MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 1998111500 to 1999022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 21.976 21.562 ******* 8.341 61.554 61.572 ******* 54.781 78.534 78.620 ******* 72.969 75.400 75.609 -9999.00 72.494 10,814. 10,814. 0. 10,332.
3 14.911 12.667 ******* 9.255 57.395 53.324 ******* 56.743 75.996 72.510 ******* 75.192 74.522 71.398 -9999.00 74.624 10,431. 10,431. 0. 9,974.
6 18.293 14.573 ******* 10.442 61.112 55.572 ******* 58.819 78.793 73.848 ******* 77.043 76.644 72.399 -9999.00 76.336 9,858. 9,858. 0. 9,458.
9 18.031 13.160 ******* 9.480 63.677 58.254 ******* 60.530 81.371 76.974 ******* 79.086 79.352 75.845 -9999.00 78.520 8,924. 8,924. 0. 8,513.
12 20.006 15.920 17.872 10.332 64.292 59.514 59.473 60.280 81.828 77.970 77.770 78.456 79.349 76.331 75.692 77.777 9,244. 9,244. 9,244. 8,833.
15 18.984 15.927 14.517 10.336 65.785 61.548 60.628 60.456 83.232 80.068 79.459 78.887 81.042 78.472 78.125 78.211 10,126. 10,126. 10,126. 9,719.
18 21.080 16.927 15.034 11.741 63.818 59.389 58.863 58.374 80.908 77.768 77.558 76.833 78.117 75.907 76.090 75.934 10,509. 10,509. 10,509. 10,114.
21 17.869 14.268 11.484 9.341 60.370 56.138 56.033 55.607 77.640 74.606 74.872 73.614 75.559 73.233 73.990 73.023 10,393. 10,393. 10,393. 9,862.
24 14.653 9.928 8.557 9.439 62.865 59.732 59.342 59.465 81.060 78.863 78.472 77.364 79.728 78.239 78.008 76.790 10,424. 10,424. 10,424. 10,035.
27 13.875 11.072 10.346 7.139 66.515 63.576 62.325 62.938 84.305 82.285 81.253 81.186 83.159 81.541 80.596 80.875 10,170. 10,170. 10,170. 9,705.
30 15.689 11.652 10.336 8.992 68.894 65.469 64.129 65.115 85.986 83.599 82.786 82.880 84.547 82.787 82.142 82.395 9,568. 9,568. 9,568. 9,236.
33 13.285 9.934 11.374 7.725 70.194 66.302 65.187 65.502 87.642 85.012 84.573 83.845 86.634 84.435 83.809 83.494 8,442. 8,442. 8,442. 8,086.
36 16.393 15.296 14.464 11.131 70.376 66.580 64.546 64.116 87.625 85.008 83.358 82.167 86.083 83.625 82.098 81.414 8,886. 8,886. 8,886. 8,510.
39 19.108 17.294 ******* 11.930 70.403 65.841 ******* 63.205 87.229 84.025 ******* 81.248 85.115 82.231 -9999.00 80.372 9,941. 9,941. 0. 9,469.
42 20.780 15.916 ******* 10.534 67.640 63.001 ******* 61.325 84.375 81.159 ******* 79.201 81.780 79.587 -9999.00 78.502 10,142. 10,142. 0. 9,793.
45 18.616 12.589 ******* 10.244 64.972 60.281 ******* 59.216 82.009 78.406 ******* 76.436 79.872 77.393 -9999.00 75.751 9,746. 9,746. 0. 9,291.
48 15.076 11.341 ******* 8.968 65.854 62.390 ******* 62.232 83.751 81.144 ******* 79.693 82.387 80.351 -9999.00 79.191 9,799. 9,799. 0. 9,462.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 1998111500 to 1999022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 21.955 22.362 ******* 9.763 66.349 66.129 ******* 58.162 83.234 83.137 ******* 76.841 80.290 80.077 -9999.00 76.222 9,478. 9,478. 0. 9,067.
3 16.938 13.685 ******* 10.367 58.287 55.071 ******* 57.260 76.849 74.283 ******* 75.995 74.963 73.016 -9999.00 75.288 10,263. 10,263. 0. 9,855.
6 20.870 16.564 ******* 11.818 60.143 54.866 ******* 56.263 77.908 73.475 ******* 74.709 75.064 71.587 -9999.00 73.772 10,609. 10,609. 0. 10,212.
9 21.110 15.293 ******* 10.348 58.483 53.012 ******* 53.403 75.935 71.577 ******* 71.414 72.945 69.927 -9999.00 70.664 10,683. 10,683. 0. 10,171.
12 17.428 12.399 13.889 9.526 60.538 55.285 55.426 57.343 78.703 74.358 74.394 75.551 76.753 73.321 73.089 74.952 10,711. 10,711. 10,711. 10,230.
15 16.522 12.551 12.533 8.986 63.329 58.681 58.101 60.648 81.000 77.262 76.828 79.068 79.301 76.239 75.803 78.559 10,323. 10,323. 10,323. 9,870.
18 17.518 13.503 12.346 10.473 66.370 61.709 60.755 62.945 83.432 79.914 79.160 80.958 81.577 78.769 78.196 80.282 9,756. 9,756. 9,756. 9,352.
21 15.890 12.176 11.750 9.393 68.049 63.025 62.289 64.629 85.492 81.877 81.391 82.833 84.007 80.971 80.543 82.304 8,824. 8,824. 8,824. 8,416.
24 16.662 14.556 12.592 11.549 67.941 63.698 62.475 63.302 85.374 82.237 81.320 81.473 83.737 80.943 80.343 80.655 9,337. 9,337. 9,337. 8,918.
27 17.636 15.432 13.963 10.812 68.925 64.640 63.199 62.716 86.021 82.920 81.797 80.902 84.198 81.476 80.600 80.180 10,139. 10,139. 10,139. 9,730.
30 20.281 16.445 15.211 10.900 66.181 62.150 61.049 60.223 83.340 80.448 79.695 78.405 80.838 78.753 78.234 77.647 10,509. 10,509. 10,509. 10,114.
33 17.013 14.403 11.714 8.822 63.287 59.429 58.815 57.104 80.562 77.827 77.503 74.810 78.749 76.486 76.617 74.291 10,484. 10,484. 10,484. 10,057.
36 13.475 10.208 9.737 6.411 65.700 62.823 62.152 60.907 83.759 81.876 81.141 78.779 82.672 81.241 80.558 78.522 10,594. 10,594. 10,594. 10,107.
39 13.109 10.511 ******* 7.542 67.751 64.754 ******* 65.022 85.768 83.599 ******* 83.121 84.764 82.940 -9999.00 82.782 10,251. 10,251. 0. 9,788.
42 13.055 9.351 ******* 8.771 69.741 66.021 ******* 67.200 86.880 84.186 ******* 84.782 85.898 83.670 -9999.00 84.332 9,678. 9,678. 0. 9,277.
45 11.991 9.656 ******* 7.272 71.336 66.813 ******* 67.863 88.519 85.275 ******* 85.799 87.709 84.731 -9999.00 85.495 8,515. 8,515. 0. 8,137.
48 16.860 14.227 ******* 11.981 71.561 66.971 ******* 66.783 88.663 85.408 ******* 84.221 87.050 84.220 -9999.00 83.369 9,050. 9,050. 0. 8,523.