MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP2 (10-m log-reduced Wind Speed Knots) From 1999030100 to 1999063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -1.423 -1.494 ******* -2.778 4.423 4.424 ******* 4.576 5.897 5.901 ******* 6.296 5.723 5.709 -9999.00 5.651 12,236. 12,236. 0. 12,175.
3 -0.932 -0.833 ******* -2.329 3.848 3.738 ******* 4.137 5.284 5.127 ******* 5.833 5.201 5.059 -9999.00 5.348 12,062. 12,062. 0. 11,999.
6 0.249 0.469 ******* -1.664 3.890 3.910 ******* 3.984 5.251 5.242 ******* 5.709 5.245 5.222 -9999.00 5.461 11,252. 11,252. 0. 11,191.
9 0.259 0.434 ******* -1.413 3.859 3.762 ******* 3.768 5.266 5.128 ******* 5.465 5.260 5.110 -9999.00 5.280 10,154. 10,154. 0. 10,092.
12 0.298 0.468 1.459 -1.456 3.957 3.904 4.186 3.865 5.329 5.204 5.480 5.591 5.321 5.183 5.283 5.399 10,751. 10,751. 10,751. 10,689.
15 0.191 0.235 0.727 -1.737 4.008 3.871 3.820 3.997 5.615 5.477 5.403 5.971 5.612 5.472 5.354 5.713 12,071. 12,071. 12,071. 12,019.
18 -1.317 -1.111 -0.573 -2.485 4.132 3.937 3.805 4.178 5.671 5.463 5.275 6.025 5.516 5.349 5.244 5.489 11,960. 11,960. 11,960. 11,902.
21 -1.822 -1.436 -0.770 -3.016 4.174 4.039 3.898 4.384 5.706 5.501 5.297 6.130 5.408 5.310 5.241 5.338 12,168. 12,168. 12,168. 12,113.
24 -1.558 -1.119 -0.422 -2.933 4.054 3.960 3.885 4.466 5.521 5.353 5.196 6.145 5.297 5.234 5.179 5.400 12,106. 12,106. 12,106. 12,051.
27 -0.635 -0.183 0.593 -2.228 4.056 4.038 4.016 4.232 5.521 5.512 5.406 5.947 5.485 5.509 5.373 5.514 11,935. 11,935. 11,935. 11,880.
30 0.206 0.538 1.199 -1.716 4.101 4.181 4.184 4.103 5.544 5.603 5.534 5.866 5.540 5.578 5.403 5.610 11,094. 11,094. 11,094. 11,033.
33 0.237 0.376 0.993 -1.540 4.019 3.989 4.035 3.898 5.513 5.460 5.479 5.650 5.508 5.447 5.389 5.436 9,994. 9,994. 9,994. 9,940.
36 0.241 0.351 0.939 -1.623 4.087 4.072 4.100 3.946 5.541 5.512 5.512 5.735 5.536 5.501 5.432 5.501 10,701. 10,701. 10,701. 10,640.
39 0.017 0.084 ******* -1.878 4.145 4.035 ******* 4.087 5.863 5.756 ******* 6.129 5.863 5.756 -9999.00 5.835 12,115. 12,115. 0. 12,064.
42 -1.465 -1.292 ******* -2.656 4.310 4.171 ******* 4.329 5.999 5.812 ******* 6.276 5.818 5.667 -9999.00 5.687 12,018. 12,018. 0. 11,964.
45 -2.012 -1.725 ******* -3.236 4.368 4.288 ******* 4.574 6.005 5.872 ******* 6.389 5.658 5.613 -9999.00 5.508 12,017. 12,017. 0. 11,969.
48 -1.841 -1.506 ******* -3.137 4.146 4.105 ******* 4.560 5.724 5.658 ******* 6.285 5.420 5.454 -9999.00 5.446 11,265. 11,265. 0. 11,217.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP2 (10-m log-reduced Wind Speed Knots) From 1999030100 to 1999063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 0.459 0.311 ******* -1.772 4.246 4.180 ******* 3.918 5.688 5.596 ******* 5.703 5.669 5.588 -9999.00 5.421 10,776. 10,776. 0. 10,614.
3 -0.102 -0.275 ******* -1.880 3.786 3.649 ******* 3.891 5.353 5.189 ******* 5.865 5.352 5.182 -9999.00 5.556 12,093. 12,093. 0. 11,908.
6 -1.386 -1.212 ******* -2.585 3.871 3.656 ******* 4.114 5.351 5.088 ******* 5.945 5.168 4.941 -9999.00 5.354 12,005. 12,005. 0. 11,791.
9 -1.890 -1.553 ******* -3.065 4.020 3.869 ******* 4.355 5.482 5.263 ******* 6.083 5.146 5.029 -9999.00 5.254 12,102. 12,102. 0. 11,859.
12 -1.622 -1.215 -0.682 -2.971 4.000 3.883 3.888 4.438 5.429 5.226 5.166 6.122 5.181 5.083 5.121 5.353 11,857. 11,857. 11,857. 11,690.
15 -0.619 -0.196 0.769 -2.205 3.933 3.880 3.894 4.179 5.345 5.285 5.217 5.862 5.309 5.282 5.161 5.432 11,697. 11,697. 11,697. 11,529.
18 0.280 0.555 1.391 -1.639 4.037 4.077 4.104 4.066 5.426 5.444 5.417 5.808 5.419 5.416 5.236 5.572 10,869. 10,869. 10,869. 10,714.
21 0.194 0.346 1.128 -1.487 3.972 3.892 3.982 3.853 5.413 5.306 5.346 5.589 5.410 5.295 5.226 5.387 9,769. 9,769. 9,769. 9,559.
24 0.141 0.282 1.058 -1.568 4.021 3.961 4.066 3.924 5.442 5.331 5.416 5.689 5.440 5.324 5.312 5.469 10,481. 10,481. 10,481. 10,246.
27 -0.045 -0.017 0.592 -1.859 4.073 3.949 3.939 4.054 5.791 5.647 5.628 6.080 5.791 5.647 5.597 5.789 11,760. 11,760. 11,760. 11,528.
30 -1.577 -1.397 -0.723 -2.649 4.205 4.109 4.026 4.302 5.854 5.713 5.597 6.233 5.638 5.540 5.551 5.643 11,683. 11,683. 11,683. 11,426.
33 -2.141 -1.862 -1.075 -3.285 4.331 4.210 4.095 4.579 5.889 5.693 5.537 6.334 5.486 5.381 5.432 5.416 11,590. 11,590. 11,590. 11,339.
36 -1.847 -1.479 -0.608 -3.104 4.157 4.060 3.980 4.552 5.678 5.517 5.384 6.269 5.369 5.315 5.350 5.447 11,511. 11,511. 11,511. 11,269.
39 -0.876 -0.458 ******* -2.277 4.074 4.027 ******* 4.236 5.601 5.520 ******* 5.983 5.533 5.501 -9999.00 5.533 11,619. 11,619. 0. 11,268.
42 -0.016 0.340 ******* -1.712 4.091 4.170 ******* 4.096 5.556 5.588 ******* 5.842 5.556 5.578 -9999.00 5.585 10,700. 10,700. 0. 10,478.
45 0.069 0.234 ******* -1.645 4.089 4.041 ******* 3.987 5.616 5.529 ******* 5.763 5.616 5.525 -9999.00 5.524 9,306. 9,306. 0. 9,090.
48 0.204 0.349 ******* -1.726 4.199 4.141 ******* 4.033 5.728 5.596 ******* 5.861 5.725 5.585 -9999.00 5.601 10,022. 10,022. 0. 9,787.