MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999030100 to 1999063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 16.237 15.962 ******* 3.907 49.396 49.522 ******* 45.137 64.929 65.267 ******* 60.008 62.870 63.289 -9999.00 59.885 7,041. 7,041. 0. 7,016.
3 6.672 3.231 ******* 1.161 40.763 37.127 ******* 43.700 55.919 53.054 ******* 58.178 55.524 52.960 -9999.00 58.172 5,652. 5,652. 0. 5,644.
6 15.431 10.838 ******* 5.721 43.616 38.211 ******* 46.925 59.320 54.451 ******* 61.559 57.284 53.367 -9999.00 61.300 4,466. 4,466. 0. 4,458.
9 16.600 10.223 ******* 6.744 46.514 41.106 ******* 48.275 62.320 57.605 ******* 63.297 60.076 56.698 -9999.00 62.945 3,704. 3,704. 0. 3,698.
12 16.663 11.706 13.504 7.899 46.324 42.262 42.106 48.060 62.096 59.581 59.434 62.299 59.826 58.428 57.887 61.804 3,852. 3,852. 3,852. 3,839.
15 19.455 14.613 12.456 7.568 47.662 42.338 41.865 47.433 63.127 59.144 59.386 61.485 60.060 57.317 58.071 61.024 4,546. 4,546. 4,546. 4,536.
18 19.355 14.375 10.860 8.213 47.998 42.687 42.165 47.061 63.166 59.544 59.855 61.577 60.132 57.787 58.866 61.032 5,640. 5,640. 5,640. 5,627.
21 10.656 8.225 7.471 6.879 45.389 39.966 40.516 48.790 61.300 56.294 57.890 64.057 60.371 55.694 57.410 63.691 6,838. 6,838. 6,838. 6,820.
24 7.770 4.972 5.464 5.046 43.843 39.639 39.552 48.338 59.599 56.253 56.960 63.336 59.095 56.037 56.701 63.139 6,956. 6,956. 6,956. 6,939.
27 7.382 5.277 6.299 3.748 44.191 40.648 40.570 48.153 59.844 58.123 58.816 63.346 59.392 57.888 58.483 63.240 5,640. 5,640. 5,640. 5,632.
30 11.543 6.421 6.825 5.649 47.779 43.594 43.585 51.276 63.966 61.481 61.867 65.850 62.923 61.152 61.496 65.615 4,419. 4,419. 4,419. 4,410.
33 13.369 8.248 7.621 5.073 50.465 46.200 46.321 52.543 67.086 64.367 65.163 67.643 65.749 63.845 64.725 67.461 3,681. 3,681. 3,681. 3,674.
36 13.874 8.774 8.038 4.967 52.961 49.355 49.489 53.262 69.457 67.943 68.568 67.920 68.066 67.383 68.104 67.747 3,838. 3,838. 3,838. 3,826.
39 18.006 13.370 ******* 6.322 55.051 49.881 ******* 53.226 71.515 68.760 ******* 68.102 69.219 67.455 -9999.00 67.815 4,509. 4,509. 0. 4,500.
42 17.576 13.186 ******* 9.071 56.172 51.026 ******* 53.110 72.949 70.027 ******* 68.699 70.806 68.781 -9999.00 68.103 5,610. 5,610. 0. 5,599.
45 12.355 9.769 ******* 7.854 52.362 49.166 ******* 53.918 68.726 66.806 ******* 69.312 67.611 66.093 -9999.00 68.871 6,742. 6,742. 0. 6,732.
48 10.083 8.287 ******* 7.390 49.133 46.118 ******* 52.835 65.463 63.846 ******* 68.332 64.687 63.311 -9999.00 67.936 6,501. 6,501. 0. 6,494.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999030100 to 1999063012

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 20.689 20.205 ******* 4.871 50.802 50.644 ******* 45.771 66.595 66.278 ******* 60.495 63.308 63.132 -9999.00 60.307 3,819. 3,819. 0. 3,763.
3 16.571 9.450 ******* 2.955 42.859 37.756 ******* 45.557 58.081 53.791 ******* 59.564 55.674 52.960 -9999.00 59.498 4,490. 4,490. 0. 4,425.
6 18.350 12.307 ******* 6.938 45.212 37.843 ******* 45.438 60.366 53.061 ******* 59.795 57.515 51.619 -9999.00 59.397 5,629. 5,629. 0. 5,532.
9 11.444 7.607 ******* 4.897 43.643 37.394 ******* 47.019 58.975 52.597 ******* 62.218 57.858 52.048 -9999.00 62.029 6,779. 6,779. 0. 6,640.
12 9.885 7.619 7.856 4.310 41.793 37.010 37.035 46.946 56.554 52.320 52.438 61.660 55.687 51.766 51.850 61.514 6,829. 6,829. 6,829. 6,723.
15 8.533 7.093 8.588 4.987 41.303 37.899 38.520 47.103 56.437 54.092 55.819 61.950 55.794 53.630 55.159 61.755 5,518. 5,518. 5,518. 5,434.
18 14.673 9.728 11.547 7.491 45.796 41.817 42.837 50.291 61.822 59.579 61.005 64.888 60.063 58.786 59.909 64.462 4,324. 4,324. 4,324. 4,252.
21 16.052 10.060 9.807 7.355 49.005 44.650 45.384 51.135 65.376 62.300 63.657 66.388 63.384 61.491 62.906 65.988 3,595. 3,595. 3,595. 3,500.
24 15.528 9.343 10.059 6.952 49.758 45.623 47.715 50.354 66.474 63.577 66.768 64.581 64.643 62.895 66.015 64.215 3,765. 3,765. 3,765. 3,656.
27 17.310 10.638 12.059 5.996 50.306 45.814 47.697 49.853 66.601 63.552 66.314 64.097 64.320 62.663 65.216 63.823 4,419. 4,419. 4,419. 4,296.
30 16.195 9.670 8.539 8.010 51.467 46.923 47.173 50.178 67.777 64.982 65.601 65.093 65.820 64.264 65.049 64.604 5,528. 5,528. 5,528. 5,378.
33 11.363 7.113 7.695 6.881 49.172 44.465 45.197 51.793 65.377 61.246 62.997 67.143 64.387 60.836 62.530 66.794 6,558. 6,558. 6,558. 6,403.
36 9.548 7.743 7.351 6.415 46.015 41.805 42.581 50.425 61.868 58.891 60.487 65.829 61.131 58.384 60.043 65.521 6,675. 6,675. 6,675. 6,523.
39 7.062 5.028 ******* 5.381 47.105 44.326 ******* 49.470 63.567 63.026 ******* 64.760 63.179 62.831 -9999.00 64.542 5,574. 5,574. 0. 5,402.
42 9.801 7.374 ******* 7.781 50.131 47.057 ******* 53.524 66.783 65.994 ******* 68.513 66.067 65.588 -9999.00 68.077 4,290. 4,290. 0. 4,200.
45 9.497 6.455 ******* 5.764 52.815 49.315 ******* 54.382 69.494 68.072 ******* 69.578 68.851 67.775 -9999.00 69.349 3,550. 3,550. 0. 3,478.
48 12.191 7.691 ******* 6.859 54.849 51.233 ******* 55.702 71.958 70.385 ******* 70.973 70.927 69.973 -9999.00 70.651 3,661. 3,661. 0. 3,593.