MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999030100 to 1999063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 8.888 8.875 ******* 8.601 8.888 8.875 ******* 8.601 10.224 10.213 ******* 9.852 5.052 5.054 -9999.00 4.803 7,041. 7,041. 0. 7,016.
3 7.897 7.383 ******* 8.451 7.897 7.383 ******* 8.451 9.316 8.791 ******* 9.797 4.943 4.772 -9999.00 4.955 5,652. 5,652. 0. 5,644.
6 8.068 7.553 ******* 8.799 8.068 7.553 ******* 8.799 9.566 9.141 ******* 10.211 5.141 5.149 -9999.00 5.181 4,466. 4,466. 0. 4,458.
9 8.378 7.726 ******* 8.704 8.378 7.726 ******* 8.704 9.835 9.235 ******* 10.045 5.151 5.059 -9999.00 5.015 3,704. 3,704. 0. 3,698.
12 8.605 7.984 8.127 8.999 8.605 7.984 8.127 8.999 10.109 9.584 9.801 10.371 5.306 5.302 5.479 5.157 3,852. 3,852. 3,852. 3,839.
15 8.858 8.169 7.974 9.080 8.858 8.169 7.974 9.080 10.527 9.975 9.888 10.552 5.688 5.725 5.847 5.376 4,546. 4,546. 4,546. 4,536.
18 8.749 8.053 7.842 8.796 8.749 8.053 7.842 8.796 10.115 9.511 9.377 10.150 5.078 5.062 5.140 5.065 5,640. 5,640. 5,640. 5,627.
21 8.337 7.722 7.609 8.705 8.337 7.722 7.609 8.705 9.680 9.114 9.127 9.971 4.920 4.841 5.040 4.863 6,838. 6,838. 6,838. 6,820.
24 8.089 7.587 7.466 8.716 8.089 7.587 7.466 8.716 9.426 8.969 8.913 9.972 4.840 4.783 4.869 4.844 6,956. 6,956. 6,956. 6,939.
27 8.308 7.858 7.680 8.749 8.308 7.858 7.680 8.749 9.852 9.502 9.376 10.127 5.295 5.343 5.379 5.101 5,640. 5,640. 5,640. 5,632.
30 8.684 8.245 8.090 9.166 8.684 8.245 8.090 9.166 10.373 10.048 9.993 10.618 5.673 5.744 5.866 5.361 4,419. 4,419. 4,419. 4,410.
33 8.875 8.279 8.202 9.052 8.875 8.279 8.202 9.052 10.479 9.999 10.047 10.497 5.572 5.608 5.803 5.315 3,681. 3,681. 3,681. 3,674.
36 9.288 8.793 8.743 9.335 9.288 8.793 8.743 9.335 10.955 10.666 10.739 10.842 5.810 6.038 6.238 5.514 3,838. 3,838. 3,838. 3,826.
39 9.596 9.032 ******* 9.485 9.596 9.032 ******* 9.485 11.510 11.128 ******* 11.120 6.356 6.501 -9999.00 5.805 4,509. 4,509. 0. 4,500.
42 9.427 8.957 ******* 9.247 9.427 8.957 ******* 9.247 11.049 10.794 ******* 10.747 5.765 6.024 -9999.00 5.476 5,610. 5,610. 0. 5,599.
45 9.039 8.632 ******* 9.138 9.039 8.632 ******* 9.138 10.505 10.223 ******* 10.417 5.353 5.478 -9999.00 5.002 6,742. 6,742. 0. 6,732.
48 8.628 8.285 ******* 9.052 8.628 8.285 ******* 9.052 10.097 9.873 ******* 10.322 5.247 5.371 -9999.00 4.960 6,501. 6,501. 0. 6,494.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD2 (Vector Wind Difference 10-m Knots) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999030100 to 1999063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 9.137 9.043 ******* 8.960 9.137 9.043 ******* 8.960 10.529 10.396 ******* 10.324 5.231 5.128 -9999.00 5.128 3,819. 3,819. 0. 3,763.
3 8.197 7.570 ******* 8.907 8.197 7.570 ******* 8.907 9.689 9.084 ******* 10.357 5.167 5.023 -9999.00 5.284 4,490. 4,490. 0. 4,425.
6 8.298 7.454 ******* 8.657 8.298 7.454 ******* 8.657 9.564 8.792 ******* 9.982 4.756 4.664 -9999.00 4.970 5,629. 5,629. 0. 5,532.
9 8.001 7.324 ******* 8.592 8.001 7.324 ******* 8.592 9.241 8.615 ******* 9.829 4.626 4.538 -9999.00 4.774 6,779. 6,779. 0. 6,640.
12 7.879 7.323 7.279 8.633 7.879 7.323 7.279 8.633 9.164 8.644 8.613 9.866 4.681 4.593 4.606 4.776 6,829. 6,829. 6,829. 6,723.
15 8.055 7.577 7.508 8.619 8.055 7.577 7.508 8.619 9.571 9.158 9.170 9.963 5.170 5.144 5.266 4.998 5,518. 5,518. 5,518. 5,434.
18 8.474 8.001 8.005 9.056 8.474 8.001 8.005 9.056 10.077 9.747 9.854 10.473 5.453 5.567 5.747 5.260 4,324. 4,324. 4,324. 4,252.
21 8.738 8.151 8.204 8.938 8.738 8.151 8.204 8.938 10.273 9.778 9.927 10.333 5.402 5.402 5.590 5.187 3,595. 3,595. 3,595. 3,500.
24 8.995 8.373 8.510 9.198 8.995 8.373 8.510 9.198 10.595 10.104 10.366 10.631 5.600 5.655 5.920 5.331 3,765. 3,765. 3,765. 3,656.
27 9.168 8.662 8.764 9.347 9.168 8.662 8.764 9.347 11.018 10.677 10.950 10.959 6.110 6.243 6.565 5.721 4,419. 4,419. 4,419. 4,296.
30 9.027 8.563 8.526 9.087 9.027 8.563 8.526 9.087 10.607 10.278 10.392 10.588 5.571 5.684 5.941 5.434 5,528. 5,528. 5,528. 5,378.
33 8.721 8.202 8.175 9.012 8.721 8.202 8.175 9.012 10.133 9.653 9.757 10.292 5.159 5.090 5.328 4.970 6,558. 6,558. 6,558. 6,403.
36 8.341 7.870 7.859 8.931 8.341 7.870 7.859 8.931 9.720 9.329 9.432 10.205 4.992 5.009 5.215 4.937 6,675. 6,675. 6,675. 6,523.
39 8.555 8.148 ******* 8.898 8.555 8.148 ******* 8.898 10.163 9.868 ******* 10.314 5.487 5.567 -9999.00 5.217 5,574. 5,574. 0. 5,402.
42 8.809 8.457 ******* 9.273 8.809 8.457 ******* 9.273 10.436 10.195 ******* 10.600 5.596 5.695 -9999.00 5.135 4,290. 4,290. 0. 4,200.
45 9.125 8.655 ******* 9.328 9.125 8.655 ******* 9.328 10.833 10.532 ******* 10.856 5.839 6.002 -9999.00 5.555 3,550. 3,550. 0. 3,478.
48 9.601 9.078 ******* 9.626 9.601 9.078 ******* 9.626 11.403 11.088 ******* 11.210 6.153 6.366 -9999.00 5.746 3,661. 3,661. 0. 3,593.