MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM1 (Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 1998111500 to 1999022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 0.093 0.180 ******* -0.457 1.458 1.395 ******* 2.415 2.014 1.936 ******* 2.954 2.012 1.928 -9999.00 2.919 8,616. 8,616. 0. 8,137.
3 0.496 0.696 ******* -0.442 1.618 1.532 ******* 2.394 2.273 2.185 ******* 2.947 2.218 2.072 -9999.00 2.914 8,313. 8,313. 0. 7,857.
6 0.602 0.879 ******* -0.342 1.739 1.693 ******* 2.460 2.399 2.355 ******* 3.014 2.323 2.185 -9999.00 2.994 7,829. 7,829. 0. 7,430.
9 0.562 0.878 ******* -0.354 1.771 1.733 ******* 2.398 2.457 2.428 ******* 2.973 2.392 2.264 -9999.00 2.952 7,568. 7,568. 0. 7,158.
12 0.607 0.956 0.976 -0.325 1.855 1.835 1.846 2.406 2.632 2.603 2.612 3.055 2.561 2.421 2.423 3.038 7,370. 7,370. 7,370. 6,961.
15 0.726 1.081 1.241 -0.226 1.935 1.926 2.017 2.423 2.695 2.678 2.786 3.075 2.595 2.451 2.494 3.067 8,185. 8,185. 8,185. 7,779.
18 -0.077 0.305 0.418 -0.361 1.797 1.728 1.749 2.309 2.404 2.309 2.352 2.854 2.403 2.289 2.315 2.832 8,415. 8,415. 8,415. 8,021.
21 -0.792 -0.331 -0.245 -0.605 1.872 1.727 1.744 2.380 2.484 2.329 2.360 2.924 2.354 2.305 2.348 2.860 8,282. 8,282. 8,282. 7,770.
24 -0.409 -0.025 0.053 -0.455 1.690 1.556 1.610 2.435 2.239 2.112 2.186 3.003 2.202 2.112 2.186 2.969 8,267. 8,267. 8,267. 7,881.
27 0.313 0.638 0.751 -0.218 1.757 1.715 1.799 2.451 2.376 2.358 2.450 3.052 2.355 2.270 2.333 3.045 8,041. 8,041. 8,041. 7,589.
30 0.451 0.794 0.936 -0.124 1.854 1.843 1.940 2.520 2.479 2.479 2.597 3.129 2.437 2.348 2.423 3.127 7,538. 7,538. 7,538. 7,205.
33 0.478 0.834 0.979 -0.248 1.892 1.889 1.975 2.470 2.534 2.525 2.634 3.097 2.489 2.384 2.445 3.087 7,084. 7,084. 7,084. 6,737.
36 0.643 0.978 1.134 -0.241 1.955 1.951 2.026 2.458 2.676 2.674 2.775 3.156 2.598 2.489 2.533 3.147 7,008. 7,008. 7,008. 6,634.
39 0.826 1.169 ******* -0.183 2.079 2.089 ******* 2.497 2.822 2.840 ******* 3.205 2.699 2.588 -9999.00 3.200 7,976. 7,976. 0. 7,526.
42 0.045 0.420 ******* -0.285 1.882 1.827 ******* 2.378 2.478 2.423 ******* 2.956 2.478 2.387 -9999.00 2.943 8,080. 8,080. 0. 7,732.
45 -0.647 -0.208 ******* -0.573 1.965 1.879 ******* 2.429 2.596 2.503 ******* 3.007 2.514 2.495 -9999.00 2.952 7,718. 7,718. 0. 7,292.
48 -0.353 0.000 ******* -0.545 1.847 1.754 ******* 2.493 2.416 2.338 ******* 3.088 2.390 2.339 -9999.00 3.040 7,730. 7,730. 0. 7,396.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of TEM1 (Lowest Sigma Temp Kelvin ) From 1998111500 to 1999022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 1.176 1.231 ******* -0.524 1.911 1.860 ******* 2.443 2.801 2.718 ******* 3.099 2.542 2.424 -9999.00 3.054 7,578. 7,578. 0. 7,169.
3 0.882 1.049 ******* -0.520 1.843 1.791 ******* 2.422 2.652 2.588 ******* 3.073 2.501 2.366 -9999.00 3.029 8,317. 8,317. 0. 7,910.
6 0.009 0.261 ******* -0.532 1.664 1.592 ******* 2.325 2.250 2.160 ******* 2.864 2.250 2.144 -9999.00 2.814 8,515. 8,515. 0. 8,119.
9 -0.746 -0.407 ******* -0.752 1.801 1.663 ******* 2.402 2.414 2.253 ******* 2.943 2.296 2.216 -9999.00 2.845 8,537. 8,537. 0. 8,028.
12 -0.437 -0.109 -0.100 -0.607 1.651 1.512 1.518 2.452 2.207 2.051 2.056 3.011 2.163 2.049 2.054 2.949 8,519. 8,519. 8,519. 8,041.
15 0.233 0.542 0.706 -0.336 1.700 1.629 1.699 2.433 2.335 2.264 2.357 3.008 2.324 2.198 2.249 2.989 8,201. 8,201. 8,201. 7,749.
18 0.360 0.706 0.888 -0.211 1.786 1.756 1.842 2.511 2.429 2.395 2.497 3.082 2.402 2.289 2.334 3.075 7,728. 7,728. 7,728. 7,325.
21 0.427 0.774 0.963 -0.247 1.821 1.801 1.894 2.448 2.488 2.453 2.561 3.052 2.451 2.328 2.373 3.042 7,469. 7,469. 7,469. 7,062.
24 0.500 0.857 1.049 -0.264 1.889 1.869 1.973 2.466 2.638 2.605 2.727 3.147 2.590 2.460 2.517 3.136 7,447. 7,447. 7,447. 7,030.
27 0.672 1.034 1.213 -0.229 1.964 1.960 2.059 2.461 2.710 2.704 2.825 3.139 2.626 2.498 2.552 3.131 8,196. 8,196. 8,196. 7,788.
30 -0.094 0.278 0.407 -0.365 1.808 1.752 1.778 2.353 2.412 2.338 2.392 2.911 2.410 2.321 2.357 2.888 8,416. 8,416. 8,416. 8,022.
33 -0.803 -0.360 -0.282 -0.628 1.904 1.782 1.800 2.409 2.522 2.393 2.426 2.968 2.391 2.366 2.409 2.901 8,346. 8,346. 8,346. 7,921.
36 -0.435 -0.071 0.016 -0.500 1.745 1.643 1.698 2.475 2.296 2.209 2.294 3.049 2.254 2.208 2.294 3.007 8,402. 8,402. 8,402. 7,942.
39 0.320 0.613 ******* -0.239 1.827 1.812 ******* 2.498 2.444 2.456 ******* 3.115 2.423 2.379 -9999.00 3.106 8,124. 8,124. 0. 7,686.
42 0.527 0.836 ******* -0.133 1.921 1.932 ******* 2.589 2.555 2.588 ******* 3.227 2.500 2.449 -9999.00 3.224 7,641. 7,641. 0. 7,258.
45 0.569 0.876 ******* -0.253 1.956 1.962 ******* 2.546 2.599 2.615 ******* 3.190 2.536 2.464 -9999.00 3.180 7,158. 7,158. 0. 6,785.
48 0.646 0.971 ******* -0.213 2.008 2.020 ******* 2.636 2.732 2.750 ******* 3.567 2.655 2.573 -9999.00 3.561 7,153. 7,153. 0. 6,652.