MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999030100 to 1999063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 9.479 9.408 ******* 8.601 9.479 9.408 ******* 8.601 11.075 10.999 ******* 9.852 5.728 5.698 -9999.00 4.803 7,041. 7,041. 0. 7,016.
3 8.031 7.565 ******* 8.451 8.031 7.565 ******* 8.451 9.595 9.052 ******* 9.797 5.250 4.972 -9999.00 4.955 5,652. 5,652. 0. 5,644.
6 8.519 8.061 ******* 8.799 8.519 8.061 ******* 8.799 10.119 9.713 ******* 10.211 5.461 5.420 -9999.00 5.181 4,466. 4,466. 0. 4,458.
9 8.800 8.252 ******* 8.704 8.800 8.252 ******* 8.704 10.391 9.817 ******* 10.045 5.526 5.318 -9999.00 5.015 3,704. 3,704. 0. 3,698.
12 8.930 8.402 9.061 8.999 8.930 8.402 9.061 8.999 10.591 10.105 10.971 10.371 5.695 5.614 6.187 5.157 3,852. 3,852. 3,852. 3,839.
15 9.306 8.611 8.644 9.080 9.306 8.611 8.644 9.080 11.141 10.541 10.673 10.552 6.127 6.080 6.260 5.376 4,546. 4,546. 4,546. 4,536.
18 9.081 8.407 8.416 8.796 9.081 8.407 8.416 8.796 10.622 10.041 10.130 10.150 5.511 5.491 5.639 5.065 5,640. 5,640. 5,640. 5,627.
21 8.664 8.139 8.319 8.705 8.664 8.139 8.319 8.705 10.153 9.677 10.019 9.971 5.294 5.236 5.585 4.863 6,838. 6,838. 6,838. 6,820.
24 8.436 8.069 8.275 8.716 8.436 8.069 8.275 8.716 9.865 9.540 9.849 9.972 5.115 5.090 5.342 4.844 6,956. 6,956. 6,956. 6,939.
27 8.689 8.425 8.602 8.749 8.689 8.425 8.602 8.749 10.364 10.140 10.383 10.127 5.649 5.643 5.816 5.101 5,640. 5,640. 5,640. 5,632.
30 9.207 8.858 9.028 9.166 9.207 8.858 9.028 9.166 11.038 10.755 11.017 10.618 6.089 6.100 6.315 5.361 4,419. 4,419. 4,419. 4,410.
33 9.396 8.875 9.075 9.052 9.396 8.875 9.075 9.052 11.146 10.671 10.982 10.497 5.997 5.925 6.185 5.315 3,681. 3,681. 3,681. 3,674.
36 9.748 9.297 9.505 9.335 9.748 9.297 9.505 9.335 11.568 11.306 11.615 10.842 6.229 6.434 6.675 5.514 3,838. 3,838. 3,838. 3,826.
39 10.124 9.524 ******* 9.485 10.124 9.524 ******* 9.485 12.188 11.790 ******* 11.120 6.787 6.950 -9999.00 5.805 4,509. 4,509. 0. 4,500.
42 9.875 9.429 ******* 9.247 9.875 9.429 ******* 9.247 11.660 11.447 ******* 10.747 6.201 6.491 -9999.00 5.476 5,610. 5,610. 0. 5,599.
45 9.428 9.093 ******* 9.138 9.428 9.093 ******* 9.138 11.046 10.865 ******* 10.417 5.757 5.948 -9999.00 5.002 6,742. 6,742. 0. 6,732.
48 8.977 8.733 ******* 9.052 8.977 8.733 ******* 9.052 10.551 10.458 ******* 10.322 5.546 5.754 -9999.00 4.960 6,501. 6,501. 0. 6,494.


12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999030100 to 1999063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 9.850 9.691 ******* 8.960 9.850 9.691 ******* 8.960 11.455 11.248 ******* 10.324 5.848 5.710 -9999.00 5.128 3,819. 3,819. 0. 3,763.
3 8.498 7.780 ******* 8.907 8.498 7.780 ******* 8.907 10.113 9.387 ******* 10.357 5.482 5.255 -9999.00 5.284 4,490. 4,490. 0. 4,425.
6 8.558 7.694 ******* 8.657 8.558 7.694 ******* 8.657 9.964 9.145 ******* 9.982 5.103 4.944 -9999.00 4.970 5,629. 5,629. 0. 5,532.
9 8.227 7.614 ******* 8.592 8.227 7.614 ******* 8.592 9.579 9.005 ******* 9.829 4.905 4.808 -9999.00 4.774 6,779. 6,779. 0. 6,640.
12 8.152 7.712 7.919 8.633 8.152 7.712 7.919 8.633 9.520 9.116 9.392 9.866 4.919 4.861 5.050 4.776 6,829. 6,829. 6,829. 6,723.
15 8.378 8.103 8.529 8.619 8.378 8.103 8.529 8.619 10.044 9.755 10.275 9.963 5.542 5.432 5.729 4.998 5,518. 5,518. 5,518. 5,434.
18 8.995 8.591 9.051 9.056 8.995 8.591 9.051 9.056 10.735 10.436 10.979 10.473 5.860 5.926 6.216 5.260 4,324. 4,324. 4,324. 4,252.
21 9.203 8.698 9.149 8.938 9.203 8.698 9.149 8.938 10.879 10.389 10.940 10.333 5.802 5.682 5.999 5.187 3,595. 3,595. 3,595. 3,500.
24 9.324 8.781 9.299 9.198 9.324 8.781 9.299 9.198 11.075 10.611 11.257 10.631 5.978 5.959 6.345 5.331 3,765. 3,765. 3,765. 3,656.
27 9.571 9.093 9.482 9.347 9.571 9.093 9.482 9.347 11.579 11.240 11.808 10.959 6.518 6.608 7.037 5.721 4,419. 4,419. 4,419. 4,296.
30 9.347 8.928 9.165 9.087 9.347 8.928 9.165 9.087 11.075 10.802 11.186 10.588 5.942 6.082 6.413 5.434 5,528. 5,528. 5,528. 5,378.
33 8.987 8.519 8.807 9.012 8.987 8.519 8.807 9.012 10.526 10.119 10.550 10.292 5.481 5.462 5.810 4.970 6,558. 6,558. 6,558. 6,403.
36 8.634 8.252 8.673 8.931 8.634 8.252 8.673 8.931 10.099 9.821 10.354 10.205 5.240 5.325 5.656 4.937 6,675. 6,675. 6,675. 6,523.
39 8.898 8.673 ******* 8.898 8.898 8.673 ******* 8.898 10.637 10.474 ******* 10.314 5.828 5.872 -9999.00 5.217 5,574. 5,574. 0. 5,402.
42 9.283 9.041 ******* 9.273 9.283 9.041 ******* 9.273 11.035 10.869 ******* 10.600 5.968 6.032 -9999.00 5.135 4,290. 4,290. 0. 4,200.
45 9.679 9.298 ******* 9.328 9.679 9.298 ******* 9.328 11.521 11.264 ******* 10.856 6.249 6.360 -9999.00 5.555 3,550. 3,550. 0. 3,478.
48 10.109 9.643 ******* 9.626 10.109 9.643 ******* 9.626 12.090 11.803 ******* 11.210 6.632 6.806 -9999.00 5.746 3,661. 3,661. 0. 3,593.