MM5 Statistics

0Z Stats  12Z Stats

00Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999070100 to 1999091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 7.747 7.728 ******* 8.244 7.747 7.728 ******* 8.244 8.928 8.924 ******* 9.299 4.438 4.463 -9999.00 4.303 3,846. 3,846. 0. 3,640.
3 7.909 7.424 ******* 8.466 7.909 7.424 ******* 8.466 9.299 8.824 ******* 9.664 4.893 4.772 -9999.00 4.661 3,080. 3,080. 0. 2,917.
6 8.121 7.606 ******* 8.813 8.121 7.606 ******* 8.813 9.625 9.071 ******* 10.034 5.167 4.945 -9999.00 4.799 2,277. 2,277. 0. 2,139.
9 7.897 7.555 ******* 8.502 7.897 7.555 ******* 8.502 9.258 8.942 ******* 9.589 4.834 4.785 -9999.00 4.436 1,846. 1,846. 0. 1,740.
12 8.516 7.948 8.599 8.835 8.516 7.948 8.599 8.835 9.919 9.457 10.339 9.919 5.086 5.126 5.741 4.511 1,903. 1,903. 1,903. 1,776.
15 8.466 7.750 8.066 8.504 8.466 7.750 8.066 8.504 9.892 9.366 9.901 9.514 5.117 5.261 5.744 4.268 2,155. 2,155. 2,155. 1,986.
18 8.267 7.532 7.668 8.523 8.267 7.532 7.668 8.523 9.418 8.839 9.211 9.482 4.514 4.627 5.104 4.155 2,660. 2,660. 2,660. 2,490.
21 7.879 7.350 7.481 8.473 7.879 7.350 7.481 8.473 9.200 8.642 9.002 9.525 4.752 4.546 5.008 4.353 3,652. 3,652. 3,652. 3,427.
24 7.762 7.284 7.687 8.237 7.762 7.284 7.687 8.237 9.042 8.534 9.155 9.309 4.637 4.446 4.973 4.337 3,773. 3,773. 3,773. 3,535.
27 7.947 7.812 8.572 8.522 7.947 7.812 8.572 8.522 9.358 9.376 10.156 9.771 4.943 5.185 5.448 4.781 3,045. 3,045. 3,045. 2,840.
30 8.205 8.263 8.892 8.848 8.205 8.263 8.892 8.848 9.718 9.958 10.574 10.077 5.209 5.559 5.723 4.824 2,265. 2,265. 2,265. 2,123.
33 8.076 8.098 8.589 8.551 8.076 8.098 8.589 8.551 9.501 9.815 10.353 9.664 5.006 5.547 5.781 4.504 1,851. 1,851. 1,851. 1,730.
36 8.590 8.335 8.694 8.917 8.590 8.335 8.694 8.917 10.015 10.036 10.485 10.037 5.151 5.592 5.862 4.609 1,916. 1,916. 1,916. 1,796.
39 8.652 8.117 ******* 8.722 8.652 8.117 ******* 8.722 10.096 9.753 ******* 9.750 5.204 5.407 -9999.00 4.357 2,166. 2,166. 0. 2,029.
42 8.444 7.797 ******* 8.680 8.444 7.797 ******* 8.680 9.657 9.155 ******* 9.662 4.686 4.799 -9999.00 4.243 2,664. 2,664. 0. 2,510.
45 8.323 7.662 ******* 8.695 8.323 7.662 ******* 8.695 9.648 9.072 ******* 9.772 4.881 4.860 -9999.00 4.460 3,580. 3,580. 0. 3,381.
48 8.166 7.545 ******* 8.482 8.166 7.545 ******* 8.482 9.534 8.872 ******* 9.548 4.921 4.669 -9999.00 4.386 3,692. 3,692. 0. 3,481.

