MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of PSLR (SLP millibars ) From 1998111500 to 1999022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -0.117 -0.133 ******* -0.149 0.953 0.954 ******* 0.913 1.458 1.461 ******* 1.428 1.453 1.455 -9999.00 1.421 4,823. 4,823. 0. 4,823.
3 -0.564 -0.652 ******* -0.089 1.353 1.392 ******* 1.215 1.793 1.823 ******* 1.618 1.702 1.702 -9999.00 1.616 4,815. 4,815. 0. 4,815.
6 -0.913 -1.050 ******* -0.055 1.733 1.789 ******* 1.395 2.233 2.294 ******* 1.815 2.038 2.040 -9999.00 1.814 4,423. 4,423. 0. 4,423.
9 -1.515 -1.723 ******* 0.026 2.233 2.325 ******* 1.526 2.803 2.909 ******* 1.987 2.359 2.345 -9999.00 1.988 4,176. 4,176. 0. 4,176.
12 -1.212 -1.429 -1.536 0.280 2.166 2.241 2.303 1.665 2.755 2.844 2.916 2.177 2.475 2.459 2.479 2.159 3,982. 3,982. 3,982. 3,982.
15 -1.233 -1.444 -1.533 0.310 2.480 2.554 2.595 2.022 3.332 3.400 3.444 2.815 3.096 3.079 3.084 2.798 4,644. 4,644. 4,644. 4,644.
18 -1.624 -1.830 -1.893 0.166 2.946 3.044 3.076 2.305 4.015 4.094 4.125 3.278 3.672 3.663 3.665 3.274 4,713. 4,713. 4,713. 4,713.
21 -1.250 -1.474 -1.520 0.905 2.843 2.935 2.964 2.456 3.875 3.962 3.995 3.425 3.669 3.678 3.695 3.303 4,631. 4,631. 4,631. 4,588.
24 -1.477 -1.717 -1.760 0.266 3.064 3.183 3.217 2.498 4.187 4.275 4.316 3.502 3.919 3.915 3.942 3.492 4,623. 4,623. 4,623. 4,623.
27 -1.369 -1.587 -1.647 0.123 3.114 3.194 3.222 2.527 4.229 4.307 4.338 3.531 4.002 4.005 4.014 3.529 4,670. 4,670. 4,670. 4,622.
30 -1.642 -1.884 -1.946 0.410 3.174 3.235 3.261 2.520 4.147 4.222 4.254 3.318 3.809 3.779 3.783 3.293 4,266. 4,266. 4,266. 4,266.
33 -1.735 -2.033 -2.099 0.575 3.279 3.367 3.390 2.732 4.349 4.463 4.494 3.505 3.989 3.974 3.975 3.458 3,995. 3,995. 3,995. 3,993.
36 -1.614 -1.906 -1.960 0.411 3.275 3.325 3.335 2.882 4.411 4.484 4.500 3.640 4.106 4.060 4.052 3.617 3,894. 3,894. 3,894. 3,894.
39 -1.304 -1.585 ******* 0.383 3.625 3.649 ******* 3.231 4.770 4.827 ******* 4.101 4.589 4.560 -9999.00 4.083 4,675. 4,675. 0. 4,623.
42 -1.531 -1.770 ******* 0.772 4.021 4.081 ******* 3.540 5.278 5.363 ******* 4.651 5.052 5.063 -9999.00 4.587 4,679. 4,679. 0. 4,679.
45 -1.109 -1.347 ******* 1.337 3.928 3.969 ******* 3.794 5.231 5.274 ******* 5.028 5.112 5.099 -9999.00 4.847 4,500. 4,500. 0. 4,452.
48 -1.045 -1.292 ******* 0.743 3.821 3.883 ******* 3.673 5.199 5.265 ******* 4.957 5.094 5.104 -9999.00 4.901 4,493. 4,493. 0. 4,493.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of PSLR (SLP millibars ) From 1998111500 to 1999022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 0.074 0.064 ******* 0.159 0.839 0.840 ******* 0.787 1.118 1.114 ******* 1.064 1.115 1.112 -9999.00 1.052 4,165. 4,165. 0. 4,165.
3 -0.447 -0.535 ******* 0.024 1.398 1.437 ******* 1.349 2.039 2.074 ******* 1.973 1.990 2.004 -9999.00 1.973 4,774. 4,774. 0. 4,774.
6 -0.933 -1.076 ******* -0.129 1.853 1.913 ******* 1.593 2.660 2.712 ******* 2.371 2.491 2.490 -9999.00 2.367 4,807. 4,807. 0. 4,807.
9 -1.274 -1.425 ******* 0.076 2.209 2.277 ******* 1.716 2.928 2.984 ******* 2.387 2.637 2.622 -9999.00 2.386 4,780. 4,780. 0. 4,780.
12 -1.303 -1.484 -1.583 -0.081 2.462 2.546 2.602 1.866 3.301 3.370 3.426 2.721 3.033 3.026 3.038 2.720 4,728. 4,728. 4,728. 4,728.
15 -1.496 -1.693 -1.782 -0.294 2.639 2.753 2.806 1.893 3.391 3.472 3.526 2.676 3.043 3.032 3.043 2.660 4,718. 4,718. 4,718. 4,718.
18 -1.782 -2.024 -2.106 -0.112 2.812 2.938 2.989 1.978 3.526 3.650 3.708 2.640 3.042 3.038 3.052 2.638 4,324. 4,324. 4,324. 4,324.
21 -1.793 -2.059 -2.132 0.286 2.894 3.000 3.048 2.139 3.692 3.808 3.865 2.753 3.228 3.204 3.224 2.738 4,080. 4,080. 4,080. 4,079.
24 -1.760 -2.059 -2.129 0.169 3.006 3.117 3.154 2.302 3.905 4.028 4.067 2.933 3.486 3.462 3.465 2.928 4,026. 4,026. 4,026. 4,025.
27 -1.610 -1.884 -1.942 0.042 3.213 3.303 3.322 2.583 4.241 4.336 4.355 3.422 3.924 3.906 3.898 3.422 4,650. 4,650. 4,650. 4,649.
30 -2.009 -2.253 -2.304 0.168 3.748 3.817 3.837 2.960 4.901 4.984 5.003 3.945 4.471 4.446 4.441 3.942 4,711. 4,711. 4,711. 4,711.
33 -1.491 -1.735 -1.772 0.969 3.560 3.645 3.665 3.063 4.775 4.851 4.872 4.140 4.536 4.531 4.538 4.025 4,684. 4,684. 4,684. 4,684.
36 -1.260 -1.511 -1.563 0.520 3.587 3.661 3.683 3.080 4.859 4.924 4.954 4.203 4.693 4.687 4.701 4.172 4,721. 4,721. 4,721. 4,675.
39 -1.468 -1.720 ******* 0.102 3.753 3.842 ******* 3.164 5.067 5.157 ******* 4.356 4.850 4.862 -9999.00 4.355 4,781. 4,781. 0. 4,733.
42 -1.924 -2.183 ******* 0.158 3.873 3.956 ******* 3.187 5.048 5.141 ******* 4.178 4.668 4.656 -9999.00 4.175 4,392. 4,392. 0. 4,348.
45 -2.015 -2.307 ******* 0.126 4.049 4.148 ******* 3.368 5.306 5.397 ******* 4.230 4.909 4.879 -9999.00 4.228 4,122. 4,122. 0. 4,081.
48 -1.686 -1.961 ******* 0.197 4.167 4.234 ******* 3.471 5.807 5.849 ******* 4.445 5.557 5.511 -9999.00 4.442 4,062. 4,062. 0. 3,976.