MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 1999070100 to 1999091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 3.197 2.414 ******* 4.592 58.801 58.575 ******* 61.056 75.748 75.828 ******* 77.338 75.685 75.795 -9999.00 77.207 7,545. 7,545. 0. 7,140.
3 5.574 0.823 ******* -1.655 58.324 54.938 ******* 62.106 74.867 72.772 ******* 78.056 74.664 72.772 -9999.00 78.044 7,465. 7,465. 0. 7,055.
6 3.757 0.580 ******* -1.987 61.131 58.822 ******* 67.783 77.444 76.651 ******* 83.184 77.359 76.654 -9999.00 83.167 6,837. 6,837. 0. 6,460.
9 1.032 -0.210 ******* -2.311 63.529 61.560 ******* 67.894 79.763 79.066 ******* 83.476 79.762 79.072 -9999.00 83.451 6,301. 6,301. 0. 5,964.
12 0.393 0.243 1.460 -0.441 67.173 63.533 63.173 70.521 83.105 80.988 80.569 86.413 83.110 80.994 80.562 86.419 6,732. 6,732. 6,732. 6,360.
15 7.522 3.096 2.982 3.660 67.689 63.901 63.650 68.051 83.626 81.735 81.755 83.705 83.292 81.682 81.706 83.631 7,424. 7,424. 7,424. 6,994.
18 9.553 4.429 2.557 7.368 67.148 61.150 59.627 69.352 83.474 78.845 78.283 85.261 82.932 78.726 78.247 84.948 6,989. 6,989. 6,989. 6,585.
21 8.089 5.605 5.091 6.231 60.169 54.265 52.995 66.875 76.978 71.456 71.434 82.456 76.557 71.241 71.257 82.226 7,420. 7,420. 7,420. 7,006.
24 8.943 7.844 7.576 6.335 58.692 52.455 51.908 63.515 76.131 70.451 70.490 79.382 75.609 70.018 70.087 79.135 7,428. 7,428. 7,428. 7,016.
27 1.568 -0.006 0.974 -0.110 57.655 56.116 55.656 62.988 74.393 74.326 74.559 78.290 74.382 74.331 74.558 78.296 7,412. 7,412. 7,412. 6,992.
30 -0.825 -1.901 -0.780 -4.087 63.953 62.917 61.705 68.320 80.358 80.750 80.112 83.503 80.359 80.734 80.114 83.409 6,779. 6,779. 6,779. 6,451.
33 -3.004 -1.520 -1.349 -4.627 66.236 64.810 63.678 68.690 82.479 82.667 81.901 83.921 82.431 82.659 81.896 83.800 6,272. 6,272. 6,272. 5,953.
36 -3.433 -1.717 0.109 -4.534 70.465 67.909 66.981 71.838 86.618 85.576 85.023 87.008 86.557 85.565 85.029 86.897 6,775. 6,775. 6,775. 6,393.
39 4.362 1.005 ******* 0.668 70.126 67.499 ******* 70.161 86.384 85.458 ******* 85.447 86.280 85.457 -9999.00 85.451 7,613. 7,613. 0. 7,184.
42 6.507 2.743 ******* 4.711 69.019 63.948 ******* 70.016 85.641 81.491 ******* 85.617 85.400 81.450 -9999.00 85.494 7,086. 7,086. 0. 6,676.
45 7.599 5.004 ******* 8.294 64.328 56.922 ******* 68.202 80.817 74.195 ******* 83.640 80.465 74.031 -9999.00 83.234 7,357. 7,357. 0. 6,926.
48 8.106 7.540 ******* 9.326 62.239 55.967 ******* 65.716 79.438 73.955 ******* 81.695 79.029 73.575 -9999.00 81.167 7,349. 7,349. 0. 6,924.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WDIR (Wind Direction Degrees ) From 1999070100 to 1999091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 0.550 0.634 ******* 1.956 68.296 68.397 ******* 72.424 85.245 85.386 ******* 88.586 85.249 85.390 -9999.00 88.571 6,894. 6,894. 0. 6,691.
3 6.092 3.461 ******* 3.993 67.874 64.907 ******* 70.899 83.852 82.505 ******* 86.750 83.636 82.438 -9999.00 86.664 7,592. 7,592. 0. 7,366.
6 9.392 3.974 ******* 8.341 66.815 57.866 ******* 68.281 83.346 75.390 ******* 84.247 82.820 75.290 -9999.00 83.839 7,154. 7,154. 0. 6,934.
9 7.313 6.162 ******* 5.620 59.654 51.172 ******* 64.797 76.024 67.901 ******* 80.340 75.676 67.625 -9999.00 80.149 7,587. 7,587. 0. 7,364.
12 7.433 7.380 6.574 6.621 57.050 49.874 49.996 61.842 74.113 67.635 67.700 77.743 73.744 67.235 67.385 77.466 7,524. 7,524. 7,524. 7,319.
15 1.632 1.116 0.975 -0.362 57.042 54.270 53.949 62.770 73.653 72.486 72.662 78.161 73.640 72.482 72.660 78.165 7,504. 7,504. 7,504. 7,293.
18 0.360 -1.869 -1.937 -3.068 63.304 62.335 61.331 69.120 79.817 79.990 79.507 84.484 79.822 79.974 79.489 84.435 6,870. 6,870. 6,870. 6,677.
21 -0.766 -0.881 -1.644 -3.045 65.120 63.820 63.827 69.353 81.296 81.545 81.782 84.668 81.298 81.547 81.772 84.620 6,350. 6,350. 6,350. 6,166.
24 -1.677 -0.624 -0.782 -3.601 69.141 66.023 65.979 71.412 85.627 83.555 83.830 86.992 85.617 83.559 83.833 86.924 6,860. 6,860. 6,860. 6,664.
27 4.718 -0.537 -0.071 -0.175 68.413 64.431 65.142 69.054 84.573 82.583 83.140 84.587 84.447 82.586 83.145 84.593 7,556. 7,556. 7,556. 7,341.
30 7.894 2.461 1.231 5.651 67.631 61.825 61.865 69.593 83.981 79.698 80.462 85.360 83.616 79.665 80.459 85.179 7,090. 7,090. 7,090. 6,874.
33 8.203 5.872 5.402 6.474 62.112 54.988 54.399 67.182 78.560 72.082 72.640 82.622 78.136 71.847 72.444 82.374 7,363. 7,363. 7,363. 7,146.
36 9.966 7.762 7.096 8.398 60.444 53.520 53.788 64.283 77.723 71.357 72.406 80.071 77.087 70.939 72.062 79.635 7,354. 7,354. 7,354. 7,130.
39 2.252 0.056 ******* 2.268 59.781 57.501 ******* 64.177 76.384 76.065 ******* 79.215 76.356 76.070 -9999.00 79.188 7,432. 7,432. 0. 7,216.
42 -1.364 -1.948 ******* -3.663 65.128 63.551 ******* 68.248 81.872 81.370 ******* 83.421 81.867 81.352 -9999.00 83.347 6,776. 6,776. 0. 6,583.
45 -3.205 -2.488 ******* -5.757 66.019 64.650 ******* 68.837 82.367 82.604 ******* 83.917 82.311 82.573 -9999.00 83.726 6,118. 6,118. 0. 5,937.
48 -2.655 -0.801 ******* -5.903 70.532 67.543 ******* 72.097 86.822 85.233 ******* 87.425 86.788 85.235 -9999.00 87.232 6,646. 6,646. 0. 6,331.