MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of RELH (RH Percent ) From 1999030100 to 1999063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 6.472 6.186 ******* 11.511 12.318 12.101 ******* 15.423 15.388 15.055 ******* 19.271 13.962 13.727 -9999.00 15.457 5,505. 5,505. 0. 5,469.
3 -1.376 -3.641 ******* 8.267 10.697 10.161 ******* 12.551 13.576 13.097 ******* 15.584 13.507 12.582 -9999.00 13.212 5,459. 5,459. 0. 5,426.
6 -3.799 -6.658 ******* 3.774 12.837 12.317 ******* 10.488 16.201 15.695 ******* 13.376 15.751 14.214 -9999.00 12.834 5,079. 5,079. 0. 5,048.
9 -4.238 -8.112 ******* 2.404 13.640 13.468 ******* 10.049 17.476 17.186 ******* 12.967 16.956 15.152 -9999.00 12.744 4,908. 4,908. 0. 4,871.
12 -5.104 -9.230 -8.692 1.725 13.880 14.057 13.837 9.754 17.876 17.992 17.754 12.697 17.134 15.446 15.482 12.581 4,846. 4,846. 4,846. 4,814.
15 -3.285 -7.354 -7.045 2.767 12.086 12.262 12.248 9.231 15.600 15.941 15.971 11.915 15.251 14.144 14.334 11.591 5,326. 5,326. 5,326. 5,306.
18 -2.079 -6.520 -6.070 6.948 12.213 12.253 11.829 12.445 15.697 15.678 15.160 15.735 15.560 14.259 13.893 14.119 5,383. 5,383. 5,383. 5,356.
21 -1.125 -5.688 -5.131 9.647 12.479 12.198 11.823 15.349 16.040 15.791 15.237 18.933 16.002 14.732 14.348 16.293 5,441. 5,441. 5,441. 5,417.
24 0.862 -4.038 -3.366 10.879 12.199 11.725 11.346 16.079 15.756 15.138 14.567 19.874 15.734 14.591 14.175 16.633 5,387. 5,387. 5,387. 5,355.
27 -0.908 -4.758 -4.115 9.352 12.552 11.758 11.367 14.238 15.940 15.056 14.628 17.801 15.916 14.286 14.039 15.148 5,351. 5,351. 5,351. 5,323.
30 -3.576 -7.468 -7.685 4.691 13.678 13.208 12.853 11.414 17.267 16.738 16.429 14.621 16.894 14.982 14.522 13.849 4,953. 4,953. 4,953. 4,925.
33 -3.770 -8.167 -9.456 3.068 13.963 13.868 13.946 10.548 17.947 17.641 17.817 13.697 17.548 15.639 15.102 13.350 4,767. 4,767. 4,767. 4,737.
36 -4.063 -8.589 -10.118 2.410 13.848 14.401 14.601 10.121 18.040 18.303 18.700 13.284 17.578 16.164 15.728 13.065 4,829. 4,829. 4,829. 4,799.
39 -1.563 -6.242 ******* 3.123 12.761 12.745 ******* 9.932 16.346 16.377 ******* 12.853 16.273 15.142 -9999.00 12.469 5,447. 5,447. 0. 5,425.
42 -0.081 -4.885 ******* 7.270 13.378 12.995 ******* 13.992 17.031 16.776 ******* 17.507 17.033 16.051 -9999.00 15.928 5,462. 5,462. 0. 5,437.
45 0.550 -4.322 ******* 10.582 13.770 13.250 ******* 16.888 17.607 17.126 ******* 20.756 17.600 16.573 -9999.00 17.858 5,423. 5,423. 0. 5,405.
48 1.965 -3.220 ******* 11.913 13.527 12.895 ******* 17.668 17.268 16.618 ******* 21.853 17.158 16.305 -9999.00 18.322 5,156. 5,156. 0. 5,133.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of RELH (RH Percent ) From 1999030100 to 1999063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -5.739 -5.508 ******* 3.023 11.480 11.251 ******* 9.422 15.214 14.956 ******* 12.377 14.091 13.906 -9999.00 12.004 4,911. 4,911. 0. 4,839.
3 -4.303 -5.262 ******* 4.182 11.210 10.788 ******* 9.053 14.344 13.974 ******* 11.735 13.685 12.947 -9999.00 10.965 5,389. 5,389. 0. 5,326.
6 -2.497 -5.334 ******* 9.545 11.115 10.969 ******* 13.288 14.151 14.114 ******* 16.539 13.930 13.069 -9999.00 13.509 5,446. 5,446. 0. 5,370.
9 -0.445 -4.225 ******* 12.160 11.244 10.989 ******* 16.334 14.674 14.357 ******* 19.921 14.668 13.723 -9999.00 15.782 5,462. 5,462. 0. 5,377.
12 1.484 -2.855 -2.291 12.679 11.354 10.854 10.868 16.739 14.683 14.026 14.041 20.479 14.609 13.733 13.854 16.083 5,285. 5,285. 5,285. 5,212.
15 -0.817 -3.932 -3.785 10.573 11.779 10.939 10.932 14.493 15.083 14.128 14.091 18.029 15.062 13.571 13.574 14.604 5,243. 5,243. 5,243. 5,172.
18 -4.067 -7.095 -8.200 5.588 13.602 12.766 12.940 11.205 17.176 16.270 16.409 14.383 16.690 14.643 14.214 13.254 4,850. 4,850. 4,850. 4,784.
21 -4.668 -8.341 -10.367 3.752 13.996 13.720 14.127 10.113 17.976 17.429 17.886 13.191 17.362 15.305 14.577 12.647 4,649. 4,649. 4,649. 4,543.
24 -4.993 -8.788 -11.248 3.020 14.161 14.191 15.089 9.751 18.469 18.128 19.056 12.847 17.783 15.857 15.383 12.488 4,721. 4,721. 4,721. 4,618.
27 -2.518 -6.244 -8.401 3.622 12.671 12.188 12.725 9.424 16.400 15.853 16.381 12.214 16.207 14.573 14.064 11.665 5,189. 5,189. 5,189. 5,087.
30 -0.950 -5.053 -5.515 7.687 13.066 12.436 12.205 13.434 16.513 15.923 15.582 16.818 16.487 15.101 14.574 14.961 5,241. 5,241. 5,241. 5,137.
33 0.113 -4.362 -4.186 10.528 13.259 12.401 12.004 16.146 16.959 16.201 15.648 19.874 16.960 15.604 15.079 16.858 5,148. 5,148. 5,148. 5,049.
36 2.296 -2.830 -2.514 11.869 13.248 12.046 11.748 16.932 16.921 15.625 15.086 20.892 16.766 15.368 14.876 17.195 5,113. 5,113. 5,113. 5,011.
39 0.516 -3.375 ******* 10.429 13.187 11.904 ******* 15.337 16.945 15.488 ******* 19.181 16.939 15.117 -9999.00 16.099 5,266. 5,266. 0. 5,109.
42 -2.317 -5.837 ******* 5.502 13.852 12.663 ******* 12.145 17.473 16.213 ******* 15.585 17.320 15.128 -9999.00 14.583 4,819. 4,819. 0. 4,723.
45 -3.115 -6.985 ******* 3.594 13.936 13.460 ******* 10.956 17.776 17.115 ******* 14.192 17.503 15.627 -9999.00 13.731 4,351. 4,351. 0. 4,247.
48 -3.836 -7.784 ******* 2.691 13.672 13.917 ******* 10.250 17.730 17.696 ******* 13.505 17.312 15.894 -9999.00 13.236 4,461. 4,461. 0. 4,352.