MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of RELH (RH Percent ) From 1998111500 to 1999022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 1.990 2.107 ******* 9.658 8.939 8.911 ******* 11.534 11.704 11.656 ******* 15.640 11.535 11.465 -9999.00 12.303 4,702. 4,702. 0. 4,247.
3 -1.041 -2.971 ******* 6.192 10.188 9.799 ******* 9.451 13.290 12.757 ******* 13.150 13.250 12.408 -9999.00 11.602 4,554. 4,554. 0. 4,134.
6 -1.355 -4.482 ******* 5.778 10.910 10.941 ******* 9.303 14.330 14.257 ******* 13.227 14.268 13.536 -9999.00 11.899 4,247. 4,247. 0. 3,880.
9 -0.593 -4.549 ******* 5.534 11.046 11.308 ******* 8.989 14.605 14.711 ******* 12.821 14.595 13.991 -9999.00 11.567 4,092. 4,092. 0. 3,711.
12 -0.755 -5.017 -4.671 5.109 10.691 11.208 11.171 8.458 14.216 14.618 14.594 12.108 14.198 13.732 13.828 10.978 3,940. 3,940. 3,940. 3,554.
15 -0.366 -4.527 -5.874 5.474 10.493 10.958 11.369 8.663 14.204 14.531 15.018 12.435 14.201 13.810 13.823 11.166 4,275. 4,275. 4,275. 3,905.
18 1.592 -2.981 -4.613 6.824 11.019 10.987 11.309 9.643 14.740 14.484 14.850 13.754 14.655 14.176 14.117 11.943 4,500. 4,500. 4,500. 4,117.
21 4.632 -0.751 -2.534 10.370 11.733 11.143 11.322 12.299 15.230 14.421 14.586 16.425 14.510 14.403 14.366 12.740 4,487. 4,487. 4,487. 4,022.
24 4.892 0.167 -1.603 10.174 11.726 10.588 10.765 12.032 15.180 13.797 13.949 16.379 14.371 13.797 13.858 12.837 4,455. 4,455. 4,455. 4,074.
27 1.729 -2.544 -4.455 7.922 11.139 10.900 11.253 10.250 14.884 14.491 14.845 14.591 14.785 14.268 14.162 12.255 4,344. 4,344. 4,344. 3,945.
30 1.096 -3.617 -5.780 6.645 11.166 11.494 12.108 9.406 15.053 15.208 15.902 13.720 15.014 14.773 14.816 12.005 4,034. 4,034. 4,034. 3,724.
33 0.952 -3.906 -6.065 6.085 11.041 11.612 12.401 8.940 14.939 15.341 16.242 13.036 14.910 14.837 15.069 11.530 3,700. 3,700. 3,700. 3,381.
36 0.512 -3.996 -6.102 5.375 10.998 11.514 12.212 8.382 14.912 15.134 15.966 12.068 14.905 14.599 14.756 10.806 3,671. 3,671. 3,671. 3,315.
39 0.112 -4.261 ******* 5.771 11.025 11.678 ******* 8.803 15.099 15.451 ******* 12.765 15.101 14.853 -9999.00 11.387 4,196. 4,196. 0. 3,789.
42 1.764 -2.744 ******* 6.547 11.784 11.925 ******* 9.581 15.932 15.905 ******* 13.769 15.836 15.669 -9999.00 12.114 4,320. 4,320. 0. 3,973.
45 4.701 -0.377 ******* 9.798 13.199 12.993 ******* 12.135 17.207 16.880 ******* 16.436 16.554 16.878 -9999.00 13.199 4,186. 4,186. 0. 3,798.
48 5.400 1.146 ******* 9.997 12.547 11.723 ******* 11.945 16.515 15.459 ******* 16.392 15.609 15.418 -9999.00 12.992 4,190. 4,190. 0. 3,854.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of RELH (RH Percent ) From 1998111500 to 1999022812

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -3.292 -3.013 ******* 4.966 9.640 9.516 ******* 8.596 13.185 12.930 ******* 12.271 12.769 12.575 -9999.00 11.222 4,113. 4,113. 0. 3,726.
3 -2.958 -4.835 ******* 5.058 10.551 10.647 ******* 8.629 13.939 13.991 ******* 12.270 13.623 13.130 -9999.00 11.181 4,405. 4,405. 0. 4,032.
6 -0.699 -3.851 ******* 6.820 10.627 10.770 ******* 9.688 13.879 13.941 ******* 13.839 13.863 13.400 -9999.00 12.044 4,595. 4,595. 0. 4,210.
9 2.660 -1.473 ******* 10.585 11.078 10.945 ******* 12.459 14.324 14.023 ******* 16.666 14.077 13.947 -9999.00 12.874 4,683. 4,683. 0. 4,201.
12 3.296 -0.682 -0.291 10.247 11.047 10.242 10.249 11.942 14.212 13.276 13.288 16.292 13.826 13.260 13.287 12.667 4,601. 4,601. 4,601. 4,148.
15 0.850 -3.177 -4.671 8.027 10.839 10.756 10.906 10.242 14.393 14.304 14.504 14.470 14.370 13.948 13.733 12.041 4,447. 4,447. 4,447. 4,032.
18 0.582 -3.817 -5.835 6.718 10.881 11.333 11.915 9.434 14.599 15.098 15.768 13.614 14.589 14.609 14.650 11.842 4,148. 4,148. 4,148. 3,777.
21 0.162 -4.312 -6.591 6.011 10.937 11.568 12.375 8.924 14.664 15.192 16.230 12.791 14.665 14.569 14.833 11.292 3,992. 3,992. 3,992. 3,615.
24 -0.110 -4.696 -6.998 5.617 10.615 11.359 12.377 8.607 14.303 14.958 16.092 12.461 14.305 14.204 14.492 11.125 3,984. 3,984. 3,984. 3,591.
27 -0.044 -4.483 -6.900 5.709 10.267 10.985 11.967 8.636 14.092 14.537 15.698 12.496 14.093 13.830 14.102 11.117 4,280. 4,280. 4,280. 3,908.
30 1.504 -3.012 -5.092 6.906 11.290 11.431 11.961 9.701 15.152 14.988 15.547 13.865 15.078 14.684 14.691 12.025 4,498. 4,498. 4,498. 4,115.
33 4.666 -0.462 -2.309 10.399 12.737 12.499 12.285 12.485 16.537 16.130 15.891 16.687 15.867 16.125 15.724 13.052 4,516. 4,516. 4,516. 4,104.
36 5.202 0.807 -1.120 10.346 12.364 11.295 11.481 12.193 16.135 14.852 14.939 16.672 15.275 14.832 14.899 13.075 4,526. 4,526. 4,526. 4,110.
39 2.563 -1.516 ******* 8.326 11.406 11.166 ******* 10.600 15.384 14.831 ******* 15.075 15.171 14.755 -9999.00 12.569 4,476. 4,476. 0. 4,086.
42 1.570 -2.645 ******* 6.929 11.123 11.438 ******* 9.590 15.156 15.014 ******* 14.064 15.077 14.781 -9999.00 12.240 4,177. 4,177. 0. 3,836.
45 1.091 -3.183 ******* 6.338 11.145 11.716 ******* 9.060 15.145 15.518 ******* 13.312 15.108 15.190 -9999.00 11.708 3,817. 3,817. 0. 3,478.
48 0.217 -3.798 ******* 5.551 11.248 11.868 ******* 8.759 15.303 15.596 ******* 12.870 15.304 15.128 -9999.00 11.613 3,833. 3,833. 0. 3,403.