MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) From 1999070100 to 1999091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 -1.702 -1.738 ******* -2.945 3.810 3.796 ******* 4.087 5.150 5.149 ******* 5.530 4.860 4.847 -9999.00 4.681 7,723. 7,723. 0. 7,297.
3 1.284 1.412 ******* -2.151 4.051 4.054 ******* 3.856 5.188 5.222 ******* 5.440 5.027 5.028 -9999.00 4.997 7,557. 7,557. 0. 7,139.
6 2.334 2.490 ******* -1.444 4.422 4.469 ******* 3.682 5.543 5.616 ******* 5.294 5.028 5.034 -9999.00 5.094 6,940. 6,940. 0. 6,555.
9 2.264 2.365 ******* -1.158 4.260 4.346 ******* 3.407 5.354 5.526 ******* 4.891 4.852 4.994 -9999.00 4.752 6,395. 6,395. 0. 6,042.
12 2.179 2.375 3.321 -1.149 4.406 4.371 5.097 3.459 5.520 5.553 6.705 4.931 5.072 5.020 5.825 4.796 6,808. 6,808. 6,808. 6,431.
15 1.854 2.022 3.572 -1.410 4.163 4.092 4.847 3.299 5.447 5.370 6.262 4.807 5.122 4.975 5.144 4.596 7,559. 7,559. 7,559. 7,119.
18 -0.345 0.118 1.347 -2.440 3.600 3.464 3.682 3.605 4.789 4.593 4.894 5.006 4.777 4.591 4.705 4.371 7,309. 7,309. 7,309. 6,884.
21 -0.378 0.179 1.422 -2.867 3.701 3.665 3.961 3.934 4.913 4.837 5.207 5.359 4.899 4.834 5.009 4.528 7,666. 7,666. 7,666. 7,241.
24 0.510 1.072 2.618 -2.453 3.895 3.925 4.486 3.875 5.059 5.034 5.758 5.266 5.034 4.919 5.128 4.660 7,609. 7,609. 7,609. 7,185.
27 1.632 2.130 4.439 -1.798 4.311 4.454 5.776 3.790 5.478 5.706 7.130 5.360 5.230 5.294 5.581 5.050 7,504. 7,504. 7,504. 7,076.
30 2.584 2.753 4.955 -1.168 4.671 4.795 6.169 3.699 5.826 6.084 7.588 5.271 5.222 5.426 5.747 5.140 6,884. 6,884. 6,884. 6,550.
33 2.482 2.503 4.597 -0.931 4.506 4.515 5.721 3.458 5.665 5.732 7.065 4.907 5.092 5.157 5.366 4.818 6,365. 6,365. 6,365. 6,042.
36 2.291 2.435 4.289 -1.052 4.583 4.490 5.545 3.497 5.768 5.733 6.890 4.975 5.293 5.190 5.392 4.863 6,855. 6,855. 6,855. 6,468.
39 1.999 2.062 ******* -1.331 4.324 4.213 ******* 3.338 5.555 5.501 ******* 4.866 5.183 5.100 -9999.00 4.681 7,746. 7,746. 0. 7,310.
42 -0.354 0.007 ******* -2.348 3.629 3.528 ******* 3.572 4.795 4.680 ******* 5.031 4.782 4.681 -9999.00 4.450 7,404. 7,404. 0. 6,974.
45 -0.493 -0.046 ******* -2.807 3.761 3.663 ******* 3.888 4.999 4.819 ******* 5.374 4.975 4.819 -9999.00 4.584 7,602. 7,602. 0. 7,160.
48 0.402 0.803 ******* -2.428 3.928 3.852 ******* 3.864 5.130 4.932 ******* 5.287 5.115 4.866 -9999.00 4.698 7,530. 7,530. 0. 7,097.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of WSP1 (Lowest Sigma Wind Speed Knots ) From 1999070100 to 1999091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 0.096 -0.008 ******* -1.304 3.890 3.844 ******* 3.582 5.318 5.278 ******* 5.198 5.318 5.279 -9999.00 5.032 6,971. 6,971. 0. 6,765.
3 1.275 0.956 ******* -1.649 3.697 3.581 ******* 3.301 4.858 4.782 ******* 4.857 4.688 4.685 -9999.00 4.568 7,728. 7,728. 0. 7,501.
6 -0.700 -0.186 ******* -2.637 3.470 3.277 ******* 3.703 4.621 4.327 ******* 5.157 4.568 4.323 -9999.00 4.432 7,478. 7,478. 0. 7,253.
9 -0.556 0.036 ******* -3.099 3.634 3.529 ******* 4.042 4.840 4.665 ******* 5.490 4.808 4.665 -9999.00 4.531 7,835. 7,835. 0. 7,608.
12 0.318 0.933 1.401 -2.706 3.733 3.742 4.041 3.980 4.900 4.831 5.276 5.393 4.890 4.741 5.086 4.665 7,707. 7,707. 7,707. 7,494.
15 1.448 2.061 4.338 -1.968 4.111 4.279 5.481 3.815 5.244 5.488 6.762 5.416 5.040 5.086 5.188 5.046 7,596. 7,596. 7,596. 7,381.
18 2.421 2.668 4.864 -1.307 4.472 4.623 5.916 3.685 5.607 5.864 7.269 5.292 5.057 5.222 5.402 5.129 6,974. 6,974. 6,974. 6,776.
21 2.290 2.371 4.384 -1.093 4.332 4.360 5.455 3.427 5.419 5.575 6.773 4.907 4.911 5.046 5.163 4.784 6,444. 6,444. 6,444. 6,257.
24 2.188 2.317 4.138 -1.163 4.418 4.331 5.337 3.457 5.530 5.532 6.637 4.948 5.079 5.024 5.189 4.809 6,939. 6,939. 6,939. 6,742.
27 1.826 1.927 3.323 -1.464 4.148 4.065 4.697 3.321 5.367 5.341 6.096 4.859 5.047 4.981 5.111 4.634 7,692. 7,692. 7,692. 7,475.
30 -0.475 -0.017 1.438 -2.479 3.574 3.450 3.807 3.591 4.757 4.620 5.055 5.026 4.733 4.620 4.847 4.372 7,417. 7,417. 7,417. 7,194.
33 -0.600 -0.038 1.464 -3.003 3.731 3.666 4.011 3.993 4.979 4.841 5.281 5.461 4.943 4.841 5.075 4.562 7,615. 7,615. 7,615. 7,397.
36 0.331 0.813 2.672 -2.561 3.921 3.834 4.537 3.907 5.133 4.933 5.810 5.323 5.123 4.865 5.160 4.667 7,540. 7,540. 7,540. 7,317.
39 1.535 2.060 ******* -1.780 4.324 4.362 ******* 3.798 5.516 5.602 ******* 5.377 5.298 5.209 -9999.00 5.074 7,525. 7,525. 0. 7,309.
42 2.530 2.668 ******* -1.133 4.701 4.731 ******* 3.693 5.879 5.994 ******* 5.276 5.307 5.368 -9999.00 5.153 6,881. 6,881. 0. 6,687.
45 2.474 2.486 ******* -0.919 4.602 4.611 ******* 3.519 5.815 5.869 ******* 4.961 5.263 5.317 -9999.00 4.875 6,211. 6,211. 0. 6,030.
48 2.476 2.528 ******* -0.938 4.640 4.586 ******* 3.551 5.831 5.815 ******* 5.014 5.279 5.237 -9999.00 4.925 6,722. 6,722. 0. 6,406.