.215 59.945 58.648 2,119. 2,119. 2,119. 1,959.
21 16.756 13.270 11.987 11.091 51.572 44.371 44.474 49.928 68.072 62.226 63.252 64.897 65.990 60.807 62.118 63.957 2,490. 2,490. 2,490. 2,276.
24 15.340 8.264 9.132 13.072 50.713 44.750 45.924 51.898 67.119 62.756 64.977 67.842 65.356 62.224 64.346 66.591 2,298. 2,298. 2,298. 1,643.
27 17.851 11.369 10.958 18.549 54.960 48.741 48.854 53.078 71.587 66.456 68.209 68.634 69.346 65.495 67.342 66.100 1,753. 1,753. 1,753. 1,644.
30 26.369 18.139 14.832 22.849 53.996 50.328 49.407 50.565 70.559 67.622 67.341 65.969 65.468 65.164 65.709 61.907 1,537. 1,537. 1,537. 1,439.
33 27.618 18.556 15.488 27.610 57.611 52.859 53.382 51.994 73.775 71.628 72.287 67.770 68.436 69.208 70.634 61.915 1,359. 1,359. 1,359. 1,262.
36 24.222 13.967 8.212 21.728 57.189 50.231 51.017 50.682 73.374 67.887 69.735 65.954 69.283 66.456 69.272 62.294 1,562. 1,562. 1,562. 1,469.
39 26.434 16.221 ******* 23.381 56.802 50.772 ******* 49.114 72.027 68.758 ******* 64.383 67.020 66.836 -9999.00 60.006 1,778. 1,778. 0. 1,684.
42 26.133 14.921 ******* 17.278 59.242 52.798 ******* 48.606 75.354 71.611 ******* 63.758 70.694 70.055 -9999.00 61.388 2,133. 2,133. 0. 1,975.
45 20.840 10.784 ******* 15.931 56.548 50.247 ******* 51.717 73.017 69.114 ******* 67.180 69.993 68.281 -9999.00 65.278 2,525. 2,525. 0. 2,306.
48 20.254 10.108 ******* 13.875 53.399 47.963 ******* 51.812 70.402 67.670 ******* 67.240 67.440 66.925 -9999.00 65.812 2,332. 2,332. 0. 1,638.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1998091500 to 1998111412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 29.124 28.058 ******* 19.423 55.707 55.692 ******* 47.710 71.631 71.728 ******* 63.468 65.463 66.033 -9999.00 60.444 1,606. 1,606. 0. 1,508.
3 13.356 7.137 ******* 16.578 42.257 37.378 ******* 44.570 57.025 52.157 ******* 59.183 55.454 51.680 -9999.00 56.830 1,851. 1,851. 0. 1,754.
6 18.625 14.832 ******* 12.594 46.558 36.884 ******* 44.332 60.870 51.515 ******* 58.705 57.964 49.345 -9999.00 57.352 2,239. 2,239. 0. 2,071.
9 15.731 12.228 ******* 9.712 49.098 39.765 ******* 48.118 64.960 55.666 ******* 62.843 63.038 54.316 -9999.00 62.101 2,654. 2,654. 0. 2,425.
12 15.727 10.076 11.113 12.833 46.615 39.879 39.846 48.939 62.127 56.504 56.467 64.451 60.116 55.609 55.374 63.178 2,438. 2,438. 2,438. 1,771.
15 18.066 11.635 12.278 19.988 50.344 44.968 44.690 50.608 66.136 62.031 62.173 66.424 63.638 60.947 60.965 63.364 1,842. 1,842. 1,842. 1,727.
18 23.915 16.447 15.074 22.402 51.100 45.177 46.441 49.454 66.154 61.799 64.016 64.804 61.700 59.589 62.235 60.829 1,606. 1,606. 1,606. 1,499.
21 26.949 20.784 16.681 26.098 54.610 48.363 48.263 50.901 70.879 66.530 67.298 66.677 65.579 63.223 65.220 61.380 1,432. 1,432. 1,432. 1,326.
24 25.277 13.458 11.281 19.994 54.774 45.785 47.728 48.909 70.037 62.733 66.209 64.601 65.336 61.291 65.260 61.449 1,645. 1,645. 1,645. 1,543.
27 28.132 18.215 14.899 22.726 53.586 45.376 47.830 47.041 69.210 62.201 65.640 61.977 63.252 59.490 63.943 57.677 1,887. 1,887. 1,887. 1,786.
30 24.338 11.328 12.266 15.780 55.689 46.319 47.355 48.380 71.513 64.025 65.834 62.905 67.259 63.028 64.695 60.908 2,272. 2,272. 2,272. 2,105.
33 15.239 10.001 10.315 12.774 54.019 48.487 49.374 51.984 70.200 66.701 68.861 67.079 68.539 65.959 68.096 65.865 2,686. 2,686. 2,686. 2,454.
36 14.158 6.998 8.413 14.448 52.865 47.815 49.562 54.151 69.937 66.746 69.119 69.949 68.502 66.392 68.619 68.460 2,471. 2,471. 2,471. 1,767.
39 15.675 12.908 ******* 17.838 55.984 53.517 ******* 54.524 72.889 73.019 ******* 70.620 71.203 71.888 -9999.00 68.349 1,902. 1,902. 0. 1,787.
42 25.862 13.032 ******* 22.240 55.393 49.444 ******* 51.719 71.846 67.070 ******* 67.273 67.050 65.811 -9999.00 63.511 1,682. 1,682. 0. 1,572.
45 25.130 16.065 ******* 23.990 56.840 52.491 ******* 51.658 73.343 70.677 ******* 67.172 68.927 68.850 -9999.00 62.765 1,493. 1,493. 0. 1,366.
48 25.173 13.542 ******* 23.129 56.056 49.293 ******* 49.677 72.453 66.722 ******* 64.758 67.959 65.352 -9999.00 60.506 1,692. 1,692. 0. 1,571.