12Z Initialization Verification Statistics of VWD1 (Vector Wind Difference Knots ) Skipping Wind Speeds Less than or Equal to 5.000000 Knots From 1999070100 to 1999091412

Forecast Hour Mean Error Mean Absolute Error Root Mean Square Error Standard Deviation Number of Obs
MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km  MM5  36 km  MM5  12 km  MM5   4 km  ETA  32 km 
0 8.553 8.498 ******* 9.128 8.553 8.498 ******* 9.128 9.823 9.794 ******* 10.229 4.831 4.869 -9999.00 4.616 1,941. 1,941. 0. 1,869.
3 8.008 7.294 ******* 8.553 8.008 7.294 ******* 8.553 9.215 8.443 ******* 9.548 4.560 4.254 -9999.00 4.244 2,197. 2,197. 0. 2,111.
6 8.126 7.079 ******* 8.581 8.126 7.079 ******* 8.581 9.199 8.191 ******* 9.517 4.311 4.122 -9999.00 4.117 2,719. 2,719. 0. 2,620.
9 7.847 7.056 ******* 8.481 7.847 7.056 ******* 8.481 9.123 8.303 ******* 9.505 4.653 4.375 -9999.00 4.292 3,708. 3,708. 0. 3,584.
12 7.587 6.979 7.235 8.226 7.587 6.979 7.235 8.226 8.869 8.258 8.606 9.274 4.595 4.414 4.661 4.283 3,816. 3,816. 3,816. 3,710.
15 7.865 7.576 8.316 8.504 7.865 7.576 8.316 8.504 9.234 9.062 9.785 9.728 4.839 4.973 5.157 4.726 3,072. 3,072. 3,072. 2,979.
18 8.089 8.121 8.996 8.808 8.089 8.121 8.996 8.808 9.576 9.783 10.691 10.028 5.126 5.456 5.778 4.793 2,280. 2,280. 2,280. 2,208.
21 7.953 7.836 8.549 8.539 7.953 7.836 8.549 8.539 9.282 9.420 10.272 9.633 4.786 5.229 5.695 4.461 1,860. 1,860. 1,860. 1,803.
24 8.476 8.059 8.734 8.860 8.476 8.059 8.734 8.860 9.862 9.615 10.487 9.962 5.043 5.244 5.806 4.555 1,923. 1,923. 1,923. 1,860.
27 8.419 7.685 8.293 8.626 8.419 7.685 8.293 8.626 9.833 9.261 10.111 9.610 5.081 5.170 5.786 4.238 2,158. 2,158. 2,158. 2,071.
30 8.374 7.585 7.909 8.578 8.374 7.585 7.909 8.578 9.500 8.920 9.591 9.508 4.488 4.695 5.425 4.102 2,678. 2,678. 2,678. 2,578.
33 8.215 7.522 7.926 8.598 8.215 7.522 7.926 8.598 9.522 8.916 9.566 9.638 4.815 4.788 5.357 4.355 3,605. 3,605. 3,605. 3,485.
36 8.028 7.326 8.057 8.362 8.028 7.326 8.057 8.362 9.391 8.719 9.712 9.417 4.873 4.728 5.424 4.331 3,717. 3,717. 3,717. 3,595.
39 8.244 7.898 ******* 8.640 8.244 7.898 ******* 8.640 9.729 9.535 ******* 9.863 5.167 5.344 -9999.00 4.757 3,025. 3,025. 0. 2,921.
42 8.443 8.321 ******* 8.909 8.443 8.321 ******* 8.909 10.018 10.099 ******* 10.145 5.394 5.725 -9999.00 4.854 2,258. 2,258. 0. 2,172.
45 8.247 8.124 ******* 8.698 8.247 8.124 ******* 8.698 9.676 9.846 ******* 9.802 5.061 5.565 -9999.00 4.521 1,839. 1,839. 0. 1,770.
48 8.620 8.450 ******* 9.022 8.620 8.450 ******* 9.022 10.074 10.120 ******* 10.179 5.214 5.570 -9999.00 4.714 1,874. 1,874. 0. 1,787.