MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) From 1998111500 to 1999022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 5.848 5.457 ******* -1.991 7.989 7.736 ******* 4.928 10.291 9.993 ******* 7.095 8.469 8.371 -9999.00 6.811 11,026. 11,026. 0. 10,544.
3 3.447 3.373 ******* -1.792 6.008 5.744 ******* 4.755 7.682 7.373 ******* 6.866 6.866 6.557 -9999.00 6.629 10,648. 10,648. 0. 10,191.
6 3.517 3.553 ******* -1.669 6.208 6.023 ******* 4.828 7.928 7.684 ******* 7.015 7.105 6.813 -9999.00 6.814 10,072. 10,072. 0. 9,672.
9 3.568 3.707 ******* -1.370 6.318 6.206 ******* 4.740 8.030 7.902 ******* 6.879 7.194 6.978 -9999.00 6.741 9,117. 9,117. 0. 8,706.
12 3.681 3.847 5.497 -1.529 6.710 6.568 7.523 5.021 8.454 8.331 9.506 7.293 7.611 7.389 7.755 7.132 9,457. 9,457. 9,457. 9,046.
15 3.893 3.974 4.296 -1.484 6.803 6.738 6.765 5.114 8.551 8.526 8.646 7.330 7.613 7.543 7.503 7.179 10,342. 10,342. 10,342. 9,935.
18 4.029 3.919 4.048 -1.509 6.967 6.676 6.642 5.100 8.722 8.479 8.501 7.275 7.735 7.519 7.475 7.118 10,729. 10,729. 10,729. 10,334.
21 3.256 3.389 3.553 -1.889 6.601 6.488 6.544 5.150 8.463 8.411 8.543 7.332 7.812 7.699 7.769 7.085 10,641. 10,641. 10,641. 10,107.
24 3.302 3.536 3.856 -1.615 6.382 6.435 6.564 4.947 8.236 8.312 8.511 7.055 7.546 7.522 7.588 6.868 10,636. 10,636. 10,636. 10,247.
27 4.213 4.319 4.593 -1.236 7.038 6.999 7.097 4.990 8.884 8.876 9.079 7.058 7.822 7.754 7.831 6.949 10,385. 10,385. 10,385. 9,919.
30 4.074 4.240 4.541 -1.189 7.060 7.016 7.097 5.042 8.881 8.868 9.032 7.169 7.892 7.789 7.807 7.070 9,778. 9,778. 9,778. 9,445.
33 3.921 4.157 4.375 -1.086 6.980 6.931 6.985 5.032 8.775 8.721 8.854 7.134 7.851 7.667 7.698 7.052 8,633. 8,633. 8,633. 8,276.
36 3.966 4.156 4.408 -1.314 7.217 7.104 7.132 5.246 9.027 8.979 9.091 7.478 8.109 7.960 7.951 7.362 9,092. 9,092. 9,092. 8,716.
39 4.202 4.455 ******* -1.302 7.306 7.352 ******* 5.350 9.169 9.307 ******* 7.572 8.150 8.172 -9999.00 7.459 10,140. 10,140. 0. 9,666.
42 4.191 4.248 ******* -1.439 7.272 7.256 ******* 5.279 9.163 9.284 ******* 7.476 8.148 8.256 -9999.00 7.337 10,342. 10,342. 0. 9,993.
45 3.103 3.408 ******* -1.851 6.716 6.810 ******* 5.253 8.707 8.913 ******* 7.469 8.136 8.236 -9999.00 7.236 9,968. 9,968. 0. 9,511.
48 3.261 3.492 ******* -1.554 6.504 6.615 ******* 5.004 8.447 8.585 ******* 7.140 7.792 7.844 -9999.00 6.969 9,979. 9,979. 0. 9,642.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) From 1998111500 to 1999022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 6.365 6.001 ******* -1.757 8.380 8.056 ******* 4.979 10.530 10.165 ******* 7.281 8.389 8.205 -9999.00 7.067 9,694. 9,694. 0. 9,283.
3 3.556 3.482 ******* -1.836 6.171 5.879 ******* 4.954 7.883 7.531 ******* 7.161 7.036 6.678 -9999.00 6.921 10,478. 10,478. 0. 10,070.
6 3.984 3.681 ******* -1.787 6.528 6.092 ******* 4.957 8.244 7.790 ******* 7.136 7.217 6.866 -9999.00 6.909 10,828. 10,828. 0. 10,431.
9 2.959 3.053 ******* -2.134 6.109 5.989 ******* 5.039 7.806 7.816 ******* 7.215 7.224 7.195 -9999.00 6.892 10,932. 10,932. 0. 10,420.
12 3.119 3.315 4.597 -1.776 6.096 6.072 6.804 4.875 7.844 7.852 8.745 6.999 7.197 7.119 7.439 6.770 10,922. 10,922. 10,922. 10,441.
15 3.977 4.054 4.441 -1.432 6.691 6.626 6.771 4.900 8.446 8.418 8.637 7.001 7.451 7.377 7.408 6.853 10,537. 10,537. 10,537. 10,084.
18 4.068 4.131 4.482 -1.323 6.860 6.767 6.911 4.970 8.602 8.531 8.758 7.113 7.580 7.464 7.525 6.989 9,970. 9,970. 9,970. 9,566.
21 4.159 4.285 4.559 -1.065 6.936 6.829 6.925 4.883 8.675 8.576 8.761 6.969 7.614 7.429 7.482 6.888 9,018. 9,018. 9,018. 8,610.
24 4.112 4.193 4.552 -1.312 7.114 6.990 7.120 5.069 8.910 8.832 9.041 7.296 7.905 7.773 7.812 7.177 9,554. 9,554. 9,554. 9,135.
27 4.154 4.269 4.654 -1.414 7.159 7.128 7.273 5.188 8.949 8.954 9.224 7.405 7.926 7.871 7.965 7.269 10,354. 10,354. 10,354. 9,945.
30 4.106 4.167 4.403 -1.510 7.204 7.047 7.127 5.216 9.026 8.923 9.113 7.408 8.039 7.890 7.979 7.253 10,729. 10,729. 10,729. 10,334.
33 3.271 3.489 3.702 -2.008 6.855 6.766 6.785 5.253 8.746 8.719 8.852 7.476 8.111 7.991 8.041 7.202 10,734. 10,734. 10,734. 10,306.
36 3.232 3.406 3.744 -1.693 6.548 6.540 6.630 5.030 8.444 8.491 8.655 7.163 7.802 7.778 7.804 6.960 10,803. 10,803. 10,803. 10,314.
39 3.932 4.078 ******* -1.228 6.947 6.965 ******* 4.999 8.830 8.895 ******* 7.102 7.907 7.906 -9999.00 6.995 10,444. 10,444. 0. 9,979.
42 3.992 4.111 ******* -1.102 6.977 6.928 ******* 5.052 8.795 8.820 ******* 7.158 7.837 7.804 -9999.00 7.073 9,867. 9,867. 0. 9,464.
45 3.906 3.986 ******* -0.981 6.961 6.859 ******* 5.025 8.815 8.732 ******* 7.138 7.902 7.770 -9999.00 7.071 8,682. 8,682. 0. 8,302.
48 3.780 3.944 ******* -1.302 7.124 7.067 ******* 5.323 9.037 8.978 ******* 7.627 8.209 8.066 -9999.00 7.516 9,236. 9,236. 0. 8,699.