MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP2 (10-m log-reduced Wind Speed Knots) From 1998111500 to 1999022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 2.518 2.014 ******* -2.031 5.872 5.711 ******* 4.937 7.709 7.450 ******* 7.114 7.287 7.172 -9999.00 6.819 11,026. 11,026. 0. 10,339.
3 0.924 0.680 ******* -1.829 4.805 4.526 ******* 4.770 6.543 6.230 ******* 6.891 6.478 6.193 -9999.00 6.644 10,648. 10,648. 0. 9,994.
6 0.942 0.824 ******* -1.703 4.957 4.747 ******* 4.843 6.743 6.469 ******* 7.042 6.677 6.416 -9999.00 6.834 10,072. 10,072. 0. 9,476.
9 0.992 0.947 ******* -1.389 5.007 4.801 ******* 4.757 6.852 6.543 ******* 6.910 6.781 6.475 -9999.00 6.769 9,117. 9,117. 0. 8,525.
12 1.065 1.036 2.350 -1.553 5.358 5.136 5.451 5.036 7.194 6.943 7.117 7.310 7.116 6.866 6.718 7.143 9,457. 9,457. 9,457. 8,846.
15 1.223 1.090 1.539 -1.519 5.432 5.284 5.183 5.127 7.263 7.110 6.992 7.362 7.159 7.027 6.821 7.203 10,342. 10,342. 10,342. 9,733.
18 1.235 0.961 1.264 -1.550 5.504 5.209 5.098 5.118 7.311 6.996 6.855 7.311 7.207 6.930 6.738 7.145 10,729. 10,729. 10,729. 10,114.
21 0.508 0.435 0.762 -1.955 5.360 5.193 5.143 5.174 7.248 7.087 7.029 7.371 7.231 7.074 6.988 7.108 10,641. 10,641. 10,641. 9,867.
24 0.683 0.688 1.126 -1.653 5.146 5.096 5.080 4.958 7.020 6.944 6.918 7.078 6.987 6.910 6.826 6.883 10,636. 10,636. 10,636. 10,043.
27 1.490 1.368 1.795 -1.273 5.570 5.447 5.444 5.003 7.421 7.309 7.325 7.081 7.271 7.180 7.101 6.966 10,385. 10,385. 10,385. 9,726.
30 1.374 1.330 1.760 -1.223 5.631 5.502 5.433 5.061 7.505 7.344 7.296 7.199 7.378 7.223 7.081 7.095 9,778. 9,778. 9,778. 9,255.
33 1.239 1.244 1.583 -1.106 5.549 5.331 5.311 5.057 7.431 7.133 7.153 7.170 7.328 7.024 6.976 7.084 8,633. 8,633. 8,633. 8,099.
36 1.299 1.271 1.644 -1.343 5.786 5.580 5.492 5.272 7.689 7.469 7.396 7.518 7.579 7.361 7.211 7.397 9,092. 9,092. 9,092. 8,524.
39 1.458 1.458 ******* -1.338 5.815 5.745 ******* 5.365 7.711 7.662 ******* 7.603 7.572 7.522 -9999.00 7.485 10,140. 10,140. 0. 9,471.
42 1.351 1.205 ******* -1.481 5.752 5.658 ******* 5.294 7.634 7.578 ******* 7.508 7.514 7.482 -9999.00 7.361 10,342. 10,342. 0. 9,783.
45 0.410 0.464 ******* -1.921 5.490 5.474 ******* 5.280 7.474 7.475 ******* 7.512 7.463 7.461 -9999.00 7.263 9,968. 9,968. 0. 9,283.
48 0.697 0.693 ******* -1.597 5.286 5.256 ******* 5.014 7.220 7.175 ******* 7.163 7.187 7.141 -9999.00 6.983 9,979. 9,979. 0. 9,457.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP2 (10-m log-reduced Wind Speed Knots) From 1998111500 to 1999022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 3.002 2.525 ******* -1.777 6.120 5.850 ******* 4.995 7.924 7.543 ******* 7.297 7.334 7.109 -9999.00 7.077 9,694. 9,694. 0. 9,079.
3 0.994 0.757 ******* -1.869 4.967 4.645 ******* 4.966 6.698 6.320 ******* 7.190 6.624 6.274 -9999.00 6.944 10,478. 10,478. 0. 9,868.
6 1.219 0.808 ******* -1.829 5.135 4.733 ******* 4.972 6.849 6.408 ******* 7.171 6.740 6.357 -9999.00 6.934 10,828. 10,828. 0. 10,211.
9 0.306 0.216 ******* -2.196 5.005 4.841 ******* 5.063 6.750 6.661 ******* 7.255 6.743 6.657 -9999.00 6.915 10,932. 10,932. 0. 10,174.
12 0.579 0.561 1.630 -1.815 4.967 4.850 5.047 4.886 6.756 6.644 6.711 7.022 6.731 6.620 6.510 6.784 10,922. 10,922. 10,922. 10,236.
15 1.333 1.199 1.700 -1.469 5.309 5.194 5.166 4.916 7.105 6.993 6.974 7.027 6.979 6.890 6.764 6.872 10,537. 10,537. 10,537. 9,889.
18 1.379 1.270 1.735 -1.355 5.424 5.287 5.257 4.990 7.244 7.092 7.062 7.145 7.112 6.977 6.846 7.016 9,970. 9,970. 9,970. 9,369.
21 1.455 1.383 1.764 -1.083 5.439 5.215 5.211 4.904 7.287 6.968 7.004 7.003 7.140 6.829 6.779 6.919 9,018. 9,018. 9,018. 8,427.
24 1.435 1.320 1.771 -1.336 5.653 5.449 5.421 5.087 7.523 7.298 7.276 7.314 7.386 7.177 7.057 7.192 9,554. 9,554. 9,554. 8,930.
27 1.441 1.332 1.832 -1.448 5.687 5.585 5.574 5.202 7.533 7.409 7.427 7.437 7.394 7.289 7.198 7.295 10,354. 10,354. 10,354. 9,743.
30 1.309 1.163 1.557 -1.556 5.708 5.485 5.483 5.233 7.566 7.322 7.334 7.441 7.452 7.229 7.167 7.277 10,729. 10,729. 10,729. 10,113.
33 0.536 0.521 0.885 -2.074 5.597 5.416 5.347 5.280 7.493 7.326 7.254 7.518 7.474 7.308 7.200 7.227 10,734. 10,734. 10,734. 10,060.
36 0.651 0.602 1.055 -1.731 5.321 5.220 5.187 5.044 7.235 7.133 7.084 7.187 7.206 7.107 7.006 6.975 10,803. 10,803. 10,803. 10,113.
39 1.315 1.225 ******* -1.265 5.571 5.490 ******* 5.013 7.470 7.367 ******* 7.127 7.353 7.265 -9999.00 7.014 10,444. 10,444. 0. 9,788.
42 1.334 1.260 ******* -1.133 5.578 5.464 ******* 5.073 7.416 7.319 ******* 7.190 7.295 7.210 -9999.00 7.101 9,867. 9,867. 0. 9,275.
45 1.233 1.126 ******* -0.998 5.523 5.339 ******* 5.052 7.439 7.174 ******* 7.175 7.336 7.085 -9999.00 7.106 8,682. 8,682. 0. 8,129.
48 1.166 1.114 ******* -1.328 5.773 5.605 ******* 5.342 7.760 7.537 ******* 7.647 7.672 7.454 -9999.00 7.531 9,236. 9,236. 0. 8,508.