MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 1999030100 to 1999063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 12.929 12.851 ******* 3.612 59.266 59.376 ******* 56.027 76.009 76.202 ******* 73.036 74.904 75.114 -9999.00 72.950 11,757. 11,757. 0. 11,714.
3 6.152 3.524 ******* 1.963 56.125 52.888 ******* 58.550 73.555 71.273 ******* 75.518 73.300 71.189 -9999.00 75.495 11,669. 11,669. 0. 11,630.
6 8.571 6.094 ******* 2.528 60.226 55.106 ******* 63.820 77.164 72.819 ******* 80.294 76.690 72.567 -9999.00 80.258 10,871. 10,871. 0. 10,835.
9 8.800 5.116 ******* 3.050 64.124 59.491 ******* 66.893 81.026 77.437 ******* 83.412 80.551 77.272 -9999.00 83.361 9,788. 9,788. 0. 9,748.
12 9.092 6.193 8.308 2.685 65.535 61.095 61.164 68.013 82.586 79.031 79.066 84.141 82.088 78.792 78.632 84.102 10,391. 10,391. 10,391. 10,355.
15 13.737 10.584 8.525 4.330 65.729 61.196 61.190 66.472 82.732 79.366 79.766 83.002 81.587 78.660 79.312 82.893 11,652. 11,652. 11,652. 11,627.
18 14.816 9.944 8.773 7.531 62.751 57.929 56.867 61.593 79.813 76.446 75.619 78.394 78.430 75.800 75.112 78.035 11,375. 11,375. 11,375. 11,345.
21 9.080 6.871 6.047 5.285 55.421 50.522 50.660 58.397 72.727 68.590 69.153 75.039 72.161 68.247 68.892 74.856 11,612. 11,612. 11,612. 11,584.
24 6.170 5.001 4.655 3.487 54.589 50.433 50.244 58.491 71.947 68.796 69.016 75.240 71.685 68.617 68.862 75.163 11,624. 11,624. 11,624. 11,588.
27 5.395 3.489 3.462 3.400 58.085 54.815 54.739 61.503 75.340 73.413 73.712 78.189 75.150 73.333 73.634 78.118 11,549. 11,549. 11,549. 11,516.
30 6.088 4.136 4.283 2.083 62.916 59.599 59.496 66.172 79.895 77.805 77.980 82.242 79.666 77.699 77.866 82.220 10,716. 10,716. 10,716. 10,682.
33 6.256 4.829 5.072 2.210 67.352 63.818 63.919 69.474 84.169 81.829 82.297 85.617 83.940 81.691 82.145 85.593 9,635. 9,635. 9,635. 9,602.
36 7.119 6.226 6.422 1.559 69.599 66.359 66.169 70.626 86.296 84.486 84.456 86.343 86.006 84.260 84.216 86.333 10,349. 10,349. 10,349. 10,316.
39 14.316 9.608 ******* 5.524 70.225 65.495 ******* 69.364 86.949 83.829 ******* 85.423 85.766 83.280 -9999.00 85.248 11,708. 11,708. 0. 11,684.
42 13.462 10.483 ******* 8.392 68.173 63.592 ******* 66.121 85.240 82.102 ******* 82.676 84.174 81.433 -9999.00 82.253 11,448. 11,448. 0. 11,423.
45 9.024 7.934 ******* 5.624 61.064 57.637 ******* 62.722 78.147 75.585 ******* 79.046 77.628 75.171 -9999.00 78.849 11,486. 11,486. 0. 11,468.
48 7.355 6.389 ******* 4.691 58.688 55.514 ******* 62.031 75.876 73.782 ******* 78.782 75.522 73.508 -9999.00 78.646 10,845. 10,845. 0. 10,822.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 1999030100 to 1999063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 10.872 11.027 ******* 2.268 68.562 68.389 ******* 66.743 85.025 84.934 ******* 83.544 84.331 84.219 -9999.00 83.517 10,417. 10,417. 0. 10,284.
3 10.670 6.006 ******* 3.130 62.933 59.100 ******* 65.140 80.418 77.734 ******* 82.013 79.710 77.505 -9999.00 81.957 11,669. 11,669. 0. 11,512.
6 14.529 9.324 ******* 7.416 60.795 53.932 ******* 60.238 77.988 71.950 ******* 77.309 76.627 71.346 -9999.00 76.956 11,431. 11,431. 0. 11,245.
9 9.887 6.939 ******* 3.624 54.221 48.100 ******* 57.110 71.388 65.617 ******* 73.853 70.703 65.252 -9999.00 73.767 11,552. 11,552. 0. 11,339.
12 8.180 6.694 6.836 3.599 52.808 48.085 48.154 57.352 69.816 65.968 66.133 74.097 69.338 65.630 65.782 74.012 11,385. 11,385. 11,385. 11,242.
15 6.334 5.395 5.218 4.633 56.050 52.516 52.858 61.097 73.359 70.683 71.499 77.848 73.088 70.480 71.311 77.714 11,316. 11,316. 11,316. 11,174.
18 6.499 4.056 5.247 4.018 62.093 58.313 58.975 65.796 79.358 76.658 77.543 82.110 79.095 76.554 77.369 82.016 10,496. 10,496. 10,496. 10,370.
21 9.054 5.853 5.586 4.255 66.515 62.549 63.362 68.653 83.668 80.726 81.659 85.163 83.181 80.518 81.472 85.061 9,415. 9,415. 9,415. 9,234.
24 9.386 6.737 6.814 2.948 67.807 64.221 65.005 68.934 84.795 82.194 83.265 84.695 84.278 81.921 82.990 84.648 10,133. 10,133. 10,133. 9,934.
27 13.811 9.600 8.065 5.268 67.209 63.021 64.379 67.043 84.398 81.214 82.706 83.214 83.264 80.648 82.316 83.050 11,351. 11,351. 11,351. 11,154.
30 13.756 8.189 6.720 7.603 64.619 60.126 59.555 63.933 81.954 78.492 78.138 80.559 80.795 78.067 77.852 80.203 11,119. 11,119. 11,119. 10,900.
33 8.794 6.622 6.598 4.868 58.424 53.678 53.957 60.942 75.792 71.435 72.295 77.377 75.284 71.131 71.997 77.227 11,065. 11,065. 11,065. 10,852.
36 7.182 5.949 5.595 4.966 56.058 51.835 52.319 60.109 73.391 70.160 71.039 76.970 73.042 69.911 70.822 76.813 11,049. 11,049. 11,049. 10,839.
39 5.850 4.039 ******* 5.164 59.539 57.100 ******* 62.098 76.827 75.792 ******* 78.563 76.607 75.688 -9999.00 78.397 11,250. 11,250. 0. 10,935.
42 4.568 2.170 ******* 2.632 64.039 60.862 ******* 66.859 81.080 79.116 ******* 82.908 80.955 79.090 -9999.00 82.870 10,340. 10,340. 0. 10,151.
45 4.753 3.495 ******* 1.188 68.739 64.786 ******* 70.126 85.547 82.780 ******* 85.999 85.420 82.711 -9999.00 85.996 8,981. 8,981. 0. 8,788.
48 5.603 4.919 ******* 2.572 69.870 66.052 ******* 71.436 86.712 84.225 ******* 86.967 86.535 84.086 -9999.00 86.933 9,709. 9,709. 0. 9,506.